Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dickie Flatts, Charlotte, NC — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:13:02 GMT

I think the Oprah effect is really overblown. Oprah is asking someone to buy a book or watch a show. We are talking about picking a President.

You'd have to have a pretty dim view of the people who watch Oprah's show to believe they will simply be sheep and vote for someone not on issues, but because Oprah so it is a good thing to do.

As I pointed out earlier past endorsements haven't really helped. Springsteen is the close thing a 40 year white guy has to an Oprah type celeb. I thought, as many did, that Bruce would help Kerry close the gap with Bush among this group of voters (white males). It didn't happen, despite prolonged, active campaigning by 'The Boss' (w/ sold out shows to boot).

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dickie Flatts, Charlotte, NC — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:14:55 GMT

Hillary's sit down with Charlie Gibson may sway more voters than 1 Oprah event with Obama. Its substance vs. sizzle.

Clinton w/ Gibson:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjkpHNubo os&eurl=http://www.hillaryhub.com/

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

--nsmsnbc — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:17:27 GMT

It will help, and I'm putting my unbiased cap on for this prediction.

Charisma, new crowds and people to get the message out, and a lot of free publicity/media coverage.

Most of all, I hope Oprah has fun, that is really the important thing to me.

--Nicholas

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Daniel, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:19:09 GMT

It looks like the Iowa events have not been sold out and some media outlets are reporting that Oprah is less popular in Iowa than in other places -- these numbers would seem to contradict that.

Also, in a major and unexpected blow to Senate Democrats, both top recruits in Kentucky's Senate race (Luallen and Stumbo) now appear unlikely to run: http://www.campaigndiaries.com/2007/12/in-blow-to-senate-democrats-top.html

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

eNews Reference — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:22:43 GMT

It's strange to see how the media has festered around the Oprah Obama story...I think Hillary has been looking for an Oprah like endorsement... http://enewsreference.wordpress.com/

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:29:03 GMT

More fawning prose and hype...Here's a different take;

Oprah can't help Barack Obama nail Hillary Clinton in Iowa, New Hampshire, or even South Carolina. The throng of Oprah groupies that pitched camp in front of the Obama campaign headquarters in Columbia, South Carolina to get free tickets to her and Obama's appearance at the Colonial Center in that city were there to ogle, and if they are lucky, touch the garments of America's favorite TV earth mother at the auditorium.

But after the ogling and touching Oprah, it doesn't mean they'll vote for Obama. A Pew Research Center poll after a big Oprah fundraising bash in September found that by a crushing margin respondents said that Oprah's tout of Obama won't sway them the least bit. And it shouldn't, at least not because, Oprah says so. Despite all the talk about Oprah being a transcendental force that supersedes mere celebrity mortals she's still just that, a celebrity. The thousands that clawed for tickets to rub shoulders with her at her Obama pep rally in Columbia, South Carolina were there precisely because of her star power and the insatiable celebrity mania that grips far too many star struck Americans.

Yet, celebrities fail miserably every time to do much for their political picks. Willie Nelson, Madonna, Jon Bovi, Martin Sheen, and in reverse, George Clooney are big money celebrities and virtual household names. They all endorsed Democratic presidential candidates in 2004. Nelson endorsed Dennis Kucinich. Bon Jovi endorsed John Kerry. Sheen endorsed Howard Dean. Madonna backed Wesley Clark. One of their picks went down to flaming defeat. The other three never came close to getting the Democratic presidential nomination.

As for Clooney, he publicly declared that he hoped that his non-endorsement of Kerry probably helped him at the polls. It didn't. Though Clooney now backs Obama he's still very mindful of the potential liability of celebrity hood and has publicly said that he thinks campaigning for a candidate hurts a candidate. Clooney recognized a political truism that's etched in stone. That's that a celebrity pump of a presidential candidate does little to boost the candidate.

The one group that Obama hopes is the rare exception to the rule is black women. He banks heavily that Oprah can help him smash through the Hillary fest that many black women have with Clinton. In South Carolina, black voters make up nearly half of the Democratic voters, a greater proportion than any other state, and black women make up a significant proportion of that vote. Though most adore Oprah and are well aware of her long standing backing of Obama, that hasn't shaken their support of Clinton the least bit. Nearly three times more black women say they'll back Hillary over him, and that's especially true among lower income, working class black women. She is a woman, mother, and most importantly is regarded by many black women as a strong advocate for health care and women's interests.

Selling Obama is not like selling one of Oprah's handpicked authors that the mere mention of on her show will send their book hurtling to the top of the charts. Voters make their decisions about politicians on a combination of factors, party affiliation, their stance on the issues, their political beliefs, and their experience at getting the job done. Few will rely on Oprah's word that Obama is the best to handle global warming, tax policy, the Iraq war, terrorism, job creation and inflation, failing public schools, criminal justice issues and judicial appointments.

