ABOUT FIRST READ

First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



February 2009 - Posts

Pawlenty: GOP demise 'exaggerated'

Posted: Saturday, February 28, 2009 3:29 PM by Domenico Montanaro


From NBC's Abby Livingston
If Rick Santorum delivered tough love to the CPAC audience, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) followed him with sunshine. He opened his remarks calling his wife "hot," and then declared, "The reports of the demise of the conservative movement are greatly exaggerated."

He followed up with, "I've been to CPAC before. You are not timid. You are not weak."

Amid his jokes and anecdotes and metaphors and smiles, the oft-mentioned 2012 GOP contender was on the prowl to shore up his conservative credentials.

He hit as many boilerplate issues as he could, using the word "God" often; he praised standardized testing; and he railed against the tenure system in public education.

But at a convention where Al Gore is the equivalent of Public Enemy No. 1, Pawlenty advocated for alternative energy. He called for an "all hands on deck" approach to get off oil.
CONTINUED >>

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Santorum, CPAC's Elvis

Posted: Saturday, February 28, 2009 3:09 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:


From NBC's Abby Livingston
WASHINGTON -- During the CPAC convention, it takes about 30 seconds for a reporter walking in off the streets here to realize he or she is not in hyper-Democratic D.C. anymore.

It is at CPAC where defiant newspaper stands carry "The Washingtom Times" rather than "The New York Times" or "The Washington Post." It is at CPAC where mere mentions of words like "ACLU" or "Eric Holder" elicit audience boos and "homeschooling" elicit audience cheers.

And it is at CPAC where former Republican Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum is still an ideological force.

His speech to the adoring CPAC crowd did not disappoint. He entered to the music of Elvis, and it was fitting, because he was a CPAC rock star.
CONTINUED >>

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Romney, full-throated conservative

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 6:11 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From NBC's Mark Murray
WASHINGTON -- At the beginning of the 2008 presidential contest, conservatives were suspicious about Mitt Romney. He had supported abortion rights, had once championed embryonic stem-cell research, and had even voted for Paul Tsongas in the 1992 Democratic primary.

But by the end of the GOP primary season, more and more conservatives had embraced the former Massachusetts governor. In fact, when he withdrew from the primary race at last year's Conservative Political Action Conference, he did so to loud gasps and shouts of "No!"

Well, Romney today returned to same conference where he ended his '08 presidential bid. And he did so to a thunderous applause.

When he addressed the confab here, he wasn't the moderate governor from a Northeast state. Rather, he was a full-throated conservative. He whacked the spending from the month-old Obama administration. "America voted for change," he said. "America did not vote for a boat-load of new government spending programs."

On his governing philosophy: "Conservative principles are absolutely essential to keeping America strong."

On Iraq: "It is in spite of Barack Obama's stance on Iraq -- not because of it -- that American troops are coming home to victory."

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Obama announces Iraq plan

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 4:24 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Athena Jones

CAMP LEJEUNE, N.C. -- An American flag and a crowded Marine field house provided the backdrop Friday for President Obama's announcement of his plan to withdraw combat forces from Iraq by August 2010.

The Iraq war was the issue that helped rocket Obama, who opposed it from the start, to political stardom, and he campaigned on a promise to redeploy combat troops within 16 months of taking office.

The reduction announced today will bring US troops down from the current 142,000 to what Obama called a transitional force of 35,000 to 50,000 and will change their mission from combat to training, equipping, and advising Iraqi security forces; counter-terrorism; and protecting "ongoing civilian and military efforts within Iraq."

All U.S. troops will be out of Iraq by the end of 2011, but the initial drawdown will not happen as quickly as the president originally envisioned.

CONTINUED >>

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Reactions to Obama's Iraq plan

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 2:44 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Domenico Montanaro (Statements compiled by NBC’s Mike Viqueira, Kelly O’Donnell and Ken Strickland)

Reactions to President Obama’s Iraq withdrawal plan have been mostly universally praised by Republicans, but approached cautiously by some Democrats.

Video: President Barack Obama visits the Marine Corps base at Camp Lejeune, N.C., to announce his plan to end the U.S. combat mission in Iraq.

House Minority Leader John Boehner calls the plan “responsible” though, like Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell gives the credits Gen. David Petraeus.

"The plan put forward by President Obama continues our strategy of bringing troops home from Iraq as they succeed in stabilizing the country," Boehner said. "I believe he has outlined a responsible approach...." 

House Minority Whip Eric Cantor complimented Obama, and took a swipe at other Democrats.

“President Obama deserves credit for not listening to the chorus of voices calling for a rapid drawdown of forces regardless of the consequences for Iraq, our military and the American people," Cantor said.

Last night on MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow show, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she would like to see troops at lower levels by 2009. She amended her wording in the statement below, but choosing them carefully, she said, “[T]he remaining missions given to our remaining forces must be clearly defined and narrowly focused so that the number of troops needed to perform them is as small as possible.” 

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid called it a “sound and measured plan,” but added that the U.S. “must keep in Iraq only those forces necessary for the security of our remaining troops and the Iraqi people.”

Liberals like Dennis Kucinich, among those Cantor would be referring to, said, “I support President Obama for taking a step in the right direction in Iraq, but I do not think that his plan goes far enough,” Kucinich said. “America must determine at some point to end the occupation, close the bases and bring the troops home. We must bring a conclusion to this sorry chapter in American history where war was waged under false pretense against an innocent people.”

CONTINUED >>

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Gingrich: Socialism vs. free enterprise

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 1:51 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Mark Murray
WASHINGTON -- A conservative movement that currently finds itself out of power turned its attention here to the man who last led them out of the political wilderness 15 years ago: Newt Gingrich.


The former Republican speaker entered the ballroom here at the Conservative Political Action Conference to Survivor's "Eye of the Tiger," with the packed crowd standing and clapping to the song's beat. And in the first few moment of his remarks, Gingrich immediately criticized the month-old Obama administration.

He chastised Attorney General Eric Holder's recent speech that the U.S. was a nation of cowards when it comes to the issue of race.

"I welcome an opportunity to have a dialogue with you about cowardice anywhere, anytime," he said in comments directed at Holder. Then, turning to President Obama's Tuesday address to Congress and his budget, Gingrich called them "the boldest effort to create a European socialist government we have seen."

CONTINUED >>

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Fact-checking Obama's speech

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 12:22 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Courtney Kube
Here is a little post-election truth squad on two claims in President Obama's speech today ...

CLAIM #1:
Obama: "We'll raise military pay."

Fact: The President's budget calls for a 2.9% increase in pay for members of the military -- but pay for members of the military increases every year.

Secretary Gates spoke about pay raises during yesterday's briefing, saying, "Two years ago, we went to the Hill with about the same request. It was 3 percent. And last year, we went with a request for 3.5 percent. In both cases, the Congress added to it. But it's not all that different from what we submitted in the past."

Pentagon requests for pay increase:
FY09: 3.4% increase
FY08: 3.0% increase
FY07: 2.2% increase
FY06: 3.1% increase

CONTINUED >>

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Twitter on blast

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 11:19 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

A decidedly skeptical look at what Members of Congress are Tweeting:

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
John McCain goes pork-hunting, vowing to reveal the "top 10 projects." His list so far (expect to hear all about these):

"#7. $300,000 for the Montana World Trade Center - enough said"
"#8. $200,000 "tattoo removal violence outreach program to could help gang members or others shed visible signs of their past" REALLY?"
"#9. $475,000 to build a parking garage in Provo City, Utah"
"#10. $1.7M 'for a honey bee factory' in Weslaco, TX" ...

Video: GOP all a-Twitter.

John Cornyn
feels the need to post a "Twit pic" from "backstage" at CPAC.

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher is organizing Santelli tea parties: "Please ReTweet: Tea Party for Orange County at Huntington Beach Pier 9:00 a.m. tomorrow http://bit.ly/eWsVB (I will be there.)"

Pete Hoekstra wants you to know he landed safely ... again. (Didn't he learn his lesson the first time?) "Safe landing. Very windy and bouncy. A little late but thank you NWA."

Hoekstra also feels about "spending" the way some do about Twitter. "Doesn't it ever stop?Now 750 billion more for banks!Stimulus/omnibus/banks?No!We can't afford this and it needs to stop." ...

Uh, I guess Rep. Michael Burgess (R-TX) likes cats? "Apparently my micro-blogging was covered on Colbert. Meow."   CONTINUED >>

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McCain 'optimistic' about Iraq plan

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 10:50 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Earlier this morning on the Senate floor, GOP Sen. John McCain said, "I am cautiously optimistic that the plan as laid out by the president can lead to success."

McCain was among those congressional members briefed on the President Obama's Iraq withdrawal plan yesterday at the White House. "I believe the president's withdrawal is a reasonable one. I think the plan is reasonable."



The Arizona senator credited "the surge," as well as the work by Gens. Petraeus and Odierno and Ambassador Crocker for improving security in Iraq and thereby allowing Obama's withdrawal plan to be implemented. "The failing situation in Iraq has been arrested and reversed," he said.

But he quickly added "the president's plan is not without risk. We have not yet completed the mission in Iraq, and the gains we have made there remain fragile." McCain also said the greatest risk will be the period leading up to and during Iraq's elections in December when "conditions could worsen."

CONTINUED >>

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The most liberal/conservative is...

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 10:27 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
National Journal has released its congressional vote ratings for 2008. A year ago, the magazine ranked Barack Obama as the Senate's most liberal member, which became a chief talking point for the McCain campaign and the GOP during the presidential election.

This year's most liberal senator is -- drum roll, please -- Patty Murray. The most conservative senator? A four-way tie: John Barrasso (WY), Mike Enzi (WY), John Ensign (NV), and Jon Kyl (AZ).

Click here for more on NJ's ratings.

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Liberal group to monitor Hill Democrats

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 10:14 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
Congressional Democrats don't have to worry only about re-election challenges from the right. If a new group supported by prominent liberals has its way, some Democrats will have to pay extra attention to challenges from their left flank.

Liberal groups like MoveOn, SEIU, Democracy for America, and DailyKos are supporting Accountability Now PAC, a grassroots organization launched yesterday that will target what it sees as Democrats who have ethics problems or who are out of touch with their constituents on key issues. Its goal is to have about $1 million at its disposal to recruit and help potential primary challengers.

There isn't an actual target list -- although supporters cite Democrats like Sen. Joe Lieberman, ex-Rep. Al Wynn (whom current Rep. Donna Edwards defeated in 2008), and ex-Rep. William Jefferson (who lost his congressional seat to a Republican) as examples of past transgressors.

The idea behind Accountability Now is that primaries and primary competition are healthy; in fact, the organization's executive director, Jeff Hauser, compares them to a job-performance review.

But Accountability Now stresses that it isn't analogous to the conservative Club for Growth, which has been criticized for targeting moderate Republicans who represent moderate-leaning districts and states. It has no interest in trying to challenge, say, a Democratic member from Idaho. Rather, it wants to make sure Democratic congressmen aren't out of touch with their constituents.

"We are not pushing people to the left," said Markos Moulitsas, the founder of DailyKos, which is supporting Accountability Now. "We want a responsive party and a responsive government."

Moulitsas adds that the group's goal isn't always to challenge incumbent Democrats in primaries. Instead, it would be more than pleased to change their voting records and behavior.

"No one wants to be the next Lieberman, right?"

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First thoughts: Iraq is back

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:24 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Iraq is back: The Iraq war -- once the dominant issue in American politics, and the issue that helped propel President Obama to win the Democratic nomination -- returns back to the spotlight today, when the president unveils his plan for troop withdrawal from the country. Almost two years to the day he announced his candidacy for president, Obama travels to Camp Lejeune, NC, where he will say the U.S. will withdraw nearly 100,000 combat troops from Iraq by August 31, 2010. But aides admit that would likely leave a force of as many as 50,000, including some combat troops, in Iraq for another 15 months beyond the August 2010 date. Interestingly, the Obama plan has been criticized somewhat by Democrats like Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid, and praised by Republicans like John McCain. “The convergence of Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain on Iraq would have seemed highly improbable just a few months ago,” the New York Times reminds us. “Mr. McCain accused Mr. Obama of being naïve and opposed his withdrawal plans. At one point, Mr. McCain said Mr. Obama ‘would rather lose a war than lose a campaign.’”

Video: President Obama is expected to unveil his plan to remove most U.S. troops from Iraq by August 2010. NBC’s Chuck Todd reports.

*** A promise kept? So is Obama keeping his campaign promise on Iraq -- to remove all combat troops within 16 months? On the one hand, he certainly is setting a “date certain” for withdrawal, and 100,000 troops isn’t a small number. On the other hand, it’s 19 months (from the day he took office), not 16. And there will still be as many as 50,000 troops remaining in Iraq. But remember that he always said he’d consult with his military advisers to withdraw troops as safely as possible. “We must be as careful getting out of Iraq as we were careless getting in,” he continually said during the campaign. So is the war over? Did we "win" the war? If you don't think we won, then did we lose? If you can't say we won or lost, then what happened? This will be what historians debate for years. Obama today will not say "Mission Accomplished," nor will he flash a "V" for victory. But unlike in 2007, Obama will talk about successes in Iraq, in addition to failures there. One thing to keep in mind: If it wasn't for Obama's opposition to the Iraq war from the get-go, he would never be president today; he might not have even won the Democratic nomination -- or even run. And by the way, don't forget this: August 31, 2010 is just two months before the midterms. Just sayin’…

*** In a battleground state of mind: With Obama traveling to North Carolina today, we’ve got to ask: Is he only going to hold events in battleground states, especially ones that turned from red to blue in ’08? Already as president, he has visited -- in order -- Indiana, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, and Arizona (a state the Obama campaign would have targeted had McCain not been his opponent). Also, during the transition, Obama made a stop in Ohio. To be fair, he also visited his home state of Illinois earlier this month. But that’s it.

*** The end of the Reagan era? Transitioning back to domestic politics, it's possible we may someday say the Republican run on dominating American politics -- which began in 1980 -- ended just after the 2004 elections (sometime in August 2005, when a certain hurricane came ashore in Louisiana, or perhaps a few months earlier when congressional Republicans took up the Schiavo issue). If Obama has ushered in an era of Democratic dominance, then we shouldn't be surprised by today’s analyses about his budget, which all note how dramatically different it is from the Reagan-influenced budgets that even Bill Clinton continued during his eight years. Many see Obama’s budget -- rightly so -- as a dramatic break from the last 30 years of government budgets.

Video: Deal to save Citigroup announced. CNBC’s Melissa Lee reports.

*** Sim Citi: The Wall Street Journal reports that the Obama administration and troubled Citigroup have reached a deal whereby the government has taken a big stake in the banking corporation. The Treasury Department “has agreed to convert some of its current holdings of preferred Citigroup shares into common stock, a move that could better protect shareholders against future losses… The size of the government's new stake will hinge on how many preferred shares private investors agree to convert into common stock.” The Obama administration believes it got these concessions in the deal: 1) a replacement of a majority of Citi’s board; 2) the lowest conversion price, which was lower than other private investors converting their shares; 3) a dollar-for-dollar conversion with private stock, meaning that other investors also have to take a part in this deal; and 4) a requirement that Citi has to go through a stress test like other banks. 

*** Rich vs. poor: After previously writing about the GOP’s new struggles in the Diploma Belt (the nation’s best-educated counties), National Journal’s Ron Brownstein now notes the different reactions the economic stimulus has received in poor and rich states. “No Republicans have been more vociferous in denouncing President Obama’s economic stimulus agenda than the GOP governors of South Carolina, Louisiana, and Mississippi, whose states respectively rank 41st, 49th, and dead last in median income,” he writes in the latest issue of National Journal. "But here in dynamic Silicon Valley, the plan is receiving a much more enthusiastic reception. That difference speaks volumes about the two parties’ shifting centers of gravity.”

*** CPAC, Day 2: On the second day of the Conservative Political Action Conference in DC, the featured speakers are Newt Gingrich (noon ET), Mitt Romney (4:35 pm) and Mark Sanford (7:30 pm). Sen. John Cornyn (at 8:00 am), Sen., Jim DeMint (8:30 am), and Rep. John Boehner (8:50 am) have already spoken this morning. And check out these panels today: “Bailing Out Big Business: Are We All Socialists Now?” “Will Congress Take Your Guns?” and “Will Obama’s Tax Policy Kill Entrepreneurship?” 

*** Rush returns: Tomorrow, on CPAC’s final day, Rush Limbaugh gives the finale speech at the conference. And perhaps pegged to that, the liberal Americans United for Change and AFSCME have a new TV ad going up today (on national cable and in DC; read: a small buy) that criticizes GOP leaders for saying “no” to Obama’s stimulus and ties them to Rush Limbaugh. The ad’s narrator says, “Who are Republicans listening to?” Then you see a clip of Limbaugh saying, “I want [Obama] to fail.” The ad concludes, “Tell them America won’t take no for an answer.”  
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 95 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 102 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 249 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 613 days

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First 100 days: Out of Iraq

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:23 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

The AP says that President Obama’s Iraq plan “will withdraw all combat forces over the next 18 months, or 19 months dating to his inauguration. He had promised a slightly faster pace of 16 months after taking office. Obama settled on a time frame after extensive consultation with military and security advisers. Yet, in a sign of the shifting war debate in Washington, Obama isn't facing scrutiny over the exact timing of the withdrawal, but rather how deep it really is.”

“Obama told a closed-door meeting of Republican and Democratic leaders from Capitol Hill that 35,000 to 50,000 U.S. troops would remain in Iraq, congressional officials said.” 

More from the AP: “The administration now considers Aug. 31, 2010, as the end date for Iraq war operations. That timetable is slower than Obama had promised voters, but still hastens the U.S. exit.”

“The residual troops, which the Obama administration is calling a ‘transition force,’ will remain only through December 2011, when a strategic agreement negotiated by President George W. Bush before he left office mandates the withdrawal of all American troops,” the New York Times writes. “While the Bush team once envisioned a long-term military presence in Iraq long after violence subsides, akin to the deployment of tens of thousands of American forces in Germany or South Korea for decades after wars there, the Obama team said it plans to stick to the complete withdrawal by the end of 2011.”

The plan, the Washington Post reports, has pleased Republicans like John McCain, and disappointed Democrats like Harry Reid. “‘50,000 is a little higher number than I anticipated,’ Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) said… Sen. John S. McCain (R-Ariz.) said he ‘supports the plan to leave 50,000 troops in Iraq as briefed by [chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff] Admiral [Michael] Mullen and [Defense] Secretary [Robert M.] Gates.’”

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First 100 days: Reaction to the budget

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:18 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The Wall Street Journal on Obama’s budget:  “President Barack Obama delivered a $3.6 trillion budget blueprint to Congress Thursday that aims to ‘break from a troubled past,’ with expanded government activism, tax increases on affluent families and businesses, and spending cuts targeted at those he says profited from ‘an era of profound irresponsibility The budget blueprint for fiscal year 2010 is one of the most ambitious policy prescriptions in decades, a reordering of the federal government to provide national health care, shift the energy economy away from oil and gas, and boost the federal commitment to education.”

The Los Angeles Times: “Not since Lyndon B. Johnson and Franklin D. Roosevelt has a president moved to expand the role of government so much on so many fronts -- and with such a demanding sense of urgency.” 

The Washington Post’s Balz adds, “President Obama's first budget -- with its eye-popping $1.75 trillion deficit, a health-care fund of more than $600 billion, a $150 billion energy package and proposals to tax wealthy Americans even beyond what he talked about during his campaign -- underscores the breadth of his aspiration to reverse three decades of conservative governance and use his presidency to rapidly transform the country.” 

But John Harwood of CNBC and the New York Times notes the constraints that Obama’s budget faces. “He is asking Congress to take on a wide-ranging set of complicated issues all at once, after years during which it had trouble grappling directly with almost any of them. His own party remains seared by the last time it followed a new Democratic president on a course of tax increases and ambitious social engineering. Interest groups, while demonized by the White House, have hardly fled from Washington and are already mobilizing for battles that could have big winners and losers.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Taxation with representation?

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The move to expand the House by two members (so that DC can get a vote) is one-step closer, but there’s a hitch: The Senate passed the bill but included an amendment to strip DC of some of its very tough gun laws.

Video: Rachel Maddow explains why Washington D.C. may finally get taxation with representation.

Remember one-time Commerce Secretary nominee Judd Gregg? The AP has an investigative piece that looks familiar from the appropriations/earmark scandals of a few years ago -- it lines up Sen. Gregg requests with private investments. "Gregg, R-N.H., personally has invested hundreds of thousands of dollars in Cyrus Gregg's office projects at the Pease International Tradeport, a Portsmouth business park built at the defunct Pease Air Force Base, once home to nuclear bombers. Judd Gregg has collected at least $240,017 to $651,801 from his investments there, Senate records show, while helping arrange at least $66 million in federal aid for the former base."
 
And if there are folks who are wondering why this is popping up now, check out this paragraph in the story. "The senator has said his withdrawal had nothing to do with anything the White House uncovered in his background. A White House spokesman, Ben LaBolt, declined to discuss the matter with the AP. AP began looking into the Greggs' activities at Pease before then but had not yet contacted them or the White House before Judd Gregg withdrew."

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GOP future: CPAC, Day 1

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:15 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

NBC’s Lauren Appelbaum reports on the speeches at CPAC last night. "We're alive," Rep. Michele Bachmann (MN), who emceed the evening session, said. "We're not going anywhere. Remember this is ground zero for the conservative movement."
 
When RNC chair Michael Steele took the stage to loud applause, Appelbaum adds, he opened with some jokes. "Any conservatives in the house tonight?" Steele asked to laughter. "Brother just wants to check! Make sure I'm in the right place." But he quickly got to business, acting as a cheerleader for the Republican Party. "I wanted to come here tonight to let America know that we are a movement that is alive and well, that these are the essential conservative principles of our national Republican party, for we are the conservative party in this country and damn proud of it."

The New York Times’ wrap of CPAC yesterday: Mike Huckabee “suggested that if Republicans were looking for anyone to blame for the electoral losses that swept Barack Obama into the White House and gave Democrats more power in Congress, they should look in the mirror.” More: “But the mood on Thursday among the thousands of conservatives at the annual session was not defeatist. This, after all, is the conference where Samuel J. Wurzelbacher, better known as Joe the Plumber, is a major celebrity, and where the talk show host Rush Limbaugh gets a prime speaking slot.” 

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Coleman’s luck improves

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA: The Star Tribune: “Norm Coleman's luck improved a bit Thursday, as judges in the U.S. Senate recount trial ordered an inspection of about 1,500 rejected absentee ballot envelopes and changed their minds about letting a Coleman witness testify. The ballot inspection could lead to counting more votes, something Coleman needs, if local officials discover voter registration cards in the ballot secrecy envelopes of voters whose ballots were rejected for lack of registration. But there's no assurance how the votes would divide between the candidates.”

Still, Chuck Schumer predicts Al Franken will be seated “by the very beginning of April.”

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2010: Guns blazin'

Posted: Friday, February 27, 2009 9:13 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

NEW YORK: "Attorney General Eric Holder’s push for the renewal of the assault weapon ban has put Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) between a rock and a hard place," The Hill reports. 
 
But "Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will join Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) in opposing any effort to revive the 1994 assault weapons ban, putting them on the opposite side of the Obama administration… It was not immediately clear whether Reid would block the bill from the Senate, but his opposition casts serious doubt on its chances."

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Huckabee takes on fiscal conservatives

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 8:17 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:


From NBC’s Domenico Montanaro
WASHINGTON -- Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee softened up the crowd here at the Conservative Political Action Conference with lots of red meat in the first half of his speech. But he  used the capital of that first part to steamroll conservative critics from the fiscal wing of the party for most of the rest.
 
"We didn't lose because of social conservatives,” Huckabee said of the 2008 election results. He added that it wasn't because social conservatives are against putting “babies” in “wastebaskets,” it’s because, “We [Republicans] were too tied to people who would spend $1,400 on a wastebasket, like the clueless John Thain. ...Where I come from, $1,400 is three courses at the University of Arkansas-Little Rock and $87,000 is the price of a house."

Thain, the former Merrill Lynch chief executive, reportedly spent more than $1 million redecorating his office, including $87,000 on a rug.
 
"The GOP can't be a haven for rich, white guys,” Huckabee added. He called himself "prophetic" for saying during the campaign that the party was too close to Wall Street. And he lashed out against conservative critics -- from whom he's still waiting for an "apology," he said -- who criticized his "populist" rhetoric on the campaign trail.
CONTINUED >>

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More trouble for Roland Burris?

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 3:55 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
Uh, oh. The Chicago Sun-Times: "The son of embattled Sen. Roland Burris is a federal tax deadbeat who landed a $75,000-a-year state job under former Gov. Rod Blagojevich

five months ago... Blagojevich's administration hired Roland W. Burris II as a senior counsel for the state's housing authority Sept. 10 -- about six weeks after the Internal Revenue Service slapped a $34,163 tax lien on Burris II and three weeks after a mortgage company filed a foreclosure suit on his South Side house."

More: "A spokeswoman for the Illinois Housing Development Authority indicated Wednesday there was nothing improper about Burris II's employment by the agency... Burris II's hiring, however, raises more questions about Sen. Burris' interactions with Blagojevich and his inner circle at a time when the governor was soliciting Sen. Burris for campaign contributions and Burris was angling to have Blagojevich appoint him to the Senate seat once held by President Obama."

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Pelosi in sync with NRA?

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 3:27 PM by Chuck Todd

From NBC's Chuck Todd
There's been plenty of speculation over the last few years that somehow Speaker Nancy Pelosi's personal views on key social issues, like guns, would cause political problems for, say, pro-gun Democrats who have been elected to Congress in the last two elections. Well, here's an example of why Pelosi is a much shrewder politician than she gets credit for and why she has more support inside her caucus, even among younger and newer members, than people around town realize.

Check out this exchange from Pelosi's press briefing today.
Q: "Madam Speaker, Attorney General Holder yesterday said that the Administration wants to reinstitute the assault weapons ban.  Have you talked with Administration officials about that, and how quickly can you bring it to the floor?"

Speaker Pelosi:  No, but I think on that score, one good place to start would be to enforce the laws that are on the books right now.  And I think the evidence points this out, that the Bush Administration was not enforcing law.  So let's start with enforcing the law that we have now."

That's right, Pelosi is using talking points which used to be standard NRA talking points regarding gun laws for years... "start with enforcing the law" on the books.

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Judd Gregg criticizes Obama's budget

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 2:54 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
New Hampshire Sen. Judd Gregg -- the ranking Republican on the Senate Budget Committee who initially accepted being President Obama's

Commerce secretary before withdrawing -- called the administration's budget outline "a half-hearted attempt" to reduce the deficits and "missed opportunity" to take the country in a fiscally sound direction.

In a written statement, he said "it raises taxes on all Americans, implements massive new spending, and fails to make any tough choices to control the deficit and long-term fiscal crisis posed by the huge entitlement programs."

Gregg also challenged Obama's stated desire to reign in government spending, asking in his statement "Where is the spending restraint? Instead, government spending continues to grow and expand."

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Pentagon reverses policy on war dead

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 2:46 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Jim Miklaszewski

A Senior defense official tells NBC News that Defense Secretary Gates has decided to lift the ban against media coverage of U.S. war dead returning to the United States, and would leave the decision entirely up to the families.

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Joe the Plumber at CPAC

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 2:38 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From NBC's Ashley Codianni
WASHINGTON -- In a one-on-one interview this morning with Samuel “Joe the Plumber” Wurzelbacher here at the Conservative Political Action Committee, he told NBC News that he would consider running  for office after his son is finished with college. "I will consider in six years when my son is at Ohio State... It's a lot of work, and it's a very important job. And I would take it as serious as it is. It would be as a servant and not someone who feels entitled."

Video: Joe the Plumber at CPAC.

Wurzelbacher also was critical of current GOP leadership. "Personally, I don't see anybody as far as a leader in the Republican Party right now. They're afraid to say anything, they are more worried about being politically correct and their special interest groups. They are not worried about the American people. No way, no shape do I ever hear anything about that. They talk a good game, but I see no action."

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Bolton blasts Obama on Iraq, Iran

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 2:17 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Lauren Appelbaum
WASHINGTON -- In a speech here at the Conservative Political Action Conference, John Bolton, Bush's representative to the UN, admonished the young Obama administration for what he sees as not focusing enough on foreign affairs and making decisions based on what the left wants and not what is best for the country.

On Iraq, Bolton chastised Obama for what Bolton said is a plan to withdraw troops without regard to any progress in the country. "We've just seen a vindication of President Bush's surge policy in the recent provincial elections," Bolton said to loud applause. "The surge policy had both a military and a political component. The military component has had extraordinary success. The political component is making considerable progress. But we're seeing an administration so committed to satisfying the left of the Democratic party that it could well jeopardize all of that."

Bringing up Obama's statements as a candidate of offering carrots and sticks to Iran, Bolton argued Obama does not know how to handle negotiations with that Middle East nation. "This is a clear piece of evidence of the naiveté of the Obama administration and its faith in negotiations."

CONTINUED >>

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Color from CPAC

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 1:07 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
WASHINGTON -- Overheard en route to the exhibit hall here at the Omni Shoreham Hotel:

"Where is it?" one man said to another looking for one of the ballrooms.

"To the right," the younger man replied.

"Everything's to the right at this conference."

True enough.

The Conservative Political Action Conference, or CPAC, the annual gathering of conservative activists, kicked off today and continues through Saturday. Speeches from potential 2012 contenders and big names from the conservative world like Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter all get prime speaking slots and will draw much of the buzz.


Video: Pat Buchanan talks to MSNBC’s Contessa Brewer about the future GOP leaders.

But below the surface, one of the places that's a can't miss at this conference, is the exhibit hall.

It's the place to find the best color at CPAC, so your First Reader headed there (after checking in with a "Joe the Plumber" panel.)

There were books, like "Obamaland", "The End of Prosperity," even one on "The Nixons: A Family Portrait." There was plenty to go around. (The hottest selling item was John Bolton's latest -- he had just spoken and held a book signing.)

There were five on Ronald Reagan, almost as many on Coulter, Obama and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. There were ones about how the South will rise again as well as "48 Lies About American History (That You're Probably Taught In School)." A couple of those lies: No. 22: The colonies were intolerant and racist and No. 14: Women had no rights in early America.

There was a stand giving out Palin posters. (Sorry, they were out when we got there!) We did manage to grab a glossy Sarah Palin for President 2012 campaign sign -- paid for by the 2012 Draft Sarah Committee.


There was a trailer playing for "Not Evil Just Wrong: The true cost of global warming HYSTERIA" with a photo of Al Gore on its movie poster.

For those wanting some target practice, stop by the National Rifle Association's "Varmint" video shooting range. Young men in suits and ties as well as women in skirts and heels trained their eyes on squirrels scurrying across the hills.

There's much more, but that's just the start.

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Reminder about the Iraq withdrawal

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 11:06 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Jim Miklaszewski


However it may be framed politically, President Obama's decision on U.S. troop levels in Iraq will NOT withdraw all U.S. combat forces from Iraq within the next 19 months.

Senior military and Pentagon officials stress -- whatever the bottom line number (which may be up to 50,000 troops remaining, it will include combat elements. Senior military officials tell NBC News those combat troops may be renamed as "advisory brigades," which will work closely with the Iraqi military, but they will still be combat forces. There will also be a number of combat forces that would be assigned to protection of the U.S. military force, the U.S. embassy and U.S. government civilian workers in Iraq.

There will also be a "residual combat force" that will be assigned to a counter-terrorism mission, to continue to hunt down terrorist elements (Al Qaeda, foreign fighters, etc.) in Iraq.

Besides the reduction in U.S. forces from today's 142,000 to about 50,000 the biggest change is that even those combat forces that do remain will no longer be engaged in daily, routine combat missions as they are today. By August 2010, the Iraqi military and police are expected to takeover all daily combat missions. 

Nevertheless, given the nature of the counterinsurgency in Iraq, all U.S. forces -- whatever their mission, rank, or gender -- could be drawn into the fight without warning.  Therefore, as Gen. (retired) Barry McCaffrey has repeatedly stressed, to leave those forces without some level of combat force protection would be irresponsible.

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Obama's budget arrives on the Hill

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 10:29 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland

Video: President Obama will present his budget plan to Congress today. NBC’s Chuck Todd reports.

OMB Director Peter Orszag hand delivered the budget to Capitol Hill moments ago. Standing outside to receive it were Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad and House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt.

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First thoughts: That's one big budget

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:22 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** That’s one big budget: This morning, President Obama delivers remarks on his FY 2010 budget, which comes to -- cue Dr. Evil, placing his pinky finger to his lips -- FOUR trillion dollars, up from $3.1 trillion this year. It projects a $1.75 trillion deficit, representing 12.3% of GDP, which is the highest level since World War II. The other headlines here: The budget sets aside $634 billion over the next 10 years to expand health care (paid for by Medicare savings, cuts for wealthy Medicare recipients, and the reduction of tax breaks on those earning more than $250,000); it proposes $750 billion for bank bailouts on top of the $700 billion it has already spent (but this amount shows up as $250 billion in the budget, because the administration believes it will eventually get at least $500 billion back for its investments); and it sets aside $75 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan through this fall. There are also budget cuts here, including farm subsidies for high-income farmers, the last remaining cotton subsidy, and a few education pet projects. This budget is very tough on those who earn more than $250,000 a year. Not only are they losing out on the Bush tax cuts in the next couple of years, but they also will see their tax bill go above that to pay for this new health care bill. Ironically, many people hurt by this are folks who live in the bluest of cities, including New York, DC, Boston, San Francisco, and Chicago.

Video: TODAY’s Matt Lauer talks to CNBC’s Dylan Ratigan and Rick Santelli about President Obama’s budget plan.

*** Is honesty the best policy? This, of course, is A LOT of money. But here’s the thing: The price tag is much higher because the White House removes several past budget gimmicks -- like omitting the cost of Iraq and Afghanistan, and assuming AMT taxes that later will later be eliminated. What’s more, the administration’s budget plans for a natural disaster like Hurricane Katrina. In short, it believes this is honest budgeting and reflects a worst-case scenario. This is going to be run of those tricky spin days for the White House. They definitely deserve credit for the honest budgeting, but they’re also going to have to withstand GOP and tabloid hits for increasing the deficit, bailing out more banks, and growing the annual budget by nearly 30%. Most of this, however, is because of the Obama administration’s decision to be more honest about numbers than the Bush budget team was. So how many headlines in the next few days will be about tax hikes to pay for health care, and how many will be about "honest budgeting"? We think we know the answer. (Sorry, Team Obama.)

*** Hey buddy, slow down: Don't miss Bill Kristol's advice to congressional Republicans regarding the Obama agenda. Kristol did his best to slow down HillaryCare in '93-94, and he's offering similar advice -- slow it down. That's the game between the White House and congressional GOPers. They know that the longer it takes to debate health care, energy or any proposal, the more likely the White House will lose. The quicker they can get the bill written and passed, the better chance they have. It also explains why the White House wants to "flood the zone" with policy initiatives. Don't allow ONE bill to become THE debate topic. Divide the opposition by giving them 10 new policy proposals. 
 
*** At a cattle call, you need … more cowbell: In his upcoming New York Times magazine cover story on Newt Gingrich, political writer Matt Bai divides Republicans searching for a way back to power into two groups: “retrenchers” (those who believe that the GOP strayed from their conservative principles and must become more conservative) and “broadeners” (those who are perhaps less dogmatic and believe that the GOP must expand beyond its base). Well, beginning today and lasting through Saturday, the retrenchers hold a conference in DC that essentially serves as the first cattle call for 2012. (Yes, we know that election is still 1,349 days away.) Speaking at the three-day Conservative Political Action Conference will be Mike Huckabee (today at 1:30 pm ET), Mitt Romney (Friday), Mark Sanford (Friday), and Tim Pawlenty (Saturday). Bobby Jindal and Sarah Palin aren’t attending. After Jindal's poorly received performance on Tuesday night, and also with Palin's rocky ride since last fall, Politico's Ben Smith declares that Romney -- who was unable to win in Iowa and New Hampshire in 2008, despite spending so much time and money in both states -- the early 2012 front-runner for the GOP. Why? "[H]e has a crucial advantage over almost all the other Republican candidates who are mentioned: He's not in office, and doesn't have to spend the next two years (at least) raising taxes, cutting services, and/or borrowing huge sums. He's free to articulate a clear voice of opposition, and to position himself to play the role of the turnaround specialist if he can make the case that Obama hasn't delivered."

*** CPAC straw poll: As it has in past years, CPAC will conduct a presidential-preference straw poll, and it will be unveiled at 4:30 pm on Saturday (right before Rush Limbaugh delivers the conference’s concluding remarks). But an important note of caution: The most recent CPAC straw poll winners were Romney (2008 and 2007) and George Allen (2006). Neither, of course, went on to win the GOP presidential nomination. 

*** More CPAC: Other notable speakers at CPAC today include former UN Ambassador John Bolton (10:45 am); Samuel “Joe the Plumber” Wurzelbacher (11:45 am); Sen. Bob Corker (2:30 pm); and Michele Bachmann, Rep. Roy Blunt, Rep. John Shadegg, and RNC chair Michael Steele (all at an evening event beginning at 7:30 pm). Also check out these forum topics at CPAC: "Al Franken and ACORN: How Liberals Are Destroying the American Election System" (today at 2:30 pm); "Bailing Out Big Business: Are We All Socialists Now?" (Friday); "Will Congress Take Your Guns" (Friday); "Will Obama’s Tax Policy Kill Entrepreneurship" (Friday); "Media in the Obama Era: Is Journalism Dead?" (Saturday); and "The True Cost of Global Warming Hysteria" (Saturday).
 
*** Michelle Obama watch: Beginning at 11:15 am ET today, the First Lady visits with workers at the Environmental Protection Agency to thank them for their public service.
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 96 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 103 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 250 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 614 days

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First 100 days: Budget day

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

Reuters previews the budget that Obama will unveil today. “President Barack Obama will forecast a 2009 deficit of $1.75 trillion in a budget proposal on Thursday that sets goals of overhauling the healthcare system and shoring up the U.S. economy. The huge deficit would represent 12.3 percent of U.S. gross domestic product -- the largest share since World War II. Two senior administration officials … said Obama's expensive policy goals would be offset by cuts to put the country in better fiscal shape.” 

Bloomberg says the budget request “would provide as much as $750 billion in new aid to the financial industry.” An administration official “said the White House hasn’t decided whether the $750 billion in additional aid to the financial industry will be needed. He said it will be put in the budget as ‘placeholder.’ The official said the aid would appear in the budget as about $250 billion because the rules require policymakers to record the plan’s net cost to taxpayers. The government anticipates it would eventually recoup some, though not all, of the money expended to help financial companies.”

Also in his budget, the Washington Post reports, Obama “is proposing to begin a vast expansion of the U.S. health-care system by creating a $634 billion reserve fund over the next decade, launching an overhaul that most experts project will ultimately cost at least $1 trillion. The "reserve fund" in the budget proposal being released today is Obama's attempt to demonstrate how the country could extend health insurance to millions more Americans and at the same time begin to control escalating medical bills that threaten the solvency of families, businesses and the government.”

To help finance this reserve health-care fund, the New York Times says the Obama administration proposes calling “for stricter limits on the benefits of itemized deductions taken by the wealthiest households… Administration officials said Mr. Obama would propose to reduce the value of itemized tax deductions for everyone in the top income tax bracket, 35 percent, and many of those in the 33 percent bracket — roughly speaking, starting at $250,000 in annual income for a married couple.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Afghanistan and Iraq

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:16 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

Per a new Washington Post/ABC poll, two-thirds of Americans support President Obama's decision to send approximately 17,000 additional U.S. military forces to Afghanistan… Support for the proposed influx of troops to Afghanistan, however, comes as Americans are about evenly divided about whether the war there has proved to be worth its costs. They also split 50 to 41 percent on whether it is essential to win in Afghanistan to succeed in broader efforts against terrorism.”

More: “A parallel, though less dramatic, shift over the past two years is a bump in the number who say that winning in Iraq is crucial to victory in the campaign against terrorism. On that question, 44 percent see a close linkage, the highest number since an overnight poll following Bush's speech announcing the Iraq strategy.” Still, the poll finds that most believe the Iraq war has not been worth fighting. “Sixty percent in the new poll said the costs of that war have outweighed its benefits. That number is little changed from recent polls and has been the majority.”

Gary Locke was named Obama's third pick for Commerce. Politico looks at his past. "Locke’s post-gubernatorial efforts to drum up business for an array of companies in the rapidly expanding Chinese market may require steps to reconcile with the administration’s ethics policy." Locke "has advocated for Microsoft, Starbucks, and banking, timber and shipping interests in recent years, raising potential conflicts for him as head of a department charged with promoting U.S. trade around the globe."

Bill Clinton on Obama’s speech Tuesday night

And the Obamas appear to have chosen at least the breed of dog. They're looking for a Portuguese water dog.

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Congress: Old McDonald had a farm...

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:15 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

“The House on Wednesday passed a $410 billion omnibus spending bill packed with pet projects requested by Democrats and Republicans alike,” the New York Times reports. “The 245-to-178 vote came just a week after President Obama signed one of the largest spending bills in the nation’s history, a $787 billion measure meant to rejuvenate a sluggish economy.”

"Despite vows by President Obama to curtail earmarks," earmarks mark the latest congressional bill, the Boston Globe reports.  Across the country, there are more than 8,500, "totaling $7.7 billion -- up 3 percent from last year -- that were included in the $410 billion spending bill the House approved yesterday, according to the nonpartisan group Taxpayers for Common Sense. The House rejected a Republican bid to strip the earmarks out of the legislation, which is to fund government operations from early March through the end of September."

The New York Daily News plays the crazy-pork-barrel-project game. "There's $190,000 set aside in the House's version of the federal budget for bringing Cody, Wyo.'s Buffalo Bill Historical Center into the digital age" ... "$238,000 for educational programs at Honolulu's Polynesian Voyaging Society" ... "$24,000 for a sexual abstinence program." 
 
The New York Post salivates over them too with this headline: Congress' porky pols pig out on fine $wine: Big bucks for canoes and tattoos."

Meanwhile, a day after Dick Durbin told Burris he should think about resigning, Burris is staffing up and showing no indication he'll step down.

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GOP future: The party of 'No'?

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
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On the opening day of CPAC, this probably isn't the kind of Politico headline Republicans want: "GOP at risk of becoming party in the no.” Sixteen Republicans broke with party lines on the $410 billion omnibus package "on a vote Minority Whip Eric Cantor had urged his colleagues to reject. And the cracks in the facade appear to be the first public signal of Republican rank-and-file squeamishness with a remarkably high-risk strategy that promises an uncertain return. For Republicans, a central question looms: Is saying no to Obama’s agenda the way to get voters to say yes to an already beleaguered GOP brand?" 
 
