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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Obama at 100 days: His approval rating

Posted: Friday, April 24, 2009 11:30 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

From NBC's Harry Enten
As we approach President Obama's official 100th day in office, his approval rating in the Gallup poll is average compared with past American presidents -- or is it?

Going back to Eisenhower, Obama's 65% approval rating in the most recent daily Gallup poll is equal to the average Gallup approval for the 10 preceding presidents. Kennedy and Johnson had approval ratings in the low 80s at their 100-day mark. President Ford, in the wake of Watergate and the pardon of President Nixon, had the lowest approval rating at 48%.

But when we look only at presidents in the past 40 years, Obama is near the top. His approval is 7-10 points higher than the approvals of the last three presidents. Since Nixon, in fact, only Reagan's 68% is higher than Obama's current approval rating currently possessed by Obama.

Presidents

Approval %

Eisenhower

73%

Kennedy

83

Johnson

80

Nixon

62

Ford

48

Carter

63

Reagan

68

H.W. Bush

56

Clinton

55

W. Bush

57.5

Avg

65%

Based on Gallup polls taken within five days of 100-day mark. Some ratings are averages of two polls taken in that period.

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SO did gallop stack this one as bad as AP?

How to produce high approval ratings for Obama
Steve McCann

Just read an AP report: the percentage of Americans that think the country is on the right track rose to 48% in March as compared to 40% in February. In light of the unemployment rising, the debacle in foreign affairs etc, I found it unlikely.  So I looked into the details of the poll.

73% of the Democrats polled thought we were on the right track
17% of Independents
10% of Republicans

That made it even more suspicious as to how those numbers could result in a 48% overall right track vote.


So digging deeper, it turns out

36% of those polled were Democrats
18% Republican
26% Independent
18% None claimed

In the 2008 election the spread between Democrats and Republicans was 6.5 percentage points not 18 and independents made up 22% of the vote not 26%.

It appears that there have been similar distortions in the various polls measuring Obama's approval ratings.

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2009/04/how_to_produce_high_approval_r.html

Nice job, Mr. President.  Keep up the good work.  And thanks FR for not only presenting the information but looking at it from a couple of different plausible angles.
That must mean he is a Socialist.  or a Fascist.  Or maybe a Communist.  I can never seem to figure that out.  
You can't compare the ratings of Kennedy and Johnson to Obama's

They served before the era of Hate Radio and the lunatic fringe being given their own cable network (Faux Noise)

The Banana Republicans weren't as partisan as they are today

LBJ, by the way was a GREAT President who stumbled on foreign policy (Dominican Republic, Viet Nam)

Banana Republicans talk about 'failed social policies' of the 60's

WHICH ONES ??

HEAD START ?
MEDICARE ?
The PEACE CORPS ?
CIVIL RIGHTS ?

When we talk about failed policies, be sure to include 'Supply Side' Economics and Torture

How did THOSE POLICIES turn out ?

Dick Cheney: 'Reagan showed deficits don't matter'
Reagan: 'The deficit doesn't matter if the economies growing'

Reagan: 'The deficit is big enough to take care of itself'


jojo, you said I took Reagan's statements 'Out Of Context' !!
Give me the context for his statements !!

PS
I understand you're an ECONOMIST (!?!)
I had you pegged for a Philosopher

How do I get catsup stains out of my carpet ?
Oh, and what's a good recipie for rutabagas ?
And the haters are doing everything in their power to bring our President's rating to zero.

Dick Cheney and Rick Perry are both unpatriotic.  President Obama's being young, gifted and black has really gotten under their skins.
People... you should be praying to God that the Republicans can remove those in office now as soon as they can.  You were better off with them in office.  Since the Democrates took over Congress, we've had nothing but desaster.  We've had only rescession.  I've only lost money.  It's simple.  Obama and his Muslim brothers and sisters are activly trying to destroy the United States. That's fact.  What would you call his taking over public banking and trying to take over the US Auto industry?  What do you call obama's overt attempt to destroy the UAW?  What do you call his constant ass kissing of our enemies and his lack of respect for our allies??  
Obama wants the US destroyed, and you're helping.
I really hope you can sleep at night.
Sadden American (Sent Friday, April 24, 2009 1:10 AM)
======================================================
This is your base repubs. I'm glad these are your constituents. Fear fear fear
Well contrary to you (right wing nuts) the majority of Americans feel differently.
I'm glad Obama isn't selling himself to Americans on fear based tactics. It's an honor to have such an intelligent man leading this country. Hopefully he will continue to bring dignity back to our government.
Now it's time for the repubs. to spew their silly poll numbers from their silly little Fox news sources.
3,2,1.....
Quick, righties, find some fake poll numbers that show how everyone HATES Obama and LOVES the Republicans.  You can't let people see these numbers, they're too liberal.  If the world sees these numbers, they'll start to love us again.

