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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Down the ballot: The undecided races

Posted: Friday, November 07, 2008 9:05 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

ALASKA: In case Ted Stevens is having second thoughts about resigning his seat should he win, another major Senate Republican -- Jim DeMint -- is calling for expulsion.

CALIFORNIA: The Sacramento Bee: "The tight 4th Congressional District race between Tom McClintock and Charlie Brown will create extra work for county election officials already sifting through tens of thousands of uncounted absentee and provisional ballots. If the election margin is one-half of 1 percent or less on election night, already tallied votes in 10 percent of precincts must be recounted by hand to check the accuracy of voting machines. McClintock leads Brown, 50.2 percent to 49.8." The winner will replace scandal-ridden John Doolittle, who chose to retire after his ties to lobbyist Jack Abramoff promised to throw a wrench in a reelection bid in this heavily GOP district.

LOUSIANA: Because primary day in Louisiana was delayed due to Hurricane Gustav, Dec. 6 is Election Day for two Louisiana House seats, including the one held by Rep. William Jefferson, who has been indicted on corruption charges. Despite his high-profile legal woes, Jefferson is favored to win reelection in Louisiana's 2nd District. Democrat Paul Carmouche and Republican John Fleming will fight out the battle for Jim McCrery's seat in Louisiana's conservative Fourth District.

MARYLAND: In Maryland’s First Congressional District, writes the Baltimore Sun, "Democrat Frank M. Kratovil Jr. saw his slim lead over Republican Andy Harris more than double yesterday as election judges began to open absentee ballots in the 1st Congressional District." The race to replace Rep. Wayne Gilcrest is separated by around 1800 votes. Gilcrest, an Iraq War opponent, lost the Republican primary.

MINNESOTA: "One Senate candidate says the voters have spoken. The other says the electorate still needs to be heard. In the end, experts say, it could be the courts or even the Senate that speaks the loudest on Minnesota's unsettled Senate race."

OHIO: In Ohio’s 15th CD, per the Columbus Dispatch: "As of last night, Stivers held a 146-vote lead over Kilroy, with thousands of provisional ballots remaining to be counted." If victorious, Stivers, a pro-choice moderate, will fit the model of the centrist Republicans who escaped defeat in a political environment hostile to the GOP; if Kilroy wins, the sometimes uncharismatic candidate may have Barack Obama’s Ohio coattails to thank.

TEXAS: "Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison isn't ready to say whether she will run for governor in 2010, but she said Thursday that she doesn't think it would hurt Texas if she resigned from Congress before her term ends in 2012. 'I have looked at this from all angles,' Hutchison told reporters after speaking at a luncheon hosted by the University of Texas. 'And I believe that from the standpoint of Texas in the Senate, that if I did decide to step down in order to run for governor, that Texas would be actually well positioned because John Cornyn will have had a full term.'"

VIRGINIA: In VA-05, per last night's Richmond Times-Dispatch: "Democrat Tom S.P. Perriello, who started the day leading Republican Rep. Virgil H. Goode Jr. by 31 votes, had a 639-vote lead by the end of the day after post-election canvassing by local electoral boards. At one point during the day Perriello was up by 832 votes. A recount is likely because the margin is still below the 1 percent threshold that allows the trailing candidate to seek a recount." (First Read noted last weekend that Republicans must have smelled trouble in this usually solid GOP district. The NRCC sent out a press release slamming Perriello as an out-of-touch New York City elite.)  
 
WASHINGTON: In suburban Seattle, "Republican Rep. Dave Reichert maintained his narrow lead over Democrat Darcy Burner Thursday in their close race for the 8th Congressional District. Burner was still leading in King County, which makes up about 80 percent of the district, but Reichert was chipping away at her advantage there. He was winning handily in the part of Pierce County that makes up about 20 percent of the district."

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Comments

I cannot believe that Alaska re-elected (apparently) Ted Stevens.  It's incomprehensible to me.

He is now a convicted felon.  A felon.  And yet, the people in his state think he's still doing a boffo job.  Unreal.

http://thepajamapundit.com/
The Dems have at least 56 votes. I think this is a definate working majority, and if the Republicans do choose to fillibuster, I hope the Dems can at least swing a few.

Check out the latest posts:
http://lastofourkind.blogspot.com
Is "Felon" Ted Stevens finally getting a conscience?  Bet he doesn't want the ignomy of being expelled from the senate like so much garbage.  He needs to do the right thing and step down of his own volition so there can be a special election which hopefullu Mark Begich will win.

Not too surprising that there are still tight races that have yet to be decided because they are so close.  Seems really strange that there were less votes cast in Alaska than in 2004, makes me think there has been some voter supporession efforts done by "Sinner" Sarah.  Also Georgia seems to have some votes missing which could affect the outcome.  Yep voter fraud in red states committed by the repugnant ones.

Yes We Did!
Charlie Brown are you serious?
MINNESOTA: "One Senate candidate says the voters have spoken. The other says the electorate still needs to be heard. In the end, experts say, it could be the courts or even the Senate that speaks the loudest on Minnesota's unsettled Senate race."

----------------------------

And the difference in the vote count keeps on getting closer.  Right now the difference is 236 votes.  
One has to wonder about How Alaskans see the law.Stevens convicted on seven counts of non- discloser and still they voted to return him to washinton.200,000 in gifts and labor and BBQ grills.I guess in Alaska thats not that big of a deal.One can see where a person of limited education could get elected to Governor.Not only does Big oil buy grills they can also sway an election. Norm Colemen has declared himself the winner,something that he learned from G.Bush.But this time I think Norm is in for a big surprised.They found a couple hundred votes for Al Franken and they haven't started the recount.
We have lived this nightmare before...the only time a democracy doesn't work is when there is a tie...but at least the founding fathers understood we all hang to together whether we like it or not...
Obama must console the nation as FDR did and bring long range justification and purpose...Americans can sacrifice and bear many burdens but we all must understand we are in this together..any greedy wagoneers and any prevenance of mission WILL NOT be tolerated..Unity will be our call and liberty will only serve our destiny..
What? no mention of Al Frankenstien .I think he is an indication of where this country is headed ,can't believe he got even a single vote. The democrats truly will take anyone.
Both Stevens and Jefferson (when he is convicted) should be removed from their respective houses of Congress.  This hurts Congress' reputation in which it tolerates criminals that have been fully convicted of corruption charges.  
I'm thinking something funny is going on in Alaska. Voter turnout was DOWN? Seriously?

The Governor of their state, a woman, two corrupt legislators, the first black president, an increase in population, and the highest national turnout of all time, and turnout was DOWN.

I cannot fathom that.

Again, something just doesn't smell right in Alaska.

http://www.rodneyhopper.com
Minnesotans are anxious about this senate race, and I think the near-tie in votes reflects the attitude here toward the viciously negative campaigning that occurred here. I certainly hope that whichever of the two wins will consider that for his campaign six years from now.
With Stevens' election, Sideshow Sarah's apparent lack of knowledge in current affairs, geography, foreign policy makes sense. Apparently a LOT of low-information voters in Alaska. Including their current governor.
ALASKA, THE PETRO-STATE, SHOULD BE RETURNED TO ITS FORMER TERRITORIAL STATUS WHILE THE F.B.I. INVESTIGATES EVERY ELECTED OFFICAL IN THE STATE. IT IS ONE MASSIVE BALL OF CORRUPTION, BOUGHT & PAID FOR BY THE OIL CORPORATIONS.


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