The AP's Fouhy wraps the groundswell of criticism Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal faced from the left and right for his response to Obama's address to Congress. "Insane. Childish. Disaster. And those were some of the kinder comments ... Jindal's voice and earnest, awkward delivery have drawn comparisons to Kenneth Parcell, the geeky Southern page on the NBC comedy '30 Rock.' Indeed, a new Facebook group titled 'Bobby Jindal is Kenneth the Page' had already attracted more than 1,800 members Wednesday afternoon."

The New York Times adds that Jindal “has been a rising star in the Republican Party, but his stock took a hit as he was roundly panned for his televised response to President Obama’s first speech to Congress on Tuesday night.”

Don’t miss Norah O’Donnell’s look yesterday at Jindal’s speech.

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Downballot: Another blow for Norm

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

MINNESOTA: "It wasn't just Norm Coleman's list of ballots that was shrinking Wednesday. It was also his witness list," the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. "Pamela Howell, a Republican election judge in Minneapolis who Coleman had hoped would bolster his case that some votes were counted twice, had her testimony stricken after judges learned that Coleman's lawyers hadn't shared her written statement with Al Franken's legal team." Coleman attorney Ben "Ginsberg said he couldn't believe the message of inconsistent standards wasn't getting through to the judges."

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2010: Replacing Rahm

Posted: Thursday, February 26, 2009 9:10 AM by Mark Murray
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ILLINOIS: Oh, the lengths some are going to replace Rahm Emanuel. "This past Sunday afternoon, 19 candidates made their pitches to an audience of 35 voters gathered in a smoky VFW hall in the snow-covered Windy City suburbs," Roll Call reports. "That candidate-to-voter ratio, however, was an improvement from the day before -- when 13 of those same politicians pandered to a single voter in the audience at a forum held at a local school." 
 
NEW YORK: The Hill's Wilson says NY-20 is "becoming an obsession" for national Republicans. If Republican Jim Tedisco wins the March 31st special election, "Republicans will call it the first sign their party is back on track after so many devastating losses." Both the NRCC and RNC are involved in the race now. House Minority Leader John Boehner will campaign for Tedisco in the district in March, and RNC Chairman Michael Steele holds a fundraiser for him March 4.

Not to be complete outdone, Democrats will hold their own competing fundraiser for Scott Murphy on March 4th at DNC headquarters in DC. Invitees include: Kirsten Gillibrand, who held the seat for the past two cycles, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, Majority Whip James Clyburn and DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen.

Meanwhile, the New York Times reports that Gov. David Paterson is adding some Clintonistas to beef up his staff. “Reeling from a series of setbacks, Gov. David A. Paterson has embarked on an ambitious shake-up of his administration, turning largely to veterans of the Clintons’ far-flung network to try to steady the situation.” 
 
RHODE ISLAND: Rep. Patrick Kennedy may get a GOP challenger.

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Obama and the line-item veto

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 6:20 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Chuck Todd and Abby Livingston
It seems that White House press secretary Robert Gibbs, Sen. John McCain (R), and Sen. Russ Feingold (D) are on the same page. 

The issue: All three want a presidential line-item veto to curb earmarks and spending.

A line-item veto gives the president the power to veto particular items of a bill without having to veto it in its entirety. During the Clinton administration, Congress gave the power to Clinton, but it was later revoked in 1998 when the Supreme Court ruled that the measure overreached presidential powers.

Today, at the daily White House press conference, one of us asked Gibbs about the administration’s stance on a line-item veto. Gibbs answered, “Well, I can assure you he'd love to take that for a test drive.” 

The interchange prompted Feingold’s office to contact First Read about legislation Feingold and his oft-strange bedfellow -- McCain -- are working on for to bring back a line-item veto that will be limited to spending and earmarks. 

CONTINUED >>

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Obama talks about financial regulations

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 6:05 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Athena Jones

During the fall presidential campaign, when struggling banks led to a credit crisis that roiled the markets and helped worsen an economic downturn, President Obama began beating the drum for updating America's financial regulatory system. 

Since then, he has called for a new regulatory framework that's part of a complex, multi-pronged solution to getting the economy back on track and to avoid financial sector meltdowns.

Today, the president met with Treasury Secretary Geithner, chief White House economic adviser Larry Summers, and the chairmen and ranking members of the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee to begin work on a new set of regulations to monitor a modern banking system.

"This financial crisis was not inevitable," Obama told reporters gathered in the Diplomatic Reception Room. "It happened when Wall Street wrongly presumed markets would continuously rise, and traded in complex financial products without fully evaluating their risks. Here in Washington, our regulations lagged behind changes in our markets -- and too often, regulators failed to use the authority that they had to protect consumers, markets and the economy."

CONTINUED >>

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McCain's dire outlook on Afghanistan

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 5:08 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Lauren Appelbaum and Ashley Codianni

WASHINGTON -- Sen. John McCain delivered a chilling address at the American Enterprise Institute, reminding his audience the depth of resources required in Afghanistan. He talked of the stark realities of Afghanistan's situation, identifying significant increases in civilian fatalities, insurgent attacks, and influence of the Taliban throughout the country.
McCain approved of Obama's 17,000-troop increase to Afghanistan. But he stressed that increase alone would not lead to success.
 
"I have to give straight talk and that is I think things are going to get worse in Afghanistan before they get better," McCain said this afternoon. "And so I think that it's very important that the President and members of Congress and other people in leadership and respected positions inform the American people that it's going to be a long and hard and tough."

CONTINUED >>

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State report takes tough tone on China

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 4:55 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC’s Andrea Mitchell and Libby Leist
The State Department today strongly criticized China in its annual human rights report, putting Hillary Clinton on the spot for not confronting the Chinese more aggressively during her visit to Beijing last week.

Clinton came under harsh fire from human-rights groups who said she downplayed the issue with Chinese leaders. 

Today, in announcing the report's release, Clinton defended her record.

"The promotion of human rights is essential to our foreign policy,” she said, “but as a personal aside, I have worked for many years and in various capacities on the issues that are encompassed under the rubric of human rights. It is of profound importance to me and has informed my views and shaped my beliefs in ways large and small. As Secretary of State, I will continue to focus my own energies on human rights ... I am looking for results. I am looking for changes that actually improve the lives of the greatest numbers of people."

CONTINUED >>

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Don't ask, don't tell… about the budget

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 4:23 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC’s Jim Miklaszewski and Courtney Kube
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates took a very unusual step, during preparations to roll out the new Pentagon budget this year, of asking everyone who is participating in the budget process to sign a non-disclosure agreement ... even the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

NBC News has obtained a copy of this agreement, which states that the undersigned will "preserve the confidentiality of information related to the formulation of the President's budget." 

The agreement goes on to say that the individuals "will not divulge the budget-related information ... to any individual not authorized to receive it, and under no circumstances will I disclose such information outside the Department of Defense and other government agencies directly involved in the defense planning ... such as the Office of Management and Budget."

Pentagon Press Secretary Geoff Morrell said that "the highest-ranking people in this department were asked to sign this" and that Gates signed one himself. A Defense official could not tell us what the penalty is for someone who breaches the agreement.

CONTINUED >>

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Dems to GOP: Stop being Party of 'No'

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 1:59 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Senate Democrats are echoing President Obama's call for bipartisanship in addressing the nation's economic woes. Their remarks come hours after Obama's speech to Congress and a couple of weeks after Congress passed the stimulus package that drew the support from only three Republicans.

"We don't want the Republicans to continue being the Party of 'No,'" said Majority Leader Harry Reid at a leadership news conference today. "We are here today to pledge that we are going to do everything we can to work with the Republicans and work with the administration to get things done."

Sen. Patty Murray said, "The door is wide open. We welcome their ideas." 

Citing the generous amount of standing applause from Republicans during the president's address, she said, "We want them to turn their applause from last night into action and work with us."

CONTINUED >>

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Obama names Locke to head Commerce

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 1:19 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Athena Jones


They say the third time's the charm, right?

President Barack Obama was likely hoping that old adage would prove true this morning when he officially nominated former Washington Gov. Gary Locke to be his pick to head the Commerce Department.

"I'm sure it's not lost on anyone that we've tried this a couple of times. But I'm a big believer in keeping at something until you get it right, and Gary is the right man for this job," Obama said.

Locke is the third person the president has named to lead the department, following New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson and New Hampshire Republican Sen. Judd Gregg, who both withdrew their nominations. Locke, who was the first Chinese-American governor in U.S. history, is also the third Asian-American to join Obama's cabinet.

Video: Obama introduces Locke as his pick for Commerce secretary.

Calling entrepreneurship and industry the "wellsprings of an economy that has been the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history," Obama hailed Locke for his work as governor of Washington State.

CONTINUED >>

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Focus group gives Obama high marks

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 11:43 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC’s Lauren Appelbaum
President Obama received high marks at various points in his speech to a joint session of Congress Tuesday night from a focus group in King of Prussia, Pa., conducted by MSNBC’s Tamron Hall.

Thirty-two people, including 16 Obama voters and 15 McCain voters, participated by turning dials from 1 to 10 (10 being the highest) to grade parts of the speech.

Video: Tamron Hall shares which parts of the speech stood out to the focus group.
 
When Obama spoke about the economy, reactions from both sets of voters jumped from 5, the beginning default, to between 8 and 9. But when Obama mentioned that the economic recovery act is now law, McCain voters' reaction dipped slightly, hovering between 7 and 8, while the Obama voters' reactions stayed closer to nine.

Shortly after, though, the McCain voters' reactions steadied around 8. Obama voters' reactions held between 8.5 and 9.5.

CONTINUED >>

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Newt Gingrich rises again

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 11:26 AM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mark Murray
So who is the leader of the Republican Party? RNC chair Michael Steele? Senate leader Mitch McConnell? House leader John Boehner? Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who delivered last night's GOP response? Or what about Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin?

In an upcoming New York Times magazine cover story, author Matt Bai writes that Newt Gingrich has become the GOP's go-to person when it comes to ideas. "[A]s Republicans on the Hill begin to awaken from a November beating that left them semiconscious, Gingrich finds himself, once again, at the zenith of influence in conservative Washington... Whatever else you think of Gingrich, he has always been considered a prospector in bold and counterintuitive thinking — floating ideas, throughout his career, that have ranged from giving every poor child a laptop to abolishing the entire concept of adolescence."

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First thoughts: Hope makes a comeback

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:18 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Hope makes a comeback: One thing was absolutely clear from President Obama’s well-received address to Congress last night: The hope that propelled him to the presidency was back. At the top of his remarks, Obama declared, “We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before.” And then after a stern talk about our economy -- how we got here, and how we possibly fix it -- he ended his speech this way: “If we come together and lift this nation from the depths of this crisis; if we put our people back to work … then someday years from now our children can tell their children that this was the time when we performed, in the words that are carved into this very chamber, ‘something worthy to be remembered.’” The address was also a report card of sorts. Obama touted to the public what he has achieved in his first month in office: the economic stimulus, ordering the closing of GITMO, passing the expansion of health insurance for children. Here’s a final thought about the address: Obama is so comfortable delivering a speech. Even after he and Pelosi slipped up at the beginning, the president was fully in control. Also, when is the last time we’ve heard humor and laughs at a State of the Union (or its equivalent)? “Nobody messes with Joe.”


*** A softer opposition: Republicans must have read the same polls we have because, overall, their tone in responding to Obama’s speech last night was much softer than we’ve seen in the past several days. Mitch McConnell said Obama’s “message was important and timely: America faces great challenges in the months and years ahead, and I was heartened to hear of his commitment to the millions who are struggling to hold onto homes and jobs and who are worried about what the future holds for themselves and their children. As we work to address all these concerns, we will have our differences… But one thing is clear: working through the current troubles will require a shared commitment as we address America’s challenges ahead.” And here was John Boehner before the speech: “Obama will make a compelling case that our nation can overcome the immense challenges before us… Republicans want to be partners with the President in finding responsible solutions to the challenges facing our nation, but thus far congressional leaders in the President’s own party have stood in the way.” 

*** Not the Jindal we know: As for Gov. Bobby Jindal’s official GOP response, it appears someone gave him bad advice last night, whether it was his awkward entrance or his way-too-casual delivery. The Louisiana governor, a Rhodes scholar, is a serious guy who’s known for sometimes being too wonky and even somewhat humorless. Well, he tried too hard NOT to look wonky and humorless. But it didn't work; he wasn’t the Bobby Jindal we’ve seen before. Also, his speech seemed to be too much of a brochure about himself rather than about his party and its ideas. To be fair, Jindal got better as his speech wore on, and the good news is that past responders who also got poor initial reviews -- Tim Kaine and Kathleen Sebelius come to mind -- easily recovered. One other thing: Is it disingenuous for Jindal to slam the role of the federal government (“Democratic leaders in Washington place their hope in the federal government; we place our hope in you”) when that said federal government is rebuilding New Orleans after Katrina?

 
*** I taw a Tweety bird: Your First Read authors have yet to get the Twitter bug. But we’ve got to ask: Are politicians and their offices beginning to embarrass themselves by Tweeting every thought in their brains? Aren’t some things best left unsaid? According to Politico, early on during Obama’s speech, Rep. Joe Barton’s (R) office sent out this Tweet: “Aggie basketball game is about to start on espn2 for those of you that aren't going to bother watching pelosi smirk for the next hour.” The office then fired off this CYA: “Disregard that last Tweet from a staffer.” Meanwhile, Rep. John Culberson (R) sent this message: “We are at war -- seems to me honoring our troops should come on page one rather than the end of the speech.” He then later Tweeted, “This is a great privilege to be here and I will try hard to find ways to work together while preserving my core principles.” 

*** Fulfilling or breaking a campaign promise? It’s more than likely, though, that last night’s speech won’t be the most memorable White House event this week. According to NBC’s Jim Miklaszewski and Courtney Kube, President Obama is expected to announce later this week that more than half of the American troops will be withdrawn from Iraq within 19 months. The plan would draw down the number of forces from the current 142,000 to around 50,000. While that certainly would fall short of the president’s campaign pledge to withdraw all U.S. combat forces within 16 months, one senior military official told Mik and Kube: “It’s close.” The official adds that the remaining force of 50,000 would still contain a sizeable “combat element” to provide rapid reaction assistance to Iraqi combat forces and force protection for the remaining American troops and U.S. government civilians. One other piece of White House news to watch today: At 11:00 am ET, the president is expected to announce former Washington Gov. Gary Locke as his nominee for Commerce secretary.

*** The abortion wars cometh? Be sure not to miss the piece by CBN’s David Brody that anti-abortion groups are up in arms over Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius potentially leading HHS. The reason: abortion. Indeed, we have it on good authority that the reason the White House is hesitating on Sebelius is that they don't want an abortion fight now. They know one is probably coming in the summer -- with a Supreme Court vacancy -- and would rather punt. Then again, we suppose that any other person Obama might nominate to lead HHS would support abortion rights. And if it’s not Sebelius, does that mean we the administration won't have an HHS secretary when it convenes its health-care summit next week?  
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 97 days
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Countdown to Election Day 2009: 251 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 615 days

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First 100 days: Coverage of the speech

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Washington Post: “Striking an optimistic tone that has been absent from his speeches in recent weeks, the president said his stimulus plan, bank bailout proposal, housing programs and health-care overhaul would work in concert to turn around the nation's struggling economy. And while he bluntly described a country beset by historic economic challenges and continued threats abroad, he said the solution lies in directly confronting -- not ignoring -- those problems. ‘The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation,’ he said. ‘The answers to our problems don't lie beyond our reach. They exist in our laboratories and universities, in our fields and our factories, in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth.’” 

The New York Times: “In his first address to a joint session of Congress, Mr. Obama mixed an acknowledgment of the depth of the economic problems with a Reaganesque exhortation to American resilience. He offered an expansive agenda followed by a pledge to begin paring an ever-climbing budget deficit.” 

The Boston Globe makes a similar point: "President Obama, tempering the series of grim economic diagnoses he has delivered in recent weeks, sounded a new note of optimism."

The Wall Street Journal adds, “The speech, 52 minutes long, punctuated by more than 60 ovations, was billed as a rhetorical salve to a nation battered by layoffs and plunging stock prices -- and a tempering of pessimistic rhetoric from the Oval Office over the past few weeks.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Reviews of the speech

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:09 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Washington Post’s Tom Shales writes that Obama “doesn't seem capable of bad speeches. Although this one began after unfortunate delays and with a slight parliamentary slip-up, he maintained his admirably high standards with a kind of state-of-the-Union speech that wasn't officially a State of the Union speech.” More: “His speeches will always make news, but the fact that he's a pretty great communicator is no longer a revelation. So after perfecting a style, and having given a speech last night that was full of practical content, there isn't much further he can go as a speechmaker.”

Per Politico’s Roger Simon, “It was not a night of sugar plum fairies dangled before us or sweet nothings whispered into our ears. We have had plenty of those over the years.” More: “And he also spoke of who was to blame: us.” 

The Boston Globe's Canellos: "President Obama yesterday used the grandest stage of the presidency to reveal how he wants to be seen - as a realist, not an ideologue, as a figure of consensus, not the leader of a movement, as a hard worker grappling with problems, not a visionary seeking new horizons."

The New York Times’ editorial page: “If we have had doubts about the way President Obama has been handling the multitudinous disasters bequeathed to him by George W. Bush … it was that we wanted to see more of Barack Obama the candidate in Barack Obama the president. He has not been assertive, ambitious, clear -- or audacious -- enough. Mr. Obama’s first speech to a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night was his chance to change that, and he rose to the occasion.” 

Politico's Harris and Martin: "The substance reflected Obama’s bet that the country -- alarmed by the economic crisis, repelled by the failures of the president who preceded him --is ready to move in a decisively more liberal direction. The rhetoric, by contrast, reflected his apparent belief that most Americans remain instinctually conservative, leaving him and his agenda acutely vulnerable to backlash." (Question: But isn't Obama's rhetoric more a reflection of not wanting to alienate that conservatives, rather than that "most Americans are instinctually conservative.")

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First 100 days: The Iraq withdrawal

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:07 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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NBC’s Jim Miklaszewski and Courtney Kube reported yesterday, “U.S. military and administration officials tell NBC News that President Obama is expected to announce that more than half of the American troops will be withdrawn from Iraq within 19 months. The plan, expected to be announced later this week, would draw down the number of forces from the current 142,000 to around 50,000.”

More: “Although the plan falls short of Obama's campaign pledge to withdraw all U.S. combat forces from Iraq within 16 months, one senior military official said, ‘It's close.’ The official also points out, however, that the remaining force of 50,000 would still contain a sizeable ‘combat element’ to provide rapid reaction assistance to Iraqi combat forces and force protection for the remaining American troops and U.S. government civilians. The sources say the 19-month timetable was one of three options presented to President Obama for the withdrawal of forces – 16-, 19- and 23-month withdrawal plans. A senior military official said that it was up to President Obama to weigh the risks in withdrawal and ‘the shorter the timetable the greater the risk,’ to U.S. forces and Iraqi security.” 

The Washington Post on the troop withdrawal: “Obama has not made a final decision on the matter, but it could come during a trip to give a speech in North Carolina on Friday, the officials said.”

CONTINUED >>

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GOP watch: Jindal’s response

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:06 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Covering the GOP response to Obama’s speech, the Washington Post says that Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal “defended the virtues of small government that he said even his own party had abandoned in recent years. ‘Instead of trusting us to make decisions with our own money, they passed the largest government spending bill in history with a price tag of more than $1 trillion with interest,’ he said of Democrats. ‘Democratic leaders say their legislation will grow the economy. What it will do is grow the government, increase our taxes down the line and saddle future generations with debt.’”

“Speaking of Obama, Jindal said that ‘we appreciate his message of hope, but sometimes it seems like we look for hope in different places. Democratic leaders in Washington, they place their hope in the federal government. We place our hope in you, the American people.’” 

Politico notes the criticism Jindal’s speech received.

The Times-Picayune on its governor’s performance: "Jindal's appearance represented the delayed star turn he was to have had at the Republican National Convention in Minnesota in early September. Because he was directing the state's emergency response to Hurricane Gustav, Jindal canceled plans for a featured speaking role at the convention." If Jindal runs in 2012, "Tuesday night's speech may be remembered as the occasion when the two first went head-to-head." On his delivery: "Jindal appeared a bit nervous at first as he attempted to deliver the speech in a friendly, folksy style."

More 2012 buzz, per the Boston Globe: "Jindal was eyed by John McCain's presidential campaign last year as a potential running mate, but took himself out of contention. He has since been a leading critic of McCain's campaign tactics, saying that the Arizona senator didn't offer enough positive ideas on the economy. That has encouraged many to see Jindal as a party savior and a promising presidential challenger in 2012."

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Congress: Durbin asks Burris to resign

Posted: Wednesday, February 25, 2009 9:05 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Senate’s No.2 Democrat, Dick Durbin of Illinois, yesterday asked embattled Roland Burris to resign. “‘I told him under the circumstances that I would consider resigning,’ Durbin told reporters. ‘He said he would not resign.’”

Video: Durbin says he urged Burris to step down, but Burris vowed to stay on. 

That said, the New York Times notes, “Senate Democrats appear resigned at the moment to his remaining in Congress. With a seat in Minnesota still tied up in court over a close election, Democrats benefit from Mr. Burris’s vote. And he is hardly the first senator to remain in office under a cloud. Larry E. Craig, an Idaho Republican who pleaded guilty to disorderly conduct in a sex sting, served out his term before retiring last year.” 

Hilda Solis was finally confirmed as Labor secretary yesterday. After several weeks' delay, she passed confirmation by an 80-17 vote.

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Economy is top priority

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:37 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Could it be any clearer that the economy is the top priority? So far, President Obama's speech, 40 minutes in, has focused exclusively on the economy.

He also made sure that "those who sent us here" were his audience right off the bat. This isn't about selling something to Congress; it's about reassuring the American people that Washington is doing something to try to help -- whether you agree or disagree with what's being done.

"We will rebuild, we will recover," and emerge "stronger than before," the president said.

One of the criticisms from the right (and President Bill Clinton) was that Obama wasn't being hopeful enough -- though Obama often says the country will recover.

He made it clear that the country could and would recover. He struck a professorial tone on explaining the credit crisis. And he got bipartisan applause in talking about accountability for banks.

"My job, our job," Obama said to the elected officials, "is to solve the problem."

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U.S. to cut Iraq force in half in 19 mos.

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 5:57 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Jim Miklaszewski and Courtney Kube
U.S. military and administration officials tell NBC News that President Obama is expected to announce that more than half of the American troops will be withdrawn from Iraq within 19 months.

The plan, expected to be announced later this week, would draw down the number of forces from the current 142,000 to around 50,000.

Although the plan falls short of Obama's campaign pledge to withdraw all U.S. combat forces from Iraq within 16 months, one senior military official said, "It's close."

The official also points out, however, that the remaining force of 50,000 would still contain a sizeable "combat element" to provide rapid reaction assistance to Iraqi combat forces and force protection for the remaining American troops and U.S. government civilians.

CONTINUED >>

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Jindal's response

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 5:21 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, in delivering the Republican response to President Obama's address, will strike similar themes to the president on working together, but will also criticize Democratic economic philosophy and take a swipe at the president for not being hopeful enough.

His speech is entitled, "Americans Can Do Anything," and he will draw on his biography for that inspiration: “As I grew up, my mom and dad taught me the values that attracted them to this country -- and they instilled in me an immigrant’s wonder at the greatness of America," he will say, according to select released prepared remarks. "As a child, I remember going to the grocery store with my dad. Growing up in India, he had seen extreme poverty.  And as we walked through the aisles, looking at the endless variety on the shelves, he would tell me: ‘Bobby, Americans can do anything.’ I still believe that to this day."

He strikes a chord of bipartisanship, saying, "Republicans are ready to work with the new President to provide those solutions. Here in my state of Louisiana, we don’t care what party you belong to if you have good ideas to make life better for our people."

Sound familiar?

"We need more of that attitude from both Democrats and Republicans in our nation’s capital," Jindal will continue to say. "All of us want our economy to recover and our nation to prosper," Jindal will say. "So where we agree, Republicans must be the President’s strongest partners. And where we disagree, Republicans have a responsibility to be candid and offer better ideas for a path forward." 

But bipartisanship is conditional, as he will also go on to criticize Democrats on economic philosophy.

CONTINUED >>

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Obama tonight: 'We will rebuild'

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 5:18 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
The White House just released this excerpt from President Obama's address to Congress tonight: "But while our economy may be weakened and our confidence shaken; though we are living through difficult and uncertain times, tonight I want every American to know this: We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before."
 
More: "The weight of this crisis will not determine the destiny of this nation. The answers to our problems don't lie beyond our reach. They exist in our laboratories and universities; in our fields and our factories; in the imaginations of our entrepreneurs and the pride of the hardest-working people on Earth. Those qualities that have made America the greatest force of progress and prosperity in human history we still possess in ample measure. What is required now is for this country to pull together, confront boldly the challenges we face, and take responsibility for our future once more."

The White House also released First Lady Michelle Obama's guests. See below for more.

CONTINUED >>

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Commerce pick to be named tomorrow

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 4:48 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
President Obama is expected to announce former Gov. Gary Locke as his nominee for Commerce Secretary tomorrow, a senior administration official tells First Read.

Locke would be Obama's third nominee for the position.

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Durbin tells Burris to resign

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 3:50 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
In a meeting with Roland Burris today, Illionis Sen. Dick Durbin told Burris under the circumstance he should resign.

Burris said he would not.

Burris also told Durbin he has not made up his mind about running in 2010.

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Pelosi greets crew that landed in Hudson

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 3:27 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Mike Viqueira


House Speaker Nancy Pelosi greeted the crew of Flight 1549 in her offices moments ago, thanked them on behalf of the American people, and then asked "Sully" to autograph a copy of the People magazine where they were featured.

Sully promptly complied, then spoke briefly. He said he is, as you might imagine, "grateful for the outcome" of the flight, and added that he and his colleagues felt as if they had been "chosen by circumstance" to be "temporary spokesmen" for the industry.

Jeff Skiles also spoke briefly, along with Reps. Miller, Tauscher, and McNerney. The crew will be guests in the speaker's gallery box this evening for the big speech.

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Steele vs. Collins/Snowe/Specter?

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 2:54 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
In an interview yesterday on FOX, new RNC chair Michael Steele suggested that the three Republicans who voted for the stimulus -- Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe of Maine, and Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania -- would face primary challenges, and he left open the possibility that the three might not receive funds from the RNC. (Hat tips: the Washington Post's Greg Sargent and Politico's Ben Smith.)

“Will you, as RNC head, recommend no RNC funds being provided to help them?” Steele was asked.
 
“Oh, yes, I'm always open to everything, baby, absolutely," Steele said.

Steele's comments signaled a stark departure from past practice (the National Republican Senatorial Committee provided significant help to Specter in his '04 primary contest against Pat Toomey) and seemed to violate Ronald Reagan's famous 11th Commandment (never speak ill of another Republican).

One former RNC official said that he couldn't imagine past party chairs undercutting a sitting senator, especially one who's up for re-election in 2010 like Specter (and in a state that Obama carried by 10 percentage points, 54%-44%!).

"I just don’t think we’re at a point where the party can threaten senators and ask them to adhere to some type of monolithic ideology," the official said. "In fact, the party’s almost always been at its strongest when it was broad and had its big tent out. I get what Steele is trying to do in terms of channeling the anger and frustration at the stimulus bill, but there’s probably a more artful way of doing it."

Originally, when First Read reached out to the RNC for comment, we were told that Steele's words spoke for themselves.

But the RNC later reversed course. "The RNC has no intention of getting involved in primaries," a party official told First Read. "We work with state parties to elect Republicans and will continue to do that."

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House passes chimp bill

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 2:33 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Mike Viqueira


Your U.S. House has passed a measure that would make it more difficult to keep an ape as a pet.

A week after a woman lay in critical condition after being mauled by a pet chimpanzee, the Captive Primate Safety Act passed bya 323-95 voted, with 93 Republicans in opposition.

The act would apply to the sale and transport of monkeys, great apes, lemurs, etc. The measure "makes it unlawful for a person to sell or purchase a live animal of any prohibited wildlife species in interstate or foreign commerce," according to a Library of Congress summary.

Animals that assist disabled individuals would be excempt from the ban.

Senate action is unclear at this point. The House sponsor is Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR).

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Jindal advertising to promote response

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 1:25 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal delivers tonight's response to President Obama's address to Congress.

And Jindal is advertising to promote it.

I came across an ad on YouTube that linked back to a Jindal response Web site "Paid for by Friends of Bobby Jindal." On the site, you can read about Jindal, donate or even log onto his Facebook page. (The response is also being promoted prominently on the front page of BobbyJindal.com.)

From the site: "You can receive early excerpts of the speech by signing up in the form to the right. Not only will you receive the early excerpts, but you will also be able to watch the speech on this page (www.bobbyjindal.com/sotu)."

Evan Tracey, who tracks advertising at TNS Media Intelligence/CMAG, tells First Read that the Jindal Web ads are low-cost (compared to TV or radio). About a few thousand dollars was spent on them, and they are running on sites to targeted demographics, particularly "the base and opinion leaders," Tracey said.

The ads highlight ambitiousness on one hand -- raising Jindal's profile two years out from re-election and three years from the presidential election -- as well as Web savviness on the other. The Republican Party has talked about getting younger and trying to make up ground with Obama on the tech front. This is at least one sign that Jindal is trying to show he recognizes that and is ahead of the curve.

Jindal's multi-million-dollar 2008 fundraising haul and his placement in response to Obama (and advertising to promote it) all suggest to political observers that the Louisiana governor has more than Louisiana governor in his sights.

*** UPDATE *** By the way, Jindal will not be at CPAC. "We get more invites than we can accept," writes Jindal's Press Secretary Kyl Plotkin.

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Holder is tonight's stay-away

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 10:50 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Pete Williams
Attorney General Eric Holder is the cabinet member who will not attend tonight's presidential speech.

By custom, one member of the cabinet is designated to go to -- as we say these days -- "a secure location," in case that person is needed to carry on as head of the government. Since 9/11, the stay-away is typically a member of the national security team.

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Senate vote set for Solis confirmation

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 10:40 AM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland
This morning, Senate Democratic and Republican leaders reached an agreement on how to move forward on Hilda Solis' nomination to be Labor secretary. The final confirmation vote will be today at 4:30 pm ET.

The new agreement removes the procedural vote that had be scheduled for earlier today that would have required 60 votes to advance the nomination to the next step. Now there will only be one vote on the nomination -- with a simple majority required for her confirmation.

Solis is expected to be easily confirmed, and if that happens, that will leave just two of the major cabinet posts unfilled: Commerce and HHS.

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First thoughts: Tonight's address

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:22 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Tonight’s address: In what will be the latest in big speeches he has delivered, President Obama tonight will address a joint session of Congress at 9:01 pm ET. Technically, it's not a State of the Union address. But with the televised entry into the chamber, the handshakes, the standing ovations, the primetime slot, and the opposition's official response, there won't be much of a difference. (Bush and Clinton also gave addresses to Congress shortly after their inaugurations.) Aides say the president’s speech is expected to outline the rest of his domestic agenda, including health care, education, and energy, as well as his policies towards Iraq and Afghanistan. These aides also note that the speech will echo familiar themes. Will the president feel the need to calm the markets tonight? Sure, most of the address is going to be about domestic priorities that touch the economy, but those topics aren't just about the economic bailout. That said, when Obama talks about health care, education, and energy, he'll do so under the economic umbrella. By the way, national service is also something that will be mentioned in the speech tonight and could be fast-tracked to get Ted Kennedy's maximum involvement.

*** Report card time: Just in time for tonight’s address, there are two new report cards -- via Washington Post/ABC and New York Times/CBS polls -- that show Obama has earned high marks in his first month as president. In both surveys, more than six in 10 approve of his job, strong majorities think he’s bringing about real change, and majorities approve of the just-passed economic stimulus. As for Republicans, it appears that their unified opposition to the president isn’t paying dividends just yet. According to both polls, about three-quarters believe Obama has been trying to work with Republicans, while just 3 in 10 Americans think the GOP is doing the same with the president. Moreover, the WashPo/ABC poll shows that while 50% approve of congressional Democrats, only 38% approve of their Republican counterparts, although that GOP score is up 13 points since the middle of last year. Perhaps the most worrisome number for the GOP in that poll: “Democrats maintain an edge of nearly 2 to 1 over Republicans as the party that Americans prefer to confront ‘the big issues’ over the next few years.” But remember one thing: Republicans need to worry about keeping their remaining customer base happy. And while that isn't playing well right now, do they have another choice? That's the conundrum for the GOP right now.

*** The power of the bully pulpit: One example why Obama is winning the charm war -- and why Republicans are not -- was yesterday’s televised Q&A with congressional Democrats, Republicans, and policy experts at the conclusion of his “Fiscal Responsibility Summit.” Obama taking questions from these folks resembled a formal White House press conference, or better yet the British prime minister’s question hour with Parliament. Writing about yesterday’s Q&A, the Washington Post’s Stephen Stromberg made this point: the “more Obama makes it seem like he is reaching out, the higher the price the Republicans will have to pay in order to oppose him.” The Q&A was a great example of the power of the bully pulpit, and why Obama is winning the bipartisanship argument without necessarily being bipartisan (outside of soliciting GOP opinions without really acting on them).

*** Jindal’s rebuttal: Giving tonight's GOP response to Obama's primetime address is Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who's already been in the spotlight the past few days -- opposing part of Obama's stimulus and appearing on Meet the Press. Perhaps it's our 24-7 focus on politics, but with all the attention Jindal has received, it's still a bit jarring to us that Jindal has served only about a year as governor and is just 37 years old. As we've noted before, giving the response isn't always a stepping-stone to future success. One past responder who's back in the news: former Washington Gov. Gary Locke, who is "likely" to be Obama's Commerce pick.

*** Three times a charm? Speaking of Locke, it appears Obama has settled on the former governor to be his third pick to lead Commerce (following the failed Bill Richardson and Judd Gregg appointments). Locke, a Chinese-American, has done a slew of trade missions to China, particularly when he was governor of Washington, which happens to be a big free-trade state. This is actually a big deal to business since he's a free-trade guy.

*** Another summit? President Obama let slip yesterday that he'll be convening yet another summit at the White House next week -- this one on health care. It was pretty clear yesterday, and will be clearer tonight, that the administration is going to make a strong push to get major health-care legislation passed in the next few months. But don’t expect a drawn-out battle. That was one of the lessons that everyone learned from the 1990s… If major health-care legislation isn't passed by the Fourth of July, can it get passed before the Nov. 2010 elections?

*** On Capitol Hill today: Per NBC’s Ken Strickland, Senate Democratic leaders say they're optimistic they'll have the 60 votes needed today to advance a bill that would give DC voting rights with a seat in the House of Representatives. (It would also give Utah an additional House seat.) While a successful vote would be a giant step forward for DC voting rights advocates, Strick says, several additional steps remain on both sides of the Capitol and likely before the courts. The vote is procedural, designed to break a filibuster on the bill. Once that hurdle is cleared, the bill then must push its way through the amendment process, which could include contentious measures on things like DC gun rights. What’s more, the House has yet to pass its version of the bill, which is slightly different from the Senate version. And even if/when both chambers pass the same bill, it’s all but guaranteed to face immediate court challenges on the constitutionality of giving the DC a voting seat in the House. That part to the process could take years to resolve.

*** Remember that Solis confirmation? Strickland also notes that while it seems apparent to Senate Democrats that Hilda Solis will eventually be confirmed as Obama’s Labor secretary, Republicans are making Majority Leader Harry Reid jump through hoops to get her there. This morning, Solis' nomination will face a procedural vote on the Senate floor that neither Eric Holder nor Timothy Geithner faced in their somewhat bumpy rides to confirmation. This vote will happen immediately following the one on DC voting rights. Strick adds that Republicans are forcing Reid to muster 60 votes to advance the nomination because of her ties to a pro-labor lobbying group, as well as her support for the contentious Employee Free Choice Act. Reid's office is optimistic that the majority leader will be able to reach an agreement with Republicans for Solis to have her final confirmation vote before week's end, possibly as early as this afternoon.
 
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First 100 days: The grades are in

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:21 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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According to the new Washington Post/ABC poll, “68 percent of poll respondents approve of Obama's job performance… Sixty-four percent said they approve of how Obama is handling appointments to the Cabinet and other top positions in the administration, despite tax problems and stumbles that have led to three of his top nominees withdrawing from consideration.”

More: “Although Obama has encountered near-unanimous GOP opposition to his stimulus plan in Congress and widespread criticism for a housing bailout plan that some say rewards people who have been fiscally irresponsible, 64 percent of those polled back the economic recovery package, and the same percentage support the mortgage proposal. The broad support for the recovery package comes as just 10 percent said the bill was too heavy on spending and too light on tax cuts, the primary contention of the Republican leadership in Congress. Overall, 60 percent of poll respondents approve of how Obama is dealing with the economy.” 

The New York Times on its latest NYT/CBS poll: “The aura of good will surrounding Mr. Obama at this stage of his presidency is similar to the one that benefited Ronald Reagan as he led the nation out of economic gloom. With a job approval rating of 63 percent, Mr. Obama is in a strong position to sell his economic policies. Yet the poll also captured skepticism about how effective his plans will prove to be in addressing the deep recession, as well as a strain of populism that could test his ability to retain public support for efforts to prop up key sectors of the economy.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: The fiscal summit

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:18 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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"A White House summit that opened discussions on how to make sweeping changes in entitlement programs concluded yesterday with a pledge to immediately pursue an effort to provide health insurance to most Americans, which could increase spending in the short term but would be designed to save money later."

USA Today: “President Obama pledged Monday to target Medicare, farm subsidies, tax breaks for companies that ship jobs overseas and no-bid contracts in Iraq in the proposed 2010 budget he will unveil later this week. Turning his attention from short-term economic stimulus to long-term fiscal discipline, Obama said he will urge Congress to require that any spending increases or tax cuts be paid for, rather than add to a $1.3 trillion deficit. That requirement was dropped as the Bush administration waged wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.” 

The New York Times says that “Mr. Obama called on Mr. McCain to offer any thoughts” during the Q&A session at the end of the president’s Fiscal Responsibility Summit. “Mr. McCain praised Mr. Obama for holding the event, then suggested one priority should be dealing with out-of-control military contracts. Exhibit A was the program to replace the current Marine One helicopters, with costs mushrooming to $11.2 billion from $6.1 billion. The Defense Science Board issued a new study blaming ‘poor communication’ about aircraft requirements between the government and contractors. Lockheed Martin declared Monday that it was ‘committed to the program’s success’ and would meet any conditions imposed by an Obama administration review.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Trouble at home?

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Boston Globe looks at the risk for some Republicans in voting "no" on the stimulus. "When Obama addresses a joint session of Congress in a televised speech tonight to outline his budget priorities and policy agenda, he will face 176 House Republicans who voted unanimously against his stimulus bill. Fewer than one dozen share [Washington State Republican Dave] Reichert's predicament: He represents a district carried by Obama in November, in this case by 15 percentage points. He is the type of endangered Republican most sought by Obama's gestures of bipartisan outreach, but also the type whom the new president's successes would be most likely to dislodge from office." 
 
Shape up or ship out? "At this morning’s House Republican Conference meeting, party leaders will unveil a new campaign fundraising and infrastructure program designed to strengthen vulnerable incumbents and hold Members more accountable if they expect any help from the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2010," Roll Call writes. It's called the "Patriot" program and is part of the design to "overhaul" the NRCC "after back-to-back election cycles in which the GOP suffered major losses." And check out this bit: "As one Republican source put it Monday, the effort is also designed to 'end the welfare state that the NRCC has become over the past six to eight years' by setting strict benchmarks for Members and adding one big stick to the process. Namely, those candidates who aren’t working to help themselves will be cut off from NRCC financial assistance."

Think Democratic leadership is going to yank Roland Burris soon? Think again. “There is already a process in place that includes investigations by Illinois state officials and the Senate Ethics Committee,” Reid spokesman Jim Manley said, per Roll Call. “Let’s let the appropriate process play out and let all the facts come to light. But, in the meantime, he is still a Member of the Senate.” 
 
More PMA news: "Several clients of The PMA Group, which was raided by the FBI in November, are slated to receive earmarks worth at least $8 million in the omnibus spending bill funding the federal government through the rest of fiscal 2009, according to a list of projects put together by Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.)."

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2009/2010: The replacements

Posted: Tuesday, February 24, 2009 9:15 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

CALIFORNIA: The race to replace Hilda Solis in Congress is underway: "At first glance, given the demographics of the district -- about half of Democratic voters are Hispanic -- state Sen. Gil Cedillo (D) should be favored to replace Solis in a race that, for now, also includes State Board of Equalization Chairwoman Judy Chu (D) and former investment banker Emanuel Pleitez (D). But conventional wisdom in this race could be turned on its head in several ways."
 
ILLINOIS: The Hill checks in with the Democratic race to succeed Rahm Emanuel. Three Democrats have emerged. 
 
KENTUCKY: "Bunning's office originally misspelled Ginsburg's name in the statement but later corrected it. Meanwhile, Republican Kentucky state Senate President David Williams would not rule out a possible run in the primary. Williams has met with the National Republican Senatorial Committee, the GOP campaign arm in Washington, according to a person familiar with the situation who requested anonymity because the meeting was private." 
 
MISSOURI: Roy Blunt's decision to run for the Senate has set off a flurry for the Republican nomination to replace him. 
 
NEW YORK: And Bill Clinton will headline a Kirsten Gillibrand fundraiser March 11 in New York City.

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Obama stresses fiscal responsibility

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 6:43 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Athena Jones
President Obama returned to the theme fiscal responsibility in speeches today, while also arguing that health-care reform was essential to long-term deficit reduction.

In a morning speech to the National Governors Association in the State Dining Room, the president repeated the warning he gave to some 80 mayors last week to spend stimulus dollars wisely. He also announced he was asking Vice President Joe Biden to oversee the administration's efforts to implement the $787 billion recovery plan.

"Contrary to the prevailing wisdom in Washington these past few years, we cannot simply spend as we please and defer the consequences to next budget, the next administration, or the next generation," he said. "That's why today I'm pledging to cut the deficit we inherited by half by the end of my first term in office."

CONTINUED >>

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Locke 'likely pick' for Commerce

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 5:14 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Chuck Todd and Domenico Montanaro
Former Washington Gov. Gary Locke is the "likely pick" for Commerce Secretary, according to sources familiar with the decision process.