Time for no-bo-no-jo to dig up some Rasmussen numbers.

http://jawillie.blog.com
Hey Repubs, starting to feel pretty isolated?
GOP bluster aside, Americans have fully embraced the Obama agenda.


http://www.political-buzz.com
Game OVER Banana Republicans !!

Say bye bye to 'Disco Ted' Tedisco !!

Will Coleman be far behind ??




From MyDD:

'...NY-20: Tedisco (Campaign) Death Watch part deux: Concession Tomorrow?

by Todd Beeton, Thu Apr 23, 2009 at 07:31:35 PM EST

Speak of the devil. Looks like a concession could come as early as tomorrow.

A finish line could be in sight in the race for the 20th Congressional District. With the numbers not looking good for Republican Jim Tedisco, sources tell Capital News 9 that Tedisco could concede to Democrat Scott Murphy as soon as Friday afternoon.

There are less than 1,000 paper ballots unopened, and Democrat Scott Murphy is leading with nearly 400 votes.

County election board workers were in Albany Thursday morning, reviewing a group of 200 votes here. Official numbers will be reported later. On Saturday, 600 ballots were counted in Saratoga County. Those numbers have not been reported yet. All of this leaves about 800 ballots to be opened.

Sounds like the only way Tedisco does not concede tomorrow is if the ballots shift toward him in a really dramatic way in the next 15 hours or so. Doubtful...'


Call for Michael Steele !!

WHAT UP Dog ???

I approve 100% for President Obama!!!!!!!!!!!

He is a major improvement over the thief that just left.






It appears that there was a real turning point in public opinion in 1969 when Nixon took office.  Think of all the upheaval that was going on then.  We were forced to pay attention and to view the presidency with more critical eyes.  We've had the proliferation of media outlets since then and more current news available than we can possibly process.  As we have becomed more informed, our support for our presidents seems to have declined.
I am not surprised by this in the slightest.  No matter what his many Critics Say, President Obama IS the change that America has needed for a VERY long time.  I completely praise him for the work he has begun to do.
I would argue that our citizens are more partisan and less happy in general.
Perhaps the perspective should include what the recent presidents did and didn't do in the 100 days such as executive orders,  legislation passed, policy decisions etc.    
So you take 3 outliers (all higher) to manipulate your statistics.  Why not take the 20 years, or the last 5 presidents?  Shouldn't he be compared to ALL presidents for which statistics exist?

Is there no end to the media adulation of this man?  He is ubiquitous.  He is in People, In Touch, YouTube, ESPN, Jay Leno.  Howard Fineman has a great comment that he, and his family, is a reality show.  I for one am already sick of him - thank God for Susan Boyle.  Can he just stick to being president.  Maybe come up with some legislation (instead of passing it off to congress)? Maybe fill some of those treasury jobs?  Maybe do the work he is actually paid for?
Given the incredible polarization that republicans have achieved over the past 30 years, this is a more-than-remarkable achievement.  In fact, if you consider the constant and passionate -- dare I say rabid -- attacks coming from the right, it's downright stunning.  
I'm so pleased to see Obama getting the proper recognition he deserves for doing such a great job his first 100 days in the toughest ever takeover of power because he faces more problems than any other president in history.  I'm so loving how the repugnant ones are cringing in fear of getting wiped out next election cycle as their popularity sinks to the depths of despair.

In Obama We Trust!
"Maybe come up with some legislation (instead of passing it off to congress)? "
- Alan, NJ

========================================
And what exactly do you think the Constitutional responsibility of Congress is Alan?

You might want to look that up.
Where were all you smart people when former President Bush was destroying this country. Why didn't you speak up then? What's the real reason for all of this doubt?Could it be race?
Why aren't condos allowed to be on the government housing list for FHA and VA loans?

Another blunder by Obie's administration as condo sales are few and the housing market is overloaded with them.
Rantz (Sent Friday, April 24, 2009 9:57 AM)
================

Fha section 234 (just in case you wanted to learn something new….,)  condo’s do have to be approved….. But they are on the list.  I think It’s call the Approved condo list(creative name)

Here is the list…. Fha also has one

https://entp.hud.gov/idapp/html/condlook.cfm

https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/refmaterials/approvedprojects/index.jsp?from=hp

President Obama is doing an excellent job. Your poll is incorrect and a lot of us really don't trust the press and certain reporters (namely speaking).

