ABOUT FIRST READ

First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Looking back at the election

Posted: Friday, November 07, 2008 9:26 AM by Domenico Montanaro

Obama was the declared the winner of North Carolina yesterday, which the AP called a “symbolic triumph.” “Obama's win in North Carolina was the first for a Democratic presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter won the state in 1976.”

"The USA Today/Gallup survey, conducted on Wednesday and released yesterday, asked how people felt about Obama's election: 67 percent said proud, 67 percent said optimistic, and 59 percent said excited. Thirty percent said pessimistic, and 27 percent said afraid." 
 
"Whether whites supported Barack Obama or not, they don't seem to have lied to pollsters about it. Obama's election triumph on Tuesday presented no evidence of the so-called Bradley effect, in which whites who oppose a black politician mislead pollsters about whom they will vote for. Instead, national and state pre-election polls were generally accurate in reflecting voters' preferences in the presidential contest."

In his latest National Journal column, Charlie Cook wonders why Democrats, despite their gains, weren’t able to win even more races down the ballot. “There is no shortage of theories. It could be that a lot of first-time and younger voters cast their ballots for Obama but didn’t bother to venture down the ballot. Once the final vote tallies are tabulated, we will have a better idea of whether that happened. Or maybe there was a determined effort to apply checks and balances. By deciding to elect Obama president, more than a few voters may have opted to keep the Republican incumbent in place, just to prevent Democrats from getting carried away. Another theory … is that in the states where the Obama campaign was the strongest, it was able to deliver big numbers of voters who boosted Democratic hopes, but in other states, notably Southern ones such as Tennessee and Oklahoma, Obama may have been something of a liability.”

But it might also be that the Democrats were pretty much maxed out. Cook writes, “It is important to remember that in the U.S. House and in many of the state legislative contests, Democrats had already gained many seats in 2006. And since you can’t pick up a seat you have already won, Democrats were defending a lot of seats in districts previously held by Republicans.”

"The euphoria sweeping the nation, and the globe, has led to an uptick in the number of parents naming their children Barack or Obama. A Florida couple named their baby Sanjae Obama Fisher when he was born Tuesday, just hours before the Illinois senator clinched victory. Several mothers in Kenya, where Obama's father was from, were also reported to be naming their baby boys after the U.S.' first African-American President -- or after soon-to-be First Lady Michelle if they were girls. And in Sierra Leone, six out of 10 male newborns in the capital's main maternity hospital were named Barack Obama Wednesday morning, doctors said."

MAIN PAGE

Email this EMAIL THIS

Comments

Lets see. Obama said for people that already have health insurance it will become cheaper. For people without health insurance, you will get the same kind that the congress has. Anyone out there believe this will happen. It can't just be talk to get elected. Wonder when this will take place.
Looking back at this election (and forward to the future) I am proud that the world celebrated with us. It says a lot to the type of relationship a President Obama can have with a world that has not respected us for so long.

Check out the latest posts:
http://lastofourkind.blogspot.com
Is it just me, or does anyone else LOVE the fact that Sean Hannity now has to call him "President Elect Obama"? How do you like that Humble Pie, Hannity?
Bill Clinton glibly mocked: "Jesse Jackson won North Carolina twice..." keeps ringing in my ears no matter how much I try to block it out.
No looking back! As we face the numbers just released on unemployment and the rise in food cost we must force ourselves to look ahead, brace ourselves and help others. "We rise as one."
Winter is here...donate to your local food bank.
It is so gratifying to see Obama win North Carolina and extgend his electoral college lead to 364-173.  Maybe there'll be a change in Missouri as that race has tighened up in the past few days.

Looks like some serious voter suppression fraud going on in Alaska and Georgia.  I have no doubt that "Sinner" Sarah directed her goon squad to lose votes from Democratic areas.  It's unbelieveable that Alaska's vote total would be less than in 2004 with "Simpleton" Sarah was the VP candidate.  Georgia also seems to have lost votes from heavy Democratic areas.

Yes We Did!
27 percent said afraid.
**********************************

Honestly?  Afraid?!  What are you 27 percent afraid of?  Seriously.  I just don't get it.  Someone PLEASE tell me what is so scary about Barack Obama...

http://thepajamapundit.com/
Please no more talk about the Bradley effect.I didn't hear one Democrat talk about this,I heard alot of Repubs talk about it.Guys like Rush,Shawn.Morning Joe.After all the debunking that this Bradley thing was not ever a factor .It  was flawed polling.But we all know that never happens!
>>>...Thirty percent said pessimistic, and 27 percent said afraid."
==========
These are the ones who are posting that America will face the wrath of God because we elected a black president.  It's hilarious what some of McCain's supporters have been posting here since Tuesday.

