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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



First thoughts: Changing nothing

Posted: Friday, July 17, 2009 9:19 AM by Domenico Montanaro
Filed Under:

From Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Ali Weinberg
*** Changing nothing: In the Sotomayor hearings, there were four days of statements and questioning, several witnesses, wall-to-wall coverage, and it changed … absolutely nothing. Truth is, there hasn't been a real Supreme Court fight since Clarence Thomas (in '91) and Robert Bork (in '87). Folks, that's 18 to 22 years ago, and since Thomas we've seen four justices confirmed quite easily -- Ginsburg, Breyer, Roberts, Alito -- and Sotomayor is about to make it five. Per the Washington Post, Republicans don’t intend to filibuster Sotomayor. The Senate Judiciary Committee plans to consider her nomination on Tuesday, but the committee vote will likely take place the following week, clearing the way for a full Senate vote by Aug. 7. After Bork and Thomas, there's been an easy formula to acing your hearings: smile, be courteous and, most important, make no news. Indeed, it's unlikely we'll see a true SCOTUS fight again, unless the nominee breaks those rules or represents truly changing the ideological composition of the court (e.g., President Obama getting to appoint Anthony Kennedy’s replacement).

  

Video: Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor's confirmation hearings wrapped up Thursday with more questions about her past speeches, but Republicans acknowledged they won't filibuster the confirmation vote. NBC's Pete Williams reports.

*** Slow ride, take it easy: Yesterday, here was Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell on health care: “We need to slow down and let the American people see what they’d be getting into with these so-called reforms. We all want reform. But we want the right reform.” And Olympia Snowe said this to Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC: “This is a mighty endeavor… So I think it’s more important to get it right, and a thoughtful process will engender greater support.” Coincidence? Well, GOP message guru Alex Castellanos sent a memo to Republicans last week that contained this message advice: “Slow down, Mr. President. We can’t afford to get health care wrong. President Obama is experimenting with America too much, too soon, and too fast.” But it’s not only Republicans who want to slow things down. After meeting yesterday with Obama, Democratic Sen. Ben Nelson released a statement saying he suggested to the president that “we not impose an arbitrary deadline to get something done.” 

*** Dem vs. Dem? Nelson, of course, is one of a handful of Democratic senators who is seeing the DNC run TV ads on health care in his backyard. Yesterday, responding to those ads, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid told reporters, "It's a waste of money to have Democrats running ads against Democrats." But his office later clarified his remarks. "Sen. Reid was led to believe by the question posed to him that the DNC was attacking members of his caucus. In fact, the DNC is running non-specific call to action ads in states with both Democratic and Republican senators, an effort he has no problem with." Even though he doesn’t have a problem with the ads, they’re pretty remarkable. We don’t remember the RNC running TV ads in states represented by GOP senators during the Social Security and immigration fights. Then again, those initiatives didn’t make it through Congress…

 Video: NBC's David Gregory joins Morning Joe to talk about the trillion dollar 'massive overhaul' that is Obama's health care plan, and whether it will save America money in the long run.

*** The Great American Health Care Fight: Here are other developments from yesterday: The Congressional Budget Office cast doubts whether the House Democratic and Senate HELP bills would end up lowering health-care costs… The American Medical Association says it backs the House Democratic bill… The House Ways and Means Committee passed that bill by a 23-18 vote late last night… And the Senate Finance Committee seems set to produce its bill next week.

*** Biography is destiny: Since becoming president, Obama has sometimes talked about his biography with powerful effect. He referred to it in Turkey when stressing the need for minority rights there (“I say this as the president of a country that not too long ago made it hard for someone who looks like me to vote”). He mentioned it in Ghana (“I have the blood of Africa within me, and my family's own story encompasses both the tragedies and triumphs of the larger African story”). And he talked about it last night in his speech to the NAACP -- his first as president to a mostly African-American audience. “I know what can happen to a child who doesn't have that chance. But I also know what can happen to a child who does,” he said. “I was raised by a single mother. I don't come from a lot of wealth. I got into my share of trouble as a kid. My life could easily have taken a turn for the worse. But that mother of mine gave me love; she pushed me, and cared about my education; she took no lip and taught me right from wrong. Because of her, I had a chance to make the most of my abilities. I had the chance to make the most of my opportunities. I had the chance to make the most of life.”

*** Potential backlash at Wall Street? First there was Goldman Sachs' huge quarterly profit. Now this, per the New York Times: “Bank of America, one of the nation’s largest and most troubled banks, announced on Friday a $3.2 billion second-quarter profit, a figure that exceeded analyst expectations.” Argues Paul Krugman about Goldman Sach’s profits: “The bottom line is that Goldman’s blowout quarter is good news for Goldman and the people who work there. It’s good news for financial superstars in general, whose paychecks are rapidly climbing back to precrisis levels. But it’s bad news for almost everyone else."