If I recall, you all didn't get it right during the election...did you? Nate Sliverman @ 538.com was the only one that really got ir right.

Oh, don't forget to add nationl financial crisis to his plate and American's national approval rating and stupid ass GOP party of "no" in attempts to thart President Obama agenda for returning America and it's citizens back to work following the Bush-Cheney, GOP theft and terror rein.
36% of those polled were Democrats
18% Republican
26% Independent
18% None claimed

In the 2008 election the spread between Democrats and Republicans was 6.5 percentage points not 18 and independents made up 22% of the vote not 26%.

It appears that there have been similar distortions in the various polls measuring Obama's approval ratings.

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2009/04/how_to_produce_high_approval_r.html

Dave, Tn (Sent Friday, April 24, 2009 11:43 AM)
-----------------------------------------------------

umm  I hate to tell you this dave, but that's consistant with how the population is made up.  If there are more people that label themselves democrats, then that's the percentage they should poll.

I bet a good portion of the independant and none claimed were prior republicans, but are too ashamed to associate themselves with the party now.

Listening to the remaining Republican supporters is indicative of a desperate and ignorant base. They are truly "blinded by the right" They have heard the same lies by all the GOP talking heads so much that they believe them, despite all facts to the opposite.
I agree with those who say that you cannot realistically compare President Obama's approval ratings to those of Kennedy, Eisenhower, Johnson or Reagan.

Whether we want to admit it or not, there are those in our beloved country who dislike Obama for no other reason than the color of his skin or his middle name.  This is something that these other Presidents did not have to contend with.  Their appoval numbers were based mostly on their body of work and not on any racist leanings or Muslim fear tactics.

I say that Obama having an approval rating this high given the huge mess this country is in (as well as other personal aspects about himself that he cannot change), is probably equilavlent to the ratings of Kennedy and Reagan...if not more!
Nixon was great on foreign policy, Johnson excelled in domestic policy. Kennedy was good at both as was Ike (I like Ike). Reagan was okay on foreign policy and terrible on domestic policy as was Bush Sr. Clinton neither excelled on foreign nor domestic policy but didn't fail either and seems to be pretty good at economic policy. G.W. Bush was incompetent and corrupt all the way around. G. Ford was just a place holder until a new election could be had. Carter did well in foreign policy but only so so domestically. In that respect he acted more like a Republican than a Democrat. So far President Obama seems to be doing a good job at restoring America's reputation abroad and trying very hard to get the economy back on track. He has a great domestic agenda too. I hope he can accomplish his agenda. It is huge and even if he accomplishes half of it he will have done better than many of his predecessors. One hundred days is hardly enough to really judge how well a President is going to do. Looking at their ratings at the end of their term is more like it.
"Is there no end to the media adulation of this man?"
Alan, NJ (Sent Friday, April 24, 2009 12:10 PM)

Alan just to educate you on what it means to be black in America. Black Americans when the first in any office, role or position are watched like hawks all the time. We are required to go above and beyound the expectations of other races or we are not worthy of the position. We are watched and critiqued to the size of arms,nose and bottoms to what accessories we wear with our clothing.

It is a lesson that many of us are taught when we are just little toddlers that your best is not good enough in the USA you have to go above and beyound. We are expected to exceed beyound success.Both the President and First Lady are highly educated people and very intelligent, but for many this is not enough. Yet less educated indivduals are not even given a second look (Palin, Bush..)

It's a sad reality, but nevertheless it is the reality. Inspite of the terrible situation we are in econmically and all the other things that are facing us, regardless of the accomplishments made, the high approval rating President Obama will be expected to go above and beyound what may be humanly impossible for any woman or man.

Search yourselves Americans is the excessive watching of the President, about the state we are in econmically or is more so about a man who has choosen and considered by many American regardless of being bi-racial make up is in the eyes of many BLACK and for no real reason at all many fear that and refuse to admit it.

I was once told there is nothing more threating to America then an educated black man or woman. Why?

GP NW Indiana, and others:  It would require too much time and too many words to explain statistics; suffice to say, if your norms are wrong, or your exemplars are not properly weighted, your results will be skewed.  This is the underlying message of Mark Twain's famous "there are lies, damn lies, and statistics".

I, too, question the AP results; their methodology is questionable, at best.  However, take from it what you want.  It is more of a problem for the AP polling arm than for anyone else.  Why?