74 Days Until Inauguration Day!
http://jawillie.blog.com
"Someone PLEASE tell me what is so scary about Barack Obama..."
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Sadly, there are a lot of low information (or just low intelligence) voters who completely bought into Palin's description of Obama as an America-hating, terrorist-loving, wealth-spreading, baby-killing communist. Morons? Yes.
The 2008 Presidential Election was a “Throw the Bums Out Election!”

The voters were disgusted with the job President Bush has done and wanted to clean house!  And they did.

The last time we had a “Throw the Bums Out Election!” was in 1976 after President Nixon’s corrupt administration and we elected a little-known nobody named JIMMY CARTER.   That resulted in a domestic economy disaster and a foreign policy disaster.   Carter, like Obama, had a personal agenda that took priority over what was in the best interests of the USA.  

We cannot sit back and “celebrate”’ Obama’s election or history will repeat itself.  We must speak-out at everything Obama says or does that we do not agree is best for the USA.  

Obama is NOT the ‘Chosen One’ --- he is just a run-of-the-mill Chicago politician.   He grew up politically in the most politically corrupt city in the nation run by the DALEY family and ACORN for DECADES.   Obama’s history of ‘associations’ is like a list of America’s most evil.   His agenda is clearly to reward those who contribute little and punish those who  contribute the most.   Obama’s voter appeal was old fashioned greed --- “promise them something for nothing, and they will vote for you!”  And they did!

Presidents need widespread support for their controversial programs & policies ---
SPEAK OUT LOUDLY and OPPOSE OBAMA’S AGENDA when it is not in the USA’s best interests!
Thank God Obama-Biden won the election. That is fact! "Insane McCain" and "Dizzy Diva" would have continued their infighting right into the White House. Now finding out from FIXED NEWS that the "Dizzy Diva" was beyond "Dumb." Her antics would have been a real joke, and "Insane McCain" would not have been able to control her. "Puppet Palin" will be spending a lot of time in court, and trying too lie to investigators, again. It is going to get real cold for her in Alaska!
OBAMA IS NO BETTER THAN WAS JIMMY CARTER ....
you're right is not "the chosen one" .. well actually he is, America chose him. I respect you're opinion, but Damn can the guy get into office and implement some policies before you start attacking him. Don't believe all the lies the were told during the primaries as truths. A lie told 100x is still a lie. John McCain is a good man and should been our President in 2000. Barack Obama is the right guy at the right time. worst time really. These are are going to be some hard times and he's not going to fix it overnight. It's time to UNITE all as ONE and move forward, the election is over.
Jen MI:  Great to hear someone interjecting the continuing spirit Pres. elect Obama was promoting, i believe, throughout his campaign.  America coming back....
Bill Clinton glibly mocked: "Jesse Jackson won North Carolina twice..." keeps ringing in my ears no matter how much I try to block it out.

I've got to ask you why, So. Central Del.  First of all, it was a primary race in South Carolina and there were a lot of Black people voting in that primary and Clinton's comment was a statement of fact.  Look at the percentage of black voters that went for Obama both in the primary and the general. (While you're at it you might notice that blacks, as a group did not come out to vote in particularly large numbers at all.)  Wy do you want to take Clinton's factual statement and try to manipulate his words into something hateful?

If there is anything we might learn from this election it may well be that Obama was elected because he was supported by a diverse group of voters that didn't seem too concerned about his race at all.  In fact, it might be argued that Obama's election has proven the notion that a black person can not be elected to high office in the USA to be nothing but a myth.

Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton are miles apart from Obama.  Has nobody noticed, unlike Jesse and Al who made a strong bid for the black vote and played to that constituency, Obama ran as a person with sound ideas and a desire to fairly represent everyone.  

There are a lot of reasons Obama won and the fact that the Republicans have made a huge mess of everything for the past eight years certainly helped.  But voters of every group and color came out to vote for Obama because his message is positive and his ideas are sound.  Americans beleive in Obama's ability to bring us together and direct our energies toward resolution rather than identification of problems.

Maybe the real message of Obama's win is that we Americans have to get away from these sterotypical images of our own creation.  We created myths about our society and then worked to convince ourselves that the myths were reality.

Can a black man be elected President.  Clearly, he can.  Will White people ever vote for a Black president?  Clearly, they will.  So what of all that talk that has filled our ears and created our national self image?  Maybe it is time for us to accept that there are no barriers to success other than those of our own creation.  Maybe it is time to quite using race as a way to enable failure and accept that bad ideas and poor planning and lack of a disciplined approach are the real obstacals to success.  Maybe it is time for us to acknowledge that a person, any person with a good idea and the will to make it work has an opportunity to be successful.

