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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



2009: More post-mortems

Posted: Friday, November 06, 2009 9:07 AM by Domenico Montanaro
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In his first interview since being elected, Chris Christie was asked to name the lowest point in the campaign. To which he replied, “One? He then picked the period when the U.S. Attorneys Office, which he led for seven years, became fodder for attack as Democrats questioned whether Christie used his corruption prosecutions to launch a political career. He said he would not be standoffish to his Democratic opponents during his governorship, because, Christie said, it doesn’t make any sense. You won. That’s the ultimate vindication. But when asked whether he would be drafting an enemies list, Christies response was: Please. I wouldn’t have enough paper.

In his column today, Charlie Cook says that Tuesday's elections only confirmed what we already knew. "We already knew that Democrats had big troubles. We knew that for the past five consecutive elections, the party that had won the White House just a year earlier lost the gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia—and that the pattern had a good chance of continuing this year. We knew that the young and minority voters who had never cast a ballot before they did for Barack Obama last year were very unlikely to show up at the polls this year or next. And we already knew that the love affair independents had with Democratic candidates in 2006 and 2008 was over. Independents haven’t turned against President Obama. They’ve just stepped back, become more skeptical, and to some extent begun turning on Democrats as a party."

And in his latest National Journal column, Ron Brownstein, notes how young voters, independents, and the suburbs turned away from the Democratic candidates in New Jersey and Virginia. "None of this guarantees Democrats will lose these voters in 2010, but it does suggest they need to mend fences. Economic recovery, of course, would help them everywhere."

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"MSNBC Headline
AP 11/6/2009 WASHINGTON - The economy is rebounding from its deepest slump since the 1930s, but it probably won't seem that way when the government releases its monthly employment report on Friday.
Employers aren't expected to start adding jobs for several more months. Many are skeptical about the strength and sustainability of the recovery.

The nation's economy probably lost a net total of 175,000 jobs in October, pushing the unemployment rate to 9.9 percent, according to a survey of Wall Street economists by Thomson Reuters. The Labor Department report is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m.

“The economy is rebounding from its deepest slump since the 1930s, but it probably WON’T SEEM THAT WAY when the government releases its monthly employment report on Friday.”

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WON’T SEEM THAT WAY because of the huge disconnect between Obama’s repeated lies and mismanagement of the economy and the actual reality that unemployment, foreclosures, bank failures and business bankruptcies have continued to spiral upward.

Oh, and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are getting worse, Gitmo is still open, Iran has the A-bomb and clinics are still short on H1N1 shots.
Oh, for heaven's sake-quit trying to wrap it up in pretty ribbons and face the truth:

The young voted idealistically, believing that Obama was perfection personified.  His campaign speeches were designed to allow them to read into them what they wanted to hear.  As president, he is just another politician.  They are, therefore, disenchanted.  It happens-happened to me with Jimmy Carter.

Independants fell prey to the same 'enchanted thinking'.  I have said for MONTHS that a backlash was coming, as indies found out that the man they elected was NOT the candidate for whom they had voted.  In other words, they felt lied to-not a good thing for any politician.

In other words, the romance is over.
Oh, for heaven's sake-quit trying to wrap it up in pretty ribbons and face the truth:

The young voted idealistically, believing that Obama was perfection personified.  His campaign speeches were designed to allow them to read into them what they wanted to hear.  As president, he is just another politician.  They are, therefore, disenchanted.  It happens-happened to me with Jimmy Carter.

Independants fell prey to the same 'enchanted thinking'.  I have said for MONTHS that a backlash was coming, as indies found out that the man they elected was NOT the candidate for whom they had voted.  In other words, they felt lied to-not a good thing for any politician.

In other words, the romance is over.
Chris Christie's list will include the legislature when he can't get what he wants.  It will also include the state workers when the protest his cutting them and the departments that they work in over their objections (and others like environmental groups when he cuts the Dept. of Environmental Protection).


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