The Senate waiting game
Posted: Monday, November 09, 2009 1:22 PM by Mark Murray
Filed Under:
Congress, Democrats
From NBC's Ken Strickland
The Senate is waiting -- waiting for a cost estimate from the Congressional Budget Office, and waiting for Majority Leader Harry Reid to line up 60 votes to just get the health-care bill on the floor. The CBO numbers could come this later this week, according to Reid's office. But getting those 60 votes is still a big unknown.
Here's what we're watching for this week:
-- "When and how will Reid get 60 votes?" Centrist Democrats Ben Nelson, Mary Landrieu, and Blanche Lincoln are still noncommittal in supporting Reid's effort to get the bill on the floor. Unless Reid can find a way to get them on board -- change the bill, address their concerns, or presidential persuasion -- the bill can't get on the floor.
-- "Will Reid have a bill before Christmas (or Hanukkah or Kwanzaa)?" A cursory look at the calendar shows it's a tall order. But here's the sleeper issue: the CBO. When Democrats say they've sent the measure to the CBO for the cost estimate, they didn't send "a bill." They sent elements of a bill that include the public option/opt-out. This means if they get numbers back from the CBO this week, there's still work to do before it goes to the floor.
Video:
Politico's Craig Gordon discusses a tentative schedule as to when a health reform bill may be passed.Reid will still have to pull those separate elements together to write "the bill." And he might even have to send "the bill" back to CBO for another score. (What might seem like little tweaks around the edges can change the cost by billions.) And if Reid still doesn't have 60 votes, he may have to rewrite the bill. Last week, Landrieu told reporters that
Olympia Snowe's trigger was still in play -- at least for her.