*** Summers day: Obama today has no public events. The administration official in the spotlight today is chief White House economic adviser Larry Summers, who speaks about the economy at 11:00 am ET in DC.

*** End of card check? The New York Times front-pages that Democrats have shelved organized labor’s key wish -- a law recognizing unions if a majority of workers sign cards saying they want one -- and instead are pushing for shorter unionization campaigns and other labor law reforms. “While disappointed with the failure of card check, union leaders argued this would still be an important victory because it would give companies less time to press workers to vote against unionizing. Some business leaders hailed the dropping of card check, while others called the move a partial triumph because the bill still contained provisions they oppose.” 

Countdown to Palin Stepping Down: 9 days
Countdown to Election Day 2009: 109 days
Countdown to Election Day 2010: 473 days

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Comments

Why isn't the creepy story about "the Family" being reported by anyone but Rachel Maddow? This outfit appears to be a genuine rightwing conspiracy in which powerful Republican politicians like the disgraced Sen. Ensign and Gov. Sanford are heavily involved.

The organization's founder did not believe in democracy and thought the counry should be ruled by wealthy and powerful Christians -- like Ensign and Sanford before they were disgraced. The founder was an admirer of Hitler and Chairman Mao for their ability to enforce unquestioning loyalty on their followers.

This isn't a conspiracy theory; it's a conspiracy fact. There's been more at play in the perversion of American politics over the past 8 years than just Bush's incompetence and Cheney's ruthlessness. They've had powerful allies in the Mafia-like "Family." Maybe the corporate media "journalists" are keeping quiet because they're afraid of crossing such a powerful and vicious organization.
The Congressional Budget Office 'cast doubts'--which really means 'health care reform is so complex we can't figure out how to project the savings costs'.

There will be savings, but REAL savings will only come from competition among private insurers with a public option. This is why the CBO can't say with certainty what the savings will be.

Casting doubts doesn't mean health reform won't work.

So if a young person/couple wants to forego purchasing health insurance so they can say, put the money into a mortgage, save for their future kids education, or help out their retirned parents with some bills, Obama will tell them no they can't do that. Instead, they must purchase insurance, insurance they will more then likely not use, just so Obama can take the money from them, and give it to someone else.

Sure, that sounds fair. At least to the people getting the money from Obama.
Gary G., St. Paul MN (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 10:02 AM)

________________________________________
Not only that, but you will not be able to keep your current insurance.  Obama promised that you could keep your same insurance, but the current bill says you have to give that up and choose from Obama's list of "qualified" providers.  I'm happy with my current plan, but now I will have to pay more to get something less.
Lynn, did you want to write his speech. “You People” have a nerve screaming discrimination when laws are being acted upon in the right way. I watched Rachel Maddow’s Show on last night. You are in the era as Pat Buchanan, you’re both flaming racist. The friggin firefighter had no place being mentioning in that speech.

The NAACP is an organization that originally “had” to be formed for the Black people during a time when that was the only voice “they” had, believe me missy, at the mention of the name, it invoked fear, respect and fairness... Now it is a voice for many nationalities. So check yourself Lynn, before you comment.

Anita, Birmingham, Alabama


Looks like we have found an Angry White Female.
"I try not to be a conspiracy theorist, but we keep making the same mistakes, and the government keeps trying to control more and more of the private sector.  I don't know what to think anymore.
-Jonathan, Flint, MI
=============================================
Jonathan,

You say the government keeps trying to take over more and more of the private sector, but you leave out the reason why.

Who protects the American people from "the private sector"?

Do you propose we just set up a Wild West system where companies do what the want, the government buts out, and then it's just one screwed over consumer versus the coporate goliaths?

I've asked you this before, who protects the American people if not our elected representatives in government?

If we let the corporations hoard all the money and run rough shod over us (like the banks are doing now), what is our recourse?
Obie is selling us all out. He has no respect for the congress and senate. They are his patsies. Finally, they're starting to turn on him. His numbers continue to fall.

Don't vote for anyone who has pushed the stimulus through without reading it, and that's everybody. Some of the money went to ACORN, which shows how mentally challenged the house and senate actually are. The BILL itself is mentally challenged.

Obie wants it his own way. The soldier that challenged his birth certificate was sent packing. Thanks, Obie. What the hell are you afraid of?

Hillary is pissed at Obie and Biden is in a state of suspended animation, too often casting our precious prez in a bad light. "We mis-read the state of the economy." These people are worms.