Locke, of course, would be the president's third choice to lead the large and diverse Cabinet agency which deals with the economy, the census and even the weather.

Locke was a two-term governor of Washington, who didn't leave with the higest of approval ratings.

Locke served as governor of Washington from 1996 to 2005. He graduated from Yale in 1972 and got his law degree from Boston University in 1975.

More to come.

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Obama shows who's boss

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 4:44 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Sen. Tom Carper (D-DE) set the table for President Obama to tee off on bipartisanship, encouraging him publicly to continue to reach out to Republicans.

"I'm just a glutton for punishment," Obama said in response before adding, "I'm going to keep on talking to Eric Cantor because someday, sooner or later, he's going to say, you know Obama, he had a good idea."

We've noted before that his efforts on bipartisanship are downpayments for other pieces of legislation.

Video: At the end of his economic summit, Obama says bipartisan support will help stabilize the economy.

Isn't it pretty difficult for Cantor to sharpen the knives when Obama's flattering him from the podium?

By the way, that faux press conference at the fiscal responsibility summit was one of the more remarkable images we've seen since Obama's been elected president. 

With Obama behind a podium -- a foot higher than the other elected officials made to look the part of White House correspondents, as they were called on to ask questions -- was there any doubt who's the boss?

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Burris to attend Obama address

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 2:54 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Kelly O'Donnell


Sen. Roland Burris will be a much-watched face in the crowd tomorrow night as members of Congress welcome President Obama to deliver his primetime address.

When Burris returns Tuesday from what turned into a news-making, controversy-filled recess for the embattled Illinois senator, Hill sources say he plans to reach out to Senate leadership and colleagues in a quiet attempt to "smooth feathers" over his varied accounts of contacts with ousted Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich prior to his appointment.

The Burris game plan is to press on and plead for "patience," despite calls for his resignation. Aides say he intends to make a few announcements about new senior staff positions being filled in his Senate office in coming days, and also to politically convey that he is "getting to work." 

Burris spent part of Saturday meeting with federal investigators in Chicago about the Blagojevich probe. Sources say Burris was told he is not a target.

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Bunning apologizes

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 2:10 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland and Mark Murray
In a written statement today, Kentucky GOP Sen. Jim Bunning apologized for remarks he made about Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, in which he predicted that she would pass away in nine months.

"I apologize if my comments offended Justice Ginsberg," Bunning said. "That certainly was not my intent. It is great to see her back at the Supreme Court today and I hope she recovers quickly. My thoughts and prayers are with her and her family."

Note: Bunning's office misspelled Ginsburg's last name. 

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Bush hitting the speakers' circuit

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 2:03 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Abby Livingston

First Read stumbled onto this -- President George W. Bush is hitting the speakers' circuit, as is former First Lady Laura Bush.  
 
The Web site pitches the former president this way: "George W. Bush offers his thoughts on eight years in the Oval Office, the challenges facing our nation in the 21st century, the power of freedom, the role of faith, and other pressing issues."

The former first lady is pitched as: "One of the most popular first ladies in history, is a compelling advocate for issues of national and global concern."
 
Calls to the company representing the former president, the Washington Speakers Bureau, have not yet been returned. However, ex-presidents typically net north of $100,000 when making speeches.

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Gallup poll: Obama approval at 63%

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 2:02 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray and Chuck Todd
According to the latest Gallup poll, President Obama's approval rating is now at 63%, which is down five percentage points from his initial rating in January. Also, his disapproval number has doubled from 12% in January to 24% now.

But be careful if you're trying to draw a dramatic conclusion about this slight downward tick. The only group of voters that has moved away from Obama are Republicans, who went from 41% approval in January to 30% now. However, Democrats' approval has remained steady (88% then, 89% now). And -- perhaps most importantly -- so has approval among independents (63% then, 63% now).

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New York: We'll take their stimulus $

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 1:36 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
New York Sens. Chuck Schumer and Kirsten Gillibrand say that if GOP Govs. Haley Barbour (Mississippi), Bobby Jindal (Louisiana), and Mark Sanford (South Carolina) don't want portions of their stimulus money, then they'll take it.

"New York receives 78 cents from the federal government for every dollar we send to Washington," the senators wrote President Obama. "If other states are willingly refusing federal support in this time of economic crisis, New York should benefit given our 'donor state' status."

"If any governor -- Democrat or Republican -- leaves stimulus money on the table, then we respectfully request that funds be distributed to New York," they added. "We will put the money to good use, investing in education and new infrastructure, such as health care IT and high speed rail."

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Cuomo's Thain investigation

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 1:20 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Jeff Rossen
There are new problems for former Merrill Lynch CEO John Thain -- this time, legal ones after a "heated" closed-door meeting between Thain and New York State investigators.

New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has filed court papers forcing Thain to speak candidly about $3-to-$4 billion dollars in bonuses handed out just before the merger with Bank of America.

According to sources, during his deposition Thain admits that Bank of America knew everything he was up to. But Thain reportedly refused to name names. He wouldn't go into specifics about who got the money. Investigators say they filed today's motion for two reasons: (1) Force Thain to speak openly, and under oath, and (2) Send a warning to Bank of America, and other banks -- that anything short of full transparency is unacceptable.

This headline-grabber is just the latest in a string of high-profile investigations for Cuomo. There are politics at play here. Cuomo is considering a run for governor in 2010. Recently, Cuomo exposed a health-care scheme costing millions of Americans, hundreds of millions of dollars. As a result of that investigation, United Health Group settled with Cuomo's office and agreed to reimburse people affected.

It's unclear when a judge could rule on this latest motion involving John Thain.

After the jump is an excerpt from the deposition between one of the investigators, Thain (“witness”) and Thain’s attorney. (See above links for full complaint deposition):

CONTINUED >>

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WH fast tracks some stimulus cash

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 10:52 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Savannah Guthrie
The White House will release $15 billion on Wednesday to the states to help with Medicaid costs, essentially fast-tracking a portion of the stimulus money to help states defer cuts in essential services.

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Ginsburg back at work

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 10:18 AM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Pete Williams


Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg returned to work today to the Supreme Court, taking her place at the bench as the court resumed hearing oral arguments.

A beaming Justice Ginsburg walked into the courtroom under her own power, 18 days after surgery for pancreatic cancer.

And during the oral argument, she was a frequent and energetic questioner -- all in all, her normal self.

She left the courtroom as she came in, on her own, without taking the arm of another justice.

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First thoughts: Time to go on a diet

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:20 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Time to go on a diet: After spending its first month in office convincing the American public to feast on an all-you-can-eat stimulus plan, the Obama administration is now turning its sights to the diet and exercise that lies ahead. (One of your authors who just got back from a weekend vacation in Memphis knows this drill all too well.) Today, beginning at 1:00 pm ET, President Obama convenes his "Fiscal Responsibility Summit," where he will announce that he’ll cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term. The White House says it will get there thanks, in part, to 1) winding down the Iraq war and 2) phasing out the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. (By the way, the tax-cut rollback is being announced without a lot of fanfare, and it's interesting how Republicans are just letting this be announced without pushing back very hard yet. Will the Bush tax cuts end up being an actual "vote" on the floor of Congress before the 2010 elections?) This deficit-reduction task, however, is even more ambitious given that Obama claims he won’t use budget gimmicks that George W. Bush incorporated (like excluding war costs and counting on Alternative Minimum Tax revenue), and he’s also planning to budget for a yearly natural disaster (approx. $20 billion) On Tuesday, the president will deliver his domestic-issue-heavy address to Congress. And on Thursday, he’ll release his budget outline. 

Video: Obama pledges to cut the deficit in half by 2013.

*** Touching the third rail? Given today’s fiscal responsibility summit, there’s a lot of chatter about President Obama’s intentions about Social Security. Per the New York Times, Obama “considered announcing the formation of a Social Security task force” at today’s summit. “But several Democrats said that idea had been shelved, partly because of objections from House and Senate leaders.” Obama does have a Nixon-to-China opportunity to shore up Social Security, especially since his party controls the White House and Congress. But on “Morning Joe” today, OMB director Peter Orszag made the point that the administration’s immediate concern is with health care, not Social Security. Also, with everything else going on -- the economy, Iraq, Afghanistan -- liberals gladly point out that the system is solvent until 2041, which is a long ways away. Obama's instinct is to tackle Social Security, but he'll be flexible on timing. (Can anyone say "second term goal"?) By the way, this is a case where Speaker Pelosi is taking yet another arrow for the White House. House Republicans are jumping on the news that Pelosi vetoed this first change at focusing on Social Security reform. Don't think the White House isn't reminded that Pelosi is actually serving them well politically by taking these political hits on Obama's behalf.

*** A tale of two Republicans: The current divide among GOP governors over the stimulus was in full display yesterday on “Meet the Press.” In dueling interviews, we saw one governor -- Bobby Jindal -- rooted mostly in a conservative ideology that plays very well in the South and with the base, but not in some other parts of the country and not with many swing voters. “I think we just have a fundamental disagreement here. I don't think the best way to do that is for the government to tax and borrow more money,” Jindal said. “I think the best thing they could've done, for example, was to cut taxes on things like capital gains, the lower tax brackets, to get the private sector spending again.“ And we saw another governor -- Charlie Crist -- rooted in what he claims is pragmatism in a key presidential battleground state. “I'm a Florida Republican. And in the Florida way, we work together in a bipartisan fashion to do what's right for the people. That's really what it's all about,” he said. This has become perhaps the key question for the Republican Party: In which direction does it want to go? The GOP in the short term will divide on this question: Is the government more of a problem or more of a problem-solver? 

Video: The debate on how to spend the stimulus money heats up, especially among Republican governors.

*** Jindal's wiggle room: Also on “Meet the Press,” Jindal -- who will be delivering the GOP’s response on Tuesday -- gave a qualified answer to questions about whether he’ll run for president in 2012. “I want to run for re-election to be governor of Louisiana in 2011,” he said. “I told the people of our state we have a once in a lifetime chance to change our state.” More: “If the people of Louisiana will have me, I absolutely want to be governor for the next seven years. Now, that's up to the voters of Louisiana.“ And: “It's my intent to, to run for re-election.” If Jindal does run for re-election, however, here’s something important to consider: The GOP nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire will probably come just two months after that re-election contest in Louisiana in 2011. Is that enough time to campaign in those states? Do you get left out of most of the debates? Or do you try to run for re-election in Louisiana, with occasional stops in the early states? These are questions that other potential presidential candidates don’t have to answer. If Jindal ever does run in 2012, he may have to create a draft movement that somehow allows him to get in the race late. It's possible that without a fight for an open seat for the presidency that the race on the GOP side could get started a tad later. Of course, Jindal wasn't the only GOP governor in DC on the Sunday talk shows who might have his eyes set on 2012. There’s Crist, Mark Sanford, Mitch Daniels, and Tim Pawlenty. By the way, assess how each gave themselves wiggle room for going after Obama in the next three years.

Video: Jindal discusses the possibility of running for president in 2012 on "Meet the Press."

*** GOP senators gone wild? Over the weekend, GOP Sen. Jim Bunning, who’s up for re-election in 2010, predicted that Ruth Bader Ginsberg would be dead in nine months. “Bad cancer. The kind you don’t get better from,” he said. “Even though she was operated on, usually nine months is the longest that anybody would live after being diagnosed with pancreatic cancer.” And then there was Sen. Richard Shelby doubting Obama’s citizenship. “Well, his father was Kenyan and they said he was born in Hawaii, but I haven’t seen any birth certificate,” Shelby said. “You have to be born in America to be president.” These things don’t really help the GOP, do they? Shelby's office walked back the report about what he said, but doesn't the senator himself have to deal with this? As for Bunning, there were a few other comments he made regarding how the establishment Senate Republicans are treating him right now. He's feeling a bit paranoid vis-à-vis the leadership, specifically Mitch McConnell and John Cornyn. Is Bunning going to be this cycle's Bob Smith, circa 2002? 

*** The DCCC's stimulus campaign: Speaking of the stimulus fight, the DCCC says it’s targeting (via automated calls, text messages, and emails) 12 House Republicans who voted against the stimulus, arguing that they opposed middle-class tax cuts. The 12 Republicans: Judy Biggert (IL), Ken Calvert (CA), Michael Castle (DE), Charlie Dent (PA), Jim Gerlach (PA), Mark Kirk (IL), Blaine Luetkemeyer (MO), Dan Lungren (CA), Thaddeus McCotter (MI), Adam Putman (FL), Dave Reichert (WA), and Pete Sessions (TX). A sample of one of the automated calls: “Did you know Congressman Thad McCotter voted against President Obama's economic recovery plan, endorsed by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce? McCotter's empty rhetoric can't hide that he voted to raise the AMT tax on 22 million middle class Americans and against the largest tax cut history.”

*** Whither Citigroup? This will definitely be a story to watch today: Citigroup, the Wall Street Journal reports, “is in talks with federal officials that could result in the U.S. government substantially expanding its ownership of the struggling bank, according to people familiar with the situation. While the discussions could fall apart, the government could wind up holding as much as 40% of Citigroup's common stock. Bank executives hope the stake will be closer to 25%, these people said.”

Video: CNBC's Melissa Lee reports that the government may raise its stake in embattled Citigroup.

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First 100 days: Barack the knife

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

According to the Boston Globe, "[S]ome of the nation's top budget analysts plan to deliver a stark warning today at a White House summit that an even more foreboding long-term crisis will unfold unless Obama quickly fixes Social Security, healthcare, the tax code, and more. While the $787 billion stimulus plan relies on tax cuts and increased spending, the list of problems to be addressed at the "Fiscal Responsibility Summit" could result in a series of painful political decisions that might eventually include tax increases and cuts in government benefits."

The Wall Street Journal writes,  “Mr. Obama will promise that he can shrink that total to $533 billion, or 3% of GDP, by 2013, primarily through savings from withdrawing combat forces from Iraq and allowing George W. Bush's tax cuts for families earning more than $250,000 to lapse in 2011. The forecast for a sharp narrowing of the deficit will also rest on the assumption that the economy recovers from the current slump. The official declined to say how any additional spending on economic stimulus or bailouts of the financial or other sectors -- actions many economists consider inevitable -- would affect the upbeat deficit projection.”

"Meet Barack the Knife," the New York Daily News writes. "Determined to slash the deficit from $1.3 trillion to $533 million in four years, President Obama will propose this week cuts across a wide range of the budget, sparing neither the Pentagon nor entitlement programs."

The Sunday New York Times added, “Measured against the size of the economy, the projected $533 billion shortfall for 2013 would mean a reduction from a deficit equal to more than 10 percent of the gross domestic product — larger than any deficit since World War II — to 3 percent, which is the level that economists generally consider sustainable. Mr. Obama will project deficits at about that level through 2019.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Divided over stimulus

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

AP's Fouhy writes that "leading Republicans used this weekend's meeting of the National Governors Association to lay out divergent views of President Obama's stimulus plan -- and competing visions of their party's future."

The Washington Post: “Leading Republican governors continued their sparring yesterday by offering divergent views of the recovery act, with Southern conservatives saying they would reject some stimulus funds and coastal moderates embracing Obama's plan. But governors of both political parties said in interviews yesterday that the Obama administration should give states flexibility to make smart investments in education, health care and transportation.”

The New York Times on the geographical division inside the GOP: “The Republican governors’ divide reflects their party’s erosion to a mostly regional party that is based in the conservative South, after heavy election losses in the Northeast, Midwest and West. And with the party leaderless after losing control of both the White House and Congress in the past two election cycles, the split is colored by early maneuvering for conservatives’ support among potential aspirants for the party’s 2012 presidential nomination.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Tuesday's speech

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:15 AM by Mark Murray
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Previewing Obama’s address to Congress on Tuesday, the New York Times says Obama will “present a road map for ‘how we get to a better day,’ a senior adviser says… The appearance before a joint session of the Senate and the House offers an opportunity for Mr. Obama to reprise some themes and initiatives from his campaign that have been overshadowed by the economic emergency that has defined the first month of his presidency.”

More: “The president is not planning to announce significant new policies, officials said, but intends to explain how his agenda can advance despite the deepening recession and monumental budget deficit. The address will be heavily weighted toward domestic priorities and the economy, aides said, and will offer only a brief look at foreign policy.”

Here’s a good primer, courtesy of the New Republic, regarding what Obama will say about health care in his budget.

"Obama hasn't waited for the evildoers' to make the first move," the New York Daily News writes. "Despite his widely debated plan to close the U.S. terrorist prison in Guantanamo Bay, Obama -- in far less publicized decisions -- has acted more hawkishly than the dovish candidate who was a hero to the left. In his first orders as commander in chief, Obama kicked Al Qaeda in the teeth with a series of missile strikes, set in motion a troop surge in Afghanistan and warned nuclear wanna-be North Korea. Once-skeptical intelligence officers now praise Obama for being 'a wolf in sheep's clothing.'"

And the Washington Post's Kessler sums up the first overseas trip for Secretary of State Clinton. "Clinton's willingness to speak frankly -- combined with an extensive effort to get beyond ministerial meetings in order to hold town hall meetings and conduct local television interviews in the countries she visits -- suggests she will put a distinctive personal stamp on the Obama administration's foreign policy. What is emerging is something less rigid, less cautious and more open."

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Congress: Unprepared for the frenzy

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
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Politico writes, “In multiple interviews, several Senate aides and Burris confidants say the senator was unprepared from a public relations and political perspective to deal with the national media frenzy and ethics problems he now confronts."

A Burris associate tells First Read that though he doubts the senator will resign soon. "It's impossible to find a Democrat in the state not touched by Blagojevich," the source said, adding that he doubted any Democrat could hold the seat, including state Attorney General Lisa Madigan and Blagojevich replacement Gov. Pat Quinn. "Pat Quinn was his running mate," the source said, adding, "Even Obama is associated."

Roll Call quotes another source saying resigning hadn't been discussed internally as of Friday. "Burris, this source said, is currently behind closed doors considering his next move. The Senator believes he has been honest and above board, but feels he is suffering in part because of a faulty communications strategy in relation to how he has dealt with this latest scandal."

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Coleman's cash

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:12 AM by Mark Murray
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MINNESOTA: The Hill's Wilson reports the RNC donated $250,000 to Coleman's recount bid on Jan. 26 under Mike Duncan’s administration. The Minnesota Republican Party also got a $142,000 cash infusion from Sen. John McCain's (R-Ariz.) presidential victory committee. Sen. Lamar Alexander's (R-Tenn.) political action committee as well as dozens of individuals have also given to the state party, specifically earmarking their contributions for Coleman's recount efforts."

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2010: Start of the comeback?

Posted: Monday, February 23, 2009 9:11 AM by Mark Murray
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Stu Rothenberg, writing in Roll Call, says Republicans' death in the Northeast "has been greatly exaggerated. True, over the past decade, the GOP has been slaughtered in New England... But 2010 could be the start of a comeback for the GOP in the Northeast, in part because the party suffered such complete devastation that a bit of a rebound seems close to inevitable."

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Sanford fires back

Posted: Sunday, February 22, 2009 12:58 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Domenico Montanaro
South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford struck a feisty tone Saturday night, responding directly to Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley’s call earlier in the day for “fringe” Republican governors opposed to stimulus funds to "step aside."

"I don't see folks [here], who are really wired to step aside," Sanford said to applause from the GOP crowd in "The Crystal Room," an ornate dining room, complete with cascading chandeliers and 15-foot high green marble columns, at the upscale Willard Intercontinental Hotel in downtown Washington, two blocks from the White House.

At the Republican Governors Association dinner -- in part, a thank you to Republican fundraisers during this weekend when governors from around the country are in the nation's capital for the National Governors Association meeting -- Sanford lauded the efforts specifically of Bobby Jindal, Haley Barbour, Rick Perry and Sonny Perdue, Southern governors who have said they’re opposed to stimulus funds and may not take money for their states.

Sanford called Republican governors the "last ones standing," when it comes to setting conservative policy.

He thanked House Minority Leader John Boehner, who was in attendance, for keeping House Republicans firmly in opposition to the stimulus.

He had some tough words, however, for the Upper Chamber.
CONTINUED >>

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A peek at the 2012 Republican field

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 5:40 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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Presidential possibles, stimulus, highlight weekend's NGA for Republicans
From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
As the nation's governors make their way to Washington this weekend for the National Governors Association conference, it provides a look at (1) Republicans who might make a run for president in 2012; and (2) What these governors will do about stimulus money.
 
Several have taken the ideological hard line that they will reject the funds -- though it's unclear they actually have final authority to do so (their legislatures do in most states). Some have said they will take the funds despite opposition to the bill. And yet others have embraced the funds from the beginning -- even lobbying for the federal government's help as their states face budget crises at home.
 
The NGA will be a showcase for Republican governors possibly considering a run for president in 2012 and beyond. The likelihood that the next Republican nominee for president will be in Washington this weekend is pretty high.
 
One notable absence will be Sarah Palin, who is still on the schedule to host a panel on natural resources. "It looks as though the Governor is not attending the NGA," Meghan Stapleton told First Read in an e-mail.
 
Palin seems to be entirely trying to avoid the Beltway limelight -- she's not attending the conservative polical action conference, or CPAC, either. Her state is facing budget issues, and the Alaska chief executive is also having to deal with revelations that she must pay income taxes for per diem expenses for days she spent at her Wasilla home.

CONTINUED >>

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Don't expect Senate to expel Burris

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 4:39 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Ken Strickland
While there are lots of calls for Sen. Roland Burris to resign, don't expect any effort from his Senate colleagues to expel him from the Senate when he returns to Capitol Hill next week. 

Even though Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin told a Chicago newspaper earlier this week that Burris' "future in the Senate seat is in question," leadership staff on both sides of the aisle say, at this stage, the only way Burris would be out of the Senate would be for Burris to resign.

As a rule, the Senate prefers to let investigations, trials, etc., run their course before they act. (For example, there was never a serious effort to expel former Sens. Ted Stevens and Larry Craig even as they were waiting to appeal their cases.)

CONTINUED >>

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'Unprecedented' everything

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 4:34 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Athena Jones
WASHINGTON -- President Obama pledged to do all he could to ensure stimulus dollars were not wasted, telling a group of some 80 mayors gathered in the East Room of the White House Friday that he would "call them out" if they spent the funds unwisely.

He said he would do the same to federal agencies who wasted taxpayer dollars, while highlighting the scope and scale of a plan he fought hard to pass.

"This plan does more to lay a new foundation for our cities' growth and opportunity than anything else Washington has done in generations and it will bring real and lasting change for generations to come," the president said.

The word of the hour at the East Room event was "unprecedented," with Obama and Vice President Joe Biden stressing that the recovery package included "unprecedented investment in American cities" and that the American people had placed "unprecedented trust" in the Obama administration to implement this plan effectively, something that would require "unprecedented responsibility and accountability" on everyone's part.

CONTINUED >>

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Chu jumps in 'deep end of the pool'

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 1:18 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s John Yang

Energy Secretary Steven Chu may be a Nobel laureate Ph.D. in physics, but his first forays into energy policy suggest he's a neophyte when it comes to the ways of Washington.
 
At a forum with reporters on Thursday, the head of the department that has traditionally taken the lead on global oil-market policy, was asked what message the Obama administration had for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries at its meeting next month.
 
"I'm not the administration," the Cabinet secretary replied. "I will be speaking and learning more about this in order to figure out what the U.S. position should be and what the president's position is." CONTINUED >>

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Quinn calls on Burris to resign

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 12:28 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From WMAQ's Maryann Ahern
Democratic Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn, who replaced the impeached Rod Blagojevich, has called on Sen. Roland Burris "to do what's right, put people's interest first and resign."

Quinn also laid out his plan for special elections to fill future Senate vacancies. 

He said he still favors "temporary appointments" by the sitting governor, however. 

*** UPDATE *** Potential 2010 Illinois Democratic challengers have asked for Burris to resign, including Dan Hynes and Alexi Giannoulias.

Per NBC's John Yang, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs suggests Burris take time this weekend and correct what he has said about his contacts with Blagojevich and Blagojevich's circle and "think about the future."

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She's got Seoul…

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 11:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Andrea Mitchell

Hillary Clinton is trying to reinvent the role of Secretary of State, surprising reporters on her plane and a lot of diplomats yesterday by talking plainly, even if it wasn’t exactly diplomatic.

Asked today why she had been so blunt about North Korea's ailing leader Kim Jong Il, she said, "I don’t think it's a forbidden subject to talk about succession in the Hermit Kingdom. ...To worry about something that is so self-evident is an impediment to clear thinking." 

Video: During her trip to Seoul on Thursday, Sec. of State Hillary Clinton sent some unmistakable signals to North Korea. NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports.

It does mark a change from the usual diplomatese. Clinton's response today? "Maybe this is unusual because you're supposed to be so careful you spend hours avoiding the obvious.”
 
She's been getting a rock star reception. Just take a look at what happened in Jakarta when she waded into a poor neighborhood to look at a water sanitization project and was mobbed. She plays to that advantage, telling reporters, "I see our job right now, given what we've inherited, as repairing relations, not only with governments but with people. …President Obama has an extraordinary ability to do that because of the emotion he engenders.”

To a lesser degree, she says she can do that also by getting down into the population. That's why in Jakarta she appeared on an Indonesian music show that was a cross between American Idol and The View, a program called "Awesome," charming the hosts when she confessed that her musical tastes were formulated in the 60s -- The Beatles and the Rolling Stones.

CONTINUED >>

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First thoughts: One month down

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:38 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** One month down: Today marks exactly one month since Obama was inaugurated. The country, and the world frankly, is engaged on pretty much anything this president does. The Blackberry-clutching candidate Obama joked on the campaign that a president needs to multi task. Well, he’s gotten his shot at that so far. It’s been a month of successes: passing the largest economic stimulus bill in the history of the country while retaining high approval numbers. And pitfalls: losing the spin war at the outset of the stimulus, Daschle (and other nominee) tax problems, lobbying exceptions, the Commerce Department (just in general -- what a mess), Geithner’s TARP II rollout. And there’s a whole lot more to come: Housing, health care, climate change, the labor-business fight, Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, North Korea, Israel-Hamas, and on. Republicans have been unimpressed. In an e-mail blasted out (twice) to reporters this morning, they stress this has been a “disappointing month,” one “marked by wasteful spending, failed bipartisanship, and questionable ethics.” Ask yourself this, what will be more remembered -- Nancy Killefer’s taxes, field mice and Bill Lynn’s lobbying? Or that Obama got a more than $700 billion bill through Congress in less than a month -- and most importantly, to both Democrats and Republicans, whether it works at all?

*** The great challenge that this White House is dealing with is the 24/7 nature of the Twittering media that no other president has ever dealt with on the policy front. It's the natural evolution, considering that campaigns have gotten this kind of coverage for years. Still, this environment of incremental up-down rulings by the punditocracy (most notably business pundits, see yesterday) on Obama's first month of policy, is quite the message handling challenge for this White House. Right now, it’s chosen to deal with it by flooding the zone; instead of pushing one storyline a week, they go ahead and try and sell multiple messages. Can they keep up the pace?

Video: GOP governors split over stimulus. Gov. Tim Pawlenty, R-Minn., discusses.

*** The governors are coming: After a furious week (including Obama signing the stimulus into law, unveiling his home-foreclosure plan, and traveling to Canada), all eyes are now turning to Tuesday’s big address to Congress. But before then, the governors are coming to town for the National Governors Association conference. Some events: Saturday kicks off with a press conference with Govs. Ed Rendell (D) and Jim Douglas (R) at 10:00 am ET, as well as with a panel on energy and infrastructure (with T. Boone Pickens and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger). Schwarzenegger and Rendell will debate at 3:00 pm ET on what the nation’s priorities should be. On Sunday, President Obama hosts a black-tie dinner for the governors at 7:30 pm. And on Monday, there's a governors-only meeting with Obama at 9:30 am ET. There are two obvious storylines: The first is the economy and the stimulus plan, which provides quite a bit of money to the states to help balance their budgets. Some prominent Republican governors, all potential 2012 presidential candidates, (Bobby Jindal, Haley Barbour, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Mark Sanford) have not only been outspoken against the stimulus, they've also said they might reject the funds intended for their states. Recently, however, both Perry and Sanford have now signaled they'll probably take the money. It's also worth noting that other Republican governors like Schwarzenegger and Charlie Crist have supported the stimulus.

*** Showcase showdown: The other storyline is 2012, given that the NGA will most definitely be a showcase for GOP governors who might run for president: Palin, Jindal, Crist, Tim Pawlenty and possibly Sanford. Palin's office, though, told First Read that she WILL NOT be attending. (They’ll have to change the program, since Palin’s still listed as hosting a “natural resources” panel.) Wonder what the temperature will be like when Sanford and Crist pass in the hall… just sayin’. With no Palin, it'll be Jindal who may get the most "Is he the future of the party?" coverage. He gets the prime spot on Tuesday, the Republican response to President Obama's joint session speech, but before Tuesday, he'll be on "Meet the Press" -- a place quite a few presidential wannabes have begun their invisible campaigns.

*** The Dems: Don’t forget the potentially news-making Democratic governors expected to attend, like, New Jersey's Jon Corzine (who's up for re-election in 2009 and dealing with poor poll numbers), New York's David Paterson (still under fire after the badly executed Senate appointment), Illinois' Pat Quinn (who might have to make his own Senate appointment, if Roland Burris resigns -- fat chance, right?), Kansas' Kathleen Sebelius (headed to HHS?), and Michigan's Jennifer Granholm (who leads a prime auto manufacturing state facing tough economic times).

*** Against the stimulus before they were for it: We clipped a few items yesterday that mentioned House Republicans who now are for at least parts of the stimulus after they voted against it. Look at this list of House Republicans that the DCCC has tracked:
-- Michigan’s Pete Hoekstra’s Twitter boasting the $8,000 home rebate (which was a Republican idea, we should say);
-- Leonard Lance (NJ) hoping for money for a local project
-- Greg Walden (OR) advocating for taking the funds for his district
-- Blaine Luetkemeyer (MO) touting “shovel-ready” as well as educational benefits of the bill;
-- Don Young claiming he “won a victory for the Alaska Native contracting program and other Alaska small business owners” in the stimulus;
-- Ken Calvert (CA) saying he’d take what money he can; and
-- John Mica (FL), who we mentioned yesterday, lauding Obama’s dedication to high-speed rail.

Huh? This is going to be a tight rope for these GOPers to walk. It’s why we thought they’d given themselves cover to vote for it on the second go round when $100 billion had been stripped out. But they were all whipped into voting against, and if these statements are any indication, could be problematic at home.

*** You don't know Jack: AP does a roundup of all the ethically challenged Democrats, included in the roundup is just one line about the mess involving Democratic Rep. Jack Murtha.

It involves illegal contributions from a defense contractor, among other things; of course, Murtha's always had a very cozy relationship with the defense industry, thanks to the prominence of his brother, the defense lobbyist. But keep an eye on this one: it could to be ugly. First, Murtha himself, seems to walk the ethical line regularly, starting with his involvement in ABSCAM in the early '80s to now. Second, he's close to Speaker Nancy Pelosi, will he end up muddying her up, even if it's unsuspecting? DId she turn too much of a blind eye toward him, simply because she goes out of her way to respect the House's seniority system? Murtha was a cause celeb for about six months in '06 when he became the party's anti-war spokesperson; quite a few unaware Democrats sidled up to Murtha and may now find out they made a mistake.  

*** Obama today: While the governors will be getting Obama's attention over the weekend, today he meets with mayors. Obama, Vice President Biden, Energy Secretary Steven Chu, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan, Education Secretary Arne Duncan, Attorney General Eric Holder, EPA administrator Lisa Jackson and Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood attend a meeting at the White House at 10:30 am ET with the U.S. Conference of Mayors to discuss the stimulus bill. If there's been one group that has embraced the stimulus, it's been this one, but Obama, per NBC’s Savannah Guthrie, will also issue a bit of a warning: Spend the money on good projects; don’t be wasteful or you’ll have to come back to the White House to answer for it. Afterward, the president meets with senior advisers and then lunches with Biden. Obama’s schedule also has him looking at next week. In the afternoon, he works on his Tuesday address to Congress.

*** BCS meet Capitol Hill: After an undefeated season, Utah finished sixth in the BCS and was eliminated from contention for a potential national championship. (Of course, other teams, like Texas -- no specific reason for mentioning them -- had even better claims to the title game.) And today, the commissioner of Utah’s Mountain West Athletic Conference pitches Congressional staffers on his proposed reforms to the Bowl Championship Series. (There will be more details on his proposal in a couple of weeks. Generally, he wants to make it more of a “performance-based system” -- was all we could get from his folks.) The system is broken; we’ve oft-advocated on this page for an eight-team college playoff solution. ’Horns spring practice starts later this month. Let’s get this done.

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 102 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 109 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 256 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 620 days

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First 100 days: Back from Great White N.

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:35 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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"President Obama and Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, emerging with smiles after a meeting in Harper's office and a working lunch, said this afternoon they had agreed to work closely on stimulus plans to tackle the global recession, to create a joint clean energy initiative, and to pursue stability and progress in Afghanistan," the Boston Globe writes. 

Video: Obama makes first foreign trip on friendly turf. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.

A few things to ponder: if residents of other countries react the way Canadians reacted to Obama, he's not going to be popular with a lot of world leaders... potentially. We wonder what was going through Prime Minister Stephen Harper's head when thousands showed to Parliament just hoping to catch a glimpse of the American leader.

On policy, it was interesting to see and hear Obama in Canada have to walk the line on NAFTA again. But if yesterday highlighted anything, it’s the difference between being a candidate and being a president. Harper may have shown the U.S. and Canada’s cards, by the way, when he said that the U.S. and Canada have the same goals on trade. Reading between the lines, he’s saying, “Hey, we’re not the problem here when it comes to labor and environmental standards.” Over to you, Mexico.

On Air Force One, Deputy Secretary of State Jim Steinberg said Harper “raised the issue of ‘Buy America.’ The President basically said what he said in the press conference about the fact that he was committed to making sure that everything we did was consistent with NAFTA and the WTO, and recognized that it was important under these circumstances for trade not to contract and for countries to work together to address that.”

Clinton’s Bluntness on North Korea: Staying abroad, NBC's Andrea Mitchell reports from Asia, following Secretary of State Hillary Clinton: Clinton is trying to reinvent the role of Secretary of State -- surprising reporters on her plane and a lot of diplomats yesterday by talking plainly, even if it wasn't exactly diplomatic. Asked today why she had been so blunt about North Korea's ailing leader Kim Jong Il, she said, "I don’t think it's a forbidden subject to talk about succession in the Hermit Kingdom. ...To worry about something that is so self-evident is an impediment to clear thinking." It does mark a change from the usual diplomatese.

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: The housing debate

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:32 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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After the round heard round the Web and (by cable gawkers), “It seems like everyone -- even those who don't own a home -- has an opinion about whether the country should spend $75 billion to let strapped homeowners refinance at lower interest rates,” the New York Daily News reports. 

“President Obama's massive housing bailout plan ignited a furious national debate yesterday, with advocates calling it a godsend and critics demanding to know why homeowners who pay their mortgages on time should subsidize those who don't,” the New York Post writes.

Video: NBC’s Brian Williams talks to CNBC’s Rick Santelli and Steve Liesman about President Obama’s mortgage-rescue plan and the continuing slump on Wall Street.

TODAY had on CNBC ranter Rick Santelli to debate the merits with colleague Steve Liesman, who penned a favorable review of Obama’s plan yesterday in the New York Daily News. Pressed for real solutions, Santelli offered none.

Meanwhile, the New York Times’ David Brooks reluctantly endorses what the Obama folks are doing. "Actually executing this is a near-impossible task. Looking at the auto, housing and banking bailouts, we’re getting a sense of how the propeller heads around Obama operate. They try to put together programs that are bold, but without the huge interventions in the market implied by, say, nationalization. They’re balancing so many cross-pressures, they often come up with technocratic Rube Goldberg schemes that alter incentives in lots of medium and small ways. Some economists argue that the plans are too ineffectual, others that they are too opaque (estimates for the mortgage plan range from $75 billion to $275 billion and up). Personally, I hate the idea of 10 guys sitting around in the White House trying to redesign huge swaths of the U.S. economy on legal pads. But at least they seem to be driven by a spirit of moderation and restraint. They seem to be trying to keep as many market structures in place as possible so things can return to normal relatively smoothly."

CONTINUED >>

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GOP future: RNC money, tech woes

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:31 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Per its filing to the Federal Election Commission, the Republican National Committee ended the month of January with $22.8 million cash-on-hand, and raised $5.8 million last month, says RNC spokesman Alex Conant.

Meghan McCain, campaign blogger extraordinaire and daughter of Sen. John McCain, has some tough medicine for the GOP. “When I first suggested launching a blog chronicling my experience on my father's campaign for president, I was met with confusion and resistance,” she writes in an entry on The Daily Beast. “A few people even asked me what's a blog.” Yikes. She even explains that she thinks many in the party were and are in denial, that the biggest problem was not having enough money, not their inability to mobilize voters in the way the Obama campaign did.

More: “The Republican party isn't exactly Internet savvy. That's no secret. This has been a source of personal frustration for me for a very long time. Unless the GOP evolves as the party that can successfully utilize the Web, we'll continue to lose influence. I think nothing confirms this fact to be more true than this recent election.” … Until the Republican party joins the twenty-first century and learns how to use the Internet, its members will keep getting older and the youth of America will just keep logging on to the other side.”

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Congress: Dem ethics problems

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:29 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

AP does a roundup of all the ethically challenged Democrats, included in the roundup is just one line about the mess involving Democratic Rep. Jack Murtha.   

And, of course, there’s Roland Burris, who Politico writes “is embracing a strategy of riding out the storm.” “ ‘There is no way’ Roland Burris is going to resign from the Senate, and he will return to Washington to vote in the Senate next week, sources close to Burris told Politico. ‘There is fight in him, fight in his team,’ said one associate, requesting anonymity so he could speak candidly. ‘He’s not resigning … because he’s done absolutely nothing wrong. What would be the message if he did [resign]?’” Just sayin,’ but, who’s all this “I will fight” and “done absolutely nothing wrong” business sound like?

The Boston Globe continues its series on Ted Kennedy with its sixth chapter.

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Downballot: Going and going and going

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:26 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA: The latest, per the Star-Tribune: Pressing its case in the Senate election trial, Norm Coleman's campaign argued Thursday that some votes already tallied during the recount must be illegal, going by a ruling issued by the judges last week. It's a mess that only the court can fix, Coleman spokesman Ben Ginsberg said. ‘There are more illegal votes in the current counts than in Al Franken's erstwhile [225-vote] lead, ... the margin in the race right now,’ Ginsberg said after Thursday's proceedings.”

Yesterday on Hardball, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty said this could take to the "summer or longer" and that there's "no end in sight." He said not having a senator "puts us at a disadvantage" because the big issues are being decided in Washington and Minnesota is lacking in representation. He didn't push for someone to be seated, however. And he went on to criticize the stimulus.

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2010: Pataki jumping in?

Posted: Friday, February 20, 2009 9:25 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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NEW YORK: NRSC Chair Jon Cornyn has met with and is recruiting ex-New York Gov. George Pataki to run for Senate. Meanwhile, RNC Chairman Michael Steele and Pataki will headline a March 4 fundraiser for NY-20 Republican challenger Jim Tedisco.

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Obama meets with Canada's P.M.

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 6:49 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Athena Jones
OTTAWA, Canada -- Snow flurries and cheering throngs greeted President Obama today, as he made his first foreign trip as president to meet Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

Some 17 Royal Canadian Mounted Police, clad in red, marched to the foot of the stairs as Obama deplaned at the airport, where he had brief meetings with several Canadian officials.

At least a thousand people waited outside Parliament to greet Obama, some holding aloft signs -- one read "Yes we CANada" -- and cheering as his motorcade pulled up a short time later. Others, including a person dressed as a polar bear, held banners demanding action on climate change.

Obama and Harper met privately and held a working lunch, where they discussed trade, the economy, restructuring the American auto industry, the war in Afghanistan, and energy and the environment before taking questions from the press.

CONTINUED >>

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Study: 14K losing H.C. insurance a day

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 6:07 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Jade Taenzler
According to a report released today by the liberal Center for American Progress and also the group Health Care for America Now, 14,000 Americans are losing health-care insurance every day during this economic crisis.

Since the recession began, the report says, an estimated four million additional Americans have lost their health insurance and two million have become uninsured. “Forty-six million people in America did not have health insurance prior to the recession in 2007,” Judy Feder, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, said in a conference call with reporters today. “But with the recession, it got worse. The unemployment rate grew by 0.8 percentage points in December and January alone, implying that just in these two months nearly 900,000 people became uninsured.”

Michael J. Wilson, legislative director for the United Food and Commercial Workers Union, sees the rising number of uninsured Americans impact other parts of the economy. “With 14,000 people losing health care every day, even people who still have health care are affected,” said Wilson. “If people are desperately saving their money to pay for health care, they will not be able to spend money on food or other goods, which adds to the recent turmoil in the market.”

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Biden swears in Panetta

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 4:21 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Joel Seidman
Vice President Joe Biden
presided at a ceremonial swearing-in for the new CIA director, Leon Panetta, at the intelligence agency's headquarters in Langley, VA, where he was cheered by employees.

Biden said as one of the agency's "leading customers" that he demanded the "unvarnished truth." He said that the CIA must "look around corners" and "imagine the unimaginable."

And the vice president underscored that a hallmark of this administration's foreign policy and diplomacy would be engagement, which he characterized as "active and aggressive."

In his remarks, Panetta said he wanted the agency to re-establish a working relationship with Capitol Hill. And he vowed, "We have to be honest."

Panetta also said that he was grateful that Deputy Director Steve Kappes was staying on in that role.

CONTINUED >>

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Sanford might take $$$ after all

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 10:47 AM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mark Murray
Earlier today, we mentioned that several GOP governors and potential 2012 candidates -- Sarah Palin of Alaska, Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Mark Sanford of South Carolina, Rick Perry of Texas, and Haley Barbour of Mississippi -- are considering turning down the stimulus money for their states.

Well, Sanford now says he might accept the money after all, even though he remains ideologically against it. Per the AP, "Gov. Mark Sanford says being against the plan 'doesn't preclude taking the money.' Sanford said Thursday on CBS' 'The Early Show' that he took a stand against the president's economic plan because it's 'a bad idea.' But he says ultimately he represents the interests of the almost 5 million people of his state, and he will look over the plan and decide whether some parts would work for South Carolina."