A candidate, and only the candidate, has to sell his or herself that they have a sound grasp of the issues, and can forcefully and clearly articulate them, and most importantly, are the most experienced. That's the glaring Achilles Heel for Obama. In every poll, even the most rabid Clinton loathers, rank Hillary at the top of the pile in experience in dealing with foreign and domestic issues. Voters got burned badly with Bush. His gross inexperience in statecraft before grabbing the White House cost Americans dearly in eight years of his disastrous bumbles and fumbles on everything from the Iraq war to domestic policy. Many voters won't make that mistake again.

That's not to say that endorsements don't help a candidate. But they have to be the right endorsements. The right ones come from seasoned politicians and respected industry, labor, or public interest groups that have the trust and confidence of voters, and a solid track record in fighting for legislation and public policy change. That's also not to say that Oprah's endorsement will hurt Obama. The hype, promotion, and allure of Oprah have some value in bumping even higher Obama's media visibility.

The O and O show has caused the tongues to wag, eyebrows to rise and they will draw legions to their campaign stops. But that won't be the knock out wallop Obama counts on to floor Hillary. Celebrities simply don't and shouldn't pack that kind of political punch. And neither does Oprah.

Earl Ofari Hutchinson is an author and political analyst. His new book is The Latino Challenge to Black America: Towards a Conversation between African-Americans and Hispanics (Middle Passage Press)
hutchinsonreport@aol

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/earl-ofari-hutchinson/oprah-cant-help-obama-na_b_75786.html

Slant IS everything in political reportage, and fair and balanced is the 1984-ish slogan of the most biased , "news" agency in history. Aswini Anburajan should report at least one story about how Obama (to her surprise and dismay) can't walk on water.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

God Help Us — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:42:25 GMT

I think this Oprah thing might get overplayed a bit. Tread lightly, Obama.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

God Help Us — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:42:25 GMT

I think this Oprah thing might get overplayed a bit. Tread lightly, Obama.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

cms — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:49:28 GMT

No one will vote for Obama merely because Oprah supports him. Obama himself acknowledges this. Can she help bring people out this weekend? Absolutely, but Obama will have to make his own case. I'm quite sure he's up to it.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Steve, Chicago, IL — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:50:48 GMT

Van,

I'm surprised you could write so many words attempting to refute a premise not even put forward by the artcle and then mistake a neutral numbers-driven piece for some sort of Obama boosterizing by the author.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

CitizenJ — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:54:50 GMT

vanreuter, NY NY (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 11:29 AM)

Van,

I don't care how many people Oprah convinces to vote for Obama. They shouldn't be basing their vote on what she tells them they should do. In my mind, the big thing about her endorsement and campaign stops is that she will be able to bring thousands of people together at one place. Sure, it may be because they want to see her, but they will also hear Obama speak. That's pretty good publicity bang for a tiny buck.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Al, KS — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 16:59:43 GMT

We're talking percentage points here. Most of the polls show a close race in Iowa, 5-10 points in New Hampshire and South Carolina. Can Oprah get a few percent to vote for Obama, or get a few percent of non-voters to actually go to the polls. Just that few percent can make a big, big difference in these early states and I think that is the thing to watch. I don't know how you could measure it, as most polls have a margin of 5%, but I think that Oprah very well might make that 1-2% percent difference.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:01:27 GMT

Maybe their opinions matter to some voters but I personally think all the celeb endorsements get much more attention than they deserve.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

boredinacubby, NC — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:01:47 GMT

I know that you can't get accurate numbers for this: but just about every time I go to see a doctor, dentist, mechanic, or other "service" businesses, I sit in the lobby somewhere between 4-5pm and Oprah is on. Almost every waiting room! It doesn't fail. And the demographics there are decidedly more mixed. Just a thought as to who also sees Oprah.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Ron, TX — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:03:20 GMT

One problem with some of the above posts, Obama takes nothing for granted. I guarantee his strategy for winning does not depend on any large sway Oprah has with her followers. It's merely a benefit if some take her highly respected opinions and decide that they, too, appreciate a new kind of politics that offers a better America.

The largest benefit is simply from the media coverage. It's putting Obama's name out there and reaching people who have previously never heard of him, or only heard of him in passing. It will surely help decrease the safe "name recognition"-vote that's artificially keeping Clinton's numbers a bit higher than they are.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:05:26 GMT

Steve-

I'm even more surprised than you, as I DIDN'T write the piece that is clearly authored by Earl Ofari Hutchinson and from today's HuffPo, WITH a link to the story.