Obie copies Bush and then disses him. An arrogant display. Meanwhile, Obie's own policies are cutting America into pieces and ruining the future of generations to come.

The leader of the free world has lost his way .. no direction and little respect. North Korea and Iran balk at him. India and China will not control their emissions so Obie's yapping didn't do one bit of good.

Fat old Al Gore is getting rich off of his global warmimg scheme. We'll have to pay for it while the rest of the world ignores it. So we are taxed while nothing will get done. It's the $600 toilet seat all over again, isn't it Obie? Care to sit down? The damn thing must be made of solid gold.
"So if a young person/couple wants to forego purchasing health insurance so they can say, put the money into a mortgage, save for their future kids education, or help out their retirned parents with some bills, Obama will tell them no they can't do that."

Gary G., St. Paul MN (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 10:02 AM)


This is why we are a mess as a country.  healthcare should be one of the most important things a child should need before a mortgage or college.  not having insurance is a gamble not only for your family, but for the american people who end up footing the bill for those who like to gamble like gary.

Paul Krugamn is an idiot.  I'm so glad the NY times is going under.  It's a waste of ink and paper, and if they can't pay their own bills anymore then they need to adjust or die out.  
Jonathan, Flint, MI

I couldn't agree with you more Jonathan. Your posting was on target. The history of the United States keeps repeating itself every so many years. Until goverenment set in place "good solid laws" that protect our financial systems that can't be changed by elections of new administrations. We will continue the cycle.

I am not sure that will be the answer, but I think that it will be a start...
So if a young person/couple wants to forego purchasing health insurance so they can say, put the money into a mortgage, save for their future kids education, or help out their retirned parents with some bills, Obama will tell them no they can't do that. Instead, they must purchase insurance, insurance they will more then likely not use, just so Obama can take the money from them, and give it to someone else.
Gary G., St. Paul MN (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 10:02 AM)

Typical GOP scare tactics.  

Problem with your little anecdote is if that couple decides to not buy insurance, and then gets in a car wreck, like many people do every day, and are rushed to the ER for internal bleeding, broken bones, etc...  guess who pays for it?  Not them.  They don't have insurance.  The hospital eats it.  So they raise costs to those that do have insurance, which then the insurance companies raise premiums to cover.

So... in fact those that already have insurance are paying for those that do not.  

You'd think you conservatives would demand the uninsured get coverage and stop leeching off everyone else that has insurance.  But then again that would mean that your actual positions would be formed based on logic, which they aren't.  They are based on keeping the rich wealthy and powerful, and their brainwashed supporters poor, uneducated, and buying their line of garbage with simplistic slogans and rhetoric.
*** Dem vs. Dem? Nelson, of course, is one of a handful of Democratic senators who is seeing the DNC run TV ads on health care in his backyard.
##################################################

Cool, if they don't like being singled out for being slackers and obstructers, they need to do the job they were elected to do or be replaced in the next election.  - Anita
-----------------------------------------------
I think what they were elected to do, Anita, is represent the views of their constituents.  As an increasing number of Americans oppose the health care 'reform' as its currently proposed, he's doing the right thing by his constituents.
First Read's comments section is a microcosm of extremism and modern propaganda.  I love reading it each morning - I haven't had the opportunity to see such radicalism up close since college.  Many thanks to Feisty, Eric, Bad Chi, etc. for providing this opportunity.
*** Potential backlash at Wall Street? *****  

Should be. Until there are real investigations and prison terms handed out America should organize itself in defense against New York. Until then it should just be assumed they're all in it together against the rest of us.

BTW there was a frontline put out about a month ago that barely scratched the surface. What's really funny about it is the arrogant snobs in NY laughing about the "WalMart version" in NC, but  they send their government backed thugs to BofA with a turd covered in sugar and say "here eat this snickers bar" As if that wasn't enough now New York is dumping it's garbage (Madoff) in NC. It's just really funny sorta :-)
Barack Hussein Obama will win a few battles but lose the war.
This is why we are a mess as a country.  healthcare should be one of the most important things a child should need before a mortgage or college.  not having insurance is a gamble not only for your family, but for the american people who end up footing the bill for those who like to gamble like gary.


ken from holland, pa

If it's so important, then have the parents purchase it. For children, HC is very,very cheap, on the order of a dollar a day.
Stocks were up for 4 days in a row. Why no comments from the teabaggers? LOL
Joyce (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 9:44 AM)
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII
Should also be noted the DOW is up 7.8% since Obama took office and since its low point (when all the noise was made) it is up 31%.
Well, since the banks are making huge profits - courtesy the American tax payers.

It's now time to regulate them and force them to stop with the gotcha penalties and fees.

American corporations have forgotten the customer - they need to get back into the mind set that if it wasn't for the customers - there would be no corporations.

