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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Palin's AK poll numbers take nosedive

Posted: Friday, July 31, 2009 2:01 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:

From NBC's Mark Murray
After her resignation from office, a plurality of Alaskans now have a negative view of Sarah Palin, according to a Hays Research Group poll conducted July 29-30. (Hat tip: Political Wire.)

In the poll, 48% see her negatively, versus 47% who view her positively.

In May 2008 -- before Palin was selected as John McCain's running mate -- the same Hays Research poll had her positive rating at 86%, and in May 2009 it dropped to 54%. Now it's 47%.

The new Hays poll was taken of 400 Alaskans, and it has a margin of error of plus-minus 4.9 percentage points.

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Comments

How do you continue to love a spouse who leaves you with the kids, the dirty dishes and an empty bank account?

metaphorically speaking.

What did Abe Lincoln once say about foolin' the people?  Guess,he knew what he was talkin' about.
“If Presidents can't do it to their wives, they do it to their country”.
The laziest man I ever met put popcorn in his pancakes so they would turn over by themselves.
And still, the Palindrones (many of whom have probably never been to Alaska) will swoop down to defend her against liberal critics, the media, and the EVIL KEITH OLBERMANN!

Of course, she'll simply say that the poll dishonors the troops by "makin' stuff up".

Palin/Plumber 2012 (No, really.  I mean it.)

http://jawillie.blog.com
Give her another month or two and she'll be in the GW Bush range.  Or maybe even bottom out at Boehners 13%.
From NBC's Mark Murray
After her resignation from office, a plurality of Alaskans now have a negative view of Sarah Palin, according to a Hays Research Group poll conducted July 29-30. (Hat tip: Political Wire.)
--------------------------------------

Yeppp, mother bear is taking care of her cubs. Well Alaska, she dumped and moved on didn't she? I've always said that this woman was an opportunist. She only cares about gators (dollars), to hell with you people. Sad...but true.

------------------------

Alan:

By the way...What works is Public option health care and it basic economics…supply, demand. Competition, price wars, benefit=consumer. Bottom line. Alan…this person knows nothing of the health industry…hope this helps.
I wanna say something positive about Sarah Palin:

As a mother of two, any woman who can raise FIVE kids while keeping her figure and sense of humor can't be ALL bad! :)

Now I don't want her anywhere NEAR government, but I think if she takes a little time and finds herself a non-combative niche where she could use her offbeat style to entertain and enlighten instead of accuse and divide, she could really be a positive instead of devisive force in America.

Here's hoping.
=========================================
From previous post:

To Anita:
Thanks for all the DOCUMENTED info you share here . . . I hope you have a great weekend as well!

To Alan:

Thanks for the info about the NYT article, I think that in terms of cost control, it is the best thing I have heard so far!

Now if we could just figure out a way to get our  politicians to listen to US instead of their well connected financial backers.

I know that the health care reform plans that are being considered are FAR from perfect, but the system we have now is bankrupting and killing millions of people a year - we HAVE to do better.

You and I both know that much of the opposition is based on PROFIT instead of what is best for our country.

That must end, and there is no better time than the present.
U Betcha !

How low will they Go, before the MSM throws her out with the Baby's bathwater ?
The sample N of 400 is kinda small, but the margin of error of 4.9 suggests a significant drop. In the political world, it's a long, long time till 2012. A lot can happen.

With boring, Romney, Palenty, Huckabee, Gingrich; she could be the throw-away candidate to face Obama. By then the economy will be on the upswing, and Obama will beat her like a drum.
How Sweet It is that Quitter Palin is seeing her base of support quit her.  I wonder how long before she realizes that she's yesterday's news?  Probably never because she's too absorbed in herself to notice what others think.  Still I hope it brings a few tears to her eyes as she sees how she's becoming the most hated woman in the lower 48.

I got a good laugh the other day when at the store and saw one of the tabloids turn on her by touting a big headline that she resigned because she had an affair.  Really funny because the tabloids are right wing nonsense and if they're turning on her then she's toast, burnt toast.

I ncan see why she's turned into a twitter twit since she can't put together anything long without sounding totally clueless.  I so love how William Shatner is mocking her words by using them for beat poetry readings on late night shows.  Beam her up Scotty because she's not intelligent life!