Van

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Rochester, MI — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:09:28 GMT

The most important thing in campaigns is media coverage. Oprah brings that. I personally love Obama. However, I am not a big fan of Oprah. I really can't stand her frankly. But this means media attention for the Obama campaign and that is good.

Obama's strength is that he is smart, articulate, and right on the issues. His weakness is that many people don't want to give him a chance and so they don't listen to what he says. If Oprah makes even 8 % of Democrats listen to Obama's message, just listen, then she will have an effect.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

RAH — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:10:18 GMT

I think people are misunderstanding the purpose of Oprah. The mission for oprah is to bring out the people who don't normally pay attention to politics. They aren't into the speeches, who's running, what policies are going to affect them and why should they care. These are the people Obama is trying to bring into the process of being active in their government.

Oprah will bring out the crowds, Obama will give them his message and if they feel convinced, they'd get involve and exercise their constitutional right and vote. If he sparks their interest in politics again, they'll see they he is the right man for the times and get out and vote.

Oprah alone isn't going to convince people to vote for Obama, she's going to get them out to hear and see for themselves.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

B. Honest, Portland OR — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:10:55 GMT

I think that saying that Celeb's have no effect on voting is incorrect, saying that they did not help in 2004 is rather disingenious as we all know that what happened in that election is that the Bushies, and GOP in general, cheated the system. The whole firing of Attornies General because they would either not prosecute trumped up voting charges against the Democrats, or because they would not help to protect loyal Republicans that HAD committed criminal voting irregularities. Between that and the whole electronic voting machine thing, in which they were scandalously misused in states that had GOP-run Voting Offices....like Ohio.

So, considering the amount of actual criminal activity surrounding the 2004 elections that REALLY changed who won or lost I don't see how anyone can say that having the support of Celebrities makes no difference. The fact is, the Bushies thought they had wormed their way into a much bigger victory for the GOP than it actually turned out. Even with all of their law-shattering cheating.

As a qualifier here, I don't watch hardly any tv, nor am I a regular attender or watcher of movies, so I myself am not celebrity driven, just thought to toss that in.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:12:38 GMT

J-

While I don't disagree with you, and you have previously stated that celeb endorsements shouldn't really mean much to the voters, you seem to be saying two things at once here. If they're coming out to see Oprah, it probably doesn't matter to them who's 2nd on the program, and if they come out to see Barack, he didn't really need her cache of celebrity to rope them in.
It will be very successful at filling the newshole for the weekend, and if Obama has to choose between coming back to vote on the energy bill and sharing the stage with Winfrey, it will also have a little drama too. Can't be bad for Obama either way. It's really a no-lose situation for him and it probably comes at the perfect time.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bee — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:25:54 GMT

Folks,

For people that are saying Oprah doesn't matter, I’ll suggest you fold your arms and watch the effect.

Here is what I observed yesterday while picking up my ticket in Obama's campaign office located in Manchester, NH. I met an elderly woman along the way and she told me she was undecided even though she has been to Clinton's campaign event several time. She said, Hillary is capable but Obama makes her think about the future. I sense this woman is about 58-62 years.

She was very excited about the coming of Oprah and told me she is looking forward to hearing what she has to say about Obama.

Here is my take; combination of Obama & Oprah is good for Obama's campaign. Since Oprah knows Obama very well, all she needs to do is to make a case for why she believes in him. I am very sure those undecided voters that have doubt about Hillary will surely switch to Obama if he can close the argument

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Fired Up and Going for Edwards in Iowa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:28:59 GMT

I do not pretend to be objective, but I am a lot more impressed by Harry Belafonte's endorsement of Edwards than I am by Oprah's endorsement of Obama!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

James, Ely MN — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:39:07 GMT

Who's Harry Belafonte?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

CitizenJ — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:45:44 GMT

If they're coming out to see Oprah, it probably doesn't matter to them who's 2nd on the program, and if they come out to see Barack, he didn't really need her cache of celebrity to rope them in.

vanreuter, NY NY (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 12:12 PM)

I agree with Part II of your sentence, but I disagree with Part I. I have no statistics or anything to back it up, it's just an opinion.

Granted, the following analogy is not a perfect fit, but I will state it anyway. I feel like it's kind of like the Super Bowl. Lots of people watch just for the game (Oprah). But some people watch just for the commercials (Obama). And some watch for both. But the people who are watching just for the game still see the commercials and find a lot of them entertaining, and often remember them long after the game is over.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

BIGOLDTEXAN — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:46:39 GMT

This is BIG.
With the crowd that Oprah has drawn to see her they will also get to see and hear Obama.