As for me, I would much prefer to view the election and the process as meaningful indicators of a bright future than to sit and wonder about past statements made in the context of a political primary as a way to justify another negative myth.
 
It's not surprising that the Republicans are acting like "bullies" which is their style. Get over it and support the new President elect. By the way, it is not surprising that the only demographic that did not vote for Obama was the white (un-educated male).  Oh that's right they are out buying guns....
We cannot sit back and “celebrate”’ Obama’s election or history will repeat itself.  We must speak-out at everything Obama says or does that we do not agree is best for the USA.  
OBAMA IS NO BETTER THAN WAS JIMMY CARTER
----------------------------------------------------
Too bad we didn't use that kind of thinking during the current administration. Maybe we wouldn't be in the situation we are in now.  
The biggest polling surprise was how close to the eventual outcome the polls actually turned out to be. I was keeping a running count of projected electoral votes and state pluralities based on the "most recent polls taken" and then translating this into a projected popular vote. Electoral vote projection was 351 to 187 for Obama. Popular vote plurality was 5.6%.

What did in McCain, in my opinion, was that - in the wake of the negative Bush fall-out - he was torn between (a) winning the middle while losing some of the Conservative base or (b) holding onto the base and losing the middle. After winning the nomination, every move he'd make would invariably lose a vote for every new one he picked up.

Obama's dynamic was much better - the only direction he could go was "up" because the more that voters would learn about (and be comfortable with) him,the more votes he'd pick up.

This is why Obama was able to remain consistent while McCain continued to zig zag.
No need to be scared of Obama-- what we should have been scared of is the last 8 years with the Bush Administration.  The only scary thing is finding out the truth of how bad everything REALLY is. We need to stand behind our new President more than ever now.
"Thirty percent said pessimistic, and 27 percent said afraid."  Exactly the number that would back GWB no matter what.  Exactly the number that hang on every word of the Limbaughs, Hannitys, and Becks telling them America as we knew it is dead.  Exactly the people who want the richest to get bigger tax breaks "just in case I get rich some day, it wouldn't be fair to me if it happens."
I suspect that many people didn't know anything about the House or Senate races on the ballot.  If the didn't, they might not have voted or just voted for the incombant.  Obama still comes into the White House with a majority in both houses of Congress.  
To all the folks who didn't vote for Obama and still don't like him, let me ask you this: Are you willing to let the US, and by extension the world, go to hell in a handbasket just because a Dem or specifically Obama, won the election? Cut off your own nose to spite your face, but leave the rest of us out of it.
For all the white folks who are playing it cool, you also have every right to celebrate along with the rest of us. Remember, A lot of who and what Barak Obama is comes from the people who raised him. I truly believe they would all be really quite proud.
New Indi: What a GREAT post! You articulated my feelings exactly...
When the exit polls don't match the vote, don't call it the Bradley effect, call it election fraud.  There is a big "Bradley" effect in the voting in Alaska that needs to be thoroughly investigated.  Alaska, hmmm, now what is so special about Alaska.
I voted for Obama because I sure didn't want another 4 years of Republican government, but I'm still afraid as I don't think Obama has any actual ideas on what to do about anything. He's mostly been about fluff and charisma, rather than any policy (that he has stuck to). But still better than the Republicans!
When it comes right down to it,   it is the Republican "base"  that lost the electiion for McCain .   The were the reason for his sellout .  They were the reason for the choice of Palin  ( notice I didn't say "his "  choice ).   They were the reason for turning off so many of their fellow citizens with their hate , venom and lies.    So much for the Republican "base ".  
Note to Ollie...

Healthcare will happen after we fix the Economy.  When you are drowning, the lifeguard does not save the blowfish first that washed up on the beach...he saves you!  This election was all about the Economy and a President Elect working on anything else right now would look bad --


SEND A COMMENT

PLEASE READ: All comments must be approved before appearing in the thread; time and space constraints prevent all comments from appearing. We will only approve comments that are directly related to the blog, use appropriate language and are not attacking the comments of others.

Message (please, no HTML tags. Web addresses will be hyperlinked):

TRACKBACKS

Trackbacks are links to weblogs that reference this post. Like comments, trackbacks do not appear until approved by us. The trackback URL for this post is: http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/trackback.aspx?PostID=1662472

First Read e-mail alerts


Sign up for First Read alerts
The first place for key political news and analysis

Syndicate This Site

Add First Read to your news reader:
live.com xml
myyahoo msn
bloglines newsgator
google