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First thoughts: Nowhere to go but up

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Nowhere to go but up: One thing was absolutely clear about the home-foreclosure plan President Obama unveiled yesterday: It was received MUCH better than Geithner’s rollout of Phase II of the bank rescue plan. Of course, that probably says more about the banking plan than the home foreclosure one; there was nowhere to go but up, right? Still, GOP criticism over the foreclosure package was pretty tepid. House Minority Whip Eric Cantor released six questions about the plan. And House Minority Leader John Boehner issued a statement 1) asking why the government should reward Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and 2) wondering if taxpayers will be forced to subsidize ACORN. Seriously, when the GOP starts trotting out ACORN talking points, you know they don’t have much to complain about. But, after reading between the lines, there is a common thread linking the foreclosure and banking plans: The Obama administration was very careful about what it didn’t say -- namely, that not every homeowner and bank is going to be saved. There are going to be a lot of folks allowed to go under, as well as a lot of banks that fail the stress test. The question is how the administration can prove what's happening (when it happens later this spring and summer) is not as bad as if nothing was done. Will the markets react that way as well?

Video: James Lockhart, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, discusses details of Obama's foreclosure plan on CNBC.

*** Just askin’: So how much is the housing plan going to cost? $75 billion or $275 billion? The White House insists that the cost is $75 billion, saying the $200 billion being used to stabilize and recapitalize Fannie and Freddie shouldn't be counted because not all the money is necessarily being spent. (Speaking yesterday to First Read, a White House aide compared it to the FDIC. If you raised the money that the government insures bank loans from $100,000 to $200,000, he said, that doesn't mean the federal government is spending new money. It's just backing up that amount.) That said, Fannie/Freddie could not offer the lower interest rates to refinance without the capital safety net, and it's pretty clear this plan will never cost $75 billion. So isn't it more correct that without $275 billion in total money, this housing plan couldn't be implemented? Discuss.

*** A GOP litmus test? This is a fascinating story, per the AP: “A half-dozen Republican governors are considering turning down some money from the federal stimulus package, a move opponents say puts conservative ideology ahead of the needs of constituents struggling with foreclosures and unemployment.” Who are these GOP governors? They’re a “who’s who” of possible presidential candidates in 2012 -- Sanford (SC), Jindal (LA), Palin (AK), Perry (TX), and Barbour (MS). What say you, Mitt Romney? This could become the ultimate litmus test for Republicans. But what will happen if residents decide they need the assistance and don't want to lose out on the money? Can governors block this aid? Will state legislatures allow it? Remember, governors have to balance their budgets, so if these Republicans decide not to accept the money, will they get blamed for the future spending cuts or tax hikes that have to follow?

*** Time to unleash the “Strange Brew” references, hoser: In his first international trip as president, Obama today travels to Canada. He arrives in Ottawa beginning at 10:30 am ET, where he’ll later be greeted by Prime Minister Stephen Harper. After that, the two men will attend a working lunch (along with several other U.S. and Canadian officials). Then, at 2:45 pm, Obama and Harper will hold a joint media availability. And finally, Obama will meet with Canada’s opposition leader and American embassy personnel before returning to DC. What questions will come up at the media avail? Trade? Afghanistan? Cuba? Mexico’s drug violence? And which questions won't be touched with a 3.2-meter pole? (Two bonus points for any reader who remembers THAT previous reference.)

*** Flashback time: Speaking of 1) Austan Goolsbee and 2) Canada… Today’s Obama-Harper meeting, of course, comes almost a year after U.S.-Canadian relations jumped to the forefront of the Democratic primary fight, when a leaked memo from Canada's Chicago consulate office claimed that Obama adviser Austan Goolsbee was downplaying Obama's anti-NAFTA rhetoric. The memo reported that Goolsbee, after meeting with Canada's consulate, said Obama's tough talk about NAFTA during the campaign "should not be taken out of context and should be viewed as more about political positioning than a clear articulation of policy plans." The Clinton campaign, of course, pounced on the memo in the build-up to primaries in Ohio and Texas, both of which Clinton won (although Obama won the Texas caucuses). And as it turns out, Goolsbee was speaking the truth. It was the classic instance of a Kinsley-defined Washington gaffe -- accidental truth telling.

*** Sebelius speculation: Meanwhile, the New York Times reports that Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius has emerged as Obama’s top choice to head HHS. Our sources won't yet classify Sebelius as a "leading candidate," but no one is disputing she's on the short list for this post. Some in the White House may be a tad spooked by the “she's gonna get it" reporting because they fear she may not and they will have disappointed her yet again. Sebelius had been seen at one point as a shoo-in for Labor, and then suddenly was passed over. Obviously, the president and the Kansas governor have a good personal relationship, but it could get strained if it looks like she's being yanked around. Of course, the big blow for Democrats in all of this Sebelius speculation is that it now seems pretty clear she's not interested in running for the open Senate seat in Kansas. Would she allow herself to be talked about like this if she were seriously looking at running?

*** Dead pol walking, part II: Yesterday, we mentioned that Roland Burris looked like a dead pol walking. Well, the New York Post’s Fred Dicker -- picking up on David Paterson’s new low poll numbers -- notes that the New York governor might soon be joining him. “‘It looks like it'll be Gov. Cuomo,’ sighed a longtime Paterson loyalist. Words like ‘unprecedented’ and ‘unbelievable’ were being used to describe Paterson's collapse in popularity - but many on the inside said they weren't all that surprised. Those who've known Paterson well for decades say he's always been unfocused, self-centered, often lazy - and, at times, clownish and immature.” It’s amazing what one badly handled Senate appointment can do to your political standing. Back to Burris, we're wondering what the difference is between an editorial page calling for a resignation and the New York Times recommending that he "consider resigning." Discuss. 

*** Coleman’s final move? Someday, the Coleman-Franken race in Minnesota -- which has been going on for 107 days past Election -- is going to come to an end. But that isn’t going to happen for weeks. Or now maybe even months, given that the Coleman legal team seems to be laying down a marker that it will take its case to the state Supreme Court or U.S. Supreme Court. This all comes after a three-judge panel yesterday declined to reconsider its ruling last week to exclude several different categories of absentee ballots, reducing the overall pool of ballots Coleman needs to overturn Franken’s 225-vote lead. After yesterday’s decision, Coleman attorney Ben Ginsberg fired off this statement: “The net effect of the court’s February 13th ruling, and their decision today to not reconsider this ruling, is a legal quagmire that makes ascertaining a final, legitimate result to this election even more difficult.” Meanwhile, the Coleman camp is still trying to raise money, releasing this YouTube fundraising solicitation from GOP senators.

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First 100 Days: Bon voyage

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:16 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

Previewing Obama’s trip to Canada today, the New York Times writes that Obama these days is striking a different message on NAFTA and trade than he did during the primary campaign. “With Canadians up in arms over 'Buy America' provisions in President Obama’s economic recovery package, and Prime Minister Stephen Harper warning the United States not to back away from its international treaty obligations, Mr. Obama, who will make a day trip to Ottawa on Thursday, is no longer emphasizing the idea of reopening Nafta.”

“Instead, he and his senior advisers are talking up the booming trade relationship between Canada and the United States -- the largest trade partnership in the world, the White House says -- and limiting their Nafta message to revamping side agreements on environmental and labor protections.” 

Video: Obama to talk trade in Canada.

Of course, Obama made the pivot on trade as he moved into the general election. Wrote Fortune last June: “‘Sometimes during campaigns the rhetoric gets overheated and amplified,' [Obama] conceded, after I reminded him that he had called NAFTA ‘devastating’ and ‘a big mistake,’ despite nonpartisan studies concluding that the trade zone has had a mild, positive effect on the U.S. economy.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 Days: Housing/stimulus news

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

The Boston Globe on the home-foreclosure plan President Obama unveiled yesterday:
"Warning that doing nothing would cost all Americans, Obama presented a three-part plan that contains $75 billion to help modify loans for as many as 4 million struggling homeowners, a change in mortgage rules to help as many as 5 million homeowners refinance into lower-cost loans, and a pledge of $200 billion to bolster mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.” 


Video:
Obama unveils morgage rescue plan Phoenix, Az.

The Globe puts together an FAQ on the housing program.

The New York Times: “The plan, which was more ambitious and expensive than many housing analysts had expected, drew praise from consumer advocates as well as the financial industry.”

The Times’ Zeleny makes this smart point about all of Obama’s travel so far as president -- it’s been to presidential battleground states (CO, FL, IN, OH, VA) that went from red to blue in November. “The president deviated from his pattern for the first time on Wednesday, appearing in Arizona to present his plan to help homeowners avoid foreclosure. Arizona, of course, voted for its favorite son Senator John McCain for president in November, but Democrats consider the state a ripe target to bring into their column the next time around.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Burris on the ropes?

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:12 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

The Hill says Burris is "on the ropes" and "on his own." 
 
The Washington Post: ”Just weeks after Blagojevich became a national punch line with his frenetic round of television interviews as the Illinois Senate was throwing him out of office, Burris is becoming the reluctant star of a public sideshow of his own. The post he first sought in 1984 may be in jeopardy.”

Video: Burris defends himself.

Still, the Los Angeles Times says it will be difficult for the Senate to expel him from office. “Though Roland Burris had some trouble being admitted to the U.S. Senate, he will not be easily expelled now that he has arrived. It takes a vote of two-thirds of the senators to oust a member, and the last senators to be formally expelled were charged with supporting the rebels during the Civil War.”

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: In need of a miracle?

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:11 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

“The Minnesota U.S. Senate election trial's three-judge panel today denied Republican Norm Coleman's request for reconsideration of their decision to rule illegal thousands of rejected absentee ballots,” the Pioneer Press writes. “Last week, the court ruled that rejected absentee ballots that fell into any of 12 ‘categories’ were illegal and would not be counted. Those categories included ballots that were sent by the deadline but got stuck in the mail and ballots that were incorrectly submitted because of bad information from election judges.”

The Coleman camp blasted the decision. The Minneapolis Star Tribune: “The often-plodding trial of the U.S. Senate lawsuit erupted Wednesday. Norm Coleman's lawyers, reacted to a pair of adverse rulings by accusing the judges hearing the suit of creating ‘a legal quagmire’ and a ‘fatal inconsistency’ by refusing to consider some rejected absentee ballots that resemble others that have already been counted.”

More: “While it's rare for lawyers to criticize judges hearing their cases, it's not surprising given the circumstances facing Coleman, said law professor Charles. ‘This has both a political purpose and a legal purpose,’ Charles said. ‘The political purpose is to try to maintain some support for the Coleman camp as it's taking on some negative legal rulings.’ The legal purpose is to ‘send a message to the court that's involved, the Minnesota Supreme Court and perhaps the federal courts that, “Look, there are serious problems here and if we appeal to you, you are going to have to take our case very seriously.”’”

Given the Coleman camp’s legal setbacks, Politico says Coleman is in need of a miracle to beat Franken. “Does Coleman have any real chance of retaining his Senate seat? The answer, according to state political and legal analysts, is that it would take a miracle. Miracles do happen in politics — but four weeks into a court case that will decide the winner of Minnesota’s tortured Senate race, the GOP incumbent is facing just-about-insurmountable hurdles to overcome the 225-vote deficit he was saddled with at the end of the official recount.” 

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2010: Blunt's in

Posted: Thursday, February 19, 2009 9:10 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

MISSOURI: CongressDaily reports that Rep. Roy Blunt (R) -- the former House minority whip -- will announce today that he’s running for the seat Sen. Kit Bond (R) is vacating. “Democratic state Treasurer Robin Carnahan has already announced she will run and has been backed by Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairman Robert Menendez… Blunt has press events scheduled throughout the weekend.”

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Obama unveils his foreclosure plan

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 3:53 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Athena Jones


MESA, Ariz. -- Calling the steep rise in home foreclosures a “crisis unlike any we’ve ever known” that threatened to unravel the American Dream, President Obama today rolled out a multi-pronged plan to help millions of people who are struggling to pay their mortgages.

In a roughly 20-minute speech, Obama laid out the key elements of his $75 billion Homeowner Affordability and Stability plan he said was necessary to help the economy. The collapse of the housing market, the president argued, has been a root cause of the credit crunch that has made it hard for families to get loans and for businesses to operate, expand, and create jobs.

Video: Obama says the crisis is unraveling the middle class.

“In the end, all of us are paying a price for this home mortgage crisis,” he told the crowd gathered at a high school here. “And all of us will pay an even steeper price if we allow this crisis to continue to deepen -- a crisis which is unraveling homeownership, the middle class, and the American Dream itself. But if we act boldly and swiftly to arrest this downward spiral, every American will benefit.”

CONTINUED >>

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Catholic divide: Pelosi meets the Pope

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 2:01 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Mike Viqueira


House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, traveling in Europe with a congressional delegation comprised of several members of her inner circle and their spouses, had an audience earlier today with Pope Benedict.

The speaker has come under fire from church officials for her position on abortion, which she believes should remain legal and safe. Her comments on Meet the Press concerning the church's position on the issue were especially controversial.

Here are two statements issued at the conclusion of the meeting. The first is from the Vatican, the other from the speaker's office"

Vatican: "His Holiness took the opportunity to speak of the requirements of the natural moral law and the Church's consistent teaching on the dignity of human life from conception to natural death which enjoin all Catholics, and especially legislators, jurists and those responsible for the common good of society, to work in cooperation with all men and women of good will in creating a just system of laws capable of protecting human life at all stages of its development." 
 
From the speaker: "It is with great joy that my husband, Paul, and I met with his Holiness, Pope Benedict XVI today. In our conversation, I had the opportunity to praise the Church's leadership in fighting poverty, hunger, and global warming, as well as the Holy Father's dedication to religious freedom and his upcoming trip and message to Israel. I was proud to show his Holiness a photograph of my family's Papal visit in the 1950s, as well as a recent picture of our children and grandchildren."

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Holder talks about race in U.S.

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 12:50 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mike Kosnar
At a Department of Justice program this morning celebrating African American History Month, the nation's first black attorney general -- Eric Holder -- said the United States is a "nation of cowards" when it comes to racial issues.

Holder said average Americans "simply do not talk enough with each other about race."
  
Holder maintained that Justice Department employees have a special responsibility to advance racial understanding throughout the country.

Video: Watch Holder's speech at a Black History Month program.

"Though this nation has proudly thought of itself as an ethnic melting pot, in things racial we have always been and continue to be, in too many ways, essentially a nation of cowards. Though race-related issues continue to occupy a significant portion of our political discussion, and though there remain many unresolved racial issues in this nation, we, average Americans, simply do not talk enough with each other about race."

CONTINUED >>

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Burris won't talk to reporters

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 12:44 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
In a press release detailing embattled Sen. Roland Burris' speech today in Chicago at 1:30 pm ET, his office says the senator WILL NOT take questions at the event.

The release says, "At today's luncheon, Sen.. Burris will not take questions from the media. Senator Burris wishes to refrain from commenting any further during the current review by Sangamon County State's Attorney General John Schmidt, and is committed to cooperating with state agencies and the Senate Ethics Committee."

The speech is before the City Club of Chicago, where Burris is suppose to discuss his first month in the U.S. Senate.

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Judd Gregg back to the White House...

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 11:57 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
...for a fiscal summit.

Today, New Hampshire Sen. Judd Gregg -- whom President Obama had nominated to serve as Commerce secretary -- announced that the president has invited him to participate in the White House's Fiscal Responsibility Summit next week. The summit will address long-term entitlement spending on things such as Social Security and Medicare.

"I've been asked by the President, along with a number of other Members of Congress, to join him next Monday," Gregg said in a written statement. "My goal for the summit will be to address the long-term fiscal tsunami that is headed our way as a result of the cost of making payments to the Baby Boom Generation through health and retirement entitlement programs."

Gregg is the top Republican on the Senate Budget Committee and was one of the key negotiators when Congress drafted the original financial bailout legislation (also know as the Trouble Assets Relief Program or TARP). Gregg, while not officially part of the Senate Republican leadership team, is considered a member of Republican Leader Mitch McConnell's "kitchen cabinet."

"Reform is urgently needed, especially as long-term entitlement spending threatens to strangle our economy, and action must be taken sooner rather than later," Gregg said in his statement. "I will certainly do everything I can to work with the President and others in Congress to set a course for the long-run that addresses the issue of how we pass on to our children a government they can afford."

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Coleman camp: We can still win

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 10:56 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
Yesterday, commenting on Friday's decision by the three-judge panel in Minnesota to throw out most of the categories of rejected absentee ballots that Norm Coleman’s campaign was hoping to reopen for a second look, we noted that Coleman's task to overturn Al Franken's 225-vote lead was becoming more and more difficult.

This morning, Republican lawyer Ben Ginsberg, who's working for the Coleman camp, called First Read to argue that the Republican can still prevail in the final count. Ginsberg said the ruling reduced the rejected absentee ballot pool to about 3,500 ballots -- still enough to overturn Franken's lead.

Ginsberg added that Coleman's legal team is pursuing a two-track strategy. One, it's identifying ballots that still haven't been counted. "Ballots are still being found, interestingly enough," he said. And two, it's arguing that the decision to accept some absentee ballots -- but reject others -- presents an "equal protection and elementary fairness" problem.

CONTINUED >>

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First thoughts: Obama's war?

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:19 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Obama’s war? USA Today’s front page must have been quite the eye-opener for President Obama this morning, since it's the one paper he most likely read while on the road in Phoenix to deliver his home foreclosure plan. The headline: "Obama's War." Despite no presidential verbal statement about the troop increase to Afghanistan and despite the fact the president is here in Phoenix today to talk housing, it's the issue of Afghanistan that dominates America's hotel paper of record. After all, the addition of 17,000 troops by the summer is a 50% increase in the U.S. commitment. This headline is another reminder to an Obama team that may be thinking about the following question: How many times during this presidency will Afghanistan step on planned policy and political rollouts (like today's home foreclosure plan)? What’s more, the announcement of the 50% troop increase came without any presidential explanation or new policy announcement. And that's got some anti-war advocates very upset. But remember, Obama's rhetoric on Afghanistan was always as a response to Iraq questions. It was always the "right" war vs. Iraq as the "wrong" war.

Video: The Obama administration's "remissioning" of more than 10,000 troops to Afghanistan could be the first of several deployments. 

*** Obama’s home loan: As we mentioned above, President Obama unveils his plan to address home foreclosures at an event in Phoenix at 12:15 pm ET. According to sources, the main goal of the plan is simple: prevent avoidable foreclosures by first helping homeowners who owe more than their house is now worth, and who currently can’t refinance. The Obama plan will allow homeowners to either refinance at a lower interest rate or extend the life of their loan. The government will subsidize mortgage companies who work with these so-called underwater homeowners. But if private lenders won’t help, the Obama plan would turn to government-sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. The plan also tries to help homeowners who have mortgages too large for their income. The initial cost of this plan: a little more than $50 billion, taken from the second $350 billion in TARP funds. Unlike last week's bank bailout -- or even the various explanations for the just-passed stimulus plan -- housing is a much easier issue for the public to grasp. And unlike the bank bailout, the administration is using its best spokesman to unveil the plan: Obama. Some questions include: Will $50 billion be enough? How are good borrowers rewarded in this system? And can the government get in the game of re-valuing properties?

Video: The president is expected to unveil a plan today that could help homeowners.

*** The ideas race: With the stimulus now signed into law, here’s our question of the day: When will the GOP begin being an idea factory the way they've become an opposition factory? (This morning alone, the RNC has blasted out five newspaper clips that raise questions about Obama and his administration.) During the fight over the stimulus, we heard Republicans champion more tax cuts, fiscal discipline, and a laissez-faire economic philosophy. The problem: Those ideas aren’t necessarily new, and the Bush years in particular damaged the GOP brand on fiscal discipline. So what are the Republicans’ ideas moving forwards? Ironically, since becoming RNC chair, Michael Steele has scrapped a fledgling in-house think tank, the Center for Republican Renewal, that ex-chair Mike Duncan had established. The Republicans are doing a great job on the political war front, but they are going to have to offer up counter-proposals that are hyped up in the same way the party hypes up Obama missteps.

*** Dead pol walking? Meanwhile, it now seems like Roland Burris’ decision whether or not he'll run in 2010 has become the least of his worries. The Senate Ethics Committee has opened a preliminary investigation into Burris’ changing stories about his contacts and conversations with Blagojevich associates, and a downstate Illinois prosecutor is investigating whether the U.S. senator committed perjury. What’s more, Burris’ hometown paper -- the Chicago Tribune -- is now calling for resignation (“There's only one honorable action for Burris: resign”). As is the Washington Post (“The people of Illinois have suffered enough. Mr. Burris should resign”). Harry Reid has to be muttering, "I told you so.” Who will be the first senator to threaten expulsion?

Video: Burris is being asked to step down after admitting to fundraising efforts for Blagojevich. 

*** Paging Tom Kean and Lee Hamilton: Here's an idea that will catch like WILDFIRE with members of Congress. JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is calling for a 9/11-style commission to investigate Wall Street and the financial mess. Now here's a fun game this morning: Try and come up with a competent list of panelists who don't have potential conflicts of interest? 

*** What happened to that fastest transition in history? Here's also a story the GOP might jump on today: the lack of staff at various administration departments to implement the stimulus bill. "The once efficient Obama transition has ground to a near standstill after tax problems bedeviled several of his nominees, leaving the top echelon of his government largely unassembled. Three cabinet jobs remain unfilled, only 2 of the 15 cabinet departments have deputy secretaries confirmed, and the vast majority of lower-level political jobs remain vacant."

*** Sarah smile?
 It isn’t easy running for president after being your party’s defeated VP nominee. (See: John Edwards and Joe Lieberman.) And, for Sarah Palin, it doesn’t become any easier when you find that your day job in Alaska isn’t the same as it was before you became your party’s running mate. Under the headline, “Back Home in Alaska, Palin Finds Cold Comfort,” today’s Washington Post writes: “A number of factors seem to have contributed to the bumpy homecoming: a residual anger among Democrats for the attack-dog role Palin assumed in the McCain campaign, lingering resentment from Republicans for the part she may have played in McCain's defeat, and a suspicion crossing party lines that the concerns of Alaska, at a time of economic crisis, will now be secondary to her future in national politics. Nearly every move that Palin makes or does not make, acknowledges Joe Balash, one of her closest aides, is analyzed through a new political prism, scrutinized for its effect on a possible 2012 presidential candidacy. ‘There's nothing we can do to stop it,’ he said. ‘People wonder why she's doing something or not doing something.’”

*** The NHL has some work to do with the First Fan: And speaking of America’s most famous hockey mom, did anyone else catch Obama’s revelation to the CBC that he’s never attended a hockey game? He never attended a Blackhawks game?

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First 100 Days: The foreclosure plan

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

President Obama today turns his attention to what may be the biggest drag on the American economy: housing. The goal of the administration's plan is simple, according to sources familiar with it: prevent avoidable foreclosures. So who gets help first? Homeowners who owe more than their house is now worth. Currently, they can't refinance. This plan will allow them to either refinance at a lower interest rate, extend the life of the loan, or both. The government will subsidize mortgage companies who work with these eligible, yet vulnerable, homeowners. So instead of a borrower trying to "buy down" an interest rate by a couple of points themselves, the government will do the buying down of the interest rate. If a lender won't help a qualifying homeowner, the government will ask Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac to step in.

Also at the top of the list for help in this plan: homeowners who have a very poor debt-to-income ratio, meaning their current income won't support the amount of debt they have acquired. What the exact cut-off line is for this group of homeowners is not yet clear, but the goal is getting the cost of staying in one's home no more than 30% of their monthly income.

One thing the plan won't do is allow borrowers to get their entire loan amount reduced.

There is still plenty we don't know yet about the plan, including:
-- how will mortgages be handled in bankruptcy proceedings? The plan MAY make it easier for bankruptcy judges to unilaterally modify mortgages -- something Republicans in Congress believe will hurt responsible borrowers by raising interest rates. 
 -- will borrowers who have mortgages on multiple pieces of property qualify? This could affect the so-called speculators.
-- and will mortgage companies get an increased incentive to work with troubled borrowers, including an equity stake in the property?

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 Days: Troops to Afghanistan

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:15 AM by Mark Murray
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“Barack Obama, whose presidential ambitions were launched by his opposition to one war, moved Tuesday to expand the U.S. deployment in another,” USA Today writes. “In his first such action as president, Obama ordered an additional 17,000 combat troops to Afghanistan. His administration cast the move as an interim step to battle the resurgent Taliban, secure Afghanistan's border with Pakistan, increase security for summer elections and stem the decline in a war that the United States now risks losing.”

The Washington Post: “The new deployments, to begin in May, will increase the U.S. force in Afghanistan by nearly 50 percent, bringing it to 55,000 by mid-summer, along with 32,000 non-U.S. NATO troops. In a statement issued by the White House, Obama said that ‘urgent attention and swift action’ were required because ‘the Taliban is resurgent in Afghanistan, and al-Qaeda . . . threatens America from its safe-haven along the Pakistani border.’”

The New York Times says the Afghanistan decision “also carries political risk for a president who will be sending more troops to Afghanistan before he has begun to fulfill a promised rapid withdrawal of troops from Iraq. Many experts worry that Afghanistan presents an even more formidable challenge for the United States than Iraq does, particularly with neighboring Pakistan providing sanctuary for insurgents of the Taliban and Al Qaeda.”

The New York Times on the spin war over the stimulus: "The division between the two parties over the bill’s political repercussions was almost as stark as that over its substance. Leaders of the Democratic Senate and House campaign committees said in interviews that they would try to ensure that Republicans paid a price in 2010 for having opposed the measure. Not a single Republican in the House voted for the bill, and only three Republicans backed it in the Senate. Over the next few days, 30 first-term House Democrats will hold events in their districts highlighting how spending there can protect and create jobs and otherwise benefit those harmed by the downturn."

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Burris under fire

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
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Per NBC’s Ken Strickland, a source on the Senate Ethics Committee said it was opening a preliminary investigation into the Burris matter. MSNBC’s Adam Verdugo got this quote from a spokeswoman for Ethics Committee Chair Sen. Barbara Boxer: "Whenever allegations of improper conduct are brought to the attention of the Senate Ethics Committee, we open a preliminary inquiry."

The Chicago Sun-Times says the move by the Senate Ethics Committee, “which ultimately could lead to sanctions or Burris' expulsion from the Senate, followed a Downstate prosecutor's decision earlier Tuesday to open a perjury investigation against former Gov. Rod Blagojevich's choice to succeed President Obama in the Senate.”

Burris’ hometown paper, the Chicago Tribune, has called for the senator to resign. “There's only one honorable action for Burris: resign. Strip this whole wretched process out of the hands of the politicians and give it back to the people.”

The Washington Post does the same: “From the moment that Mr. Burris was selected, he strove to portray himself as a blameless public servant. The sad pictures of Mr. Burris being cast out into the rain by the Democratic leadership of the Senate, which initially refused to seat him, turned public opinion in his favor. Mr. Burris got his seat. But this latest revelation makes a mockery of his professions of no quid pro quo. It is a violation of the public trust. The people of Illinois have suffered enough. Mr. Burris should resign.”

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Recount trial continues

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
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The Minneapolis Star Tribune on what happened on Day 16 of the recount trial: “In questioning of election officials from Wright, Carver and Scott counties, the Coleman campaign sought to highlight differences in how counties processed absentee ballots. The campaign has argued that there have been ‘equal protection’ problems in the election and aftermath -- that is, that not all voters have been treated equally, in violation of the U.S. Constitution. The Franken campaign responds that Minnesota's standards are clear and the trial is only about which candidate received the most legal votes under those standards.”

The AP: "For Democrats, the absence of Franken's vote has already made passing legislation more of a challenge… The vote also underscored, for Senate Republicans, the importance of holding onto the seat. Coleman traveled to Washington last week to raise thousands of dollars to help fund his recount efforts. That included maximum $10,000 donations from Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., and House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio." More: "The longer the recount lasts in St. Paul, the more difficult things are for congressional Democrats. Some said Republicans are more intent on a drawn-out battle than holding out a realistic hope of victory."

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2010: Gillibrand losing to McCarthy?

Posted: Wednesday, February 18, 2009 9:11 AM by Mark Murray
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KANSAS: In the Kansas Senate Republican primary, "Discerning any major differences between Kansas GOP Reps. Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt requires a microscope, but as the Senate primary between them builds steam, wedges are beginning to be laid."

NEW YORK: Kirsten Gillibrand loses a Senate Democratic primary to Carolyn McCarthy, 34%-24% in a new Quinnipiac poll. If Gillibrand can hold on in the primary, she would beat Rep. Peter King in the race for Senate, the poll shows. (CORRECTION: We earlier incorrectly noted here and in the headline, Carolyn Maloney.)

Meanwhile, per the Washington Post’s Cillizza, the RNC “is going up on television with ads in support of New York state Assemblyman Jim Tedisco in his special election bid in the state's 20th district, an early sign that newly elected chairman Michael Steele plans to wade into downballot races to reassert the party's competitiveness across the country and in the Northeast in particular. The ad, which was produced by Tedisco's campaign but funded -- to the tune of roughly $80,000 -- by the RNC, will be on Albany broadcast television, which reaches 80 percent of the district's voters, starting this evening.”

Here’s the ad.

OHIO: The AP and Roll Call preview the Democratic Senate primary between Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher.

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Obama on 'Buy America,' NAFTA, war

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:00 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The White House released the transcript of President Obama's interview with the CBC (Canada) and the first question had to do with the "Buy America" clause in the stimulus. That led nicely into NAFTA, which was a campaign issue. Obama also laid out the priorities and barometers for success in Afghanistan, where Canadians play a crucial role.

The president said Canadians shouldn't "be too concerned" about the "Buy America" clause. "I think that if you look at history one of the most important things during a worldwide recession of the sort that we're seeing now is that each country does not resort to 'beggar thy neighbor' policies, protectionist policies, they can end up further contracting world trade," Obama said.

But, "[M]y expectation is, is that where you have strong U.S. competitors who can sell products and services, that a lot of governors and mayors are going to want to try to find U.S. equipment or services, but that we are going to abide by our World Trade Organization and NAFTA obligations just as we always have," the president added.

CONTINUED >>

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How's Burris playing in Peoria?

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 3:37 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Doug Adams
In brief statements to reporters in Peoria, Ill., today, where he is on a statewide speaking tour, Sen. Roland Burris said he has "nothing to hide" and offered to answer questions before "any and all investigative bodies," including the Senate Ethics Committee.

Burris said his testimony about contacts with impeached Illinois Gov. Rod Blagovich, are "truthful and consistent." He added that "there were never any inappropriate conversations between me or anyone else."

Burris did not take any questions, and quickly left the room. Reporters are eager to question him after reports that last night he admitted he tried to arrange a fundraiser for the governor last fall, but was unable to persuade friends to contribute.

NBC's Lee Cowan reported on MSNBC that though Burris may have admitted to trying to raise money for Blagojevich, essentially, there were no takers. Therefore, he is technically, standing by his statement that he did not raise money for or donate to Blagojevich.

Here's a rough log of Burris' statement, per NBC's Mark Hudspeth:  

CONTINUED >>

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Another vying for Ohio Senate seat

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 3:11 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mark Murray
In a video statement, Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner (D) today announced that she will run for Sen. George Voinovich's (R) vacant Senate seat in 2010.

As it stands now, Brunner would compete in a Democratic primary against Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D), who also has said he's running for the seat.

Former Ohio Rep. Rob Portman (R) -- who served as George W. Bush's budget director -- is the sole Republican so far vying for the seat.

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10,000+ troops to Afghanistan

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 2:50 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Jim Miklaszewski and Courtney Kube
The White House is expected to announce the deployment of more than 10,000 additional U.S. forces to Afghanistan "within the hour," according to Pentagon officials. The Pentagon will follow with details on numbers and identification of troops to be deployed.

The troop deployment to Afghanistan will be announced as a "remissioning," meaning many, if not most, of the forces were already scheduled to deploy to Iraq but will now be diverted to Afghanistan. 

That will reportedly include two Marine combat battalions and one Army combat brigade. According to one Pentagon official, because this "remissioning" will, in fact, redirect troops from Iraq to Afghanistan, it will be politically characterized as a "drawdown" of U.S. military forces in Iraq, permitting the White House to claim in this one announcement that President Obama is making good on two campaign promises -- withdrawing forces from Iraq and sending additional forces to Afghanistan.

If he hasn't already, Defense Secretary Gates is expected to sign the deployment order today to send the more than 10,000 U.S. Marines and soldiers to Afghanistan in the spring.

*** UPDATE *** According to senior Pentagon and military officials, President Obama today authorized the deployment of 17,000 additional forces to Afghanistan. Defense Secretary Gates, however, either has or will sign the actual deployment order for 12,000 forces, 8,000 Marines and 4,000 soldiers for Aghanistan.

The deployment order for the additional 4,000, most support personnel, will be signed at a later date when those individual units and troops are identified. The 17,000 number was in one of the earlier orders that was sent up chain of command then back down again a couple weeks ago.

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Recovery.gov goes live

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 12:43 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Savannah Guthrie and Domenico Montanaro
The administration's Web site showing how stimulus money is spent, state-by-state, is up and running today, per the White House.

"Today, the White House launched www.recovery.gov -- an unprecedented step to increase transparency in government," the White House said in a press release. "The website features a searchable database, allowing Americans to see how and where their tax dollars are being spent. Following the passage of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the website will include a state-by-state report on the impact of law as well a breakdown of spending in the bill by sector.

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Out of the office

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 11:29 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
This news might not help New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine's (D) re-election prospects this year. According to a review by the Newark Star-Ledger, Corzine "spent all or part of 105 days outside of New Jersey in 2008... That is more absences than in either of his first two years as governor, and appears to be the most since Republican Christie Whitman was governor in the 1990s."

More: "When Corzine leaves the state, he must formally transfer power to Senate President Richard Codey (D-Essex), who serves as acting governor. Copies of those transfer letters enabled The Star-Ledger to count Corzine's absences. The counts do not include some of Corzine's visits to Manhattan, where his girlfriend Sharon Elghanayan lives. Early in his term, the attorney general's office said such visits would not trigger gubernatorial succession."

And: "Among Corzine's out-of-state trips in 2008 were the Democratic National Convention in Denver, campaign stops for Clinton in Nevada and Obama in Florida, a trade mission to Israel followed by a few days of vacation there, and visits to his family in California and Illinois. The governor was out of state for all or part of 17 days in each of the months of July, August and December, the records show. But in September and October, when panic over the economy began to peak, Corzine spent all but five days in New Jersey."

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First thoughts: Another busy week

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:19 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Another busy week: Congress might be on recess, and many other Americans might be easing back to work after a long holiday weekend. But for the Obama White House, there is no rest for the weary -- even after the president’s quick Chicago getaway. Today, beginning at 2:40 pm ET in Denver, President Obama signs the stimulus into law, around the same time as his administration receives restructuring plans from the auto industry. On Wednesday, he travels to Phoenix to unveil his plan to reduce home foreclosures (per the New York Times, it will “include a mix of government inducements and new pressure on lenders to reduce monthly payments for borrowers”). And on Thursday, Obama heads to Canada for his first international trip as president. This week's road trip isn’t by accident; Obama and his team are trying their best to avoid Washington’s echo chamber. They are clearly frustrated that, despite solid poll ratings for both the president and the stimulus plan, they are not winning the inside-the-Beltway message war. So what do you do? You leave the Beltway. Don't be surprised to start hearing the phrase "Washington Republicans" vs. "Florida Republicans" or "Colorado Republicans," etc. The White House likes to brag how it successfully ignored the Washington echo chamber during the presidential campaign. Well, that was easy working from Chicago; it's much harder when actually living in DC.

Video: President Obama heads to Denver to sign the $787 billion economic stimulus bill.  NBC's Savannah Guthrie reports.

*** 28 days later: With yet another fast and furious week, it's still a bit jarring that today begins just the fifth week in the fledgling Obama administration. That's right: In less than a month, we've seen their highs (the inauguration, the impressive East Room news conference, the stimulus' passage), their lows (the Daschle and Gregg withdrawals, zero House GOPers supporting the stimulus), and something in between (the tepid reaction to Geithner's financial stability plan). That the past month could seem more active than the Bush White House's last two years is a challenge for Obama, as well as the 24-7, live-blogging, always-Twittering media that covers him. For the administration, how do you convince the public that are no easy fixes to all the challenges -- the economy, Iraq, Afghanistan -- even as you’re racing to take on so much at once? For the press, how do we find the time to evaluate, assess, and provide perspective given that we’ve never given a new administration such close scrutiny?

*** Stuck in the middle with you: In these first few weeks, we're noticing a pattern on decisions the administration wants to put off, but doesn't want to look like they are putting off. So they’re trying to find some sort of middle ground. For instance, on the auto bailout, the president created a task force to begin looking at the situation. It looks responsive, but doesn't give away where the administration really is on the issue of, say, the idea of a GM or Chrysler bankruptcy. Then there's the Afghanistan decision; the troop approval that's coming is not a large number for now. So it puts off a policy announcement, but appeases folks for now. Ditto on GITMO.

*** Who’s attending and who’s not: Going back to the stimulus, notice how few (if any) actual members of Congress are traveling to Colorado to attend today’s bill signing. Rather, the attendees will be Vice President Biden, Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, and Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter (D). Of course, had the president wanted congressional presence, he would have asked for it. Read into THAT what you will… It seems like another opportunity to show Obama as non-Washington, no?

*** Mr. Bipartisan: Meanwhile, John McCain has conducted yet another interview in which he argues that Obama has failed to live up to his promise of bipartisanship. You’ve got to give McCain credit; the guy knows how to continue to grab headlines. During the Bush years, he was the go-to Republican for Democrats who were looking to prove they could work with a Republican and find middle ground. Now, he's serving as the one-man judge and jury on whether something's bipartisan or not, despite running a hyper-partisan presidential campaign (remember that fellow Bill Ayers?). It's going to make the Obama White House crazy, but McCain’s got enough of a following to pull this off for a few months. He still will have to actually work with Obama on some legislation to keep his bipartisan mojo for the long term.

*** An Em-Burris-ing omission? If Sen. Roland Burris was thinking about running for his Senate seat next year, does the news over the weekend -- that he filed an affidavit to amend what now seems like incorrect testimony about his contacts with Blagojevich associates -- put an end to that idea? Maybe, maybe not. After all, this is the same person who ACCEPTED a Senate appointment from a governor who was damaged by corruption charges, who was about to be impeached, and who eventually became a political laughingstock. In the long run, this is a break for Democrats, who can now begin recruiting publicly for a primary challenger. Remember that in addition to being tainted by Blago, Burris has lost several past attempts for statewide office, including one for governor in 2002. Senate Democrats hardly gave the Illinois senator a vote of confidence regarding his omission. “Clearly, it would have been better if Sen. Burris had provided this information when he first testified,” said the top spokesman for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Ouch.

*** Coleman suffers blow: Norm Coleman’s tall hurdle to overturn Al Franken’s 225-vote lead got even taller on Friday, when a three-judge panel threw out most of the categories of rejected absentee ballots that Coleman’s folks were hoping to reopen for a second look. The ruling essentially reduces the pool of ballots from which Coleman needs to net at least 226 votes to beat Franken. Folks, the writing is on the wall here. But Republicans are more than content to see this trial go on and on and on because 1) it temporarily denies Democrats a 59th Senate vote, and 2) it creates the slim possibility that the legal wrangling could somehow force a do-over election.  
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 105 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 112 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 259 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 623 days

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First 100 days: Signing the stimulus

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:17 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Denver Post previews today’s bill signing. “So is Colorado the ‘before’ picture, or the ‘after’ picture? President Barack Obama will sign the $787 billion stimulus package at the Denver Museum of Nature & Science, at a time when Colorado represents a little of both. Home prices have shrunk and unemployment is up; Colorado-based companies have seen their stock prices plummet, and falling sales tax revenues plague local governments. Conversation on the street tends to turn to joblessness, fears of salary cuts, investment losses and health care costs.”

“But Obama will be making his grand national gesture in a state where two of his pet industries of the future are thriving on new ideas and ambition, and which are ready to spend money as soon as he caps his pen. The stimulus includes billions in credits and grants meant to promote green energy production and independence from Middle East oil, and Colorado Gov. Bill Ritter, a Democrat, has long made those ideas key to his vision of creating Western jobs.” 

The Washington Post notes some liberal misgivings about the stimulus. “Liberal Democrats recognize the package's scale and accomplishment, and they have defended it against Republican attacks. But they also wonder whether Obama could have used the opportunity of a large congressional majority and a moment of economic emergency to pass a bigger package, with a better chance of boosting the economy and with more of his priorities intact. As Obama moves on to issues such as health care and energy, liberals are debating how to ensure that the stimulus outcome does not define the outer boundaries of his agenda, so that future legislation is not limited, as the stimulus was, by the demands of centrist senators such as Susan Collins (R-Maine), Olympia J. Snowe (R-Maine) and Ben Nelson (D-Neb.).”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Foreclosure, auto plans

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:15 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The New York Times previews the plan Obama will unveil tomorrow in Arizona to reduce home foreclosures. It will “include a mix of government inducements and new pressure on lenders to reduce monthly payments for borrowers at risk of losing their houses, according to people knowledgeable about the administration’s thinking. The plan … is expected to include government subsidies for reducing a borrower’s interest rate, which a lender would have to match with its own money.”

The Washington Post: “General Motors and Chrysler raced to save their place in the American auto industry yesterday, putting the final touches on plans to curb production, cut jobs and pare brands in hopes of securing billions of dollars in additional federal aid. The plans they are scheduled to submit today to the Obama administration call for a broad restructuring of their operations at a time the industry is suffering one of its steepest declines in decades. But as detailed as the plans are, they are more of a starting point than an end.” 

The New York Times has more: “G.M. will file what is expected to be the largest restructuring plan of its 100-year history on Tuesday, a step it must take to justify its use of a $13.4 billion loan package from the federal government. The plan will outline in considerable detail, over as many as 900 pages, how G.M. will further cut its work force, shutter more factories in North America and reduce its lineup of brands to just four, from eight, according to executives knowledgeable about its contents. The remaining core brands will be Chevrolet, Cadillac, GMC and Buick.”

In Japan, NBC’s Andrea Mitchell sat down with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and discussed North Korea, the state of the world economy, what the U.S. can do, reaction from around the world as well as human rights. On North Korea, Clinton said, “It would not be helpful” for North Korea to test another long-range missile. “They entered into some agreements through the six party talks that we expect them to fulfill. They are also requirements on any nation that is contemplating a space launch that they haven't complied with.” But when asked about enforcement, Clinton toed the line. “Well we'll wait and watch to see what they actually do. I don’t want to telegraph any action. I want to make it as clear as I can as I have on numerous occasions that if the North Koreans do decide to fulfill their obligations and achieve denuclearization and end proliferation there are opportunities awaiting them which I think would be very attractive.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Divine intervention?