The days of forcing the customer’s hand and dictating out rages fees and cost, because one wants it's services - are numbered, one way or the other.

Most large corporations and franchise companies have dumped providing fair pricing for fair services, now it’s how do we take them for all we can.

For example - I went to franchise auto shop, asked them to put a sensor on my vehicle, it cost me $18.00 for this sensor.

They said I would need to leave my car there for them to look at it and it would cost me $89.00 an hour.

I did my research and scan my car computer, I knew what the problem was, and I just wanted it done now and was willing to pay a fair price.  

I had the part already and it would have taken them only 2 minutes to replace.

They refused to do this, made every excuse as to why they should run a diagnostic and charge me a minimal $89.00, then another possible $89.00 to replace the part and then another $25.00 for the part – because they don’t use customer brought in parts.

All the while, I would have to bring the car back the next day and leave it there for them to work on it.

I end up doing this myself with the help of a locally own shop and it cost me $18.00 and it took no longer than 2 minutes. (They let me use their lift, which was all that was really needed).

It's this type of crap that causes Americans to get pissed off and vote for Politians that will deal with crooks like this – needless to say, I made sure all of my friends know how this shop treated me.

So oil companies, banks, Wall Street, franchises, we are tired of you guys taking advantage of U.S., just because you provide a good or a service.

Thank you and GOD BLESS AMERICA
Note that page 16 of the just passed Ways and Means health care bill says that if you lose your private insurance from your employer, then you have no other option then to go in to the public Obamacare plan. That's right, you have no choice but to go to Obamacare if your company refuses to pay for your private insurance or if you are layed off.

That doesn't sound too competitive to me? Looks like at some point enough people will be funneled into the public option whether the want to be or not, thus killing private insurance.

The things you learn if you just read a little.
Joseph Reeder, Maryland (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 9:38 AM)
____________

Dude, way to fearmonger!!!

Note that this is "if you lose your current insurance".  So, as it stands today, if you lose your insurance, what are your current options? Hmmmm?

If your job provides benefits, as many do, then you already have other options, right?

So, other than fearmongering, just exactly what was your point?
"So if a young person/couple wants to forego purchasing health insurance so they can say, put the money into a mortgage, save for their future kids education, or help out their retirned parents with some bills, Obama will tell them no they can't do that."

Gary G., St. Paul MN (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 10:02 AM)


This is why we are a mess as a country.  healthcare should be one of the most important things a child should need before a mortgage or college.  not having insurance is a gamble not only for your family, but for the american people who end up footing the bill for those who like to gamble like gary.
---------------------------------------------------
Ken, you probably should have read Gary's whole comment. He was talking about future kids, not existing ones.  But of course you missed his point, that it should be up to a family whether they're willing to take that gamble.  

Our eldest son just graduated with an engineering degree.  He's looking hard for a job and we're confident he'll find one, but in the meantime he has no health insurance.  Of course we'll cover him if something happens, but as a healthy 22-year old he's willing to chance it.  That won't be an option if mandates become law.  And it should be a personal option.
Oh where have all the jobs gone??  Still looking for those jobs Obama promised.
Willing to Work (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 9:43 AM)
__________

I keep asking the question, and you keep ignoring it.  Have you contacted your state legislature to inquire about what jobs are being created in your state?  Are you even really unemployed?  Or are you just posting the same tired graffiti as always, because you have nothing of value to offer except the same old same old?
The same party of nope who were able to speed through two war resolutions, tax cuts, spending hikes, prescription drug coverage etc in record times now crab about going to fast on healthcare for Americans...

Apparently the right is ok jumping into an ill advised war and screwy spending priorities but want to go slow on something that is killing thousands of Americans a day...lack of access to affordable healthcare....thanks for nothing republicans
Oh where have all the jobs gone??  Still looking for those jobs Obama promised.
Willing to Work (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 9:43 AM)
___________

Just a thought, but perhaps if you spent less time playing games in political forums, and more time applying for jobs, you might find one.  I have been unemployed in the past.  Spending time on political sites doesn't find you a job.  Spending time in the classifieds does.

So tell us, where do you spend more time every day?  Here or actually looking for a job?
Why do Obama and the Democrats punish successful people?
Cherese Hall, Washington DC (Sent Friday, July 17, 2009 9:47 AM)
___________

Why do conservatives fearmonger when they aren't in power?
Obama:

At the NAACP did you tell them you have the "blood of Africa" in your veins?

I have the "blood of America" in mine and it's just as good.
So, based on Joe Biden's comments, I should ask for my income to be reduced by 5% per year and increase my spending by 100% to avoid bankruptcy....  I get it now.


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