Do you remember the Roper Poll?  they'd been around FOREVER.  In 1993, they called the elections in NYC and New Jersey, (gubantorial race) for the Democrats running by landslide numbers.

Dinkins lost.  So did Florio.

In the next election cycle, their numbers were just as skewed.  then, they disappeared-no one bought their data.

Pollsters sell a service; if the service is unreliable, no one buys it and they go out of business.  Take a look at Zogby-once, the most respected of all polling organizations; now, practically invisable.

Remember one important fact:  in last year's election, only two polling organizations predicted the outcome EXACTLY as it turned out.  Those two organizations were Rasmussen and Pew Research.  
Numbers do not mean crap! Any hack accountant that worked in the Bush-Cheney Commerce Department can do that! Oh! That's right! They already have! What counts is the job our new President is trying to do. He is doing very well so far, and just keeping "Crazy Cantor's Cronies" at bay is a full time job. Our new President has not tortured anyone, and has not started illegal wars for profit. President Obama has done more positive things than "Brainless Bush" did in 8 years. Time to move forward America!!
Unfortunately,President Obama is nothing more than a slick talking salesman, who is talking sheeple into giving up their constitutional rights and country, in favor of allowing wealthy elite globalists to loot and plunder our country so Americans can be slaves to the Global elitists! Hmmmmmmmm?

He has not completed one of his campaign promises, not 1 soldier has come home from Iraq!, we are seeing our money blown to hell in greater amounts! This presidenr has spent more tax payers dollars frivolously than any other President in history before him! Hmmmmmm? Don't believe it?
Look it up! What does the USA have today that is a show of progression from what it didn't have when President Bush was in power? President Obamas Government spends I believe they quoted a sum of over one Trillion dollars a month! How is he going to balance the budget by 2010 as he said? Hmmmm? Don't hold your breath it's just another lie! What is he trying to do to our freedom of speech? First amendments rights? What about our Second amendment rights? Hmmmmm? We better be careful he doesn't restrict computers, knives, baseball bats, golf clubs, sling shots, hammers,nail guns hoes etc.
Why would he want to do that? Hmmmm I'll bet he doesn't want you to be able to defend your rights? Hmmm?

Why would it be that this president considers that torture, that took place during President Bush's reign while interrogating Iraquis and afghanistans is not big issue to get bent out of shape about? Hmmmm?

Do you realize that this shows his true nature, if you were considered an enemy would he feel it is alright to torture you? Hmmmmmm?

Janet Napolitano believes that American Vets are a threat to America's security look at DHS latest past alerts! Hmmmmmmmmm and here I thought American Govt. and DHS thought Vets loved the country they risked their lives and fought for? Hmmmmmmmm?

Janet Napolitano also believes tea partiers  are an extreme right wing threat to America - even though tea partiers consist of both Conservative - Republican and Liberal - Democrat and Green party people! Who put  Janet Napolitano into power at DHS? Why, it was President Barak OBama! Hmmmmmm?

Who was telling you during his campaign that he was going to give you change from Presiden Bush's government policies? Then when President Bush left office - Why most of his old Government croonies that you were so angry at because they didn't give you the kind of change you wanted and thought the Obama government was going to give you ended up being put back into our government by none else than President Barak Obama! Hmmmm, How much change are you expecting with the same ole' chips off the block back in the seats of power? Hmmmmmm Was losing some of your rights and freedoms the kind of change you had in mind when you celebrated President Obama's election victory? Hmmmmmmm!
What about the government $320,000 jet show in New York that was just a mistake and failed photo Op?

Sure a strange flu break out we had in Mexico that spread right into southern Texas and then even deeper into the states and even into Canada and a couple European countries! Hmmmmm the strain involved swine, avian and human genetics! Scientests never saw this one before and believe it was designed in a lab! Could it have been scientists that were Eugenicists that designed the virus that would like to lessen the world population Hmmmmm - Just in time to distract folks from all the noise about the torture cover up as well! Hmmmm?
No wonder half the world believes 911 was an inside job! Hmmmmm? I wonder if our loving caring government is planning on offering a compulsory Vacination by Baxter's Drug company who already messed up once with a mistaken vaccine serum that when administered to the public actually managed to kill a few people ( check it out ) I wonder if this new swine, avian, human vaccination that the US Government will offer US citizens will be safe or will it even kill more people and make the Eugenicists' evn happier about the reduction in world population? Hmmmmmmmmmmm?