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Speaker Nancy Pelosi meets with the Pope tomorrow in Rome. The Hill calls it "a move likely to stoke more controversy about whether Catholic politicians who support abortion rights are in line with the church...." 
 
Sen. Carl Levin is showing he's not going to be a fall-in-line Democrat. (Do those actually exist?) Levin "criticized the Obama administration's delay in choosing a group to oversee the auto restructuring, saying that it has made a key deadline more challenging to meet."

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GOP Watch: Looking out for Scooter

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The New York Daily News' DeFrank reports that Dick Cheney "launched a last-ditch campaign" to get Scooter Libby pardoned, and that when former President Bush didn't do so, Cheney was "furious." 
 
Fox News interviewed Bristol Palin, who talked about being a pregnant teen. During the campaign, the AP reported, "The two have been considering getting married next summer, 'but that could change,' she said during a short interview outside her Wasilla home." 
 
During the interview, Bristol said, "Eventually we'd like to get married."

Sarah Palin, who advocated abstinence-only during the campaign, made a surprise appearance in the interview and said with baby Tripp, "Get beyond the ideal of abstinence. Hey, life happens."

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Downballot: Coleman dealt a blow

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:11 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA: The big news from Friday in the never-ending recount: “Dealing a blow but not a knockout to Republican Norm Coleman's hopes, the judges in the U.S. Senate election trial on Friday tossed out most of the 19 categories of rejected absentee ballots they were considering for a second look, making it clear that they won't open and count any ballots that don't comply with state law,” the Minneapolis Star Tribune wrote. “On its face, the ruling looked to be a victory for DFLer Al Franken, whose lawyers had urged the judges to turn down 17 of the 19 categories and said Friday that they had very nearly done it.”

However, “Coleman's attorneys saw it differently, saying that the ruling leaves untouched about 3,500 of the 4,800 rejected absentee ballots they want the court to open and count, enough to make it possible for Coleman to overcome Franken's 225-vote certified recount lead.”

And now… “Coleman's lawyers want judges in the U.S. Senate election trial to reverse their recent ruling and consider counting rejected absentee ballots similar to others that previously were tallied… In a letter to the judges Monday, Coleman's lawyers argued that the standard for counting any remaining rejected absentee ballots ‘must be consistent with the standards this court has already applied to other ballots’ and with standards used by counties for counting thousands of absentee ballots. Friday's ruling will ‘exacerbate inconsistencies and inequities,’ the letter said. Ginsberg said in a statement that it could create a ‘widespread equal protection problem.’” 

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2009/2010: In trouble when…

Posted: Tuesday, February 17, 2009 9:09 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

ILLINOIS: It never is a good thing when members of your own party are troubled by your actions or omissions. The New York Times: “Several Democratic lawmakers from Illinois said Monday that they were troubled by revelations about Roland W. Burris, the state’s newest senator and a fellow Democrat. And at least one called for Mr. Burris to come before the state legislature and explain himself. ‘We all have a lot of questions,’ State Representative Jack D. Franks said. ‘He wasn’t forthcoming, and that’s the bottom line. I feel betrayed. The real problem here is the question of trust for the citizens of Illinois. We were supposed to rise to the occasion and, again, Illinois becomes the laughingstock for the nation.’”

More: “At a Presidents’ Day dinner in Peoria, Mr. Burris again denied any wrongdoing. He said he had been treated unfairly by Republicans and by the news media. ‘The media now is almost destroying my character,’ Mr. Burris said.” (Excuse us: Did the media force him to file an affidavit to amend previous testimony that now seems to be incorrect?) 

VIRGINIA: In Norfolk, VA, today, gubernatorial candidate Brian Moran (D) unveils the latest component of his health-care plan, which is focused on preventative care and reducing infant deaths.

Also today, Terry McAuliffe (D) hosts a grand opening at his statewide headquarters in McLean, VA -- tomorrow [We incorrectly noted earlier that it was today]. And Creigh Deeds (D) hosts a press conference in Richmond, responding to action on his legislation to reform Virginia’s redistricting process.

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Signed, sealed, delivered, I'm yours

Posted: Monday, February 16, 2009 3:28 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Mike Viqueira
Per a House leadership source, H.R. 1 -- the stimulus legislation that Congress passed on Friday -- was delivered to White House at 12:46 pm ET today.

President Obama will sign the legislation into law tomorrow in Colorado.

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Burris news, just what Dems want?

Posted: Monday, February 16, 2009 12:07 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The revelation that Illinois Sen. Roland Burris had more contact with Blagojevich's people than he was possibly letting on during that Illinois House testimony may be just what Democrats want.

Several Democrats have privately fretted that Burris, who has lost several attempts at higher office, would be a weak 2010 candidate. He has lost in primaries in several statewide runs in the past 20-plus years, and his being appointed by Blagojevich automatically makes him vulnerable against a strong GOP challenger, like, say, Rep. Mark Kirk.

But now, this may be enough to: (1) Seriously hurt Burris' chances of surviving primary challenges from strong Democratic challengers like Lisa Madigan, Jan Schakowsky, Jesse Jackson Jr. or others, and (2) Embolden those Democrats and give them prime oppo ammo.

This might clear the way, early enough for Democrats to feel they have a better chance of holding the seat. Of course, Republicans would argue, Blago gives them an easy talking point that will sully any Illinois Democrat in 2010.

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Happy Presidents' Day

Posted: Monday, February 16, 2009 9:00 AM by Mark Murray

We won't be publishing our morning First Read note today, although we'll be updating the blog as news warrants. Happy holiday.

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Is Commerce Dept. Built Ford Tough?

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 6:01 PM by Chuck Todd

From NBC's Chuck Todd
Harold Ford Jr. for Commerce Secretary? It's something a few Democrats around town are pushing and, according to sources, the idea of appointing the former Tennessee Congressman is being given serious thought by folks high up in the Obama administration. [NOTE UPDATE BELOW]

On paper, Ford checks a lot of boxes for a an easy-to-confirm nominee for this post: He's a pro-business Democrat (remember, this is Commerce Secretary so the job is to be a promoter of business); he's a former member of the Congressional Black Caucus (you'll recall this whole kerfuffle over control of the census under a Judd Gregg-led Commerce Dept. was started by complaints from the CBC); and he's a practiced spokesperson on TV (the Geithner rollout this week is a reminder that the administration doesn't have enough solid media savvy members of his team who can sell the administration's policies.).

There is one, potential, gigantic problem: Ford's current place of employment -- Merrill Lynch. Given the current views of Wall Street, Ford's nomination could come under immediate fire and he'd have to disclose exactly what his job was with ML etc. and whether he was one of the 700 million dollar bonus recipients before Merrill completed its sale to Bank of America in late 2008.

***UPDATE: Ford's folks tell me that he never received a bonus in his time at Merrill Lynch nor was he involved in developing or selling anything having to do with mortgage securities. Ford's job was simply business development and advising clients on domestic or int'l issues. Bottom line: no one close to Ford believes he has a Merrill problem.




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2001 tax cut vs. 2009 stimulus

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 4:36 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
With zero House Republicans voting for the stimulus -- and with just three Senate Republicans expected to vote for it later this afternoon -- it's worth noting that 28 House Democrats and 12 Senate Democrats voted for the final passage of Bush's big tax cut in 2001. (And remember, too, that Bush had barely won the presidential election the year before.)

The size of that 2001 tax-cut package? $1.35 trillion.

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Stimulus passage not until late tonight

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 4:15 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Ken Strickland
The Senate has set the time to start the final vote on the stimulus bill for 5:30, but the bill won't be officially pass until as late at 10 p.m. 

Here's why:
-- It takes 60 votes to pass. (On the last procedural/test vote, there were 61.)

-- Sen. Kennedy will not be voting today. That's brings the aye number down to 60, still enough for passage, BUT… .

-- Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is currently in Ohio, attending his mother's memorial service. She died earlier this week. He's represents the must-have 60th vote for final passage. He will not be back in Washington until much later tonight.

CONTINUED >>

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Frank's 'told you so' on housing

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 4:10 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Abby Livingston
The New Yorker recently quoted Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee Barney Frank saying, “Everybody likes to say ‘I told you so.’ I have found personally that it is one of the few pleasures that improves with age. I can say ‘I told you so’ without taking a pill before, during, or after I do it.”
 

Video: Barney Frank on economic woes and new populism.

And this morning at a breakfast with members of the press, he did just that.
 
Among those he is sore with is Hank Paulsen, saying that the former Secretary of the Treasury’s biggest mistake was, “He refused to use any of the TARP money on home foreclosure mitigation.” Frank later added, “Hank Paulsen, on the whole, did a very good job,” but he “lost sight of the rest of the country and pissed them off entirely.”

CONTINUED >>

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Breaking down the House stimulus vote

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 3:53 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC’s Mike Viqueira
Here's your quick down-and-dirty guide to the House vote on the stimulus.

There were seven Dems joining Republicans in opposition: Colin Peterson (MN), Gene Taylor (MS), Peter DeFazio (OR), Bobby Bright (AL), Parker Griffith (AL), Heath Shuler (NC) and Walter Minnick (ID).

Video: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi described the passing of an economic stimulus bill as 'transformational' for the U.S. economy.

Peterson (MN) has been here for years, and Dems are just happy to have him among their number, since he comes from a Republican majority district. He frequently sides with Republicans.

Taylor out of Mississippi, ditto.

Defazio is a liberal upset with the cuts that the Senate made, and angry that three Republicans over there had so much sway. He is on the Transportation Committee, and many folks from that group thought that road, bridge, etc., construction was left short.

CONTINUED >>

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House passes stimulus

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 2:36 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
The House just approved the compromise $787 billion stimulus plan (the Congressional Budget Office recalibrated the price tag) by a 246-183 vote.

Once again, not a single House Republican voted for the bill.

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Pelosi-Frank letter to auto companies

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 1:36 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mike Viqueira


When we last left the auto bailout story, GM and Chrysler were the beneficiaries of a stop-gap loan from the taxpayers, via the TARP.

The money came on the condition that the companies present a plan on how they would move forward and remain viable, especially if they are to come back to the federal treasury in search of further assistance.

In view of all this, Nancy Pelosi and Barney Frank have written the CEOs of both companies in order to lay down some markers.

Their letter, released publicly:

CONTINUED >>

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Ruth Bader Ginsburg at home

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 12:49 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Pete Williams

Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has been released from a New York hospital and is recovering from surgery at her home in Washington, a Supreme Court official says.

But the court today revealed a remarkable discovery made by her doctors when they performed surgery for pancreatic cancer.

The surgery followed the discovery of a tumor, which showed up on a CAT scan of Justice Ginsburg, part of a routine medical checkup in late January.

According to her doctors, during the surgery to remove that tumor, which turned out to be benign, they discovered a previously undetected and even smaller tumor.

CONTINUED >>

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The White House bubble

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 11:18 AM by Chuck Todd

From NBC's Chuck Todd
Obviously, I'm one of the newbies here in the White House press corps, so maybe I'm unfamiliar with the ways of how this place works. I have to say, nothing is more frustrating than covering an actual event here at the White House if you at all believe in anything remotely having to do with the First Amendment.

For instance, today, the president gave a speech in the East Room to the business council, an audience of dozens of CEOs and major business leaders in America. As per usual, we're allowed to watch the event behind a ropeline. Ok, standard procedure for any event for any candidate, let alone a president. But unlike public events, here at the White House, when the event ends, we get no access to the audience unless the audience happens to amble up to the ropeline and chat with the press.

Today, it was so bad that we were kept behind closed doors so that these CEOs and other business leaders could leave without accidentally mingling with us poor press peons. Once the CEOs were clear and escorted downstairs, then we were let out of our East Room pen. And it's not like we could rush over to the east side of the White House and find anyone left to interview about their role on this business council. By the time, a member of the press leaves out the one exit they can come in and out of, those guys and gals would be history. I'm sure most of them had cars at the ready to quickly get them to their next meeting.

*** UPDATE, RESPONSE TO COMMENTORS: "This isn't about us not having access, this is about ANYONE having access... if it's NOT us, it's the public!...Beat us up all you want, but this isn't about us whining, it's about us not even being able to do the job you want us to do and that is be the people's questioner here. But, of course, having a respectable debate on this issue with some is impossible. The irony, of course, is that many of you would be just as upset about the lack of access as I am if the occupant of the White House were someone else.

CONTINUED >>

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House begins debate on stimulus

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 10:05 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mike Viqueira and Ken Strickland
The U.S. House has just begun procedural debate on the stimulus conference report. Following this debate and a procedural vote, general debate on the conference report will take place. It will last roughly two hours.

A final vote will occur in the 1:00 pm ET. It's expected to pass, of course. Then it's on to the Senate, but we don't have an exact time the chamber will start the final vote on the bill.  Majority Leader Harry Reid said it would happen either late afternoon or early evening.

Reid also has said he will hold the vote open, probably for a few hours, to accommodate Sen. Sherrod Brown, who will be attending a memorial service for his mother. She died in Ohio earlier this week.

Because Sen. Ted Kennedy will not be voting today, Brown's vote is absolutely critical, since it will take 60 votes for passage. The last procedural vote yielded 61; without Kennedy, it's down to 60 assuming everyone votes the same (and that Judd Gregg votes against the measure).

Yesterday, Reid said Brown may not be able to get back to Washington until 8:00 pm. So there will likely be a scenario where at Nightly News time, the are 59 votes while they wait for Brown to fly back and be the final decisive vote for passage.

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First thoughts: This Judd's (not) for you

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 9:23 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** This Judd’s (not) for you: Just when you thought the news was getting a bit stale -- after the deal on the stimulus -- came the latest twist and turn on the Obama White House's four-week-old rollercoaster ride. Despite his gracious words at his press conference yesterday, Republican Judd Gregg's decision to withdraw his nomination to be Commerce secretary was a blow to the administration. One, it became the latest nomination problem for Obama (Daschle, Killefer, and Richardson), and the second one at Commerce. Two, it undermined the president's bipartisan outreach (Gregg would have been the third Republican to serve in the cabinet, and the one with the most conservative credentials). And three, it enabled Republicans to immediately politicize the withdrawal. House Minority Leader John Boehner issued a statement pointing to Gregg’s concerns “about the congressional Democrats’ trillion-dollar spending bill,” even though Gregg had praised the stimulus after being tapped for the job. And RNC chair Michael Steele explained Gregg’s withdrawal to FOX, saying that the White House was “basically high-jacking the Census process.”
 

Video: Gregg withdraws as commerce secretary nominee, citing differences over the stimulus package passing through Congress. NBC’s Savannah Guthrie reports.

*** It’s not you; it’s me: Perhaps the biggest fallout from yesterday’s Gregg news is the realization that outside Collins, Snowe, and Specter, Obama isn’t going to receive much support from Republicans, no matter how many of them he tries to appoint to his cabinet, how many times he has them over for drinks at the White House, and how many times he meets with their conference. Of course, Gregg is an ideological conservative and was always an odd fit in the president's cabinet. And he said in his statement yesterday that he was uncomfortable with the size and shape of the stimulus package, as well as the fact the White House had taken responsibility for managing the Census from the Commerce Department. We also know this: Gregg blindsided Team Obama with his final decision. The White House knew Gregg was getting cold feet, but figured they'd know before he issued his press release, which came out just as Obama was campaigning in Peoria, IL for his stimulus. That's what clearly annoyed them, and why White House press secretary Robert Gibbs fired off a pretty hot statement reacting to Gregg’s decision. A lot of the inside-the-Beltway finger-pointing is being aimed at Gregg (after all, he’s the one who withdrew, right?). But, given the other cabinet snafus, just how is this going to be perceived outside of Washington?

*** Can it be all that bad when everyone’s happy? The irony of Gregg’s departure is that it has pleased virtually everyone on the right and left. (How many times does that happen?) Here are some of the reactions from the left…Kos: “I've got an idea about what Obama should do with that post…Nominate a f%$%& Democrat.” Firedoglake: “Darn. We'll have one less Republican in Obama's cabinet.” And here are reactions from the right… Larry Kudlow blogging on National Review Online: “Three hats off to Judd Gregg for withdrawing his nomination for commerce secretary.” Added Shannen Coffin on NRO: “It is good that he saw the light, and his withdrawal further undermines Obama's empty claims of bipartisanship.” There was a big grassroots campaign on the right over the Census, and it does seem as if congressional Republicans are relieved. Gregg was no moderate, and Obama getting him to serve in the cabinet would have been a huge bipartisan coup -- which is why GOPers were so crabby about census and so relieved after he pulled out.

Video: Speaking at the Caterpillar factory in Peoria, Ill, President Obama says that his stimulus plan will bring jobs back.

*** Gregg wasn’t the only disappointing news for Obama yesterday: By the way, Obama's Peoria visit wasn't just spoiled by the news about Gregg, but also by the CEO of Caterpillar. Obama had been talking up the CEO’s pledge to hire more workers back. Then 30 minutes after the president’s speech, the CEO backs off of that pledge -- and even hints at more layoffs... Team Obama ought to be oddly happy that Gregg news stepped on the disappointing Caterpillar visit. The good news for the White House is that Congress will pass Obama’s stimulus today, giving the president a huge victory as we noted yesterday. As the White House is undoubtedly learning, every day is a new day… Per NBC’s Mike Viquiera and Ken Strickland, the House vote will come first thing this morning, while the Senate will take up the measure in the afternoon or evening.

*** So which party has the corruption problem? Meanwhile, at what point do Democrats -- who once pledged to end an era of GOP corruption -- begin laying down the law to their own members? Per Bloomberg’s Tim Burger, “During a decade in Congress, California Representative Grace Napolitano has pocketed more than $200,000 of political contributions by charging as much as 18 percent interest on money she loaned to her own campaign. The … Democrat made the $150,000 loan in 1998, when she was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives. Through Dec. 31, her campaign committee has used donations to pay Napolitano $221,780 of interest while reducing the principal by just $64,727, a review of her Federal Election Commission filings shows.” Allegations of ethical misconduct by Democrats is starting to add up: Blago, Richardson, Rangel, etc. Indeed, this Bloomberg story is a reminder of just how easy it is for ethically-challenged pols to get into Congress, and in some cases survive unpunished. There are examples on both sides of the aisle, sadly enough.

*** Off the record: In other news, former Obama campaign manager David Plouffe stepped into it yesterday by speaking at the National Press Club -- but declaring his remarks be off the record. What important information did he want to keep away from the press? Nothing that many of us didn’t already know. The Washington Post’s Milbank, who got attendees to reveal what was said, has the skinny on Plouffe's remarks. “On Sarah Palin: ‘She was our best fundraiser and organizer in the fall.’ On the primary victory over Hillary Clinton: ‘Really by February 17, mathematically, the night of the Wisconsin primary, it's over.’ On the New Hampshire primary: ‘Our sense was if we won Iowa that would be enough to shoot us past her. . . . We should have found a way to remove the pressure to win.’” 
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 109 days
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First 100 Days: The Gregg fallout

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 9:21 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

“Senator Judd Gregg of New Hampshire abruptly withdrew Thursday as the nominee for commerce secretary, saying he had ‘irresolvable conflicts’ with President Obama over his economic stimulus plan and a concern over what many fellow Republicans believe is the politicization of the 2010 census,” the New York Times reports. ‘I’m a fiscal conservative, as everybody knows, a fairly strong one,’ Mr. Gregg told reporters at a news conference in the Capitol. ‘And it just became clear to me that it would be very difficult, day in and day out, to serve in this cabinet or any cabinet.’ ‘It was my mistake, obviously, to say yes,’ he added.” 

The reaction from Obama: "It comes as something of a surprise, because the truth, you know, Mr. Gregg approached us with interest and seemed enthusiastic," the president said in an interview with the Springfield (Ill.) Journal-Register. "Later, he told reporters traveling with him on Air Force One that he was glad Gregg 'searched his heart' and changed course now before the Senate confirmed him to the Cabinet post… "'Clearly he was just having second thoughts about leaving the Senate, a place where he's thrived,' Obama added." Obama's reaction echoes, in some ways, the White House's, which first issued a tough first statement and then toned it down.

The Washington Post says the episode “underscored how burdensome Cabinet selection has become for the new administration, which has watched nearly half a dozen of its top appointees withdraw or face embarrassing scrutiny over the past several weeks. The slip-ups have caused the White House to revamp its vetting process and have slowed down confirmations for nominees already in the pipeline. And now Obama is left with two key openings -- at the departments of Commerce and Health and Human Services -- and more questions about his personnel choices.”

The Boston Globe on Gregg: "The stunning move further erodes Obama's effort to forge a bipartisan approach to governing and enables Gregg -- who had recused himself from all Senate votes while his nomination was pending -- to vote against the stimulus bill."

“Senator Judd Gregg of New Hampshire abruptly withdrew Thursday as the nominee for commerce secretary, saying he had ‘irresolvable conflicts’ with President Obama over his economic stimulus plan and a concern over what many fellow Republicans believe is the politicization of the 2010 census,” the New York Times reports. ‘I’m a fiscal conservative, as everybody knows, a fairly strong one,’ Mr. Gregg told reporters at a news conference in the Capitol. ‘And it just became clear to me that it would be very difficult, day in and day out, to serve in this cabinet or any cabinet.’ ‘It was my mistake, obviously, to say yes,’ he added.” 

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Today's final stimulus vote

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 9:19 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

"President Barack Obama's massive, $790 billion economic stimulus plan is on track for a Friday vote in the House, Democratic leaders say, after a 24-hour delay caused by late, lingering controversy,” the AP writes. “The Senate could vote on the package of spending and tax cuts later in the day or over the weekend, sending the measure to Obama's desk and awarding him a crucial victory.”

The battle to frame the stimulus continues. The Washington Post: “The compromise stimulus bill adopted by House and Senate negotiators this week is not free of spending that benefits specific communities, industries or groups, despite vows by President Obama that the legislation would be kept clear of pet projects, according to lawmakers, legislative aides and anti-tax groups.”

“Stimulus advocates say the GOP complaints are overheated and generally focus on projects that Republicans dislike for ideological reasons. Chad Stone, chief economist at the liberal-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, defended the bill. ‘The overwhelming bulk of what is in the package is effective and well-designed stimulus,’ he said.”

For all the talk of small, outrageous items, the Boston Globe looks at how people will actually benefit from the stimulus. "There's almost something for everyone in the $789 billion stimulus package that Congress could approve as soon as today. Help would come in a variety of ways, from an $800 tax credit for working families to a tax break if you buy a new car or a new home. Higher-income families would be spared a tax increase. But the unemployed and low- to middle-income families stand to benefit the most."

Per a release, Organizing for America and the DNC say they’ve launched a new Web site that highlights stories from ordinary Americans who have been affected by the economic crisis.

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Everything's upside down

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

The Minneapolis Star Tribune on the latest in the Coleman-Franken recount: “The U.S. Senate election trial went topsy-turvy Thursday, with lawyers for Republican Norm Coleman arguing that the Constitution demands the counting of every legitimate vote -- even if you have to bend the rules -- and lawyers for Democrat Al Franken insisting on a by-the-book reading of state law that would limit the number counted to only legally cast ballots.”

More: “It's usually Republicans who express concern over voter fraud and seek stricter identification requirements at the polls, among other safeguards, while Democrats more often champion efforts to increase turnout by making voting easier. But with Franken ahead by 225 votes in the certified recount results, it's to his advantage to point to black-letter law and to Coleman's to show that the trial is about nothing less than the right to vote.”

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2010: Gregg's likely open seat

Posted: Friday, February 13, 2009 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

INDIANA: Rep. Dan Burton (R-IN) already has four primary challengers.

NEW HAMPSHIRE: Judd Gregg said he didn't expect to seek reelection, but even if he did, Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes said he'd stay in the race.

"The extraordinary turn of events led Gregg to say he would 'probably not' seek reelection in 2010, creating a wide-open field for politicians in both parties in New Hampshire to consider running for his job. Representative Paul Hodes, a Democrat, quickly issued a statement affirming his candidacy. John E. Sununu, a former US senator, is among those mentioned as possible Republican candidates."

Before Gregg bowed out and announced that he won’t seek re-election in 2010, National Journal’s Jennifer Skalka spoke with former New Hampshire Gov. John H. Sununu (R), who left the door open that his son -- former Sen. John E. Sununu, who lost his seat last November -- could make a run for Gregg’s Senate seat. “He’s officially been out of office about one month. The beginning of January is when the official transition took place. So he’s taking it slowly, evaluating what he wants to do with this period in his life. And I think taking it slowly is the right process. I’m sure he’s giving a little bit of thought to private-sector opportunities. I can’t afford him, so there are other people who would pay him a lot more than I could to come work for them. I’m sure he has on his list of options some of the opportunities coming back into the political process. But he’s got to evaluate it on his own with his wife and kids and make a family-oriented as well as a state- and a nationally-oriented decision.”

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Gregg earlier praised stimulus

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 7:42 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From MSNBC's David Gerlach and NBC's Mark Murray
Despite citing the economic stimulus as one of the reasons behind his withdrawal to be President Obama's Commerce secretary, Judd Gregg had been saying some very nice things about the plan, even though he recused himself from voting for or against it while being considered for the Commerce post.

Video: Gregg has withdrawn his name for Commerce Secretary over disagreements with President Obama's stimulus and census plans. MSNBC's David Shuster reports.

On Feb. 4, the day after Obama officially nominated him for the job, Gregg told CNBC's Larry Kudlow that a major stimulus plan made sense. "I think a major stimulus package ... makes a lot of sense, and the Senate is still working its will and I expect it will come up with an even stronger package than the package that left the House. If we don't get this economy going, the numbers that represent this stimulus package are going to be small compared to the loss of revenue to the federal government."

When Kudlow then asked whether the conservative Gregg had an "epiphany" on the stimulus, the New Hampshire senator responded, "I have been supportive of a very robust stimulus package from Day One. I think this economy has to have a major stimulus initiative because the only group with liquidity is the federal government."

Gregg did say in the CNBC interview, however, that he wanted the legislation to focus more on homes and homebuyers. "I have said I think we need to put more targeted effort on the real estate side, where we balance and basically look at how we control the price of real estate, so people have more confidence in the value of their home."

As far as how he'll vote tomorrow on the final stimulus legislation, Gregg today wouldn't say if he'll vote for it or against it.

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Who really made the call on Gregg?

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 5:05 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The White House just put out a statement on Gregg withdrawing his name from Commerce. But who really made the call here?

“Senator Gregg reached out to the President and offered his name for Secretary of Commerce.  He was very clear throughout the interviewing process that despite past disagreements about policies, he would support, embrace, and move forward with the President’s agenda. Once it became clear after his nomination that Senator Gregg was not going to be supporting some of President Obama’s key economic priorities, it became necessary for Senator Gregg and the Obama administration to part ways. We regret that he has had a change of heart”.

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About those secret prisons

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 4:32 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Jade Taenzler and Claire Luke
The Department of Defense’s involvement in the CIA’s “ghost” detention program is certain, according to three human rights groups -- Amnesty International USA, the Center for Constitutional Rights and the Center for Human Rights and Global Justice.

They released documents today from the U.S. Department of Defense and U.S. Department of State that, they said, prove the existence of secret prisons at Bagram and in Iraq as well as the Department of Defense cooperation with the CIA ghost detention program. They also said the documents show one case where the Defense sought to delay the release of Guantanamo prisoners.
 
“JS 43,” a Defense Joint Chief of Staff document, is a report by the International Committee of the Red Cross that contains information about the secret detention facility at the Bagram Air Force Base. Most of the useful information, however, is redacted.

CONTINUED >>

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Judd Gregg withdraws nomination

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 4:26 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray and Ken Strickland
Breaking news: Judd Gregg, the New Hampshire Republican senator President Obama tapped to be Commerce Secretary, has withdrawn his nomination to serve in Obama's cabinet.

Just askin,' but did Gregg only discover now that Obama is a Democrat? The withdrawal will remove a possible GOP Senate vacancy, if Gregg decides to run for re-election in 2010. And it eliminates the possibility that Bonnie Newman (R) would serve in Gregg's place in the Senate.

The statement from Gregg: "I want to thank the president for nominating me to serve in his cabinet as secretary of Commerce. This was a great honor, and I had felt that I could bring some views and ideas that would assist him in governing during this difficult time. I especially admire his willingness to reach across the aisle."

"However, it has become apparent during this process that this will not work for me as I have found that on issues such as the stimulus package and the Census there are irresolvable conflicts for me. Prior to accepting this post, we had discussed these and other potential differences, but unfortunately we did not adequately focus on these concerns. We are functioning from a different set of views on many critical items of policy."

"Obviously the president requires a team that is fully supportive of all his initiatives. I greatly admire President Obama and know our country will benefit from his leadership, but at this time I must withdraw my name from consideration for this position. As we move forward, I expect there will be many issues and initiatives where I can and will work to assure the success of the President's proposals. This will certainly be a goal of mine."

*** UPDATE *** NBC's Kelly O'Donnell, listening in a conference call that Gregg just conducted with New Hampshire reporters, reports that Gregg said he notified the White House earlier this week about his decision, and they have known for some time his concerns. Gregg would not say exactly when he spoke to the president.

Gregg cited the stimulus vote and Census count, but emphasized overall differences of views philosophically between him self and the president. He added that he "could not be a full time team member."

Gregg also said he does not plan to seek re-election.

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The weird and left over

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 3:42 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Dear Members of Congress and Other Elected Officials,

As much as we reporters enjoy your Tweets, or Twittering, or whatever it's called, you really need to ask yourself, "What am I doing??"

I mean, Pete Hoekstra, is it necessary to Tweet where and when you get into Baghdad?

And remember the guy who said Obama's like Osama because they both have "terrorist friends?" He Tweeted (Twittered? Who cares?) this Tuesday, per USA Today: "Big news coming out of Senate: Apparently one dem is either switching or leaving the dem caucus. Negotiations for power sharing underway."

"Shortly thereafter, Democrats piled onto the potential switcher and he didn't switch. National Review's Campaign Spot reported on the initial sequence of events here and followed up with Frederick saying his Twitter didn't scuttle the plan -- despite some lawmakers' views to the contrary."

But, honestly, what is the point? Who are you writing to and for? How does this help you?

Early 2010 issues: Not a bad wrap by Susan Davis of Dem ethics problems. So, for 2010, the issues we're looking at that Republicans will push: 1. The stimulus; 2. Dem ethics. That's quite a shift from '06 (provided GOPers between now and then don't turn up in jail.)

Lots more after the jump...

CONTINUED >>

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2010 Sen. landscape: Dems confident

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 2:04 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
In the past two election cycles, Republicans have lost a combined 13 Senate seats -- and possibly 14, if Al Franken ends up winning in Minnesota.

This afternoon, Sen. Robert Menendez, the new chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, fired off this warning to the GOP: be prepared to lose more seats in 2010.

In an off-camera briefing with reporters, Menendez said the party controlling the White House typically doesn't fare well in midterms. But noting that every Democratic senator up in 2010 is running for re-election, that Republicans already have to defend five open seats (in FL, KS, MO, NH, and OH), and that Democrats plan aggressive challenges for GOP-held seats in Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, he said: "Even [with] a cursory look at the map, that fear has to be on the other side of the aisle."

CONTINUED >>

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School stimulus hits House hurdles

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 11:36 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC’s Mike Viqueira


The path for the stimulus in the House is not yet cleared.

Speaker Pelosi just canceled her scheduled press conference. Not a good sign. Sources say there are continuing problems on the House side about the language on school modernization.

The original House bill had $14 billion for that purpose. Nelson-Collins zeroed it out, on the strength of their conviction that having the federal government provide a line item specifically for that purpose would "establish a new baseline" -- Washington talk meaning that building schools is traditionally a state-level function, and they don't want to create a new precedent by having the feds start doing it.

The compromise reached yesterday was that money could be spent for that purpose from a larger state aid pool of money in the stimulus. That's not good enough for many over here in your U.S. House, so there are some bumps today.

They’re not hitting the panic button yet. The House is still likely to vote on this thing tomorrow. Today was always a long shot.

For more on what's in the stimulus, click here.

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GOP ads against stimulus

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 11:28 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
Republicans are launching an ad campaign against the stimulus.

The National Republican Congressional Committee, responsible for trying to get members of congress elected, "will target approximately 30 vulnerable Democrats for voting in favor of stimulus package" with a series of radio ads.

This comes after liberal groups have begun running ads against vulnerable Republicans in districts and states hardest hit by the economy.

The ads will begin running Friday.

"There is a difference between the salesman and the product," NRCC spokesman Ken Spain told Politico. "Early in the debate, Democrats arrogantly proclaimed that Republicans who voted against the stimulus package did so 'at their own peril,' but now it appears that in many Democrat-held districts, there could be greater risk in actually having voted for Pelosi's pork-laden package."

*** UPDATE *** The NRCC's release just went out.

“While middle-class families are hurting and looking to their leaders for help, Congressional Democrats have failed to deliver real relief,” Spain said in the statement. “Democrats had a choice to pass an alternative proposal that would have created twice as many jobs at half the cost and in less time, but they chose to pass this package of pork instead.  Many of these very same Democrats who ran on a platform of fiscal responsibility now have the obligation to explain why they’re willing to pile even more mountains of debt onto our grandchildren without regard for how middle-class families’ hard-earned tax dollars will be spent.”

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Poll: Just 39% believe in evolution

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 10:30 AM by Mark Murray

From NBC's Mark Murray
Today it's not only Abraham Lincoln's birthday; it's also Charles Darwin's.

And a brand-new Gallup poll tied to Darwin's birthday finds that just 39% of Americans believe in evolution.

As expected, Gallup notes, education plays a big role here: 74% of those with post-graduate degrees believe in evolution. That's compared with only 21% of high school grads (or those with less education) who believe in the theory.

Ditto religion: 55% who don't attend church believe in evolution, versus 24% of weekly churchgoers who believe in it.

And vote here on who you think had a a bigger impact on the world, Lincoln or Darwin?

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First thoughts: Stimulus winners, losers

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Stimulus winners and losers: For the fourth-consecutive day, President Obama hits the road to sell his stimulus -- this time visiting Caterpillar in Peoria, IL, before heading to Springfield to commemorate Abraham Lincoln’s 200th birthday. But today’s campaign stop is mostly superfluous, especially after congressional negotiators struck a final deal on the now-$789 billion spending measure. The House could vote on the legislation either today or tomorrow, with the Senate soon following to get the bill to the president’s desk by Monday. The obvious winner here, of course, is Obama, who will get the first big victory of his four-week-old presidency. Other winners are Collins/Snowe/Specter (who proved that they will control what passes in the 111th Congress), Harry Reid (who got the 60-plus votes he needed), Joe Lieberman (who helped behind the scenes with Collins), White House aide Phil Schiliro (who played an unsung role on the Hill), the Republican Party (which demonstrated unity after its big losses in November), and No.2 House Republican Eric Cantor (who raised his profile during the debate, although he took a BIG hit yesterday for that profane AFSCME video his office released). The losers, in our opinion, are Nancy Pelosi (some House priorities lost out in the end) and governors (who didn’t get all the money they wanted and will have to make some tough cuts before a re-election year).

Video: Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Pa., talk about the Senate’s vote to pass the stimulus bill.

*** In the long run…: But those are the winners and losers in the short term. In the long run, we won’t really know who won this debate until 2010 or even 2012. Indeed, the eventual state of the economy -- no matter if the stimulus played a real role or not -- will be the deciding factor here. If the economy begins to pick up steam before the midterms, the Democrats will look like geniuses. If not, Obama is going to have a race on his hands in 2012. So the stimulus was a political gamble for the White House. But ask yourself what you’d rather inherit: a booming economy that could go nowhere but down, or a struggling economy that could -- and we stress “could” -- go nowhere but up by 2010?

*** Rove’s two cents:

 In his Wall Street Journal column today, Karl Rove applauds the way congressional Republicans played their hand during the stimulus, saying that they were smart to point out politically unpopular spending provisions; that they were “gracious” in talking with the Obama White House (really?); and that they were wise to propose alternative solutions (tax cuts). But, echoing our comment above, he also issues this warning to his party: “[I]f Republicans predict economic doom, they will overplay their hand. The Democratic stimulus will slow recovery, but not stop it. Recessions don't last forever and, if history is a guide, sometime late this year or early next the economy will rebound on its own. When that happens, Democrats will argue that their untargeted, permanent spending actually revived the economy.” Yet perhaps the bigger risk for Republicans is this: Does the president that Rove worked for end up getting blamed for the current economic climate?

*** A Few other White House victories: In addition to the stimulus, Congress also made some movement yesterday on a few of Obama’s stalled nominees. The full Senate approved Bill Lynn (the ex-lobbyist) to be deputy Defense secretary; a committee finally voted to send Labor nominee Hilda Solis to the full Senate; and the Senate Intelligence Committee also moved to approve Leon Panetta’s nomination to head the CIA.

*** Bobby Jindal’s big night: Republicans yesterday tapped Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal -- one of the party’s rising stars and a potential presidential candidate in 2012, 2016, or beyond (he’s just 37!) -- to deliver the GOP’s response to Obama’s congressional address on Feb. 24. But as NBC’s Abby Livingston points out, giving your party’s response to a State of the Union (or other big address) hasn’t always been a stepping stone to bigger and better things politically. Some past responders: Bob Dole (who lost the ’96 presidential election), Christine Todd Whitman (out of politics), J.C. Watts (out of politics), Bill Frist (out of politics, decided to not run for president), Dick Gephardt (lost ’04 bid for the Democratic presidential nomination, out of politics), Gary Locke (out of politics), and Tom Daschle (defeated in ’04, out of politics). 

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Congress: Deal at last, deal at last

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The Los Angeles Times reports that “House and Senate Democratic leaders, negotiating into the night to forge a compromise with three moderate Republican senators, reached agreement Wednesday on a $789-billion economic recovery bill that President Obama has called crucial to pulling the country out of its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The bill, slimmed down and reworked to win the handful of GOP votes needed to ensure final approval by the Senate, would finance a flurry of infrastructure and construction projects, extend unemployment benefits, subsidize healthcare coverage for those out of work, and provide tax relief for many.”

The Boston Globe: "The deal was announced by Senate leaders, who appeared to drive the private negotiations with their House counterparts. They had to navigate competing interests as they worked to deliver a bill to President Obama by his end-of-week deadline, balancing a House majority that sought robust new funding for long-standing priorities and Senate centrists of both parties who had threatened to scuttle any bill that emerged larger than $800 billion.”

“The deal all but clinches passage of one of the largest economic rescue programs since Franklin Roosevelt launched the New Deal,” the Wall Street Journal writes. 

The Washington Post says the “House is expected to vote on the plan today or tomorrow, and with Senate action quickly following, the legislation is set to arrive on President Obama's desk no later than Monday -- the target Democratic leaders set last month for enacting it into law.”

The New York Times: “The White House is considering a prime-time bill signing ceremony, and on Wednesday asked the television networks if they would air the event.” 

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First 100 days: As good as it gets?

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:11 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

A New York Times analysis says that yesterday’s stimulus deal was a “quick, sweet victory for the new president, and potentially a historic one. The question now is whether the $789 billion economic stimulus plan agreed to by Congressional leaders on Wednesday is the opening act for a more ambitious domestic agenda from President Obama or a harbinger of reduced expectations.”

More: “While it hammered home the reality of bigger, more activist government, the economic package was not the culmination of a hard-fought ideological drive, like Lyndon B. Johnson’s civil rights and Great Society programs, or Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts, but rather a necessary and hastily patched-together response to an immediate and increasingly dire situation. On the domestic issues Mr. Obama ran and won on -- health care, education, climate change, rebalancing the distribution of wealth -- the legislation does little more than promise there will be more to come.” 

Obama held a roundtable with regional reporters yesterday. The White House emails First Read some of the headlines…
-- (Raleigh) News & Observer: “Obama talks about N.C.'s big issues”
-- Omaha World-Herald: “Obama praises Nelson's role in stimulus bill”
-- Portland (Maine) Press Herald: “Obama: Snowe, Collins ‘outstanding’ senators’”
-- Anchorage Daily News: “Obama calls Alaska gas pipeline promising”
-- Columbus Dispatch: “Stimulus not perfect but will help Ohio, Obama says”
-- Dayton Daily News: “Stimulus package provides relief to Ohio, Obama says”
-- Philadelphia Inquirer: “Obama: Plan will save millions of jobs”
-- Detroit Free Press: “Obama: I can offer serious auto help”
-- Detroit News” “Obama to Big 3: Craft plan that works”

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Biggest day yet in MN?

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:10 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA: "In what could prove to be the most important day of the U.S. Senate election trial so far, lawyers for Al Franken and Norm Coleman will trade arguments today on whether several types of rejected absentee ballots should be reconsidered or rejected once and for all," the Minneapolis Star Tribune writes.

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2010: The stimulus WILL be an issue

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:07 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The stimulus is the first 2010 issue. "The near-universal GOP opposition to the stimulus means that, for 2010 at least, Democrats own the result. Republicans, meanwhile, are in the awkward position of banking on it, at least electorally, to fail." 
 
New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez, the new chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee holds a pen-and-pad briefing on the 2010 Senate races at noon ET.

DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen says he's done "talking about waves." Now, it's about "holding the line." 
 
FLORIDA: If Charlie Crist wants it, he probably could coast to a Senate victory, a poll shows.  
 
Meanwhile, Rep. Allen Boyd has a primary challenge from state Senate Minority Leader Al Lawson, who is term-limited in the state Senate. 

CONTINUED >>

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GOP future: Romney's column

Posted: Thursday, February 12, 2009 9:06 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

Romney will be among a group of conservative thinkers penning an ongoing column for the Washington Times. The column will be called "Reinventing Conservatism." The first -- by Newt Gingrich -- was published yesterday.

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Stimulus deal close

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 5:50 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Mike Viqueira


The "deal" on the stimulus is close to being official, but not quite yet.

In a very short while -- perhaps any minute -- the formal House-Senate conference committee will convene. This comes at the conclusion of a long closed-door meeting of House leaders that came after the agreement was announced on national television by members of the Senate.

House members balked at the agreement, mostly on the issue of how much and how the funds for school renovation would be spent.

At the same time the conference committee meets, House Democrats will meet as a caucus behind closed doors in the Capitol basement. There, they will get details of the agreement. They are expected to go along, albeit reluctantly.

If things go as hoped in the House, they will take up the bill tomorrow.

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Lynn confirmed as Defense deputy

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 5:47 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Bill Lynn, the former Raytheon lobbyist nominated to deputy Secretary of Defense, has just been confirmed by the Senate.

The vote was 93-4.

The "No" votes were three Republicans (Coburn, Cornyn, and Grassley) and one Democrat (McCaskill).

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So you want to give the response...?