Just Kick Quitter Palin Around Until She Goes Away!
Here's to all the Obama haters who seem to be bragging abot his polls numbers dropping. Please nominate her in 2012!
How could anyone view Sarah Palin negatively? She has done as much as any single individual to help the economy by becoming an industry onto herself. Let her run, I find amusement every time she opens her mouth.
Her last two rants - sans teleprompters to prove she's better than the president - have given hope to out-of-work English teachers the world over.
I'll bet her next act is to be a Birther and a Deather simultaneously. She would then prove herself to be doubly penetrating. Don't get excited now, fellows.
Seriously, where would late night talk show hosts be without her?
Can anyone explain to me what a "babbit" is?
To:
Can anyone explain to me what a "babbit" is?
Republican 4 life (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 2:25 PM)

I'm sure Anita would be happy to show you! If not ask your momma, then go stand in the corner with your hands behind your back.
"Can anyone explain to me what a "babbit" is?"
Republican 4 life

Hey Dummy 4 Life - Try googling Loretta or Lorena Babbit.  Might find an explanation there.
"Seriously, where would late night talk show hosts be without her?"
Tim Stocken, Highland Lakes, NJ

Hey Tim - Good point!  I thought that after the bushwhacker Liberal comedy's Second Golden Age was over, now she's giving us the Third Golden Age of Liberal Comedy.

Quitter Palin is the Laughing Stock of Real Americans!
she was nothing but hot air with a few quick lines. in other words, she would have been a big mistake as a national politician. she is a quitter.
Can anyone explain to me what a "babbit" is?
Republican 4 life
-------------------

Ha, ha, ha, I am screaminggggg with laughter!!! A Babbitt is a narrow-minded, self-satisfied person with an unthinking attachment to middle-class values and materialism.

That's the clean definition...not the Caribbean definition. You chose which one best suits your person. ****I am in tears***
Good ole bailin Palin what a piece of work definitely not a good piece of work!!!! Repukes if you think you can actually run her,fig newton, tim pawlenty, or much less mitt romney in 2012 and expect to win than you all are sadly mistaken.
Palin may still live in Alaska but what they feel about her is no longer important.

Few people live in Alaska by comparison so getting out from under that beautiful scenery was a must.

We don't expect Juan in Lauderdale or Ricky in Kentucky to realize this. The droids will always berate. It's what they do. Stocken too.

Palin is a great lady. Make Michelle Obama look like somebody who got beat up. Hey, but that's my opinion. All you dunderheads have your own indignant opinions, right?

It seems to me that what's dropping is the number of people who are surveyed to do an actual "poll".  400 people?  What's next, they'll just ask three people at a convenience store and flash the numbers on the screen?  

Polls have become absolute garbage any more. Again, I think any article that reports the "results" of a poll should have a .pdf attachment of the actual poll so readers can see what the questions really were.

In all sincerity, poor Sarah Palin has become the end result of John McCain's terribly poor judgement and
obession with winning the Presidential race last year.
We all need to just quietly let her sail into the sunset. Hopefully, despite her anger and resentment for everyone, she will dedicate herself to at least being a good, devoted mother to her children, especially Trig who she bounced around from one end of this country to the other last fall for her own personal gain. Also, maybe this will give her time to
work on her marriage which must be suffering from all of this negative media and personal exposure. I do not like her at all, as a woman or a politician, but I
do hope for the best for her family.
With that said - Bye, Bye Sarah....PLEASE!!!!!
Sorry to see she is taking all this pounding but she was rather foul toward's controling people at those Presidential stump's and never once did she or her husband try to calm any of those folks saying what they wanted to down so Miss jus take it easy for a while and stay out of the lime light Politically speaking you are the escape goat.
Sorry to see she is taking all this pounding but she was rather foul toward's controling people at those Presidential stump's and never once did she or her husband try to calm any of those folks saying what they wanted to down so Miss jus take it easy for a while and stay out of the lime light Politically speaking you are the escape goat.
What do you expect?   No one likes quitters.  I don't care how she tries to spin it, she's a quitter!
"To Anita:
Thanks for all the DOCUMENTED info you share here . . ."

==========

Yeah, all those cut and pastes from wikipedia.
Can anyone explain to me what a "babbit" is?
Republican 4 life (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 2:25 PM)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Babbitt_(novel)
It's so laughable how insane the libs here would be getting over Palin and yet they are unable to accept the real facts that their own own party would be highly fractured and have a much lower nationwide public approval overall.
The "progressive party" chickens would be coming home, to roost.
Anita

You blog, you eat, you crap, you sleep.
You blog, you eat, you crap, you sleep.
You blog, you eat, you crap, you sleep.

Now that's a great life!
All you dunderheads have your own indignant opinions, right? Monkberry Moon Delight (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 2:45 PM)

No.  

Next question.  
sarah palin will win the repuks presidential nomination in 2012 hands down because the good old boys from the south and some not too sharp tools in the north will vote her in. the base of the repuke party loves her and anyone with any smarts will be left by the wayside. she will wink her way to the most one sided political loss for repukes in election history. go sarah
nickb  
My favorite poem is the one that starts 'Thirty days hath September' because it actually tells you something.
Barb in Lauderdale (any kin to Juan?)