Don't you think that if we don't stand up and start hollering No ,No, No  and move toward taking our country back that we may end up like German citizens did when Hitler took over with his facist style government? Hmmmmmmmmmm? or even similar lifestyles as what Russian citizens had during all the time the Berlin wall stood? Hmmmmmmm? Do you know we have to give it our all to re-acquire our country and we know it won't be a cakewalk, however what we will have left should we not take our country back will not be worth the lifestyle and life it will offer! Hmmmmmmm? To win it back we need to burn our bridges and know and realize there is nothing to run back to! In other words we have to win as we have nothing to lose!! Hmmmmm? Are you up to the Challenge?
Paul Revere
Unfortunately,President Obama is nothing more than a slick talking salesman, who is talking sheeple into giving up their constitutional rights and country, in favor of allowing wealthy elite globalists to loot and plunder our country so Americans can be slaves to the Global elitists! Hmmmmmmmm?

He has not completed one of his campaign promises, not 1 soldier has come home from Iraq!, we are seeing our money blown to hell in greater amounts! This presidenr has spent more tax payers dollars frivolously than any other President in history before him! Hmmmmmm? Don't believe it?
Look it up! What does the USA have today that is a show of progression from what it didn't have when President Bush was in power? President Obamas Government spends I believe they quoted a sum of over one Trillion dollars a month! How is he going to balance the budget by 2010 as he said? Hmmmm? Don't hold your breath it's just another lie! What is he trying to do to our freedom of speech? First amendments rights? What about our Second amendment rights? Hmmmmm? We better be careful he doesn't restrict computers, knives, baseball bats, golf clubs, sling shots, hammers,nail guns hoes etc.
Why would he want to do that? Hmmmm I'll bet he doesn't want you to be able to defend your rights? Hmmm?

Why would it be that this president considers that torture, that took place during President Bush's reign while interrogating Iraquis and afghanistans is not big issue to get bent out of shape about? Hmmmm?

Do you realize that this shows his true nature, if you were considered an enemy would he feel it is alright to torture you? Hmmmmmm?

Janet Napolitano believes that American Vets are a threat to America's security look at DHS latest past alerts! Hmmmmmmmmm and here I thought American Govt. and DHS thought Vets loved the country they risked their lives and fought for? Hmmmmmmmm?

Janet Napolitano also believes tea partiers  are an extreme right wing threat to America - even though tea partiers consist of both Conservative - Republican and Liberal - Democrat and Green party people! Who put  Janet Napolitano into power at DHS? Why, it was President Barak OBama! Hmmmmmm?

Who was telling you during his campaign that he was going to give you change from Presiden Bush's government policies? Then when President Bush left office - Why most of his old Government croonies that you were so angry at because they didn't give you the kind of change you wanted and thought the Obama government was going to give you ended up being put back into our government by none else than President Barak Obama! Hmmmm, How much change are you expecting with the same ole' chips off the block back in the seats of power? Hmmmmmm Was losing some of your rights and freedoms the kind of change you had in mind when you celebrated President Obama's election victory? Hmmmmmmm!
What about the government $320,000 jet show in New York that was just a mistake and failed photo Op?

Sure a strange flu break out we had in Mexico that spread right into southern Texas and then even deeper into the states and even into Canada and a couple European countries! Hmmmmm the strain involved swine, avian and human genetics! Scientests never saw this one before and believe it was designed in a lab! Could it have been scientists that were Eugenicists that designed the virus that would like to lessen the world population Hmmmmm - Just in time to distract folks from all the noise about the torture cover up as well! Hmmmm?
No wonder half the world believes 911 was an inside job! Hmmmmm? I wonder if our loving caring government is planning on offering a compulsory Vacination by Baxter's Drug company who already messed up once with a mistaken vaccine serum that when administered to the public actually managed to kill a few people ( check it out ) I wonder if this new swine, avian, human vaccination that the US Government will offer US citizens will be safe or will it even kill more people and make the Eugenicists' evn happier about the reduction in world population? Hmmmmmmmmmmm?

Don't you think that if we don't stand up and start hollering No ,No, No  and move toward taking our country back that we may end up like German citizens did when Hitler took over with his facist style government? Hmmmmmmmmmm? or even similar lifestyles as what Russian citizens had during all the time the Berlin wall stood? Hmmmmmmm? Do you know we have to give it our all to re-acquire our country and we know it won't be a cakewalk, however what we will have left should we not take our country back will not be worth the lifestyle and life it will offer! Hmmmmmmm? To win it back we need to burn our bridges and know and realize there is nothing to run back to! In other words we have to win as we have nothing to lose!! Hmmmmm? Are you up to the Challenge?
Paul Revere


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