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 4:43 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Abby Livingston
Earlier today, we mentioned that Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, one of the GOP's rising stars, would give the Republican response to Obama's address to Congress on Feb. 24.

 
With a massive audience after the president’s delivery, this response might seem like an ideal perch to move on to bigger and better things. 
 
That, however, has not always been the case. See these past responders
 
1994 – Sen. Robert Dole (R-KS) LOST '96 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, OUT OF POLITICS
1995 – Gov. Christine Todd Whitman (R-NJ) BECAME EPA ADMINISTRATOR, NOW OUT OF POLITICS
1996 – Sen. Robert Dole (R-KS)
1997 – Rep. J.C. Watts (R-OK) OUT OF POLITICS
1998 – Sen. Trent Lott (R-MS) OUT OF POLITICS
1999 – Rep. Jennifer Dunn (R-WA) and Rep. Steven Largent (R-OK) DUNN IS DECEASED; LARGENT OUT OF POLITICS
2000 – Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) and Sen. William Frist (R-TN) FRIST DECIDED NOT TO RUN FOR PRESIDENT, OUT OF POLITICS
2001 – No response
2002 – Rep. Richard Gehphardt (D-MO) LOST BID FOR DEM NOMINATION IN '04, OUT OF POLITICS
2003 – Gov. Gary Locke (D-WA) OUT OF POLITICS
2004 – Sen. Tom Daschle (D-SD) and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) DASCHLE WAS DEFEATED IN '04, OUT OF POLITICS; PELOSI NOW HOUSE SPEAKER
2005 – Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) REID NOW SENATE MAJORITY LEADER
2006 – Gov. Tim Kaine (D-VA) STILL GOVERNOR, BUT ALSO DNC CHAIR
2007 – Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA)
2008 – Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS)

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When YouTube videos backfire

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 2:25 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mike Viquiera and Mark Murray
Politico was writing a story about a new TV ad that Dem-leaning groups -- including the union AFSCME -- had taken out attacking Eric Cantor, the No. 2 House Republican.

 

In response, Cantor spokesman Brad Dayspring e-mailed the reporter an old, grainy video -- laden with Soprano-esque language and profanity -- about AFSCME. Here's the video (and we also warn that it contains very foul language).

It appears that Dayspring did not intend for the video to be an official response, but Politico quotes Dayspring saying: "You could post this as my response."

Dayspring later issued this apology: "I would like to apologize for a joke that was in no way an official response from Congressman Cantor, but instead an inappropriate email. I apologize to AFSCME for my inappropriate email containing an old video. Let me be clear, we know people are hurting in these trying times and House Republicans completely agree that we must pass an economic recovery bill that preserves, protects and create jobs for Americans facing these economic challenges."

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Jindal tapped to give GOP response

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 12:29 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray


Not a big surprise, but still interesting nonethless... Republican congressional leaders have announced that they've tapped Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal to deliver the GOP response to President Obama's address to Congress on Feb. 24.

Although he's served as governor for slightly more than one year, Jindal, 37, is one of the GOP's rising political stars. What's more, for a Republican Party that's trying to extend its appeal beyond white voters, he's one of its most prominent minority faces.

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The weird and left over

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 11:45 AM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro


Happy birthday, Sarah. Sarah Palin turns 45.

On the Tube: Blago tonight on Hannity: Live interview to air at 9p. And what a guy... he says though he and his wife are unemployed, they won't file for benefits. "Blagojevich also joked about a job offer he's received from the Joliet Jackhammers to be a rookie for the Northern League team. The Democrat described himself as being '52 going on 8' and said his childhood dream has always been to be a centerfielder for the Cubs."

The Interviews: The LA Times talks to Meg Whitman "exclusive."

Black Enterprise chats with President Obama.

Real Clear Politics reports that Obama, Crist get high marks in Florida. Roland Burris might be in trouble in Illinois. He remains largely unknown to Illinoisians. He gets a 34/18 fav/unfav, but a plurality, 43%, have no opinion of him. They were also split pretty evenly in three on whether Burris should run in 2010.
 
Quotables: "Let me get this straight -- this is coming from a guy who threw more than twice as many interceptions than touchdowns?" -- Harry Reid aide and Capitol Hill veteran Jim Manley on Heath Shuler criticizing Obama for not seeking his input on the stimulus more.  

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Stimulus price tag now $790 billion

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 11:42 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mike Viqueira


Negotiations on the stimulus continue behind closed doors today, with participants expected to come up for air this afternoon -- long enough to stage a public session of the formal conference committee.

The total of the bill is now down to $789.5 billion, from the Senate bill's $838 billion. The provision to up the home buyer credit to $15,000 has been reduced, as has the measure on auto loans. Both were inserted during Senate debate.

Still in flux, according to aides, is a restoration of some of the school construction funds that were stricken from the Senate bill, as well as aid to states (and the allocation formula for that aid).

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Afghan attacks 'coordinated,' 'troubling'

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 11:03 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Courtney Kube
A senior defense official says that the U.S. is tracking as many as seven or eight separate attacks at several government buildings across Kabul today.

The defense official said that all of the places targeted in Kabul were Afghan government facilities, and that there are no U.S. casualties (they are looking in to a report of a French casualty).

Video: Gunmen launch a series of attacks across Kabul, killing at least 20.

The attack was "highly coordinated," the official said, describing it as "deeply troubling."

The economy may be the focus, but Afghanistan provides a reminder of what else the country and President Obama face.

U.S. officials are still unclear whether the attack was carried out by Taliban or al Qaeda.  One official said that simultaneous attacks like this often indicate al Qaeda, but that the combination of suicide attackers and gunmen is "not beyond the realm of capability for several players there" in Afghanistan. For now, no one believes this marks the beginning of the spring fighting season in Afghanistan, but they are watching it closely.

Pentagon spokesperson Bryan Whitman said that the government of Afghanistan will likely review how the attack was "as successful as it was," in order to mitigate future attacks like this one.

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First thoughts: Negotiating time

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:23 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Negotiating time: This is Susan Collins’, Olympia Snowe’s, and Arlen Specter’s world, and we’re all just lucky to live in it, right? With House and Senate negotiators working with the White House to reconcile the stimulus legislation -- Rahm Emanuel and Peter Orzsag were on the Hill late last night trying to hammer out a conference agreement -- the New York Times reminds us that the legislation’s fate is in the hands of three people we thought were extinct: Northeast Republicans. And the trio is receiving plenty heat from members of their own party (the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review reports that the Pennsylvania GOP chairman criticized Specter’s “yes” vote). As far as the negotiations go, one leadership source tells First Read that things are moving so fast that a basic agreement could be done by mid-day. One significant add to the conference agreement: $15 billion for school construction. NBC’s Mike Viqueira yesterday broke down the other points of contention: the $15,000 homebuyer credit, the provision concerning deductible interest on car loans, the Senate’s cut in aid to states, the Medicaid allocation formula, and the yearly AMT fix. (As of now, it looks like the AMT fix will survive.)

Video: GOP senators talk about the Senate's vote to pass the stimulus bill and how it will hold up in the House.

*** Other stimulus moving parts: Today marks the third-consecutive day that President Obama will actively campaign for the stimulus. After spending Monday and Tuesday stumping in Indiana and Florida, Obama today visits a construction site in Springfield, VA at 11:00 am ET with Virginia Gov. (and DNC chair) Tim Kaine. Also today, Vice President Biden gets into the act as well, stumping in Harrisburg, PA at 2:10 pm ET with Democratic Gov. Ed Rendell. The White House isn’t letting a day go by right now without have someone on the road this week. Meanwhile, liberal supporters of the stimulus -- Americans United for Change and AFSCME -- are airing a new TV ad on DC cable calling out Republicans for “Just saying no” to the legislation. They also have radio ads targeting 21 House and Senate members who voted against the stimulus, arguing that they have a “second chance” to now vote for it. We wonder, however: Are Americans truly paying attention to these ad campaigns? When does it become white noise?

*** A Bronx cheer for Geithner: Right now, perhaps the only person who’s more unpopular in New York than Tim Geithner is A-Roid. Indeed, Treasury Secretary Geithner took a stomach punch yesterday, proving that it's possible that no one can succeed in this job if he/she is solely judged by the mob rule nature of Wall Street. The spin out of the administration: If Wall Street is unhappy, then maybe they are on to something. We'll see. Congress didn't seem ecstatic about the lack of details either, so it will be the one to write the fine print at this point. But clearly, Treasury believes the biggest mistake Hank Paulson made last year for Phase One of the TARP was dictating to Congress how the plan works. And it may be politically smarter for the banks and for Wall Street to keep Congress happy since ultimately, they are now the bank of last resort.

Video: Geithner tells NBC it's important to be honest about how difficult it will be to recover from the economic crisis.

*** No Country for Old Men? By the way, these are the conferees working on the stimulus compromise… From the Senate: Democrats Harry Reid, Max Baucus and Daniel Inouye, and Republicans Chuck Grassley and Thad Cochran. From the House: Democrats David Obey, Charlie Rangel and Henry Waxman, and Republicans Jerry Lewis and Dave Camp. The average age of these 10 men: 71. Just askin’, but is that the change you can believe in? Indeed, the average Congress-watcher is probably wondering, “Where's a Blue Dog Dem or a moderate Republican?”

*** A public flogging? This will certainly make for good TV-watching today: Beginning at 10:00 am ET, eight CEOs from some of America’s largest financial institutions will testify before Rep. Barney Frank's House Financial Services Committee on the issue of TARP accountability. Among the witnesses: Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon, and Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit. As the New York Times’ Andrew Ross Sorkin noted yesterday, these CEOs -- trying to avoid a mistake the automakers made last year -- gave up their private jets to come to DC via Amtrak or the Delta Shuttle. But they’ll probably receive the same reaction from Congress that the automakers received: a public spanking. “Judging by the nation’s outrage at Wall Street … our representatives are likely to turn the hearing into a public flogging,” Ross Sorkin wrote. Previews of their testimony suggest none of the bank CEOs is taking full responsibility for what's wrong with the nation's financial system. 

Video: Rep. Barney Frank discusses the bank executives' hearing before Congress today.

*** Mr. Franken goes to Washington: With the results of his Senate contest still in limbo -- although clinging onto a 225-vote lead, and now counting -- Al Franken (D) is in DC today. He arrived in the nation’s capital last night and will stay through Thursday. Per the Washington Post’s Cillizza, “Franken's meeting schedule … includes sitdowns with current Senate staffers, people involved with the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and former Hill staffers including the late Minnesota Sen. Paul Wellstone's senior policy adviser.” Norm Coleman (R) is also expected to be in DC today to raise money for the ongoing contest, which has gone 99 days (!!!) beyond Election Day. These Washington visits come after Franken apparently picked up 23 additional votes yesterday, but the Coleman camp believes the ruling will open up additional ballots that the Republican might later add to his tally. By the way, anyone else believing the Coleman strategy is this: delay things to point where the Senate throws up its hands and calls for a new election?

*** Other countries’ elections: The fact that Likud and Netanyahu couldn't pull off a decisive win -- and may have in fact lost, sort of -- is proof that the Gaza war had political benefits for Kadima, no? Is that the lesson Israeli pols will take?

*** Adding to our “Dick Cheney Would Never Have Done This" file: On Thursday, Biden leads a presidential delegation to the 2009 Special Olympics World Winter Games in Boise, ID. (This isn’t to say Cheney was against the Special Olympics; it's that he wasn't much for doing these ceremonial duties that had been traditional VP responsibilities in previous administrations.)

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First 100 days: Bearish on Geithner

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:20 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The Wall Street Journal: “Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner promised forceful action to get credit flowing again in the economy, but the lack of detail in his much-anticipated speech helped drive stocks down nearly 5%, the worst selloff since President Barack Obama assumed office.”

The Washington Post also says the lack of details in Geithner’s plan “dismayed lawmakers and investors, triggering a steep sell-off on Wall Street… Minutes after the plan was made public, stock markets plummeted. The Dow Jones industrial average ended the day down 4.6 percent. The Standard and Poor's 500-stock index, a broader measure, fell 4.9 percent.”  

The New York Times adds that “the initial assessment of the plan from the markets, lawmakers and economists was brutally negative, in large part because they expected more details. Basic questions about how the various parts of the program would work, especially those involving the unsellable mortgages that banks are holding and preventing home foreclosures, were left for another day. Some Wall Street experts criticized the plan for relying too heavily on the same vague solutions proposed by the Bush administration.” 

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Working late into the night

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:18 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

The New York Times on yesterday’s negotiations on the stimulus. "The officials worked late into the night, with Mr. Reid shuttling between meetings with senators in his office and House leaders in Ms. Pelosi’s suite. Centrist senators who were crucial to the stimulus deal, Susan Collins and Olympia J. Snowe, Republicans of Maine, Ben Nelson, Democrat of Nebraska, and Joseph I. Lieberman, independent of Connecticut, returned around 9 p.m. for the talks and left about an hour later. The group broke for the night shortly before 11:30 p.m. ‘We’re not there,’ Mr. Reid said. ‘But we have made a significant amount of progress in the last 10 hours.’”

The Washington Post notes that the states are pushing for the compromise legislation to reflect more the House version (which included $79 billion in direct aid to the states) than the Senate version (which provided $39 billion). “‘If the Senate version holds, there will be very deep cuts,’ said Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle (D), who added that the cost to the state and its 5.3 million residents would be $600 million. ‘We're going to see teachers and firefighters and police officers lose their jobs.’”

Scapegoating Pelosi? "By resurrecting a favorite villain of the pre-Obama era, Republicans have found their footing as an opposition party with complex loyalties, allying with the president who calls for bipartisan consensus while standing up to the House leadership pushing his priorities through," the Boston Globe writes. 
 
Blue Dog Democrats met with Obama yesterday and had positive things to say.

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Franken picks up 23 votes

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:17 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA: The Star Tribune reports that Al Franken “apparently picked up at least 23 votes Tuesday,” adding to his 225-vote lead over Norm Coleman. “They involved affidavits collected from those voters saying that they had cast absentee ballots for the DFL candidate that weren't accepted… But Coleman attorney Ben Ginsberg said the ruling also aided their efforts to have many more ballots counted and shows that the three-judge panel ‘will allow in many more ballots as long as there is adequate proof of the voter's intent. ... We feel very good about what happened today.’”

Also, to streamline the legal contest over the recount, the three-judge panel asked Coleman and Franken “whether entire categories of rejected absentee ballots should be reconsidered or set aside once and for all. Should a ballot be barred if it went to the wrong precinct? Should a ballot be excluded if cast by a non-registered voter? And what about an unsigned ballot where the instructions for signing were obstructed by a pre-printed address sticker? Those are among 19 questions that [the judges] want lawyers for Coleman and Franken to answer this week in a major development in a dispute over thousands of ballots that one side or the other wants counted.” 

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2009/2010: Challenging Burris

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

ILLINOIS: "Sen. Roland Burris (D-Ill.) has barely been in office a month, but he already has a potential primary challenger in wealthy, young and ambitious state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias," The Hill's Wilson reports. Giannoulias is 32, hasn't hid his ambition, has met with Dick Durbin about running for the seat and will accompany the senior senator on an economic development trip to Greece. But oppo researchers are already digging in on his family's connections to Tony Rezko, as well as questionable loans his family's bank gave out. 
 
OHIO: Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher is exploring a run for the Senate. That could set up a Democratic primary with Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Reps. Tim Ryan and Zack Space before a general-election match up with former Rep. Rob Portman. State Auditor Mary Taylor may challenge Portman.

VIRGINIA: The Washington Post front-pages how Democratic gubernatorial candidate Brian Moran’s older brother -- Congressman Jim Moran (D) -- is both a benefit and a liability to his political fortunes. “[T]he younger Moran enters one of the most-watched political contests in the nation this year with the tricky task of embracing his famous brother at some moments and distancing himself at others… ‘The only way the relationship hurts is if people make conclusions about me based on my brother's positions,’ Brian Moran, 49, said, noting that he and his brother have differed on a variety of issues. ‘I mean, I gotta win this on my own.’”

“That has meant taking such awkward steps as not including his brother in the Arlington endorsement event. It has meant repeatedly reaching out to Jewish leaders who were outraged by Jim's remarks blaming the pro-Israel lobby for the country's war with Iraq. It has meant emphasizing his own more conservative record, including votes in favor of gun rights and the abolition of parole.” 

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Israel's election: A split decision?

Posted: Wednesday, February 11, 2009 9:15 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Per the Washington Post, “Israeli voters delivered a split decision in national elections Tuesday, sparking competing claims by backers of opposition leader Binyamin Netanyahu and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni over who will be the next prime minister. Voters appeared to give Livni's Kadima party, which favors negotiations with the Palestinians, a slight and unexpected edge over Netanyahu's Likud party, which has been critical of peace talks… But the overall shift in Israel's parliament, the Knesset, was sharply to the right. That could make it difficult for Livni to build the coalition she would need to govern, particularly if she intends to pursue U.S.-backed talks aimed at creating a Palestinian state.”

The New York Times adds, “With the latest vote tally on Wednesday morning, Kadima appeared to have 28 out of 120 parliamentary seats, and Likud appeared to have 27. The right-wing party Yisrael Beitenu of Avigdor Lieberman, which had been surging in recent weeks in the wake of Israel’s three-week war in Gaza, stood at 15 seats, with the Labor Party of Defense Minister Ehud Barak at 13 seats. Normally the leader of the party with the most votes is given the chance to form the next government, but the right-wing bloc, of which Likud is the largest party, seemed to have won significantly more votes than the left.”

Also, military ballots could decide the ultimate winner? Good news for Netanyahu? 

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Obama lauds housing, health care items

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 5:19 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Athena Jones


FORT MYERS, Fla. -- While senators in Washington were passing a massive stimulus package aimed at avoiding economic disaster, President Obama was pitching the plan to a cheering convention center audience in a town facing rising unemployment and sky-high foreclosure rates.

He also gave a glimpse into how he would help struggling homeowners and his goals for getting a health-care reform bill through Congress.

It was the second day Obama was on the road to sell the package, which must still be reconciled with the House version before it can be signed in to law.

On Monday, he was in Elkhart, Ind., a town that saw its unemployment rate triple in the past year. Later that night, during his first press conference as president, he defended the recovery package from Republican criticism, telling television viewers around the country that both business and labor groups supported his plan to address the deep crisis he had inherited.

CONTINUED >>

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The stimulus' six points of contention

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 4:40 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mike Viqueira


House and Senate leaders are hoping to have the stimulus conference report settled within 24 hours, according to several House Democratic aides.

The points of negotiation, in their view, are as follows:
-- The $15,000 homebuyer credit attached in the Senate. It had a Republican sponsor, Sen. Johnny Isakson, who doesn't support the final product. So why keep it in? With this and other measures that logically could go to make room for some of the things below, it obviously depends on how each of the three Republicans -- Collins, Snowe, and Specter -- feel about it.
-- A provision concerning deductible interest on car loans that was put forward by Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D) in the Senate. As with the Isakson measure, Dems reason that this is a poorly targeted provision that can be jettisoned in favor of other priorities.
-- The cut in aid to the states in Collins/Nelson from $79 billion to $39 billion. House Dems want some of that money restored.
-- The House version had $14 billion in school construction funds. The Nelson/Collins version has zero. House Dems are plenty sore about it.
-- The Medicaid allocation formula. The Senate version divides the money evenly, so that high population states like California get the same amount as sparsely populated states like Wyoming. This is a classic House-Senate disagreement.
-- The yearly AMT "fix." This wasn't in the House bill, but it is in the Senate version -- at a price of $70 billion. Its biggest champion in the Senate is Chuck Grassley, who voted "no" on the final bill. Dems will end up doing the fix this year, as they do every year. But they don't want to do it in this bill.

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Blago, Libby prosecutor to stay on

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 4:17 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Pete Williams


Patrick Fitzgerald, the U.S. attorney in Chicago who brought criminal fraud charges against Rod Blagojevich, will be staying in his job in the Obama administration, even though he was appointed to the position by President George W. Bush.

U.S. attorneys are political appointees. The normal practice, when there's a change of political parties in the White House, is for the incoming administration to replace all 93 U.S. attorneys with appointees from the new president's party.  For now, the Obama administration has asked the current Republican-appointed U.S. attorneys to remain in their posts while it considers how many to retain.

But Fitzgerald will not be asked to move on. Sen. Dick Durbin of Illinois has recommended that Eric Holder, the new attorney general, keep Fitzgerald. That suggestion was "positively received," according to officials at the Justice Department and Sen. Durbin's office. 

Fitzgerald has been the U.S. attorney in Chicago since 2001. His spokesman had no comment on Fitzgerald's future.

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Reconcilable differences?

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 2:45 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland
Now that the stimulus bills have passed in the House and the Senate, the work to reconcile the two different bills and create a new bill starts immediately. A meeting is scheduled for this afternoon with negotiators from both chambers.

Video: President Obama tells a Fort Myers, Fl., town hall meeting that his economic recovery plan will stabilize the banking system, get credit flowing, spark spending and create jobs.

This morning, President Obama already weighed in on what should -- and should not -- be in the final bill, according to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Reid said he and Speaker Nancy Pelosi met this morning with Obama at the White House. Reid refused to discuss the president's guidance.

At his weekly news conference, Reid also called the differences between the two bills "very minor" and hoped to have most issues ironed out within the next 24 hours. Reid is one of the five Senate negotiators, also called "conferees." The others are Democrats Max Baucus and Daniel Inouye, with Republicans Chuck Grassley and Thad Cochran.

The key to any deal may rest in the hands of the three Republicans -- Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe, and Arlen Specter -- who brokered the compromise in the Senate.  Those senators and other moderates will meet this afternoon behind closed doors. They're expected to draw their own lines in the sand for what is acceptable to them in the final bill.

*** UPDATE *** NBC's Mike Viqueira adds that House Democrats are expected to name David Obey, Charlie Rangel, and Henry Waxman to the stimulus conference. House Repubs, meanwhile, are expected to name Jerry Lewis and Dave Camp.

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HRC's carrot and stick for Iran

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 12:52 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Libby Leist

Secretary Clinton added today to President Obama's Iran comments last night, when he said the U.S. would be "looking for openings" in the coming months for the U.S. and Iran to sit down for face-to-face discussions.

At a photo-op with the Czech Republic Foreign Minister, Clinton reiterated that Iran needs to first demonstrate a willingness to seriously engage. She added, "We hope that there will be opportunities in the future for us to develop a better understanding of one another and to work out a way of talking that would produce positive results for the people of Iran."

She also said the U.S. will consider a missile defense system to counter Iranian missile threats if its proven to "operate effectively." She stressed that this was a "realistic" approach and the only way the U.S. would reconsider would be if Iran decided to change its behavior.  She noted, however, the U.S. is a "long, long way" from seeing any evidence of that.

Clinton warns N. Korea to keep ‘attitude’ in check
In advance of her trip to Asia next week, Secretary Clinton warned North Korea today not to "up the ante" with threatening behavior against its neighbors.

CONTINUED >>

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Stimulus passes the Senate

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 12:44 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland and Mark Murray
Breaking news: The U.S. Senate just passed its $838 billion stimulus bill. This legislation must now be reconciled with the House version that already passed several days ago.

The vote was 61-37, with three Republicans -- Collins, Snowe, and Specter -- joining all the Democrats in favor of the legislation.

*** UPDATE *** Per NBC's Athena Jones, President Obama acknowledged the passage at his town hall in Florida. "I just wanted to announce the Senate just passed our Recovery and Reinvestment Plan," he said to big cheers and applause from the audience. "That's good news and I want to thank all the members in the Senate who worked to move the process forward. We've still gotta, we still gotta get the House bill and the Senate bill to match up before it gets sent to my desk, so we've got a little more work to do over the next couple of days, but it's a good start."

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McConnell's argument vs. stimulus

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 11:36 AM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland and Mark Murray
In his closing arguments urging his colleagues to vote against the Senate stimulus bill, Republican Leader Mitch McConnell blamed Democratic leaders -- not President Obama -- for crafting a bill he believes is both wasteful and non-stimulative. "The president was right to call for a stimulus, but this bill misses the mark," McConnell said on the Senate floor this morning. 

"To his credit, our new president has committed himself to working with Congress to fix the economy, a top priority for both parties," McConnell said. "What many of us did not expect, however, was that President Obama wouldn't be the author of that plan ... the bold economic plan that President Obama called for ended up being written by some of the longest-serving Democrats in the House of Representatives -- and it showed." He added that Senate Democrats didn't do any better.

(But as we pointed out earlier this morning, how many Americans will believe that the legislation is Pelosi's and Reid's, after Obama has forcefully advocated for it over the past 24 hours?)

McConnell repeated Republican's core objections: wasteful spending, permanent government expansion, minimal job creation, and a staggering price tag. "We have no assurance it will create jobs or revive the economy," he said. "The only thing we know for sure is that it increases our debt and locks in bigger and bigger interest payments every year. In short, we're taking an enormous risk with other people's money."

The GOP leader said his members believe the best way to fix the economy is to address the housing crisis and reduce personal taxes. "Throughout this process, Republicans have been guided by the belief that the desire to 'just do something' shouldn't be an excuse to waste tax dollars."

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Stimulus votes -- what to expect

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 10:30 AM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC’s Ken Strickland
At noon today we expect two stimulus-related votes. The first will be a procedural vote. The second should be final passage of the stimulus bill (then it gets reconciled with the House bill). Both require 60 votes to pass.

We expect the same "yea" vote total as yesterday: 61 in favor (the three GOP senators -- Collins, Snowe and Specter -- plus all 58 members of the Democratic caucus).

There is a slight possibility this could play out differently, though, depending on how Republicans want to play it. But generally speaking, we expect this will all be wrapped up by about 12:30 p.m. ET. 

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First thoughts: Obama's 24-hour blitz

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 9:15 AM by Mark Murray
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Obama’s 24-hour blitz: After President Obama yesterday conducted a town hall in Indiana and then held his first primetime news conference as president, his media blitz to sell the economic stimulus continues today. At 12:05 pm ET, Obama -- introduced by Florida GOP Gov. Charlie Crist -- will hold another town hall, this one in Fort Myers, FL. Around that same time, the Senate will begin its final vote on the stimulus, which will surely pass after the legislation cleared yesterday’s procedural hurdle by a 61-36 vote. Obama’s 24-hour media blitz to get control of the salesmanship of his economic plan has been an impressive P.R. campaign. But it does raise this question: Would Republicans (beyond the triumvirate of Collins, Snowe, and Specter) have been more receptive to the plan had Obama started this intense pitch a week ago? It seems as if he's making a pitch for something that's, well, already sold. That said, he got the 60 votes he needed in the Senate, and he continues to enjoy high ratings in those new Gallup and CNN polls. At the end of the day, you want what you need, right? By the way, in Fort Myers today, Obama may be trying to negotiate for a key stimulus component that the Senate compromise slashed: aid to state and local governments. With Crist on hand, the president may have a key bipartisan ally to get some of that state money back.

Video: At his first prime-time news conference, Obama urges action on the economic stimulus package and warns of tough times ahead. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.

*** A pretty impressive performance: As for last night’s press conference, perhaps the one thing missing from Obama's impressive -- if a bit wonky -- performance was that he seemed to spend more time defending himself against GOP critics, rather than explaining how his plan will help the nervous families. He seemed mired in the Washington debate that he was trying to stay above. Then again, how many times did we hear him say the plan would create four million jobs? A lot. And how many times he did cite the economic troubles plaguing Elkhart, IN? A ton. Of course, he learned yesterday in Indiana that it's a lot easier to sell a slice of his plan to a slice of Americans than sell this entire thing to the entire public. As for the GOP response to last night, there was a consistent theme: The stimulus plan isn’t Obama’s (who is popular); instead, it’s Pelosi’s and Reid’s (who are unpopular). “The legislation moving its way through Congress bares little resemblance to what President Obama described at [the] press conference,” said RNC chair Michael Steele in a statement. “The spending bill written by Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid is filled with unnecessary and wasteful programs.” But after watching yesterday’s town hall and news conference, how many Americans don’t think that Obama OWNS this stimulus? It’s his stimulus, and that presents him potential rewards and also risks.

Video: TODAY's Meredith Vieira talks with NBC's Tom Brokaw about Obama's news conference. 

*** A somber Obama: One other thing that didn't go unnoticed last night was Obama’s (and the media’s) sober tone. Usually, this somber tone is reserved for wartime or tragedy; that's how serious everyone seems to be taking this crisis. Politico’s Roger Simon has a great lead: "Barack Obama has a tough act to pull off. He must simultaneously petrify people and also restore their confidence. He must scare us to death and calm our fears."

*** Lessons learned: On Monday, one of us listed four lessons that last week’s nicks and bruises over the stimulus might have taught Obama and team: 1) realize that the campaign really doesn’t ever end, and that you’ve got to do the little things right to sell something to the public; 2) use the bully pulpit more; 3) make sure the ball is in your hands, not Congress’; and 4) understand the limits of working with congressional Republicans. Yesterday, it seemed that Team Obama learned those lessons. Early in the morning, the White House emailed reporters that new Gallup poll showing two-thirds of the public approving his handling of the stimulus. The president conducted a town hall in Indiana and later held a primetime news conference. He then sold the legislation to the public. “Now I'm not going to tell you that this bill is perfect. It isn't,” he said at the town hall. “But it is the right size, the right scope, and has the right priorities.” And he pointed to the scoreboard last November: “We can no longer posture and bicker and resort to the same failed ideas that got us into this mess in the first place - and that the American people rejected at the polls this past November.”

*** TARP 2: Electric Boogaloo: In addition to the battle over the stimulus, the other big news today is that Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will unveil the administration’s financial stabilization plan at 11:00 am ET. There is a media briefing at 11:45 am, then a Geithner interview by NBC's Brian Williams, and then Geithner testifies at 2:30 pm before the Senate Banking Committee. Much of preview coverage of this bank bailout plan is framed via the idea that the first $350 billion spending was a failure. (Indeed, Geithner will say today, according to excerpts of his remarks: “The actions we took were absolutely essential, but they were inadequate.”) But was it? Where would we be right now without it? Could it be the rollout of the plan was more of a P.R. disaster than a policy disaster? Here's the thing: It's a straw man at this point and potentially a helpful one to Obama and Geithner as they roll out this new financial bailout. Of course, today's rollout won't be judged just by public opinion but by the markets. Congress may be happy that Geithner is immediately asking for more money, but is that what the financial folks want to hear? Is the so-called bad bank big enough? Is $50 billion for housing too little? By the way, with Obama playing point on stimulus, it's clear that this new financial bailout plan is Geithner's, not Obama. The subtle message in today's New York Times: Geithner got what he wanted; it's his plan.

Video: CNBC's Steve Leisman reports on some of the ideas being floated for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's bank bailout strategy.

*** And don’t forget, it’s Election Day -- in Israel: “Israelis cast their ballots Tuesday to choose a new government, with polls indicating a tight race between the parties of right-wing opposition leader Binyamin Netanyahu and centrist Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni,” the Washington Post notes. “Although Netanyahu held a sizable lead for most of the campaign, Livni had nearly closed the gap in recent days, polls showed. Still, with 33 parties on the ballot, neither Netanyahu's Likud Party nor Livni's Kadima Party was expected to receive more than about a quarter of the vote, meaning each would have to rely heavily on coalition partners to construct a new government. Most analysts believe the task would be easier for Netanyahu than for Livni because of an overall rightward shift in the electorate.”

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 112 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 119 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 266 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 630 days

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First 100 days: Obama's first presser

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
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USA Today writes, “President Obama took his case for more than $800 billion in economic stimulus directly to the American people Monday, accusing Republicans of playing politics with a plan that's ‘exactly what this country needs.’… ‘I can't afford to see Congress play the usual political games,’ Obama said. ‘What we have to do right now is deliver for the American people.’”

The New York Times’ analysis: “Three weeks into his tenure, Mr. Obama acknowledged that his effort to change the political climate in Washington had yielded little. He made clear that he had all but given up hope of securing a bipartisan consensus behind his $800 billion economic recovery package, arguing that the urgency of the economic crisis had at least for now outweighed the need for unity.”

The Washington Post: “The president fielded 13 questions from reporters in his first wide-ranging session since he took office, touching briefly on foreign policy, his long-range agenda and sports. But the economy dominated the event. Asked about the next allotment of money to aid troubled banks, he said he is dissatisfied with the way the first $350 billion was spent. ‘We didn't get as big a bang for the buck as we should have’ from the Troubled Assets Relief Program, Obama said. ‘My immediate task is making sure that the second half of that money -- $350 billion -- is spent properly.’ That allocation process will begin today, when Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner is slated to detail the administration's strategy for releasing the remaining bailout money.”

Politico's Martin points out, "Urgency was the obvious message Obama was trying to convey to millions of Americans in the hour-long session. But to a smaller Washington audience—to both Republicans and skeptics in his own party—there seemed to be an equally unmistakable subtext: He is not a patsy or a pushover."

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Geithner's big day

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 9:12 AM by Mark Murray
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Per sources with knowledge of the financial stability plan that Treasury Secretary Geithner will unveil today, it will try to do four things: 1) stabilize the system by instituting “uniform standards to help clean up and strengthen banks,” and also conducting “‘stress tests’ to ensure the nation’s largest banks can withstand a worsening economy”; 2) create “a new consumer business lending initiative to leverage up to $1 trillion dollars to kick start the secondary lending markets”; 3) establish “a new public-private investment fund which provide government capital and financing to leverage private capital to buy up the ‘toxic assets’ that are dragging down lending”; and 4) work “to keep people in their homes and curb the housing crisis” by committing “$50 billion to reduce monthly payments and establish loan modification guidelines.”

“Instead of catalyzing recovery, the financial system is working against recovery, and that’s the dangerous dynamic we need to change,” Geithner will say today, according to excerpts First Read obtained. “It is essential for every American to understand that the battle for economic recovery must be fought on two fronts. We have to both jumpstart job creation and private investment, and we must get credit flowing again to businesses and families.”

More Geithner: “Last fall, as the global crisis intensified, Congress acted quickly and courageously to provide emergency authority to help contain the damage… The actions we took were absolutely essential, but they were inadequate. The force of government support was not comprehensive or quick enough to withstand the deepening pressure brought on by the financial crisis. The spectacle of huge amounts of taxpayer money being provided to the same institutions that help caused the crisis, with limited transparency and oversight added to public distrust. Our challenge is much greater today because the American people have lost faith in the leaders of our financial institutions, and are skeptical that their government has -- to this point -- used taxpayers’ money in ways that will benefit them.”

And he will conclude, “I want to be candid: This comprehensive strategy will cost money, involve risk, and take time… This is a challenge more complex than any our financial system has ever faced, requiring new systems and persistent attention to solve. But the president, the Treasury and the entire administration are committed to see it through because we know how directly the future of our economy depends on it.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Another hurdle cleared

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 9:10 AM by Mark Murray
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The stimulus "cleared a major hurdle" in the Senate yesterday, The Hill writes.
 
The next steps: The stimulus got passed in large measure because Democrats stripped about $100 billion out of the House bill. But: "Democrats have apparently decided to test their luck by trying to restore much of the education money they gave up in order to secure those Republican votes," Roll Call reports. "For example, Congressional Democrats and the White House are trying to figure out how to get $16 billion in school construction funding back in the measure without tinkering with the overall cost." 
 
"Many Capitol Hill observers speculated that Congressional Republicans might show deference to Obama in the wake of his November victory and their sweeping defeats at the hands of the Democrats," Roll Call adds. "But the Senate GOP Conference doesn’t appear to have changed tactics much from the previous Congress, when it numbered 49 and GOP leaders holstered considerable parliamentary power."

Two dueling stimulus-related events in DC today: First, the conservative Heritage Foundation and Club for Growth host a conference this morning in opposition to the stimulus. Then the liberal-leaning ACORN and the AFL-CIO hold a rally at 2:30 pm ET on Capitol Hill to support the legislation.

CONTINUED >>

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2009/2010: Dodd's numbers drop

Posted: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 9:09 AM by Mark Murray
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CONNECTICUT: Sen. Chris Dodd's poll numbers continue to drop, according to the latest Quinnipiac poll. By the way, keep an eye out on ex-GOP Rep. Rob Simmons, who apparently has more fire in the belly to challenge Dodd than the more recently ousted moderate GOP Congressman, Chris Shays. 
 
NEW YORK: Roll Call jumps into the special congressional election to replace Kirsten Gillibrand. 
 
And here's a switch… Gillibrand has apparently (shocking!) shifted her position on guns. "I'm going to write the legislation and offer it in the Senate," Gillibrand promised after meeting "after meeting the family and friends of a Brooklyn teen killed by a stray bullet." "I will be a fighter to make sure to keep those illegal guns off the street." The New York Daily News' Daly: "A cynical newspaper guy might say Gillibrand was never so much pro-gun as pro-Kirsten, and the change only reflects a broader constituency than the rural hunters she represented as an upstate congresswoman."

OHIO: Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D), who has failed once in a gubernatorial bid, may try for Ohio’s open Senate seat.

CONTINUED >>

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Stimulus clears Senate hurdle

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 5:51 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland
As we expected, GOP Sens. Collins, Snowe, and Specter have all voted "yes" on this procedural vote on the stimulus. That means if all the Democrats vote "yes," they'll have the required 60 votes needed to advance the bill to the final vote tomorrow.

The vote continues, but the Dems already have their three GOP votes.

*** UPDATE *** The vote was 61-36; it now advances to final vote tomorrow.

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Lindsey Graham vs. Obama

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 4:04 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Ken Strickland
Less than three months ago, Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham joined John McCain in a post-election reconciliation meeting with then-President-elect Barack Obama. The session resulted a joint statement, with all promising to "change the bad habits of Washington." But after news time on Friday night, Graham showed that old habits die very hard.

"Please don't overestimate your ability to persuade people just because you're a gifted orator," Graham said on the floor a few hours after a compromised stimulus agreed had been reached. Graham said he'd come to the floor of offer a "couple of observations" about what he felt was a flawed partisan process.

"What we've done is we've lost a young president's promise to change things," he said. Referring to a red-meat speech the president had given the night before to House Democrats in Williamsburg, VA, Graham addressed Obama directly, "I'm sure you're not, but if you are listening, think twice about doing that again."

CONTINUED >>

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Obama hits the road, pushes stimulus

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 3:53 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Athena Jones

ELKHART, Ind. -- President Obama was back on the road Monday, campaigning for swift passage of a massive recovery plan he argued would create jobs in hard hit places in the American heartland.

The setting for Obama's first town hall event as president is a city that has seen its unemployment rate triple to 15.3% in the last year. The president made two trips here, a place known as the RV capital of the world, during the campaign.

“Make yourselves comfortable. We’re gonna be here a while,” he told the cheering crowd gathered in a high school gymnasium. He went on to joke that the folks in the room might have noticed a little debate going on in Washington.

CONTINUED >>

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Ted Kennedy in DC for vote

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 2:41 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Kelly O'Donnell

Sources tell NBC News that Sen. Ted Kennedy (D) will be at the Capitol today to cast his vote when the Senate considers ending the debate on the stimulus bill. Kennedy's vote gives Democrats a one-vote cushion getting them to 61 (assuming all Democrats and the three Republicans who publicly support the measure vote yes).

Kennedy returned Friday from Florida, where he has been recuperating during on going treatment for brain cancer. 

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What's with Batman and governors?

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 2:18 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
We mentioned earlier that Val Kilmer is seriously pondering a run for governor of New Mexico.

For a little fun, if Kilmer runs and wins, he'd be the second Batman movie star to be governor of a state.

Action-hero-turned-politico Arnold Schwarzenegger played Mr. Freeze in the 1997 Batman.

He famously proclaims "The iceman cometh" just before he freezes up the place.

So the governator would join another iceman in the ranks of governor. Kilmer, remember, was launched to fame with his role as Iceman in Top Gun.

What say you, Michael Keaton?

(Hat tip to commenter jawillie)

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New poll: Obama's sky-high numbers

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 1:50 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro
Here are some more poll numbers on President Obama and the stimulus, courtesy of a new CNN survey (conducted Feb. 7-8, MOE +/- 3.5%):
-- 76% approve of the president's job
-- Obama's worst numbers seem to come from last week's Daschle news: 80% say Obama is doing a good job providing leadership for the country; 76% say he's doing a good job handling foreign policy; 72% say he's doing a good job handling the economy; 68% say he's doing a good job handling terrorism; and 61% say he's doing a good job choosing his cabinet
-- 60% approve the job congressional Democrats are performing, versus 44% who say the same of congressional Republicans
-- 74% say Obama is doing enough to cooperate with Republicans, while just 39% say the Republicans are doing enough to cooperate with Obama
-- 54% support the economic stimulus, versus 45% who oppose it

And how are Republicans framing this poll and the new Gallup one? Brad Dayspring, spokesman for House Minority Whip Eric Cantor, sends along the following: "The Gallup poll out this morning is a reminder that Americans want effective action on the economy. In fact, the poll reinforces EXACTLY what Republicans have been saying: (1) America wants an economic recovery package -- Republicans agree, which is why we have been promoting a smart, simple plan that is free of taxpayer funded waste, and allows middle-class families to spend more of their own money and small business owners to reinvest and create jobs...; (2) Americans don't like THIS stimulus package and believe it is the wrong approach -- Republicans overwhelmingly agree...; (3) Americans want to eliminate wasteful spending from an economic recovery package -- Republicans agree, and have tried to prevent congressional Democrats from wasting tax dollars on non-emergency spending...; (4) President Obama’s message of change is very popular -- Republicans agree, which is which is why we have tried to work with him despite the roadblocks set up by Speaker Pelosi, Chairman Obey, and Sen. Reid."

Responding directly to the CNN poll, Dayspring adds, "President Obama is popular, we recognize that. Yet his approval is 20 points higher than approval of the stimulus bill."

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After stimulus, lessons for Obama

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 1:20 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
The U.S. Senate is expected to pass its version of the stimulus bill this week. Then it heads to the joint House and Senate conference for final approval.

But none of it has been easy.

Video: Speaking to a town hall in Elkhart, In, President Obama tells the audience that while his recovery plan may not be perfect, Congress needs to act before the economy worsens.

Democrats lost the public relations war and control of the message, allowing inflammatory items like contraceptives, sexually transmitted disease prevention and sod for the National Mall to dominate the conversation.The bill's passage has also been complicated by President Obama's nominee tax problems, culminating in his prime-time round of apologies.

All of it has Democratic strategists privately furious. But politically, none of it may matter a week from now for the President.

"In the end if it works like it looks like it might -- which means it goes through with 60-plus votes, and works out some kinks [in the package] for a sizable majority in both houses -- and it is signed into law, a week from now the basic story will be huge victory for Barack Obama," said Norm Ornstein, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. "It will be the largest economic package passed in the history of the country, with unprecedented quick action and probably bipartisan support. That will be huge for him."

