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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



2009/2010: Villaraigosa says no

Posted: Tuesday, June 23, 2009 9:06 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under: ,

CALIFORNIA: "Mayor Antonio R. Villaraigosa of Los Angeles announced he would not enter the 2010 race to succeed Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican who is barred from seeking re-election. Mr. Villaraigosa, a Democrat who begins his second term in July, said he could not leave his job as his city faces a budget crisis and high unemployment," the AP writes. 

This is HUGE news. The Latino vote in the Democratic gubernatorial primary is officially up for grabs. This could be a big boon for Jerry Brown's comeback attempt, as San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom, who doesn't have a statewide base, needs the winning number in the primary to be in the 30s, not 50s.

LOUISIANA: "Political insiders on both sides of the aisle are convinced that Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-La.) is set to challenge Sen. David Vitter (R) in 2010, which begs the question of what happens in Melancon’s south-central district next year," Roll Call reports. "Judging by all the noise out of the National Republican Congressional Committee over the news that Melancon is considering the race, there is little doubt that the Bayou State’s 3rd district is about to rocket to the upper echelon of GOP targets. Republicans have yet to unite behind one candidate, but state Rep. Nickie Monica has already said he’s thinking about the race."

NEBRASKA: "House Democrats are expected to largely be on defense in 2010 defending many of the freshmen and sophomore lawmakers who gave them their 41-seat majority, but party strategists have set their sights on Rep. Lee Terry’s (R-Neb.) Omaha-based district as one place they might play offense," Roll Call writes. "Terry won re-election with just 52 percent of the vote last year as President Barack Obama won the 2nd district and its vote in the Electoral College."

NEW JERSEY: Chris Christie will testify before Congress this week about federal monitoring contracts he awarded during corporate fraud settlements. In one case, Christie awarded a high-paying contract to his old boss, former Attorney General John Ashcroft, the Star-Ledger reports. “Seton Hall University political scientist Joseph Marbach said it is a smart move by Christie's campaign to address the issue head-on, noting the hearing will draw less attention from voters in the summer and on the same day as final votes on the state budget. In a letter to Rep. John Conyers, Christie told him he must leave the hearing by 1:30 p.m. to “attend previously scheduled commitments I have in New Jersey.”

VIRGINIA: A little help from your friends... "The Republican National Committee transferred $1.5 million to the party's gubernatorial nominee in Virginia in May, boosting the GOP's investment in a race it hasn't won since 1997," The Hill reports. "The RNC's transfer to former Attorney General Bob McDonnell came before the Republican officially won his party's nomination, though he had no serious challengers for the top spot."

Speaking of McDonnell and fundraising, he hit three fundraising stops with Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour (R). Barbour predicted GOP wins this year’s gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia, though he said a popular new Democratic president would help McDonnell’s opponent, Creigh Deeds. He “noted that in 1993, a fresh, shiny Democratic president, Bill Clinton, aided the prohibitive favorite, Democrat Mary Sue Terry, ” who was then defeated by Republican George Allen, ushering in years of GOP control of Virginia.

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CALIFORNIA: "Mayor Antonio R. Villaraigosa of Los Angeles announced he would not enter the 2010 race to succeed Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican who is barred from seeking re-election. Mr. Villaraigosa, a Democrat who begins his second term in July, said he could not leave his job as his city faces a budget crisis and high unemployment," the AP writes.  

I mean...who would really want the job? Hell I wouldn't unless you like fighting and ulcers..
Too bad that Villaraigosa isn't running for governor of California, he would have been a good choice.  Going to be tough to decide between Jerry Brown or Gavin Newsome.

Hopefully the voters of Louisiana will get rid of Prostitute Patron Vitter.

Looks like Corzine isn't the only onme in New Jersey with problems.  Doesn't surprise me that Christie has some legal probelms stemming from the bushwhacker's no-bid contract ripoff.

Hasta La Vista Arnold!
I agree with Anita.  Cali is in dire straits.  
I mean...who would really want the job? Hell I wouldn't unless you like fighting and ulcers..
Anita, Birmingham, Alabama (Sent Tuesday, June 23, 2009 9:13 AM)

I agree with you Anita - who would want the job.
After the Dems and RINO Repubs socialized the state with no way to pay for all the "freebees", its a bankrupt state!

The Good News - the state HAS TO balance their budget!
The Bad News - BoBo is using the same socialism method and he DOES NOT have to balance his budget - thus HUGE DEFICITS FOR ALL FOR GENERATIONS!!!

California's problem is that the Non-Payers outnumber the Payers. (probably over simplified)

Under Reagan the motto was "Share the Wealth"
Under Obama (BoBO) the motto is "Share the Debt"


What's the latest in Coleman vs. Franken in MN?  We haven't heard much on this lately.

http://jawillie.blog.com
The GOP wants to believe this is 1993 in VA and NJ, but it's not. Clinton was tanking in the approval numbers in the fall of 1993. They're hoping health care creates a similar defeat, and gives them some momentum for 2010. Obama will go into Hampton Roads, Richmond, and NoVa as a popular president unlike Clinton. He'll do the same in NJ for Corzine. Both races will be close but I bet the Dems win both of them.
The problem with Christie is that is he expecting that the hearing will understand that he has to leave at 1:30pm.  Christie needs to stay and answer all the questions that are being asked of him.  Does anyone know if there are Democrats from NJ on this House panel?  This does go to his credibility and honestness.  If he is so loyal to some people that he just gives them contracts without going through and looking at everything including conflicts of interest, then he will be no better than some of the people he has prosecuted.
PC in Dallas, TX just said a mouth full, no way will we NEW JERSEIANS let that corrupt CHRIS CHRISTIE in!!

ONE WORD "MENENDEZ"!!
Nobody is going to run for Governor of California. The budget situation is impossible. What a damm shame that the republicans have screwed-up the nation, state by state. The new immigration problem is going to be people leaving the U.S.
In California if it is down to former and once again governor wannabe Jerry Brown or Gavin Newsome I would take Gov. Moonbeam, Brown. Maybe the GOPers can put up a GOOD candidate like they did last time, one I can actually vote for. Poisner seems to be the only possible and even he is doubtful.


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