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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Down the ballot: No 60 in Senate

Posted: Wednesday, November 05, 2008 9:49 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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SENATE: No to 60: Senate Democrats pulled down the low-hanging fruit in the competitive races, marking VA (Warner), NH (Shaheen), NC (Hagan), NM (Udall) and CO (Udall) in their camp. But the races that were higher reaches for Team Schumer -- KY (McConnell) and MS-B (Wicker) -- stayed in Republican hands. In the wee hours of the night, the Minnesota, Oregon, Georgia, and Alaska races all remained too close to call, but only a perfect storm of wins in all four states would grant Democrats the nine extra votes that they must net to beat a filibuster. In Minnesota, this morning, Coleman leads Franken by just 762 votes. Stevens leads by 3,353 votes. (By the way, Don Young leads by more than 16,000 votes with 99% in.) Gordon Smith leads by about 13,000 votes with 75% reporting. Chambliss is three-tenths of a percentage point from dropping below 50% with 99% of precincts reporting. (If he were to drop below 50, there would be run-off.)

HOUSE: Democrats appear to have netted at least 17 seats in the House. Dems picked up 12 seats held by Republican incumbents, nine more open seats that had been held by Republicans. But Republicans were also able to pick up four seats held by Democrats. About a dozen remain undecided.

Baked Alaska: Apparently Northern Exposure doesn’t matter all that much in the Land of Perpetual Daylight. Into the wee hours of the morning, it was STILL unclear (as of 4:30 a.m.) if convicted Sen. Ted Stevens and under-investigation Rep. Don Young were going to lose. In fact, both were winning their races – despite calls from the party’s top brass for Stevens to resign.

Purple Shays: The news out of the House was mixed for Republicans, who were bracing for a potential bloodbath. Jim Himes' victory over Republican Chris Shays represented the ousting of the lone GOP representative in the Northeast, and the fall of incumbents in Michigan, Ohio, and Florida underscored McCain's toxicity in battleground states. (Of note, though: the Cuban Diaz-Balart brothers did survive in spite of Obama's long coattails in the state.) But Republicans who feared losses in the high 30s in the U.S. House are breathing sighs of (relative) relief this morning, with 22 seats (as of 5:15 a.m.) evaporating from their camp into Democratic hands. The Cook Political Report's David Wasserman notes a silver lining for those GOPers fearful of a House juggernaut: November 4th turned out to be a good day for conservative Dems in tossup races and a tough one for those on the more liberal side of the spectrum.  Ashwin Madia lost in MN-03, for example, unable to overcome Erik Paulson's efforts to paint the Iraq War veteran as a tax-and-spend-liberal. But anti-abortion mother of five Kathy Dahlkemper pulled off a swing-district win against Republican Phil English.

Get Out of Gaffe Free: The utterers of the two mega-gaffes of the election's waning weeks were both not punished by voters. Michelle Bachmann (MN-6), who was accused of McCarthyism after calling for the investigation of "anti-American" Democrats, and John Murtha (PA-12), who implied that some of his constituents are racists, both won reelection. The one that didn't get away? North Carolina Republican Robin Hayes -- who took heat after declaring that "liberals hate real Americans that work and achieve and believe in God" --- was defeated in a rematch against Larry Kissell.

They Love the Gov'nor: Among the nation's 11 gubernatorial races, only one -- in Missouri -- saw a challenger beat a member of the incumbent party.  State Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) beat Representative Kenny Hulshof for the seat vacated by Matt Blunt (R).  But in North Carolina, Democrat Bev Perdue rode Obama's long coattails in the state to beat popular Charlotte mayor Pat McCrory; she'll replace outgoing Democrat Mike Easley.  Incumbent Christine Gregoire won the madly-fought rematch of her 2004 race against Republican Dino Rossi. And Indiana's Gov Mitch Daniels sailed past once-promising Jill Long Thompson to win reelection.

"Democrats increased their ranks in Congress last night, picking up seats from the Canadian to the Mexican borders and ushering in a new era of Democratic power in Washington the party has not seen since the 1960s," the Boston Globe writes.

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<<"Into the wee hours of the morning, it was STILL unclear (as of 4:30 a.m.) if convicted Sen. Ted Stevens and under-investigation Rep. Don Young were going to lose.">>

There's gotta be something in the water up there in Alaska that makes people throw common sense out the window.
What is it with Alaskan voters? They have a convicted senator and a congressman with the ethics of a gerbil but yet they still reelect them...is there no shame or ethical compass up there? Oh wait, they elected Sarah the Loser.
Shame on the voters of Minnesota who voted back the most hateful wicked witch ever that screwball Michele Bachman.  She better just sit there and shut up for the next two years.  Also shame on the voters of Georgia whoi returned that clueless Lynn Westmoreland and slimy Saxby Chambliss.  You people are disgusting in the extreme!

But most of all shame on you criminal loving Alaskans who returned two known criminals, Young and "Felon" Stevens.  Let's build Stevens a Bridge to Prison!  Hopefully Harry Reid will make evicting the Alaskan Felon the first order of business.

While we may not have reached 60 in the Senate we still will have a good majority in the Senate plus lots more power behind Nancy Pelosi.

Yes We Did!
We are watching that Minnesota race.  700 votes is a pretty slim margin.  I'm glad they're taking their time with it.

Here in IL, we are pleased that Dick Durbin was re-elected handily.  But here's a question: who will replace Barack Obama as our Senator?  Who will replace Joe Biden in Delaware?

Maybe those are the questions for tomorrow.

http://ilfamilypolitics.blogspot.com
Sarah, keep heart. Millions of us in the lower 48 see you as unaffected by the corruption now running rampant in our government. We will be waiting for you in 2012 to clean up the stench in Washington.
The revolution for a better America has begun.
I haven't heard any of the news programs talk about this. If Ted Stevens is around to get sworn in on Jan. 20th., and he doesn't win his appeal, and his colleagues expel him from the Senate, the Governor of Alaska will be appointing a Republican to that seat. I guess it wasn't so dumb to stay in the race for Stevens after all!!
Not quite a clean sweep, but good enough!

We'll take it from here, thank you!


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