What the bumpy ride provides is four lessons are for this administration: (1) The little things count -- They're what got you here; (2) Use the bully pulpit -- and frame what you're doing; (3) Want the ball -- Maintain more control over legislation; (4) Reality check -- Are Republicans really your friends?

CLICK FOR MORE

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Gov. Crist to join Obama tomorrow

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 12:59 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Mark Murray

The White House just announced that Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) -- once thought to be one of John McCain's VP possibilities -- will introduce President Obama at tomorrow's town hall in Fort Myers, FL.

The statement from Obama: "I look forward to traveling to Fort Myers tomorrow to talk to Floridians about how we get our nation's economy back on track. Gov. Crist and I have seen firsthand the toll that this economic crisis has taken on the American people, and we agree that we can't allow politics to get in the way of urgent relief for the millions of families and small businesses that need it."

Crist's statement: "Florida has taken prudent steps to cut taxes for our people and balance our budget in these increasingly difficult times. Any attempts at federal stimulus must prioritize job creation and targeted tax relief for small business owners. I am eager to welcome President Obama to the Sunshine State as he continues to work hard to reignite the US economy."

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Ruth Bader Ginsburg progressing

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 12:02 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Pete Williams

We're not likely to hear any further updates on Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg until she's released from the New York hospital where she had surgery last week for pancreatic cancer.

Her doctor initially said she'd be in the hospital for 7 to 10 days, so we might hear something more Thursday or Friday.

Those familiar with her condition say she is making some phone calls and is "progressing" with her recovery.

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Obama team stresses polling

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 11:30 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC’s Chuck Todd
ABOARD AIR FORCE ONE -- Three write-ups in one: Headlines: POTUS comes back to press area, mostly about Camp David; Axelrod gives a quick poll briefing; Gibbs does a gaggle, notes an addition to the schedule, a Thursday trip to Springfield now has a stop in Peoria, Ill., where the president will visit a Caterpillar facility.

So will we see the "How's it playin’ in Peoria" headlines galore by Thursday?

Obama meets the press
At 10:04 am ET, 11 minutes into the flight, a coatless president came back to the press part of Air Force One to say hi, scrambling all of your friendly multi-platform reporters.

It was a "nicer ride," he noted from the days of the campaign.

A few questions were asked about how he liked Camp David, where he was over the weekend. It was his first trip there as president.

CONTINUED >>

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First thoughts: Back on the road

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 9:16 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Back on the road: With the Senate voting on the Nelson-Collins stimulus compromise at 5:30 pm ET today (it requires 60 votes to pass) and with the final Senate vote on the stimulus coming around noon tomorrow, President Obama returns to the campaign trail to help sell his plan. At 12:05 pm, he holds a town hall in Elkhart, Ind., where the unemployment rate has jumped up to 15.3%. After that, he travels back to the White House for his first primetime news conference as president, which will take place at 8:00 pm. And then tomorrow, he goes back on the road for another town hall, this one in Fort Myers, FL. Why is Obama hitting the trail? The New York Times has this nugget: "A collection of private and public polls, as well as focus groups convened by Democratic strategists, showed that the public’s support for the economic recovery package was eroding as Republicans intensified their criticism of the plan. So advisers to the president told him he had no choice but to fire up Air Force One and return to a mode of campaigning that helped him win the presidency." By the way, per NBC’s Athena Jones, here are the current and ex-lawmakers traveling with Obama to Indiana: Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood (R), Sen. Evan Bayh (D), Rep. Joe Donnelly (D), Rep. Baron Hill (D), Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D), Rep. Fred Upton (R), Rep. Andre Carson (D), former Rep. Tim Roemer (D), and former Rep. Lee Hamilton (D). The big omission: GOP Sen. Dick Lugar.  

***

Where’s the eye of the tiger? As Obama hits the road today, political observers -- including some Democrats -- are asking themselves how the Obama White House and the Democratic committees allowed themselves to get worked over by the Republicans, much like Rocky got clobbered by Mr. T’s Clubber Lang in their first fight after Rocky had become the champ. For instance, how did a Republican Party that had turned a budget surplus into a projected trillion-dollar deficit get away with becoming paragons of fiscal responsibility? "I can't believe we got lectured by Republicans on fiscal policy," one Democratic strategist told First Read. How did the party, when the RNC was blasting out emails about Hilda Solis’ husband’s tax problems, not aggressively fire back that the wife of the GOP presidential nominee also failed to pay back taxes? And why didn’t the party pounce on NRCC chairman Pete Sessions comparing the Republican Party’s insurgency to the Taliban’s? "I don't get it," griped another Democrat. Time for Apollo Creed to help the champ get his mojo back?

Video: Obama takes his policies to the public, in his first prime-time news conference. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.

*** Hyperbole watch: While the Republicans certainly have bruised Obama during this stimulus debate, much of their rhetoric seems pretty overheated, no? “We’re going down a road to disaster,” said Sen. Richard C. Shelby. Then there’s this line, courtesy of the Washington Post, from RNC chairman Michael Steele: "You and I know that in the history of mankind and womankind, government -- federal, state or local -- has never created one job. It's destroyed a lot of them." Huh? And John McCain called the stimulus "generational theft." Republicans might be concerned that the stimulus’ price tag is too high, but has some of their rhetoric gone a bit too far? Most mainstream economists, as well as anyone who took Macroeconomics 101 in college, doesn’t view demand-side spending -- especially with the specter of deflation looming -- as a “disaster” or “generational theft.” Also, just askin’: With Obama's aggressive courtship of Republicans (meeting with them in private, having them over to the White House for cocktails, appointing three of them to his cabinet), did anyone think that just three Republicans (Collins, Snowe, Specter) out of 219 GOP senators and congressman would so far support the stimulus? 

*** Another short honeymoon? Speaking of Michael Steele, the new RNC chairman might end up having a short honeymoon. Over the weekend, the Washington Post first reported that Steele’s 2006 Senate campaign gave his sister’s company more than $37,000, months after that company became defunct. “Campaign records indicate that $37,262 paid to Brown Sugar Unlimited covered catering and Web services. But it came 11 months after [Steele’s sister] … had legally dissolved the company… On Friday, a spokesman for Steele provided a receipt for catering costs totaling almost $15,000 for two events, about half the total. The spokesman said they were searching for receipts to document the rest.” 

*** TARP II, delayed a day: Trying to keep today’s focus on the stimulus, the Treasury Department announced yesterday that it would delay the release of the administration’s financial stabilization plan until Tuesday. Given this delay, expect a lot more leaks today about what Geithner might unveil tomorrow. One piece of good news for those in Congress: It appears that Obama and Geithner will NOT be immediately asking for more money; in fact, private money will play more of a role than was rumored a few weeks ago. "Administration officials said the plan … was likely to depend in part on the willingness of private investors other than banks -- like hedge funds, private equity funds and perhaps even insurance companies -- to buy the contaminating assets that wiped out the capital of many banks,” the Times writes. 

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 113 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 120 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 267 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 631 days

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First 100 days: Risks for both sides

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Politico says the stimulus debate has risks for Obama -- but also for the Republicans. “The risks for Obama are considerable. He and the Democrats will have no one else to blame if the package fails to boost the economy. Obama himself has said his first term can be judged on whether it succeeds, whether it creates or saves the 3 million to 4 million jobs he promises. And if the economy fails to show marked signs of improvement -- a possibility indeed -- Republicans will have a megabillion-dollar ‘I told you so’ in their pockets, just in time for the 2010 midterm elections and Obama’s own reelection bid in 2012.”

More: “Yet Republicans are gambling themselves -- and perhaps with even higher stakes. Still seeking a way forward from their Election Day thumping, they risk appearing out of touch as the unemployment rate jumps to 7.6 percent and a popular new president is appearing to seek their support to address the crisis. By turning their backs on him and opposing action at a time when millions of Americans are in need, they may invite a ‘party of no’ bull’s-eye on their backs.”

A new Gallup poll provides some good news for Obama, though. “The American public gives President Barack Obama a strong 67% approval rating for the way in which he is handling the government's efforts to pass an economic stimulus bill, while the Democrats and, in particular, the Republicans in Congress receive much lower approval ratings of 48% and 31%, respectively.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: Back to work on the stimulus

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Senate convenes today at 1:00 pm ET with a significant procedural vote on the revamped compromise stimulus package at 5:30 pm, NBC’s Ken Strickland says. While only procedural in nature, today's vote will be the first and formal test that the Nelson-Collins alternative has the 60 votes needed for final passage. This new bill cuts more than $100 billion from the original Senate version. The final vote is scheduled for Tuesday about noon, with 60 votes required for passage.

Strick adds that today's vote will also be an indication of any new Republican support. So far only GOP moderate Senators Collins, Specter, and Snowe have publicly voiced support. Still, those three votes along with 58 Democrats bring the tally to 61. When the deal was struck Friday, negotiators touted the new reduced total cost at $780 billion. But because $47 billion worth of amendments had been passed during last week's debate for things like tax relief for home and car buyers, the package is now priced about $827 billion. (That's $7 billion more than the House passed bill.)

The New York Times notes the differences between the House and Senate stimulus bills. “While the bills have many of the same elements, the exact amounts spent on similar items and programs vary. The House version provides $40 billion more in aid to local governments and is slightly more generous with a middle-class tax credit, while the Senate bill offers tax incentives for home and car purchases.” 

The Washington Post writes that congressional Republicans see their opposition to the stimulus as a way to revitalize the party. “The fact that the stimulus legislation keeps moving forward nonetheless has done nothing to dim Republicans' satisfaction. Rather, they sense a tactical victory, particularly in the framing of their opposition to the plan as a clash with congressional Democrats instead of with President Obama, who remains far more popular with voters than does Congress. Republicans are holding congressional Democrats responsible for the wasteful spending they say is in the stimulus package, even though most of the big-ticket items -- for renewable energy, health care and schools -- are ones that Obama wanted in the package to advance his long-term goals.”  

CONTINUED >>

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2009: And so it begins…

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 9:10 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

Over the weekend, all three Democratic contenders for Virginia governor -- Creigh Deeds, Terry McAuliffe, Brian Moran -- addressed the VA Jefferson-Jackson dinner in Richmond. “Although this is his first run for elective office, McAuliffe, former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, put on quite a show downtown before the dinner began: He brought in three busloads of supporters, and Richmond police shut down the street in front of the convention center so he and about 100 people could parade,” the Washington Post reported.

More: “During his remarks, Moran sought to define the contest as one between two men with deep ties to Virginia politics -- him and Deeds -- and McAuliffe. In a hard-hitting speech, Moran took repeated swipes at McAuliffe without mentioning him by name, suggesting that he was an outsider who would lead the party to defeat in November if he were the Democratic nominee. ‘We must decide what our party stands for,’ Moran said. ‘Will our party be built from the bottom up or from the top down? Will our party be about public service or personal gain? Will our party be dominated by big money or those who raise it?’” 

Meanwhile, “Deeds, who was the Democratic nominee for attorney general in 2005, used his speech to try to position himself as an alternative to McAuliffe and Moran. ‘If you want a nominee who is part of that corporate CEO culture, then I'm not the candidate for you,’ said Deeds, who says he will fight for the middle class. If you want a nominee who is part of the partisan bickering that has paralyzed our nation for far too long, then I'm not your guy.’”

Bill Clinton delivered the keynote speech at the JJ Dinner. He “told Virginia Democrats Saturday that the party has won America's long-running culture war but has to make sure not to squander it with partisanship.” 

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2010: The Iceman cometh?

Posted: Monday, February 09, 2009 9:08 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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ARIZONA: Top-target watch: "Rep. Harry Mitchell (D-Ariz.) could have a rematch in 2010, as former Maricopa County Treasurer David Schweikert (R) has filed to challenge him. Schweikert was heralded as a top GOP recruit last year, but lost 53-44 after a brutal primary." 
 
NEW MEXICO: Iceman for governor? "Val Kilmer is pondering running for governor of New Mexico in 2010, when Democrat Bill Richardson's second term ends. 'I'm just looking for ways to be contributive,' Kilmer told The Associated Press on Thursday. 'And if that ends up being where I can make a substantial contribution, then I'll run.'" The decision, though, is 'really day to day,' he said over tea at a local restaurant."
 
NEW YORK: The first poll in the race to succeed Kirsten Gillibrand has Republican Jim Tedisco leading Democrat Scott Murphy by a wide margin, 50%-29%. The poll was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Republican. Tedisco, a longtime state legislator, is found to be much more widely known and starts out with the advantage. 
 
OHIO: Rep. Steve Chabot (R) is jumping in for a rematch against "the man unseated him in 2008, freshman Rep. Steve Driehaus (D)."

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The Dems' grassroots campaign

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 6:18 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
First Read got its hands on the email and video that Organizing for America -- the Obama campaign offshoot that's housed inside the Democratic National Committee -- is sending to the individuals who are hosting the 3,300 meetings across the country on the economic stimulus.

Here's the video from new DNC chairman Tim Kaine:

Here's the email:
"Governor Tim Kaine just recorded a video answering your questions about the President's economic recovery plan and how it will affect your community.

"Please show this video during your Economic Recovery House Meeting, then encourage your guests to ask their own questions and share their personal stories.

"Don't forget to gather stories and questions from your guests -- they will be featured on BarackObama.com to tell the story of the economic crisis, and our recovery.

"And if you haven't already, be sure to check out the House Meeting Host Guide for tips on how to collect stories and make your meeting a success.

"Thank you for being a part of this important event,

Organizing for America."

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Looks like we've got a deal

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 6:04 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
The bipartisan negotiators who've been working to cut at least $100 billion from the stimulus package have reached an agreement among themselves over how much to cut. The new cost of the package would be $780 billion -- down from more than $900 billion now.

Right now, Senate Majority Leader Reid is discussing this "tentative deal" with his Democratic members, hoping all of them will support it. 

If so, the amendment will go to a floor for a vote, and likely pass. 

THIS DOES NOT MEAN the package has passed the Senate. But it is a significant hurdle that dramatically lowers the cost of the bill and clears the way for final passage.

We still don't know when final passage will happen.

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The latest stimulus update

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 3:38 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Here's the state of play at the moment ... more negotiations.

Everything seems to be revolving around the Nelson-Collins proposal to cut $100 billion from the stimulus bill and mustering enough Republican support to get the 60 votes needed to pass it.  

The Nelson-Collins gang presented their proposal to Majority Leader Harry Reid.  Reid has made a counter proposal to Republicans.

GOP Sens. Susan Collins and Arlen Specter will take Reid's offer to their Republican members so see if there's enough support to pass it.

That's where we are.

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Obama urges passage of stimulus

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 3:32 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Athena Jones


At an event today to announce the members of his Economic Recovery Advisory Board, President Obama highlighted the latest jobs numbers and kept up his campaign-style rhetoric Friday, urging quick passage of the stimulus bill.

Echoing a statement his team put out this morning after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported some 598,000 jobs were lost in January and unemployment rose to 7.6%, Obama said that the data demonstrated the urgency of the situation, and that it was inexcusable and irresponsible for Congress to get bogged down in distraction, delay, or politics as usual at this time.

"The American people did not choose more of the same," he said. "They did not send us to Washington to get stuck in partisan posturing, to try to score political points or to turn back to the same tried and failed approaches that were rejected because we saw the results. They sent us here to make change and the expectation that we would act."

He said that while the bill before Congress was not perfect, it was "absolutely necessary" and would continue to be refined and improved.

CONTINUED >>

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Obama to hit the road

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 2:42 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Athena Jones
On Monday, per White House press secretary Robert Gibbs, President Obama will travel to Elkhart, IN for a town hall meeting about his stimulus plan. And he'll hit another town hall in Fort Myers, FL on Tuesday. Both cities are hard hit by unemployment.

In addition, he'll make a day trip to Springfield, IL on Thursday to celebrate Lincoln's birthday.

And Gibbs said that the Obama family heads to Camp David this weekend -- for the first time.

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Nelson-Collins negotiations complete

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 12:44 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Negotiations on the Nelson-Collins amendment to cut about $100 billion from the economic stimulus package are complete. The bipartisan group negotiating it has reached agreement on what items should be cut, according Sen. Ben Nelson, the group leading Democrat.

But Nelson says he's shy two Republican votes to ensure the amendment's passage. "The hope is we'll pick up two more Republicans, and if we're able to do that then I think we'll have sufficient numbers to get a vote and pass the alternative," Nelson said walking into a meeting with Democratic leaders.

Video: MSNBC's Chris Matthews appears on Morning Joe to discuss the chances for bipartisanship with the stimulus plan.

Walking into that same meeting was Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill, also part of the Nelson-Collins bipartisan group. She mentioned two of the major GOP concerns about the stimulus bill: the cost and the composition. 

As it relates to composition, she says some Republicans are against the notion of having the federal government taking on responsibilities that historically were done by the states. "They're not arguing that they're stimulative. They're not arguing that they're needed. They're arguing about the precedent we're setting of the federal government beginning to do things like school construction."

*** UPDATE *** Here's the state of play at the moment... more negotiations.

Everything seems to be revolving around the Nelson-Collins proposal to cut $100 billion from the stimulus bill and mustering enough Republican support to get the 60 votes needed to pass it.  

The Nelson-Collins gang presented their proposal to Majority Leader Harry Reid. Reid has made a counter proposal to Republicans. Republicans Collins and Arlen Specter will take Reid's offer to their Republican members to see if there's enough support to pass it.

That's where we are.

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Munich on hold for Biden (for now)

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 11:56 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Chuck Todd
Vice President Biden will not leaving for Munich straight from Williamsburg, VA as originially planned, according to White House sources. He's now coming back to DC to help with last-minute sales pitches for the stimulus plan.

*** UPDATE *** Per NBC's Savannah Guthrie: Biden IS GOING straight to Munich, after all. There was some confusion, but here is the deal... According to White House sources, there was some discussion of keeping Biden here until Senate vote was done. However, they've now decided to have Biden travel on to Munich as planned.

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Obama's economic advisory board

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 11:19 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
President Obama's going to be announcing his economic advisory board headed by Paul Volcker. The White House release just went out with background and history of what the group has done and will be expected to do.

Per the release it is "modeled on the Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board created by President Dwight D. Eisenhower...." and "will provide an independent voice on" the economy.

Video: Obama introduces economic advisory board.

The board will remain in tact for at least two years.

Members of the board to be announced: Austan Goolsbee as staff director and chief economist; William H. Donaldson, SEC Chair, 2003-05; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr., president and CEO, TIAA-CREF; Robert Wolf, chairman and CEO, UBS; David F. Swensen, CIO, Yale University; Mark T. Gallogly, founder and managing partner, Centerbridge Partners L.P.; Penny Pritzker, chairwoman, Pritzker Realty Group; Jeffrey R. Immelt, CEO, GE (parent company of NBC News); John Doerr, partner at Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers; Jim Owens, chairman and CEO, Caterpillar Inc.; Monica C. Lozano, publisher & chief executive officer, La Opinion; Charles E. Phillips, Jr., president, Oracle; Anna Burger, chairwoman, Change to Win; Richard L. Trumka, secretary-treasurer, AFL-CIO; Laura D'Andrea Tyson, dean, Haas School of Business at the University of California at Berkeley; Martin Feldstein, professor of Economics, Harvard.

*** UPDATE *** NBC's Athena Jones has more from the announcement...
President Obama highlighted the latest jobs numbers and kept up his campaign-style rhetoric, urging quick passage of the stimulus bill at an event to announce the members of his Economic Recovery Advisory Board.

Echoing a statement his team put out this morning after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported some 598,000 jobs were lost in January and unemployment rose to 7.6 percent, Obama said the data demonstrated the urgency of the situation and that it was inexcusable and irresponsible for Congress to get bogged down in distraction, delay or politics as usual at this time.

CONTINUED >>

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Kit Bond confronts Panetta on torture

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 11:13 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Andrea Mitchell
Leon Panetta's confirmation hearing to head the CIA continues, and today the top Republican -- retiring Sen. Kit Bond -- forced Panetta to back down and retract his statement from yesterday that the U.S. had transported suspects to other countries to be tortured.
 
That has been alleged by suspects, and was the topic of a New York Times editorial yesterday, but the CIA has consistently denied it. Carrying the water for the agency that Panetta wants to lead, Bond confronted Panetta and demanded what proof he had beyond "liberal blogs" and media reports.

Panetta was forced to retreat, even though President Obama has signed executive orders specifically aimed at ending the widely reported -- and widely substantiated -- practice during the Bush years

Overnight, there was a lot of pushback from the agency -- officials were not happy yesterday as they watched the CIA nominee take such a critical position on torture and interrogation, arguably the most volatile legal and moral issue facing the agencies.

Click here for more information on Panetta's remarks and confirmation hearing.

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The latest in the stimulus debate

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 10:54 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
A Republican senator in the bipartisan working group tells me they're optimistic there will be deal today over the items members would agree to cut. Then they would present the deal to the full Senate for a vote. 

That vote would be in the form of an amendment to the stimulus bill. (This member, who obviously didn't want to be identified, also said they're not sure they'll support it in the end.)

The senator also said the bipartisan agreement would probably not include as many GOP members that initially started in the discussions. In other words, there are probably some cuts that some GOP participants cannot support.

On the Democratic side, Sen. Dick Durbin told a handful of reporters moments ago that some of those proposed cuts would be "painful" for Democrats in the area of education and money to states. This raises the question of just how many Democrats would support amendment.

And remember this: The cost of this Senate version is now grown to about $920 billion. If the Nelson/Collins compromise cuts were accepted, it would drop the cost to about $820 billion. That's just about the same cost as the House-passed version, for which not a single Republican voted.

Stay tuned.

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First thoughts: Fired up

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:17 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Fired up: The Senate is still working on the stimulus bill. The unemployment rate is now 7.6% (with nearly 600,000 jobs lost in January, the most in more than 30 years). And President Barack Obama is definitely fired up.


Video: Obama speaks at the retreat for House Democrats.

Often straying from his prepared remarks at last night’s House Democratic retreat, Obama called out Republicans for not reciprocating his bipartisan overtures, and he reminded the country who’s to blame for the current state of the economy, Politico writes. “‘When you start hearing arguments, on the cable chatter, just understand a couple of things,’ he said. ‘No. 1, when they say, “Well, why are we spending $800 billion [when] we’ve got this huge deficit?” -- first of all, I found this deficit when I showed up, No. 1. ‘I found this national debt, doubled, wrapped in a big bow waiting for me as I stepped into the Oval Office.’” Politico adds, “After his remarks, Obama, clearly caught up in the moment, made the party get-together feel even more like a campaign rally with his signature call-and-response chant. ‘Fired up?’ he asked the Democratic lawmakers. ‘Ready to go!’ a group of them shouted back.”

*** But ready to go? The question, of course, is whether the Senate -- and more importantly that working group of centrist lawmakers -- reaches an agreement on the stimulus legislation. Everything we’re hearing and everything we know about Capitol Hill suggest that a bill will get out, either today or this weekend. NBC’s Ken Strickland notes that if the stars of cooperation and compromise align, the vote could happen today, probably in the evening. The worst-case scenario: Majority Leader Reid uses procedural tools to force a final vote on Sunday. Reid & Co. maintain they have the 60 votes needed to pass the bill, with a handful of Republicans joining in support. GOP leadership aides privately concur, saying the vote total would be in the low to mid-60s. Yet they say the notion of passing this bill with "strong bipartisan support" has vanished. To get to the finish line, Reid and Minority Leader McConnell still have to figure out how many of the dozens of amendments floating out there will actually get votes. The more resistance they get from their members insisting that their amendment get a vote, the longer it takes, Strick adds. By the way, one reason why the Senate might get this done today: A few senators want to go to the Munich conference, where Vice President Biden heads today.

*** To filibuster or not to filibuster?

Another question here: Do McConnell and Senate Republicans try to filibuster the legislation? There is actually a good reason for McConnell not to force the Democrats to come up with 60 votes, but rather allow for a simple up-or-down vote. The talking point of little or no GOP support could be more effective in long term, and McConnell might keep more GOPers in line if he allows an up-down vote. Yet while most of the attention has focused on Obama and Democrats during this stimulus fight, Republicans are making a BIG gamble here by opposing the legislation. If the stimulus passes, if the economy starts to turn around in the next couple of years, and if the public blames Bush and the Republican Party for the nation’s economic woes (including the 7.6% unemployment rate), this could be the ‘30s and ‘40s all over again for the GOP. Then again, as the opposition hoping to once again be the majority, this is probably their only card to play.

*** Labor strikes back: Obama isn’t the only one fired up today. Organized labor is planning a major offensive to get Hilda Solis confirmed as Obama’s Labor secretary. This comes after the news that Solis’ husband “paid about $6,400 this week to settle numerous tax liens against his business dating to 1993.” "Enough is enough, the gloves are coming off on Friday," an AFL-CIO official tells the Huffington Post. "Labor, women's groups, Hispanic groups are opening fire. We worked with Republicans in good faith. Hilda Solis has answered all their questions but they continue to oppose her for partisan ideological reasons." More from the AFL official: "Our full efforts are being mobilized to fight back. Earned media and field campaign to generate calls, letters, and emails coming tomorrow. Depending on how things move paid media will be added on top of these efforts." One thing about the Solis nomination: Remember that it was hurried a tad because the Obama transition folks needed to find more Hispanics to serve in the cabinet. And that's why her nomination will get defended to the end by the White House, barring something really bad popping up. After all, as things stand now, there are more Republicans in the Obama Cabinet than Hispanics.

*** GITMO politics: Obama today joins with Paul Volcker to unveil the members of the president’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board, and we’ll probably hear Obama discuss the bad jobs report and the stimulus bill. Then later today, Obama meets (closed to the press) with families and victims of 9/11 and the USS Cole bombing. This meeting comes after a report yesterday that Obama will likely order the Department of Defense's Military Commission to withdraw charges against Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri, the mastermind of the Cole attack. But as NBC’s Pete Williams points out, if the military decides to drop charges against al-Nashiri, that WOULD NOT MEAN that he's going anywhere. He would continue to be held at Guantanamo Bay as an enemy combatant, and the military could re-file charges against him at a later date. The reason for today's meeting with families and victimes, per the Washington Post: The White House "said in a statement that Obama ‘wants to talk with these families about resolving the issues involved with closing Guantanamo Bay -- while keeping the safety and security of the American people as his top priority.’”

*** SCOTUS reminder: The news of Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s pancreatic cancer is a reminder that Obama might have the opportunity to appoint two or three Supreme Court members in his first couple years in office. Some early names, per NBC’s Pete Williams: Johnnie Rawlinson (9th Circuit Court of Appeals, African American woman), Leah Ward Sears, (chief justice of the Georgia Supreme Court, African American woman), Sonia Sotomayor (2nd Circuit Court of Appeals, Hispanic woman), Kim McLane Wardlaw, 9th Circuit, Hispanic woman), Diane Wood, (7th Circuit, woman, knows Obama from her time teaching at the University of Chicago), Jennifer Granholm (Michigan governor, woman), Merrick Garland, U.S. Court of Appeals, DC Circuit), Deval Patrick (Massachusetts governor, Obama friend), Cass Sunstein (University of Chicago law professor, Obama friend).

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 116 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 123 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 270 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 634 days

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Congress: Will we get a bill today?

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:16 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

A stimulus vote was thought to perhaps come last night, but the Senate adjourned without passing anything "after a day of negotiations by a bipartisan group working to trim from it as much as $100 billion and fashion a compromise lean enough to win the Republican votes necessary for passage," the Boston Globe writes.

The Washington Post: “A bipartisan coalition of senators withheld support for President Obama's economic recovery package yesterday, leaving the scope and timing of his first major initiative in doubt as they sought to cut more than $100 billion from the legislation. Despite growing concerns from Republicans and Democrats about the cost of the plan, senators did not reach agreement on which programs to trim.”

The New York Times on the centrist group’s work so far: “By early evening, aides said the group had drafted a list of nearly $90 billion in cuts, including $40 billion in aid for states, more than $14 billion for various education programs, $4.1 billion to make federal buildings energy efficient and $1.5 billion for broadband Internet service in rural areas. But they remained short of a deal, and talks were expected to resume Friday morning.”

The Hill: "Reid said the Senate will resume amending the bill on Friday morning, and is 'cautiously optimistic' that senators would pass the bill later in the day. If Republicans object to holding the final vote on Friday, Reid said he would file a cloture motion and set up the final vote on Sunday morning."

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 Days: Ratcheting up rhetoric

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
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Politico writes, “In what was the most pointedly partisan speech of his young presidency, Obama rejected Republican arguments that massive spending in the $819 billion stimulus bill that passed the House should be replaced by a new round of massive tax cuts. ‘I welcome this debate, but we are not going to get relief by turning back to the same policies that for the last eight years doubled the national debt and threw our economy into a tailspin,’ said President Obama – sounding more like Candidate Obama than at any time since he took the oath of office less than a month ago.”

“Obama, speaking to about 200 House Democrats at their annual retreat at the Kingsmill Resort and Spa, dismissed Republican attacks against the massive spending in the stimulus. ‘What do you think a stimulus is?’ Obama asked incredulously. ‘It’s spending — that's the whole point! Seriously.’”

More from The Hill on Obama’s remarks at the House Democratic retreat: "President Obama on Thursday told House Democrats to ask not what the economic stimulus plan can do for them, but what they can do to pass the economic stimulus plan… 'This package is not going to be absolutely perfect,' Obama told a packed room of over 200 Democrats in Williamsburg, Va. 'And you can nit and you can pick, you know that's the game we all play here. You know how to play that game. What I'm saying is, now we can't afford to play it,'" Obama continued.

The AP: “‘The American people are watching,’ Obama said. ‘They did not send us here to get bogged down with the same old delay and distractions. They did not vote for the false theories of the past. They did not vote for the status quo - they sent us here to bring change, and we owe it to them to act.’”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 Days: Labor pains?

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:11 AM by Mark Murray
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"The confirmation of another Cabinet member stalled Thursday because of unpaid taxes after USA TODAY disclosed that the husband of Labor secretary nominee Hilda Solis paid about $6,400 this week to settle numerous tax liens against his business dating to 1993. Solis and her husband, Sam Sayyad, were unaware of liens against his auto repair shop until USA TODAY asked about them Tuesday." White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said at the White House briefing yesterday that he didn't think this should hold up Solis' confirmation because the lien was against Solis' husband's business, with which she has no affiliation.

However, the country's “largest labor and Hispanic groups are ratcheting up the confirmation fight over Labor Secretary nominee Hilda Solis, preparing a full-out political and media blitz to get the California Democrat approved and into the Obama cabinet,” the Huffington Post reports. ‘Enough is enough, the gloves are coming off on Friday,’ said one official with the AFL-CIO, outraged over the delays. ‘Labor, women's groups, Hispanic groups are opening fire. We worked with Republicans in good faith. Hilda Solis has answered all their questions but they continue to oppose her for partisan ideological reasons.’”

Leon Panetta went largely "unscathed" in yesterday's first hearing for CIA. On waterboarding, "Panetta told the Senate Intelligence Committee he believed the practice was torture and illegal under U.S. law. But he also said CIA employees who used it should not be prosecuted because they had received assurance from the attorney general's office at the time that the practice was legal."

The Washington Post previews Obama’s rollout of his Economic Recovery Advisory Board. “The Obama administration today announced a team of outside economic advisers, chaired by former Federal Reserve chairman Paul A. Volcker, to help sculpt a response to the deepening recession. Drawn from corporate, labor and academic circles, the White House Economic Recovery Advisory Board is meant to prevent policy from being made in an ‘echo chamber’ in Washington, Obama said when announcing the plans last year. The group is modeled after the Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board that President Dwight D. Eisenhower used to advise him in the 1950s.”

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Geography is destiny

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:10 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

MINNESOTA: The state Supreme Court yesterday “heard oral arguments on Franken's request for a certificate of election now, at least on an interim basis, so that Minnesota's empty seat can be filled without waiting the months it may take for the courts to resolve Coleman's separate lawsuit over the recount, which gave Franken a 225-vote advantage,” the Minneapolis Star Tribune writes. “The justices took the case under advisement and didn't say when they might rule, but their many questions suggested they were skeptical of Franken's arguments.”

A separate Star Trib story notes that the three-panel contest over the recount is all about geography. “Norm Coleman and Al Franken both say they want every valid vote to count. But some ballots might be more important to them than others. Coleman is pushing to review rejected absentee ballots from mostly GOP-friendly suburbs and outstate counties. Democrat Franken is paying particular attention to similar ballots from the Democratic-leaning cities of Minneapolis, St. Paul and Duluth.”

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2009: Diving into VA

Posted: Friday, February 06, 2009 9:09 AM by Mark Murray
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VIRGINIA: The AP dives into the Virginia governor's race. "It's just not The Virginia Way. In the past few weeks, former Democratic National Chairman Terry McAuliffe entered the Old Dominion's governor's race with the subtlety of a runaway cement truck, wrecking the slow rhythms of the state's musty political traditions… It's left his two rivals for June's bruising primary winded. 'How can you respond to a whirlwind?' said state Sen. R. Creigh Deeds, 51, the only elected officeholder in the race not leaving his post early to run and raise money full-time. 'I'll have enough money at the end of the day that people know there is a choice.'"

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January military suicides show spike

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 4:14 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Courtney Kube
Just one week after the Army announced that more U.S. soldiers killed themselves in 2008 than in any other year on record, the U.S. Army announced today that they had 24 possible suicides during the month of January.

Video: Steep rise in soldier suicides.

That is more than the nine soldiers killed in Afghanistan last month, and the 14 killed in Iraq -- combined.

These numbers are up dramatically from the past few years' Januaries, too: January 2008 (4), 2007 (6), 2006 (10), 2005 (4), 2004 (3).

Just last week the Army announced a new service-wide training initiative to educate soldiers about suicide among the ranks. As many as 143 soldiers took their own lives last year, with 128 confirmed and 15 still pending investigation.

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Stimulus bill Q&A

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 2:20 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Q: When's the thing gonna get passed?
A: Tonight, maybe. Senate Majority Leader Reid would like to pass it tonight, but it would probably be late evening if it happens today. That said, if Dems and Repubs don't play nice, it could be this weekend.

Video: NBC's Chuck Todd examines a potential blame game that may be unfolding on Capitol Hill regarding the proposed economic stimulus plan.

Q: What's the hold up?
A: Amendments. Everybody and their mother wants a vote on their amendment to "make the bill better." Reid and Senate Minority Leader McConnell have to figure out which amendments get votes and how much time to debate each one. There are dozens of amendments floating around and several difference areas: more taxes cuts, more energy, less pork, etc. (You name it, they've got one.)

Q: What's key to watch for?
A: The Nelson-Collins amendment. Ben Nelson (D) and Susan Collins (R) are working with Obama to cut about $100 billion of questionable spending from the bill. It would also have the likely side effect of bringing at least a half dozen Republicans on board to support the bill.
At this hour behind closed doors, Nelson and Collins are leading discussions of a bipartisan group that has grown to as many as 20 members on what spending measure should be cut from the bill. "We've agreed to tens of billions of dollars of adjustments and I think we're making good progress," Collins said during a break in the meeting. "It's been a painstaking, very thorough, very comprehensive process where we're going through line by line." 

Q: What else do you need to know?
A: It ain't over.  When the Senate passes it, there are still more hurdles before it gets to Obama. One, the House and Senate bills must be reconciled. Two, the new bill has to voted on by the House and Senate. And three, if both chambers pass the new bill, then it's over.

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Ruth Bader Ginsburg hospitalized

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 1:25 PM by Mark Murray
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From NBC's Pete Williams
Breaking news: U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had surgery for pancreatic cancer at the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York City.

Video: Watch MSNBC's coverage of the Ginsburg news with NBC's Andrea Mitchell and Pete Williams.

The Supreme Court sends along this information: "According to Dr. Murray Brennan, the attending surgeon, Justice Ginsburg will likely remain in the hospital approximately 7-10 days.
Justice Ginsburg had no symptoms prior to the incidental discovery of the lesion during a routine annual check-up in late January at the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Maryland. A Computerized Axial Tomography (CAT) Scan revealed a small tumor, approximately 1 cm across, in the center of the pancreas." 

The announcement of the details of Justice Ginsburg's surgery, right down to the specific size of the tumor, is unusual for the Supreme Court.

Ordinarily, information about the health of the justices, especially any medical procedures, tends to be quite general.

This is an indication that the Justice Ginsburg, herself, wanted full disclosure.

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First thoughts: Back to candidate Obama

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 9:17 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** Back to candidate Obama: The president is ramping up the rhetoric as he tries to get back on offense to sell his economic stimulus plan. It started yesterday with two events, where for the first time in public he reminded folks who won the election, pointing to the scoreboard. And now he has an op-ed in the Washington Post. The op-ed's message -- not to the public, but rather to Washington (i.e. Congress and the media) -- makes another case for passage of the plan. Of course, the irony of this ramping up is that it's the Republicans who have come after this bill like a campaign, finding the negatives in the smallest of places and creating bumper-sticker attacks on them. The White House didn't seem ready to deal with the small-ball campaign tactics, hoping they could stay at 30,000 feet when selling the stimulus. Well, think again.

*** One year ago today…: Sticking with the campaign theme, today happens to be the one-year anniversary of Super Tuesday, when Hillary Clinton won the big states (California, New Jersey, New York), but Obama ended up netting more delegates. Seems like a lifetime ago, right? Super Tuesday, in fact, was perhaps the ultimate example of how well Obama's campaign did the little things right -- like organizing for the Idaho caucuses. But in these first 16 days, the Obama White House hasn't done the little things in this battle for the stimulus, and that's why they seem to be losing the spin war. The good news? They'll get their stimulus and learn a valuable lesson: They need to remember what got them here and never stop learning those "little things" lessons, like dispatching more surrogates to TV.

*** At least he didn’t use a Nazi metaphor: When you’re in campaign mode, it’s probably best to choose your words -- and metaphors -- wisely. Texas Rep. Pete Sessions (R), the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, didn’t exactly do that when speaking yesterday to editors at The Hotline. Sessions referred to the Taliban when talking about the GOP's resistance to the stimulus, as well as its strategy as the minority party. "Insurgency, we understand perhaps a little bit more because of the Taliban," he said. "And that is that they went about systematically understanding how to disrupt and change a person's entire processes. And these Taliban -- I'm not trying to say the Republican Party is the Taliban -- no, that's not what we're saying. I'm saying an example of how you go about is to change a person from their messaging to their operations to their frontline message. And we need to understand that insurgency may be required when the other side, the House leadership, does not follow the same commands, which we entered the game with." Wow, we can think of plenty of other examples of insurgencies (American Revolution, Indian resistance to Great Britain), but the Taliban? Imagine what Drudge would do if a Democrat said this. 

*** Today’s moving parts: It’s another busy day in politics. President Obama just finished speaking at the National Prayer Breakfast (where he's talking about his vision for faith-based policies); he will later sign an executive order forming his advisory council on faith; and then he gives remarks at noon ET at the Energy Department.

Video: Obama talks faith and good works.

In addition, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said, per the New York Times, that a final vote on the Senate’s stimulus legislation could happen tonight (which would allow senators to attend this weekend’s conference in Munich). And Obama’s pick to head the CIA, Leon Panetta, has his confirmation hearing before the Senate Intelligence Committee at 2:30 pm ET.

*** The intended effect: While plenty of day-after reports about Obama’s CEO pay announcement note that it lacks some teeth and has its share of loopholes, the reaction from Wall Street firms seems to suggest that the plan might have its intended impact. Check this out: "On Wednesday, for instance, David A. Viniar, the chief financial officer of Goldman Sachs, which received $10 billion from the Treasury Department, told analysts that his firm wanted to repay the government as quickly as feasible to ‘be under less scrutiny and under less pressure,’ according to Bloomberg News."

*** Dodd and 2010: Earlier this week, Democratic Sen. Chris Dodd announced that he was refinancing the controversial VIP mortgages he received from Countywide.

And given that Dodd’s up for re-election in 2010, the National Republican Senatorial Committee pounced on that news. While Connecticut is a fairly blue state, it will be interesting whether the Countrywide controversy or even Dodd’s own presidential bid could make him vulnerable next year. Remember, when the recession began, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee wasn’t in Washington or Connecticut -- but in Iowa. That's an easy 30-second TV ad to write. Republicans in Connecticut, of course, have not fielded a competitive candidate for federal statewide office since Lowell Weicker, and he's now (basically) a Democrat. The one Republican Dodd may fear the most is recently ousted moderate Republican Chris Shays. If Obama wants to do Dodd a favor, he'll find a job for Shays. Perhaps the Peace Corps?

*** The never-ending recount: In the latest activity in Minnesota, Franken’s attorneys today will bring a case before the state Supreme Court, arguing that Franken -- because he was ahead by 225 votes when the vote was certified -- should be seated in the U.S. Senate, despite the ongoing legal contest over the recount. The Minneapolis Star Tribune reminds us, “Gov. Tim Pawlenty, a Republican, and Secretary of State Mark Ritchie, a Democrat, have declined to sign an election certificate because state law says none can be issued before the legal battle ends.”

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 117 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 124 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 271 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 635 days

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Congress: Price tag goes up

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 9:14 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

As expected, the cost of the package in the Senate -- even with Republican input -- is going UP, not down. "The Senate on Wednesday voted to expand the economic stimulus package with a tax credit for homebuyers of up to $15,000, a provision championed by Republicans as addressing a root cause of the recession. The vote to add the tax credit, at a cost of about $18.5 billion, came as Senate leaders seemed to be nearing completion of negotiations. The majority leader, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, suggested that a final vote on the stimulus plan could come on Thursday."

The AP calls the homebuyer addition “a victory for Republicans eager to leave their mark on a mammoth economic stimulus bill at the heart of President Obama's recovery plan.” (So if the addition was a GOP victory, why did we get an email this morning from McConnell’s office, saying: “It’s Thursday in the Senate and as the ever expanding spending bill continues to grow due to Congressional Democrats who just can’t help themselves?”)

Politico writes that Obama, so far, is losing the message war over the stimulus. “Despite Obama’s sky high personal approval ratings, polls show support has declined for his stimulus bill since Republicans and their conservative talk-radio allies began railing against what they labeled as pork barrel spending within it.”

But another Politico article might explain why Obama and the Democrats are losing: “[M]ore congressional Republicans than Democrats appeared on all of the major cable news networks -- CNN, Fox News, Fox Business and CNBC -- during three days last week surrounding the House vote on the stimulus plan. That’s according to a report by Think Progress, a project of the left-leaning Center for American Progress, which added up congressional TV hits related to the stimulus bill.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 days: Obama vs. Wall Street

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 9:13 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Wall Street Journal: “President Barack Obama laid out strict new regulations on executive compensation Wednesday, strafing Wall Street with tough talk as Washington asserts increasing control over a financial sector seeking more government funds… The rules do not apply retroactively, not even to those firms that have already been bailed out. But they will be imposed on all companies -- in the financial, auto or other sectors -- receiving any future help. This includes those that have received assistance already.”

