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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

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Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Agenda: The tax break cometh

Posted: Monday, January 05, 2009 9:16 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

The New York Times front-pages that Team Obama plans to include “about $300 billion in tax cuts for workers and businesses in his economic recovery program. The legislation Mr. Obama is developing with Congressional Democrats will devote about 40 percent of the cost to tax cuts, including his centerpiece campaign promise to provide credits up to $500 for most workers, costing roughly $150 billion. The package will also include more than $100 billion in tax incentives for businesses to create jobs and invest in equipment or factories.”

More: “Although some tax cuts were always expected to be included in Mr. Obama’s economic package, his team disclosed the scope and some details of the plans on Sunday at a time when Republicans have begun voicing criticism of what they describe as an open-checkbook approach to spending. By focusing more attention on the tax cuts in the plan, Obama aides hope to frame it as a balanced, pragmatic approach.”

The Wall Street Journal: "The Obama tax-cut proposals, if enacted, could pack more punch in two years than either of President George W. Bush's tax cuts did in their first two years. Mr. Bush's 10-year, $1.35 trillion tax cut of 2001, considered the largest in history, contained $174 billion of cuts during its first two full years, according to Congress's Joint Committee on Taxation. The second-largest tax cut -- the 10-year, $350 billion package engineered by Mr. Bush in 2003 -- contained $231 billion in 2004 and 2005.”
 
“Republicans and business leaders hadn't seen specifics of the proposals Sunday night, but welcomed the idea of basing a bigger proportion of the stimulus plan on tax cuts. Their response suggests the legislation could attract relatively broad support, and it highlighted the Obama team's determination to win backing from varied interests."

Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell says that, if the GOP gets the opportunity to collaborate in building the stimulus package, it could garner hefty Republican support. 

As for timing, the new deadline-du-jour today is President's Day... Per the pool report, incoming White House press secretary Robert Gibbs told the traveling press corps last night that he agreed with House Majority Steny Hoyer “that it was ‘very, very unlikely’ that an economic stimulus package would be ready by Jan. 20. ‘We don't anticipate that Congress will have passed both Houses an Economic Recovery and Reinvestment plan by the time the inauguration takes places.’”

Gibbs also said that today’s meetings on Capitol Hill “are designed to get legitimate bipartisan input and to convey a sense of urgency. ‘Tomorrow begins anew that work but I think the added urgency that we've seen, statistics, we've seen Christmas sales, consumer confidence and obviously upcoming job numbers which underscore that a very serious situation has only gotten worse and isn't likely to get better any time soon.’”

Democratic lobbyist Billy Moore says these four questions will determine whether Obama’s post-partisan promise becomes reality: “Will Republicans be allowed to make substantive contributions to the rescue package? Will they have a voice in the most partisan responsibility of Congress, the budget? Can Obama convince Democratic leaders in Congress that it is in their interest to let the Republicans play a meaningful role? Will Republicans, especially in the Senate, find cooperation a more productive path and turn aside automatic filibusters against Administration proposals?”

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Comments

The repugnant ones only want to waste tax cuts on the rich and greedy who don't need them nor deserve them.  Obama will find out that the repugnant ones won't play fair and to try to cater to them will prove useless.  The decrepit party of sore losers will do everything to stop the progress our country needs to save the economy the repugnant ones wrecked.

More tax relief needs to go downwards and Obama should raise taxes on the richest by adding back the top tax brackets that Raygunz got rid of to protect the richest from paying their fair share of taxes.
Who's getting the tax breaks?  Will it be the same dog and pony show like with the tax rebate checks where they are phased out for anyone making more than $75K?  If that's true, then the stimulus package will not work.  It must include all people at least up to the $150K range, or else, the extra money will be used only to pay down credit cards.
GOPers swore that Obama would raise your taxes. Obviously another GOP lie. When are they going to wise up and stop all the lies?
I hope they figure out a way to get relief to the people who have lost their jobs, and therefore pay no taxes anyway.  I'd worry more about them than I would worry about those making between $75,000 and $150,000.  They've still got money to spend.  

And since when did paying down credit card debt become a BAD thing?  If tax relief pays down credit card debt, that leaves more real income available for purchasing, boosting the economy in two ways, instead of one.  And by the way, lots of people with incomes above $75,000 have credit card debt.  
A $500 tax credit per worker will do nothing to help stimulate this economy. It may help a family of four purchase a week or two worth of food. Then what?
I'm going to come out and say it, though some may disagree.  REBATE CHECKS WON'T STIMULATE THE ECONOMY!  Ask yourself.  What did you do with the last rebate check you got?  Did you go out and buy that big screen TV you had your eye on, or the fancy new car?  Chances are you didn't.  You either paid off credit cards, caught up on bills, or stashed it away in your savings (smart thing).  Unless these "rebate" checks are going to come monthly, the economy would be better served by simply lowering taxes on the middle class.  A rebate check is simply a handout that amounts to little more than national welfare, which is the last thing we need.  I'm hoping that Obama and congress are smart on this one.

15 Days and counting until Inauguration Day!
http://jawillie.blog.com
To Pat in Huntington, NY:

Aren't we supposed to pay down debt and save more money?  Isn't that the recipe for long-term financial safety?  Talk about getting mixed signals from the government.  First we are told that we aren't saving enough and that we carry too much debt.  Then when tax-payers are given a tax break, they are told to spend it which only gets them into more debt (because people usually spend more than what the tax break is worth) which leads the government to say we carry too much debt and save too little.  Paying off debt and saving money is good for long-term financial security and I applaud people who used their tax rebate to pay off debt or save.
The republcians want tax breaks for GE, Exxon and big Pharma ...the rest of us can go screw ourselves...

Republicans love the idea of America but hate most Americans...
In my opinion, a more effective economic stimulus plan would be to award the consumer with tax rebates for the purchase of products that are
"Made in America" e.g. $4000.00 Auto rebate, $250.00
Major electronics purchase rebate ect. Also in the spirit of America giving  110%, how about a     bumper to bumper
110,000 mile/ 11 year Auto warranty. The rebate and warranty would restore my confidence in American made products where the "Rubber meets the road!"
With the very few details we know about the proposed plan so far, I'm not prepared to say whether the Repubs will hate it and/or it won't work, but so far everybody agrees it won't be voted on until after the Inauguration. I'd love to be a fly on the wall when Obama meets with congressional leaders from both parties.
Thank You Eric from Salinas-  I live in S.C. and I know for a fact that all our senators and reprs are republican, they will obstruct any meaningful legislation. Thats what they do. We in S.C. have been living under the yoke of republican oppression for a long time and I am afraid we will continue to do so. We are the pitiful and toothless, who think we are republicans. ( not me ), but just saying. The good, working class and poor working class will continue to hang on to thier bibles and worry about same sex marriage. I dont guess they care about this country at all, they dont know any better, like I said pitiful.
marty
Obama's campaign promise is to lower taxes and this is an opportunity for him to do so.

Pat, Huntington ny, I love your comments, but it doesn't bother me that people will use the money to pay off their credit cards. That would be money well spent by many Americans, plus it may forstall a credit card meltdown that looms over the horizon.


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