Sorry, MoveOn had many names just as ACORN will change it's name and rebound under various monikers.
After the fines and who's knows what are levied, don't be surprised to see Obie stick his big nose into this one to take them off the criminal hook.

THanks much for your time.
If you are an animal lover, then you should never support Sarah Palin.  She killed 1,000 wolves by aerial shooting in Alaska and hand-grenaded the wolf cub dens to kill the wolf pups to.  This is reason enough to feel that she is a predator.  She tried to justify it by saying the wolves are predators, but wolves can become extinct thanks to Sarah Palin.  I think wolves are beautiful and have a right ot live and thrive. Let nature take its course, I say.  Sarah Palin is over-dramatic and not someone I would trust.
President Obama's numbers aren't much higher and his media coverage is at least 75% positive. So with 75% or better negative media coverage she receives, I'd say she's doing pretty darn good!
>>>Clunkers = Anita, Feisty, Bev, and Anna.
Cat Balou (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 1:26 PM) (from another thread)<<<

Unfair.  I want the Jane Fonda role.

But thanks for including me in such rarified company.

And someone let the dogs out, will you?
...'the same Hays Research poll had her positive rating at 86%, and in May 2009 it dropped to 54%. Now it's 46%.'
______________________________________________________

That's because oncc she was finished with the Presidential/Vice Presidential run, the Democrats in the Alaskan state government were instructed to not work with her at all! That is why her numbers went down and why she resigned from office. Nothing was getting done because the Dems put their selfish motives above the Alaskan peoples and she wouldn't allow that to happen. Let me guess, none of you knew that right?
Thanks for the link Anna Molly!
According to Wikipedia: "Babbit" is the half-bat, half-rabbit narrator that often transcends the fourth wall in the anime Kodocha

I have to say, i think it's a bit of a stretch!
This poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 points...which means that Mr. Murray's analysis is ABSOLUTELY MEANINGLESS!!! He should know better - this is terrible journalism, and should be viewed as an embarassment to MSNBC. Shame on you for purposely misrepresenting statistics (and the people they reflect) in order to forge a story!
I just wish Sarah Palin would fade away quietly.  We have a cult of ignorance in this country that will continue to do just fine without this latest version from Alaska.  If elected (God forbid), she could do even more harm than Bush.  What a thought!
Looks like SP will have to manufacturer up some controversy. You know, I'm a victim. Again.  
I just can't imagine politics without Palin.

But ... ya'll can read her books and watch her TV show, probably on Fox, and she'll fish and hunt and call Letterman what he really is and so on and so forth. Let's call it "Political Outdoor Life." (with Sarah) Maybe GWB will drop by.

And I'd like to get my hands on the female fish who made up all those "ethics charges" on Palin. She should foot the bill.
Now that's a great life!
Auggie Doggy
---------------

I'm still in tears little doggy and you are the other definition of a Babbitt! The Caribbean definition...

That one means a dirty rotten S.O.B. that’s concerned about yourself and the hell with others and will do anything for a dollar and say anything for gain.

I've got to excuse myself after I post this one! I am in tears and peeling with laughter!
Thanks for the link Anna Molly!
According to Wikipedia: "Babbit" is the half-bat, half-rabbit narrator that often transcends the fourth wall in the anime Kodocha

I have to say, i think it's a bit of a stretch!
Republican 4 life (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 3:06 PM)

LoL  Which part? ;)
to sally: so when the opposition refuses to work with you or listen to you the only answer is to quit? sally heres a reality check, no one cares about alaska, let me guess , you did not know that right?
nickb
This poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 points...which means that Mr. Murray's analysis is ABSOLUTELY MEANINGLESS!!! He should know better - this is terrible journalism, and should be viewed as an embarassment to MSNBC. Shame on you for purposely misrepresenting statistics (and the people they reflect) in order to forge a story!
Bilbo Bloggins (Sent Friday, July 31, 2009 3:06 PM)

Thanks for your input, little Hobbit, but they're doing exactly what we teach them to do in Mordor, which we also rent out on weekends as republican party headquarters.

Can somebody tell me who the 46% are ??

I wanna SELL THEM A BRIDGE  !!
(to nowhere)

MSNBC has articles saying that Obama's falling numbers don't really mean anything, but any glitch in Sarah's numbers and she's history!  Wishful thinking from a liberal fanbase disguised as professional employees of a typical left wing bilge spewing outlet of ill repute....
sarah palin joe the plumber 2012, R.I.P republicans


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