The reaction from Wall Street firms suggests the plan might have its intended impact. "On Wednesday, for instance, David A. Viniar, the chief financial officer of Goldman Sachs, which received $10 billion from the Treasury Department, told analysts that his firm wanted to repay the government as quickly as feasible to ‘be under less scrutiny and under less pressure,’ according to Bloomberg News."

The Washington Post says Obama “is struggling to contend with a different emotion among Americans -- anger. Livid about their own vanished jobs and decimated retirement accounts, people across the country are being subjected to story after story about the excesses of the wealthy: the $18 billion paid out in Wall Street bonuses last year, the $35,000 chest of drawers for the Merrill Lynch chief executive's office, the planned Wells Fargo retreat in Las Vegas. This week, they got a new target: an Obama Cabinet nominee who had earned millions and failed to pay all of his taxes.”

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: More court activity

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro

MINNESOTA:
Franken’s attorneys will argue before the state Supreme Court “whether Franken should be seated in the Senate while their courtroom election fight continues… At 9 this morning, the Minnesota Supreme Court will hear Franken's motion to be granted a provisional certificate of election. Gov. Tim Pawlenty, a Republican, and Secretary of State Mark Ritchie, a Democrat, have declined to sign an election certificate because state law says none can be issued before the legal battle ends.” 

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2010: Landscape, 21 months out

Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 9:09 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The AP looks at the Senate landscape next year and finds reason for optimism for Democrats -- though Republicans have some opportunities as well. 
 
"Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will headline the National Republican Senatorial Committee's annual fundraising dinner, keeping the potential 2012 presidential candidate's name in the news while providing minority Republicans with some much-needed cash." 
 
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Rep. Paul Hodes announced he's jumping into the Senate race for the potentially open seat -- if Judd Gregg's confirmed. 
 
OHIO: "Republican state Sen. Kevin Coughlin says he's running for governor in Ohio." Current Gov. Ted Strickland hasn't officially declared a reelection run yet though he's been raising money. And former GOP Rep. John Kasich is also "exploring a run." 
 
"A Quinnipiac University survey showed Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D) ahead of Portman in a hypothetical 2010 matchup, 42 percent to 27 percent, with 29 percent undecided."

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Obama signs SCHIP into law

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 6:49 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Athena Jones

WASHINGTON -- President Obama signed his second major piece of legislation into law Wednesday, calling the bill that expands health-care coverage for children a downpayment on reform.

The law continues government aid to cover seven million children, provides an additional four million children with coverage and lifts the ban on states providing insurance to legal immigrant children.

Obama said America's responsibility to ensure the health and well-being of the nation's children had only grown more urgent during this time of economic crisis and that signing this bill was only the beginning of what he hoped to do as president. 

"This bill is only a first step," he said. "The way I see it, providing coverage to 11 million children through CHIP is a down payment on my commitment to cover every single American and it is just one component of a much broader effort to finally bring our health care system into the twenty-first century."

CONTINUED >>

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The Boss, NJ Rep. blast Ticketmaster

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 6:15 PM by Domenico Montanaro

From NBC's Abby Livingston
The Boss is livid.

Riding high after Bruce Springsteen's Super Bowl appearance on February, fans looking to purchase face-value tickets from Ticketmaster.com encountered computer difficulties that slowed down purchases. When fans finally got through the online purchasing process on the site, they found themselves stuck with nosebleed seats, split-up groups, or worse, the concerts were sold out in minutes.

Later in the day, fans who went to TicketMaster to purchase tickets, discovered an option called “TicketsNow,” which sold seats at substantially higher rates.

The rub? TicketsNow is a subsidiary of TicketMaster.

Then Congressman Bill Pascrell, Jr. of New Jersey entered the fray, filing a complaint with the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice. Spokespeople from the FTC and DOJ acknowledged they had received the letters, but would not comment on the status of the complaint. 

CONTINUED >>

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Say what? HRC jokes pres race, a 'blur'

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 4:46 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Libby Leist and Blayne Alexander
Secretary of State Clinton seemed to charm State Department employees today in her first town hall meeting as Secretary of State -- mixing serious business with some humor. Clinton described the gathering as "the latest of my listening tours," a reference to her days as a candidate for the Senate in New York.

She answered questions on a range of issues facing the State Department: everything from the role of the new special envoys to how to better fund the the department. But, there were some lighter moments, too -- like when she got a question about using science as a tool in public diplomacy.

Clinton began: "I was deeply disturbed as Senator and certainly during my presidential campaign."

Then she stopped and asked, "You know I ran for President...?" The audience broke out in laughter. She added, chuckling, "I sometimes totally forget that; it was like a blur it went by so fast."

CONTINUED >>

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House votes for digital TV delay

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 4:20 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Tom Costello
The House has voted to delay the digital TV conversion to June 12th.

The Senate has already voted to delay.

On Jan. 28th, the House defeated the first attempt at the delay.

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It's the economy ... for McAuliffe

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 2:59 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
Virginia gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe (D) has released a new TV ad, which will air in the Richmond media market. A la Hillary Clinton in March-April '08, it seems that the Macker is trying to own the issue of the economy, to blunt what might be other concerns about his candidacy.

"I've spent four decades building business and creating jobs," McAuliffe says, looking at the camera. "I'm running for Governor because that's the experience we need now."

The script:
McAuliffe: Circuit City closing its doors. 30,000 jobs lost. 1,500 of them … right here in Richmond.
I'm Terry McAuliffe. Times are tough, but there are solutions. We've got to retrain our workers … invest in renewable energy … and help universities like VCU … turn new discoveries into new jobs.
I've spent four decades building business and creating jobs. I'm running for Governor because that's the experience we need now.
I'll make it my job to protect your job.

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Moderate senators visit White House

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 2:09 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , , ,

From NBC's Ken Strickland
GOP Sens. Olympia Snowe (at 12:45 pm ET) and Susan Collins (3:30 pm ET), as well as Democratic Sen. Ben Nelson (4:00 pm ET), are meeting with President Obama today at the White House to talk about the stimulus.

Collins and Nelson are working together to draft a bill that could cut as much as $200 billion in questionable items from the stimulus package. It's a work in progress with no hard numbers or details just yet on which things would be eliminated. We're told there are more than 20 other senators working on this effort.

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Obama pushes stimulus; reminds he won

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 1:39 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Athena Jones


WASHINGTON -- President Obama used the announcement of restrictions on executive compensation for banks receiving federal aid to remind Congress and the American public who won the election and to push for passage of his recovery plan.

In a reprisal of one of the main themes of his fall campaign, Obama answered critics of his proposed stimulus package -- saying it was not just a plan for short-term spending, but one for long-term economic growth -- and used strong language to argue that the current crisis was caused, in part, by old approaches to solving problems.

"In the past few days I've heard criticisms that this plan is somehow wanting and these criticisms echo the very same failed economic theories that led us into this crisis in the first place," the president began.

"The notion that tax cuts alone will solve all our problems; that we can ignore fundamental challenges like energy independence and the high cost of health care, that we can somehow deal with this in piecemeal fashion and still expect our economy and our country to thrive," he continued. "I reject those theories, and so did the American people when they went to the polls in November and voted resoundingly for change."

CONTINUED >>

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U.S.-Iran tension over... badminton?

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 12:39 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Libby Leist

The State Department confirms that the USA Badminton team has been forced to cancel its trip to Iran because Iranian officials did not issue the team visas in time for the tournament that begins tomorrow.

The State Department is privately furious, and spokesman Robert Wood said on the record this morning that it was "a very unfortunate situation" and "not a good sign."

He said the U.S. is working through Swiss intermediaries to find out what happened and USA Badminton is seeking clarification from Iranian badminton representatives.

Wood even hinted this move by the Iranians could factor into the Obama administration's Iran policy review. 

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Budget hawks begin media blitz

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 10:58 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From NBC's Mark Murray
As the Senate debates an economic stimulus plan whose price tag could come close to $900 billion, the Peter G. Peterson Foundation -- a non-partisan group created to bring awareness to the nation's rising spending and entitlement costs -- is launching an ad campaign to urge the Obama White House and Congress to address long-term fiscal challenges.

That campaign began today with a print advertisement in the Washington Post and Roll Call. "Today's economic crisis is just the tip of the iceberg," the ad says, with the picture of a gigantic iceberg. "We must also focus on a much larger yet less visible threat: the $56 trillion in liabilities and unfunded retirement and health care obligations (that’s $483,000 per U.S. household), and the dangerous reliance on foreign lenders, that threaten our ship of state."

Tomorrow, Peterson Foundation president Dave Walker -- along with Sens. Kent Conrad (D) and George Voinovich (R), and Reps. Frank Wolf (R) and Jim Cooper (D) -- will hold a press conference to announce the group's full plans for a $1 million-plus advertising campaign.

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Obama's faith-based rollout

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 10:43 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's White House Team
During  his presidential campaign, Barack Obama never shied away from the fact he'd be open to having faith groups have a major role -- not unlike George W. Bush's famous office of faith based initiatives. On Thursday, President Obama will roll out details of how he'll form his faith based office. 

According to a White House official, key members of the president's faith council will meet with the president at the White House after tomorrow's National Prayer Breakfast.
 
The basic structure of the faith based office will remain the same: a White House Office, and Centers for Faith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships in the executive agencies. Note the inclusion of the phrase "neighborhood partnerships" in addition to the faith-based part of this office. This may quiet the criticism from secular non-profit groups that felt the Bush White House's faith-based office wasn't open to them.

CONTINUED >>

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More damage to Paterson?

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 10:24 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
This can't be good for the New York governor's chances in 2010... "A review of public comments and interviews with more than a dozen people involved in the process make clear that Gov. David Paterson’s administration released confidential information about [Caroline] Kennedy and misled reporters about its significance as part of an orchestrated effort to discredit her after she withdrew," the New York Times reports.

More: "One of the administration’s central claims to reporters was that Ms. Kennedy had, in the words of a person close to the governor, 'a definite tax issue' and 'a nanny problem' that 'she didn’t want to become public.' But that story was inaccurate. The governor and his aides now acknowledge that those issues — a tax lien of a few hundred dollars in 1994, and a lapsed visa for a foreign nanny who worked for Ms. Kennedy during the late 1980s — had been resolved years earlier and were never considered disqualifying during the vetting process."

"According to advisers to the governor who were involved in the process, the leaks against Ms. Kennedy were coordinated by Judith A. Smith, a consultant who has been acting as the governor’s top communications strategist."

By the way, who is Judy Smith? A former Bush deputy press secretary...
*** Clarification *** She worked for Bush 41, not Bush 43.

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First thoughts: The ways of Washington

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:20 AM by Mark Murray
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** The ways of Washington: When Barack Obama launched his presidential bid in Springfield, IL, here’s what he said: “I know I haven't spent a lot of time learning the ways of Washington. But I've been there long enough to know that the ways of Washington must change.” The irony? The folks that have caused him the most trouble in the last two years have old Washington hands like Jim Johnson, Bill Richardson, and Tom Daschle. If President Obama listened to his own rhetoric, he would have avoided all three embarrassments. He's been making the case of changing the ways Washington did business, and NOT relying on old Washington hands is one of the ways to avoid old mistakes. There is a moment for Obama to turn lemons into lemonade here -- by sending the message to Washington and to Congress (in particular) that he's willing to allow a close ally like Daschle go, then he isn't going to be easily pressured on the political front, maybe. At least that's the message the administration needs to sell.

*** Future of health-care reform: So who will own the big portfolio that is health care? There is a vacuum now. On the Hill, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus wants to be at the forefront of the debate, but there are a lot of angry Senate Dems at Baucus this morning (lots of finger-pointing at him today over the Daschle issue). Ted Kennedy's own health may prevent him from taking the role he wants to play, but he could pick a partner and go forward. And then there's Obama. Will he use the same model he had created with Daschle -- give his health-care person both a cabinet post and a West Wing office? If Obama wants a big-name person to take this issue on, he'll have to offer the same structure. An early front-runner is Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius. The idea of a governor, who isn't afraid of the legislative process but isn't a creature of it, may be exactly what the president is looking for. Other names on the list include ex-Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber (who may truly campaign for it); Howard Dean (who will NEVER get tapped but has plenty of supporters who will force his name on potential candidate lists); and John Podesta (who doesn't have a gig in the Obama administration, but did help put together the transition). Then again, is Podesta going to take heat for any of these early hiccups?

Video: Sen. Olympia Snow discusses whether Daschle's withdrawal is a loss to health care overhaul under the Obama administration.

*** Obama’s salary cap: One reason why Daschle had to go -- he would have potentially contradicted Obama’s message today on executive pay and perks. As the president told NBC's Brian Williams yesterday, "It's important for this administration to send a message that there aren't two sets of rules." Per sources, the president and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will announce at 11:00 am ET that they will limit the annual salaries of senior executives for companies receiving large amounts of bailout money to $500,000 per year. Moreover, any additional compensation will be in restricted stock that will not vest until taxpayers have been paid back. And all banks will face tougher restrictions, including restrictions on golden parachutes and “say on pay” shareholder policies to give a voice to average investors about salary structures for top executives. Banks also will face tougher transparency rules, including on expenses such as aviation services, office renovations, entertainment and holiday parties, conferences and events, and golden parachutes. The intended purpose of this rollout: to make it politically easier for Congress to support another financial bailout.

Video: How will Obama's new $500,000 salary cap will affect executives?

*** Here’s bipartisan support for you: Lost in yesterday’s Daschle news, of course, was Obama officially naming New Hampshire Sen. Judd Gregg (R) to serve as Commerce secretary. The Gregg pick is truly astounding when one looks at his ideological place in the GOP. He isn't Jim Jeffords, Lincoln Chafee, or Ray LaHood. Does Gregg's nomination help blunt the talk about a lack of Republican support for Obama’s stimulus plan? It might more than Washington folks think… Will the average voter who is following the Obama administration on issues -- but not keeping partisan score -- notice how many Republicans support Obama's stimulus plan as long as it passes? Won't the picture of Republicans in his cabinet send the longer-term bipartisan message? Probably so. Meanwhile, the Washington Post is reporting that “Senate Democratic leaders conceded yesterday that they do not have the votes to pass the stimulus bill as currently written and said that to gain bipartisan support, they will seek to cut provisions that would not provide an immediate boost to the economy.” Time for the White House and Senate Dems to get to work...

Video: Rachel Maddow explains her thoughts on why Gregg might not be the best choice to head Commerce.

*** Also on Obama’s agenda: In addition to announcing his cap on executive pay, President Obama today will meet with Secretary of State Clinton and George Mitchell in the Oval Office (which is closed to the press); he’ll sign the SCHIP legislation into law (open press); and he’ll meet with Interior Secretary Ken Salazar in the Oval Office (closed press). Tomorrow, per CBN’s Brody, Obama will announce “the creation of a new President's Advisory Council on Faith during this Thursday's National Prayer Breakfast in Washington DC.”

*** Wanna bet this makes news today? In an interview with Politico, Dick Cheney -- sounding just like he finished watching the latest “24” episode -- “warned that there is a ‘high probability’ that terrorists will attempt a catastrophic nuclear or biological attack in coming years, and said he fears the Obama administration’s policies will make it more likely the attempt will succeed.”

*** Show Me a race: Yesterday, Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan -- the daughter of the state’s late governor (Mel) and former U.S. senator (Jean) -- announced that she’s running for the Senate seat being vacated next year by Republican Sen. Kit Bond. Carnahan is a BIG recruit for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. With a possible GOP primary between Rep. Roy Blunt and ex-Sen. Jim Talent, the Missouri Senate contest will have it all next year: big-name candidates, lots of money, and all in presidential battleground state. Political reporters, start booking your 2010 travel to Missouri ASAP…

*** An end of an (Iowa) era: Speaking of political reporters, the dean of Iowa politics -- the Des Moines Register’s David Yepsen -- is expected to leave the paper to become the director of the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University. Who will fill Yepsen’s shoes in 2012? (Hat tip: our former colleague Carrie Dann, who now works at CongressDaily.)

*** The never-ending recount: And in case you forgot, that Coleman-Franken recount in Minnesota still isn’t over. (Sigh.) Yesterday, a three-judge panel ruled that Coleman could bring evidence to trial that as many as 4,800 absentee ballots were improperly rejected. As the Minneapolis Star Tribune writes, the ruling keeps alive Coleman’s hopes of erasing Franken’s 225-vote lead by potentially putting more ballots into play. But the decision doesn’t mean that these ballots were wrongly rejected or, if they were, whether they’d actually benefit Coleman.

Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 118 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 125 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 272 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 636 days

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First 100 Days: Worst day yet?

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:18 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

In his interview yesterday with NBC’s Brian Williams, President Obama said he was "angry and disappointed" to lose Daschle and Nancy Killefer, who also withdrew her nomination over a failure to pay some taxes. And the president took part of the blame. "I appointed these folks. I think they are outstanding people. I think Tom Daschle as an example could have led this health-care effort ... better than just about anybody," the president remarked. "But as he acknowledged, this was a mistake. I don't think it was intentional on his part but it was a serious mistake. He owned up to it and ultimately made a decision that we couldn't afford the distraction, and I've got to own up to my mistake which is that, ultimately, it's important for this administration to send a message that there aren't two sets of rules -- you know, one for prominent people and one for ordinary folks who have to pay their taxes."

The Boston Globe calls Daschle’s withdrawal yesterday "a stunning reversal that could sidetrack Obama's push for healthcare reform - and that underscored the difficulty of carrying out the new president's pledge to change the ways of Washington."

The Hill says the news was "a stunning turn of events." Tom Harkin who described himself as "emotionally distraught" had tears in his eyes. Max Baucus said he didn't expect it.

The New York Times: “It was the rockiest day yet for the new White House. Two hours before Mr. Daschle withdrew, Mr. Obama’s nominee to be the chief White House performance officer, Nancy Killefer, pulled her name from consideration because of unpaid payroll taxes for a household employee.” The paper also mentions that Daschle “had offered to step down over the weekend, but officials close to both men said Mr. Obama had urged him to fight for confirmation.”

CONTINUED >>

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First 100 Days: Cracking the whip

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:16 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

”The Obama administration plans to limit pay to $500,000 a year for executives of government-assisted financial institutions in a new get-tough approach to bankers and Wall Street,” the AP writes. “Obama plans to announce the new limits with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner at the White House on Wednesday.”

The New York Times adds, “The new rules would be far tougher than any restrictions imposed during the Bush administration, and they could force executives to accept deep reductions in their current pay. They come amid rising public fury about huge pay packages for executives at financial companies being propped up by federal tax dollars. Executives at companies that have already received money from the Treasury Department would not have to make any changes. But analysts and administration officials are bracing for a huge wave of new losses, largely because of the deepening recession, and many companies that have already received federal money may well be coming back.”

The paper also notes that top executives at firms that have received bailout money make MUCH MORE than $500,000 per year. “Kenneth D. Lewis, the chief executive of Bank of America, took home more than $20 million in 2007. Of that, $5.75 million was in salary and bonuses. Vikram Pandit, who became chief executive of Citigroup in December of 2007 and previously held other senior positions at the bank, made $3.1 million. Richard Wagoner, the chief executive of General Motors, made $14.4 million, much of it in stock, options and other non-cash benefits. He earned a $1.6 million salary.”

The Washington Post curtain-raises what would be the financial rescue plan that Treasury Secretary could unveil by next week. "The basic problem confronting the government is that banks hold large quantities of assets that they value on their books for much more than investors are willing to pay. Banks cannot sell these assets without recording massive losses. But holding the assets is tying up vast amounts of money, choking the financial system.”

CONTINUED >>

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Congress: The stimulus in trouble?

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

Also lost in all the Daschle mess yesterday: Senate Dem leaders are conceding they don't have the votes for the stimulus bill as it is currently written!?!?!?! The Washington Post front-pages, "Moderate Republicans are trying to trim the bill by as much as $200 billion, although Democrats working with those GOP senators have not agreed to a specific figure.”

“The Senate's first vote on a stimulus amendment, a failed effort yesterday to add more infrastructure spending to the package, signaled the change in course. For weeks, the measure has grown to meet a worsening economic crisis with the largest possible infusion of government cash. Despite warnings of dire consequences if Congress does not act boldly, Republicans have become resolute in their opposition to what they view as runaway and unnecessary spending in the legislation. And as the total in the Senate version climbs to $900 billion, unease also is stirring among moderate Democrats."

The Hill: "Obama has scheduled one-on-one meetings at the White House with a handful of GOP centrists who he believes are most likely to support an economic recovery plan that Republican leaders have panned." 
 
In fact, Obama met with Arlen Specter and, Roll Call reports, reassured him he wants to avoid partisan fights over potential judicial nominations.

CONTINUED >>

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Downballot: Staying alive, staying alive

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:13 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

MINNESOTA: “In a ruling that keeps alive Republican Norm Coleman's chances of overturning Minnesota's U.S. Senate recount, a three-judge panel on Tuesday allowed him to bring evidence to trial that as many as 4,800 absentee ballots were wrongly rejected and should now be counted,” the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. “The decision expands the evidence that can be considered in the recount trial, giving Coleman the opportunity to put more ballots into play in his effort to erase a 225-vote lead for DFLer Al Franken. The Franken campaign had tried to limit Coleman to bringing evidence on only 650 absentee ballots that he cited specifically when he filed his lawsuit challenging the recount results.”

“Hamline University political scientist David Schultz said the ruling was crucial to Coleman. If he had been restricted to consideration of only the 650 ballots mentioned in his lawsuit, Schultz said, ‘It would have been all but over today. This at least keeps him in the ballgame.’But Schultz cautioned that the court is simply allowing evidence to be introduced that the ballots were wrongly rejected. It doesn't mean they were improperly rejected, nor that counting any of them would help Coleman, he said.”

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2010: Carnahan's in

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:12 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

The NRSC "is giving early indications it intends to lambaste Democrats in a much more aggressive fashion in the 2010 cycle. Observers say the NRSC is taking an early stand against several incumbent Democrats much earlier than it has in 2006 and 2008, following a model set by their Democratic counterparts that aims to create a constant refrain to hammer opponents," The Hill reports.

MISSOURI: “Robin Carnahan, the daughter of a former Missouri governor and U.S. senator, said today she will run for the Senate next year. Carnahan, the two-term Democratic secretary of state, will seek the seat being vacated by four-term Sen. Kit Bond, a Republican,” the Kansas City Star writes. More: “Among Republicans said to be interested are Congressman Roy Blunt, former state treasurer Sarah Steelman and former Sen. Jim Talent.”

OHIO: Per Roll Call, Rob Portman hired a campaign manager, Bob Paduchik, "best known for his work as campaign manager for President George W. Bush’s Ohio victory in 2004." He now works for DCI Group in DC.

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Blago Watch: He just can't stop

Posted: Wednesday, February 04, 2009 9:11 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

Blagojevich just can't stop. The ousted Illinois governor was on Letterman last night. Dave asked what we're all thinking, "Why exactly are you here, honest to God?"

Video: MSNBC's Willie Geist looks back at Blagojevich's latest round of TV interviews.







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Obama: 'I screwed up'

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 6:00 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro
In his interview with NBC's Brian Williams, which will air this evening on Nightly News, President Obama discussed the withdrawal of Tom Daschle's nomination, the economic stimulus, and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Video: In an interview with NBC's Brian Williams, Obama talks about making mistakes and trying to usher in an "era of responsibility." 

Obama said he was "angry and disappointed" to lose Daschle and Nancy Killefer, who also withdrew her nomination today over a failure to pay some taxes. And the president also took part of the blame. "I appointed these folks. I think they are outstanding people. I think Tom Daschle as an example could have led this health-care effort ... better than just about anybody," the president remarked. "But as he acknowledged, this was a mistake. I don't think it was intentional on his part but it was a serious mistake. He owned up to it and ultimately made a decision that we couldn't afford the distraction, and I've got to own up to my mistake which is that, ultimately, it's important for this administration to send a message that there aren't two sets of rules -- you know, one for prominent people and one for ordinary folks who have to pay their taxes."

Obama later added, "I'm here on television saying I screwed up, and that's part of the era of responsibility. It's not never making mistakes; it's owning up to them and trying to make sure you never repeat them and that's what we intend to do." He also offered one more mea culpa: "[S]o, did I screw up in this situation? Absolutely and I'm willing to take my lumps, you know that's part of the job here. But I think it's important not to paint a broad brush here, because overall, not only have we gotten in place a -- functioning government in record time -- but overall the quality of [the other appointments] are outstanding."

CONTINUED >>

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The New Hampshire dominoes

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 4:13 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Doug Adams
New Hampshire governor John Lynch is holding a news conference at 4:30 p.m. today to announce a successor to Sen. Judd Gregg -- if Gregg is confirmed as Commerce Secretary.

The pick is expected to be a Republican -- part of a deal worked out by Gregg, a Republican, and Lynch, a Democrat. The appointee would reportedly agree to be a “caretaker" for two years, and not run in the 2010 election.

The expected choice is Bonnie Newman, a 63-year-old Republican with a long biography of high profile political and educational appointments. She has served in two Republican administrations (Reagan and George H.W. Bush) and has close ties to Sen. Gregg, having been his chief of staff in the House in the 1980s. She was once president of the University of New Hampshire and executive dean of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government.

CONTINUED >>

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Female senators would double since 2000

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 2:53 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Chris Donovan
A few interesting tidbits IF Gregg resigns his seat and Bonnie Newman takes his place...
 
1. The Senate will then have 18 female members -- a new record. Interestingly enough, in 2000 the then-nine female senators who served published a book titled, "Nine and Counting: The Women of the Senate" -- so that number has now been doubled.
 
2. New Hampshire will become the FOURTH state to currently have two female senators: (Washington, California and Maine do now)
 
3. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) will, after only 30 days in office, become the SENIOR Senator from New Hampshire. As Senate Historical Office's Betty Koed points out, with that new title comes the privilege of getting the coveted Daniel Webster Senate desk. By law, the senior senator from NH gets to use the desk!

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NYT op-ed influenced Daschle decision

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 1:32 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Andrea Mitchell


Tom Daschle told NBC News that he called President Obama this morning after reading the New York Times editorial calling for the withdrawal of Daschle's nomination.

Clearly emotional in a brief telephone conversation, Daschle said: "I read the New York Times. I can't pass health care if it's too much of a distraction ... so I called the president this morning."

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McCain sends his own stimulus email

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 1:30 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
Yesterday we mentioned that President Obama had tapped into his email list to mobilize his supporters to back his economic stimulus plan.

Well, now John McCain has done the same -- but in opposition to the plan.

"I cannot and do not support the package on the table from the Democrats and the Obama administration," McCain says in the email to his Country First PAC list. "Our country does not need just another spending bill, particularly not one that will load future generations with the burden of massive debt. We need a short term stimulus bill that will directly help people, create jobs, and provide a jolt to our economy."

He adds, "I appreciate the discussions President Obama is having with my Republican colleagues, but the time for talking has come to an end and we must now begin some serious negotiation. But as of yet, Republicans have not been given the opportunity to be involved. The House of Representatives passed a stimulus bill without a single Republican supporting it. In the Senate, the Democrat leadership is trying to jam the existing proposal through regardless of reservations from a number of members. With so much at stake, the last thing we need is partisanship driving our attempts to turn the economy around."

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Clinton keeps Iran in focus

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 1:25 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC’s Libby Leist


Secretary Clinton held her first diplomatic meeting today as Secretary of State, and it was a love fest -- with a little substance, too.

British Foreign Secretary David Miliband was the first foreign minister to meet with Clinton since her confirmation two weeks ago. The two spoke to reporters afterward.

Clinton and Miliband both remarked about the change a new administration brings in American politics, but also the continuity. Clinton said that no matter what party is in power in the U.S., the relationship with Britain always "stands the test of time."

CONTINUED >>

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Daschle withdraws nomination

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 12:49 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Athena Jones


Breaking News: Tom Daschle has withdrawn his name to be President Obama's HHS secretary. More information to come.

*** UPDATE *** Obama issued this statement: "This morning, Tom Daschle asked me to withdraw his nomination for Secretary of Health and Human Services. I accept his decision with sadness and regret."

"Tom Daschle has devoted his life to public service and health care reform, so that every American has access to health care they can afford. I had hoped that he could bring this passion and expertise to bear to finally achieve that goal, which is so essential to the progress of our economy and the well-being of businesses and families across our nation.

"Tom made a mistake, which he has openly acknowledged. He has not excused it, nor do I. But that mistake, and this decision, cannot diminish the many contributions Tom has made to this country, from his years in the military to his decades of public service. Now we much move forward, with our plan to lift this economy and put people back to work."

*** UPDATE 2 *** The statement from Daschle: "I have just informed the president that I am withdrawing my name from consideration for Secretary of Health and Human Services. To be chosen by President Obama to run the Department of Health and Human Services and to lead the reform of America's health care system is one of the signal honors of an improbable career."

"But if 30 years of exposure to the challenges inherent in our system has taught me anything, it has taught me that this work will require a leader who can operate with the full faith of Congress and the American people, and without distraction. Right now, I am not that leader, and will not be a distraction. The focus of Congress should be on the urgent business moving the President's economic agenda forward, including affordable health care for every American."

"We need the best care in America to be availabe to all Americans. We need this effort to succeed. Lives and livelihoods are at stake. I will not be the architect of America's health system reform, but I remain one of its most fervent supporters. Thank you." 

*** UPDATE 3 *** The White House confirms that Daschle will not stay on in the White House role as health care czar created for him.

CONTINUED >>

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Obama picks third Repub. for cabinet

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 12:37 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Athena Jones


WASHINGTON -- President Obama tapped Sen. Judd Gregg to head the Commerce Department, making the New Hampshire lawmaker the third Republican to be nominated for a Cabinet position.

Obama ran on the notion of taking a pragmatic approach to problem solving that is not based on party.

"We know the only way to solve the great challenges of our time is to put aside stale ideology and petty partisanship, and embrace what works," he said of Gregg, who would join his fellow GOPers Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood and Defense Secretary Robert Gates.

The president again called for quick passage of the recovery package that is working its way through Congress and reiterated that the "vast majority" of the investments in the plan would be made within the first year and a half.

CONTINUED >>

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Clinton promises Mid East engagement

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 12:00 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From NBC's Libby Leist


After returning from his first Middle East trip last night, U.S. envoy George Mitchell briefed Secretary Clinton this morning about his discussions in the region. Mitchell and Clinton expect to brief President Obama in the next 24 hours.

In remarks to reporters after the meeting, Clinton said the U.S. will "work with all parties" to try to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and she promised a concerted U.S. effort toward that goal.

Clinton announced that former Sen. Mitchell would return to the region before the end of the month.

"This is the first of what will be on-going, high-level engagement," Clinton said.

CONTINUED >>

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That Daschle ad

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:28 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Abby Livingston

Tom Daschle is proving Mel Brooks’ theory, “We mock what we are to be.”

As first reported by First Read on Sunday, we learned of the existence of a 1986 Daschle for Senate campaign ad called "Old Car," which we dug up for NBC Nightly News last night. (Watch a clip in NBC's Chuck Todd's piece on Nightly News last night.)

The ad features a young Daschle driving around Washington in a beat up car, thumbing his nose at the Washington establishment, most notably those who drive expensive cars, or worse, are chauffeured.

Click here to watch the ad.

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Palin endorses Rick Perry in TX

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 10:05 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , , ,

From NBC's Mark Murray
This endorsement will endear Palin to conservatives. But could it undermine a potential 2011/2012 message about women breaking barriers in politics? And what does it say about her trying to shore up her weaknesses with independents and the political middle?

The Dallas Morning News: "Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has endorsed Rick Perry for re-election, calling him the 'true conservative' in a primary election showdown with fellow Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison."

"Palin, who electrified the GOP base as the party's vice presidential nominee last year, has strong support among the party's social conservatives. Her endorsement appeared aimed at undercutting Hutchison's appeal with GOP women. Both groups will be important in picking the party's nominee in next year's GOP primary."

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Another tax problem for Obama?

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 10:03 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

From NBC's Lisa Myers, Chuck Todd, Savannah Guthrie, and Ken Strickland
NBC News has learned that the president's choice for "chief performance officer" -- technically a deputy OMB director post -- could end up having to withdraw over a number of issues, including tax problems. The withdrawal of Nancy Killefer could happen as soon as today. So far the White House has no comment on the situation.

Video: Nancy Killefer withdraws her candidacy to be the first chief performing officer for the federal government. NBC's Savannah Guthrie reports. 

When President Obama announced Killefer, he made a big deal out of the creation of this post.

It's not clear if Killefer's issues are significant in a vacuum or whether she's a victim of the "Rule of Three" -- i.e., being lumped in with Geithner and Daschle. Then again, Killefer was involved with the IRS in a significant way, so there may be a zero tolerance on the tax front for her, specifically.

*** UPDATE *** The AP reports, and NBC confirms, that Killefer has withdrawn her nomination.

*** UPDATE 2 *** There was a tax lien owed to D.C. for $949.69 by Killefer filed on March 7, 2005. This amount certainly pales in comparison to what was owed by Geithner (more than $30,000) and Daschle (about $140,000).

Here's the letter from Killefer to Obama, per the White House:

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First thoughts: Daschle's tipping point?

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:12 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, and Domenico Montanaro
*** A tipping point for Daschle? A day after we suggested that Tom Daschle would win confirmation because of (1) his help during the Democratic primary and (2) the fact that U.S. senators rarely eat their own, Daschle’s nomination to lead HHS has now reached a tipping point of sorts. First, the New York Times today delivers a one-two punch at Daschle -- with a front-page story how the former senator’s tax issues appear to contradict President Obama’s call for an “era of responsibility,” as well as an editorial calling for the withdrawal of his nomination. The Boston Globe’s Peter Canellos also piles on, questioning how Obama can scold Wall Street for its excesses but then tolerate Daschle’s tax lapses. And now there's the revelation that Daschle failed to pay even more taxes, plus an old Daschle TV ad showing him driving around DC in a simple Pontiac car. Despite the criticism and contradictions, Daschle can probably still get confirmed by a party-line vote. But is this what Obama wants, especially with so much else on his plate?

Video: Obama continues to support Daschle as his pick for HHS secretary. NBC's Savannah Guthrie reports.

*** If at first you don’t succeed…: Filling the Commerce slot hasn’t been easy for Obama, either. First, he tapped Bill Richardson for the post, but the New Mexico governor withdrew his nomination after he became entangled in an alleged pay-to-play scheme in his home state. Then other names, including former Time-Warner CEO Richard Parsons and Symantec CEO John Thompson, surfaced and fizzled. But Obama seems to finally have his man now -- unless, of course, any tax problems come up. At 11:00 am ET at the White House, Obama will announce New Hampshire GOP Sen. Judd Gregg as his Commerce Secretary. But the biggest story surrounding the nomination is the increasing likelihood that New Hampshire’s Democratic governor will appoint a Republican to replace Gregg in the Senate. Just how much involvement did the Obama team have with the governor to compromise on the idea of appointing a GOPer to fill this Senate seat? White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said they had no involvement yesterday. But everything, including yesterday's statement from the governor, suggests they did play a role. By the way, here’s something that might have people scratching their heads: Per CQ, Gregg voted in 1995 to abolish the Commerce Department before he agreed to lead it.  

*** Stimulus odds and ends: So what happened at last night's meeting between congressional Dem leaders and the president? It’s interesting that the leaders somehow missed their chance to speak to reporters after the meeting -- something those folks RARELY do. Just what happened behind closed doors? We have our theories. Here’s the Washington Post’s take: “[T]wo Democratic sources with knowledge of the meeting said the president took a blunt tone with the lawmakers, urging them to drop whatever needs to be cut from the bill to gain bipartisan support and to pass Congress soon. One thing worth noting: The Obama White House appears adamant not to legislate publicly; they may be doing deals behind the scenes, but they hesitate to go public with deal specifics. Meanwhile, according to NBC’s Savannah Guthrie, 19 Democratic and Republican governors -- led by Arnold Schwarzenegger, Charlie Crist, Jodi Rell, Deval Patrick, and Bill Ritter -- have signed a letter to Obama that expresses their support for the stimulus. “As stewards of the economies of our respective states and regions, we urge the Congress to reach prompt resolution of all outstanding differences and you to sign the bill when it reaches your desk.” 

Video: The Obama administration found itself on the defensive Monday, fighting Congressional resistance to the economic stimulus package. NBC's Chuck Todd reports.
 
*** The price of voting no? Sticking with the stimulus debate, the Los Angeles Times runs a story that the Obama administration probably would love more news outlets to do: checking in on some GOP congressional district where voters might be upset by their representative’s vote against the stimulus. "Few believe [Rep. Connie] Mack's position puts his political fortunes in jeopardy. The stimulus bill is likely to pass, allowing the congressman to maintain his stance as a fiscal hawk with no risk to his constituents… However, if Mack chooses to run for Senate next year to replace the retiring Sen. Mel Martinez (R-Fla.), Democrats will be waiting to remind him of his vote. ‘Americans will hold Republicans accountable for being the party of no economic help and status quo policies,’ says Jennifer Crider, a spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.”  
 
Countdown to NJ GOP primary: 119 days
Countdown to VA Dem primary: 126 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 273 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 637 days

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First 100 days: Knives out for Daschle

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:11 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The New York Times gives Tom Daschle a one-two punch -- with 1) a front-page story on how nominees like Daschle aren’t necessarily following through on Obama’s call for an “era of responsibility” and 2) an editorial calling for the withdrawal of his nomination.

The front-page article: “President Obama said Monday that he was ‘absolutely’ standing behind former Senator Tom Daschle, his nominee for health and human services secretary, and Mr. Daschle, who met late in the day with leading senators in an effort to keep his confirmation on track, said he had ‘no excuse’ and wanted to ‘deeply apologize’ for his failure to pay $128,000 in federal taxes. But the episode has already shown how, when faced with the perennial clash between campaign rhetoric and Washington reality, Mr. Obama has proved willing to compromise.” 

The editorial: “When President Obama nominated former Senator Tom Daschle to be his secretary of health and human services, it seemed to be a good choice… Unfortunately, new facts have come to light -- involving his failure to pay substantial taxes that were owed and his sizable income from health-related companies while he worked in the private sector -- that call into question his suitability for the job. We believe that Mr. Daschle ought to step aside and let the president choose a less-blemished successor.”

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First 100 days: Gregg, Holder, Lynn

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:08 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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The Boston Globe's lead story: "Cabinet deal is set for Gregg." "President Obama plans to nominate Senator Judd Gregg of New Hampshire for secretary of commerce today… [NH Gov. John] Lynch said that Gregg would only take the job on condition that a Republican be appointed to serve out his term, an assertion Gregg quickly confirmed. … New Hampshire Democrats widely expect Lynch to choose J. Bonnie Newman, a Republican with extensive Washington experience and ties to both Gregg and Lynch." She's not expected to run again in 2010.

The New York Times has a tick-tock of how the Gregg idea came to fruition. "The idea of offering the job to Mr. Gregg came, at least in part, from the Senate majority leader, Harry Reid of Nevada. (The two senators are close, aides to both men said.) Mr. Reid mentioned the idea to Rahm Emanuel, Mr. Obama’s chief of staff, who passed it on to the president-elect."

How does Gregg explain this? CQ writes, “President Obama's new candidate to run the Commerce Department voted in favor of abolishing the agency as a member of the Budget Committee and on the Senate floor in 1995. Sen. Judd Gregg, R-N.H., whose nomination was expected to be announced Tuesday, also worked in the Senate to trim the department's budget as head of the Commerce-Justice-Science Appropriations Subcommittee.”

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Congress: Obama lays down the law?

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:07 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Per the Los Angeles Times, "Obama met with top Democratic congressional leaders Monday to discuss the stimulus bill and other upcoming legislation. A Democratic source familiar with the meeting said there was a consensus that when all possible additions or changes to the bill have been decided, the total cost should not exceed $900 billion. That means some spending items would have to be jettisoned. Congressional Democrats indicated that they would be willing to drop some business tax breaks but that the administration wanted to keep them in hopes of attracting Republican support." 

The Washington Post adds, “The meeting was ‘productive,’ press secretary Robert Gibbs said in a statement afterward, adding that the president and the Democratic leaders agreed on the urgency of working to ‘achieve the bipartisan consensus that the president has sought throughout this process.’ But two Democratic sources with knowledge of the meeting said the president took a blunt tone with the lawmakers, urging them to drop whatever needs to be cut from the bill to gain bipartisan support and to pass Congress soon.”

More: “One source said Obama appeared to be frustrated by the public perception that the recovery bill was becoming laden with partisan pet projects.”

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2010: Crist eyeing a Senate bid?

Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 9:06 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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Lots of speculation that Florida Gov. Charlie Crist is at the least weighing the idea of running for Senate in 2010. McClatchy writes, “Crist didn't quell the hype Monday, insisting that he's ''focused on Florida'' but refusing to rule out running for Sen. Mel Martinez's seat in 2010. He's likely to keep everybody guessing until the annual legislative session ends May 1.”

The Washington Post’s Cillizza reports that Crist is “long shot” to run for Senate, however. That matches what we’ve heard as well. Says one GOP source with knowledge of Florida politics: “Crist is looking at it. Count me as doubtful but he's getting the hard press.”

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Holder confirmed for attorney general

Posted: Monday, February 02, 2009 6:42 PM by Domenico Montanaro
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From NBC's Pete Williams
Eric Holder has been confirmed as the nation's first African-American attorney general.

The vote was 75-21.

He'll be sworn in at a public ceremony tomorrow at the Justice Department.

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Ross to State; Hill Amb. to Iraq

Posted: Monday, February 02, 2009 6:35 PM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Andrea Mitchell and Libby Leist
Despite some delays -- and considerable debate in the media over his area of responsibility --  longtime Middle East negotiator Dennis Ross will be coming back to the State Department as a "strategic advisor" on the near east and gulf region. 

Translation: Iran, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the other Gulf states.

He will not be described as an envoy negotiating agreements and will not be involved in Middle East talks. That job will be up to former Sen. George Mitchell, who returns tonight from his first "listening tour" of the region. Pointedly, Mitchell began his tour in Cairo to assess Arab sentiment -- and no U.S. diplomacy is expected to get very far before Israeli elections next week produce a new Prime Minister on Feb. 10th.

Hill to be ambassador to Iraq
NBC News confirms a Reuters report that veteran diplomat Christopher Hill will be the new ambassador to Iraq.

CONTI