This is great!! With this strategy he can now let the American people jude for themselves that he is what he says he is, a man of change.
A least he is not throwing/slinging mud and lies as some other candidate (HRC) is doing.

Van darling, I didn`t know you cared.

Go Obama 08'

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Lewis, Cincinnati, OHio — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 17:49:46 GMT

Van and Dickie---If Oprah was doing this for Hillary Clinton, would you two be SO against it? Did the two of you ever stop to think that people MAY attend this event and come to the conclusion that Obama isn't ready to be president? They people MAY even decide that Clinton is more capable. I'm an Obama supporter and I get someone NOT wanting to vote for him. What I don't get is detesting him or simply not liking him. To me, that just doesn't make any sense!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Fired Up and Going for Edwards in Iowa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:07:16 GMT

To James in MN who asked "Who is Harry Belafonte?" Belafonte is a musician, actor and social activist. He is well know for his advocacy for civil rights and humanitarian causes. I believe that he was the first African American to win an Emmy, and that he has been awarded the Kennedy Center honors, the National Medal of Arts, and Grammy Lifetime Awards. He also has been an outspoken critic of Bush. Maybe you have to have been around awhile (oh to be young again) to know about him, but he and people like him are the probably a big part of the reason that Oprah is where she is today. She has celebrity, Belafonte has solid credibility in civil and human rights advocacy (also is a great singer -- check him out!).

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:07:42 GMT

Oprah makes a lot of social conservatives angry.
This could backfire on Obama.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Connie, Tn. — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:08:43 GMT

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:09:33 GMT

Lewis-

I'm not sure if it's that you don't actually read my posts before you comment, or that you don't understand them when you do...

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dante — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:15:28 GMT

Interesting article!!

While Clinton maintains her lead in national polling among Democrats, in direct matchups against Republican presidential candidates, she consistently runs behind both Barack Obama and John Edwards. In the recent national Zogby Poll (Nov. 26, 2007), every major Republican presidential candidate beats Clinton: McCain beats her 42 percent to 38 percent; Giuliani beats her 43 percent to 40 percent; Romney beats her 43 percent to 40 percent; Huckabee beats her 44 percent to 39 percent; and Thompson beats her 44 percent to 40 percent, despite the fact Thompson barely appears to be awake most of the time.

By contrast, Obama beats every major Republican candidate: He beats McCain 45 percent to 38 percent; Guiliani 46 percent to 41 percent; Romney 46 percent to 40 percent; Huckabee 46 percent to 40 percent; and, Thompson 47 percent to 40 percent. In other words, Obama consistently runs 8 to 11 percent stronger than Clinton when matched against Republicans. To state the obvious: The Democratic presidential candidate will have to run against a Republican.

Clinton's inherent weakness as a candidate shows up in other ways. In direct matchups for congressional seats, Democrats currently are running 10 percent to 15 percent ahead of Republicans, depending on the poll, while Clinton runs 3 percent to 7 percent behind -- a net deficit ranging from 13 to 22 percent. No candidate in presidential polling history ever has run so far behind his or her party.

To look at Clinton's candidacy another way, Clinton runs well behind generic polling for the presidency: In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted Nov. 1-5, 2007, voters were asked, "Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for the outcome of the 2008 presidential election -- that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be elected president?" By 50 percent to 35 percent, voters chose "Democrat" -- a 15-point edge. Thus, Clinton is running 10 to 15 percent, or more, behind the generic Democratic candidate. This is not a promising metric nor the numbers of a strong candidate.

Look at Iowa: It is neck-and-neck, with Obama, Clinton and Edwards running close among the first tier of Democratic candidates. But Clinton is the only woman running against seven men, yet polls only around 25 percent. When you have been in the public eye for 15 years and are well-known, when your husband was a popular president and remains perhaps the most popular Democrat in America, when you are the only female candidate in a race against seven men, but you are polling just 25 percent, you are not a strong candidate.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bee — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:15:57 GMT

Oprah makes a lot of social conservatives angry.
This could backfire on Obama.
J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY
-----------------------------------------------------

Could you point to the social conservatives Oprah made angry? Is it Sean Hannity or Bill O'reily? I am looking forward to hearing from you.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Tiffany Portland, Oregon — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:20:37 GMT

I know I don't care who celebrities endorse. I follow the issues and form my own opinion, so it doesn't matter what they think as they don't think for me. I'm sure a large number of the people showing up at the Oprah/Obama event really want to see Oprah and probably couldn't care less about politics.

I have to agree that they are making far too much out of this than needs to be. On a side note, I don't know anybody that watches Oprah, reads her magazine, or has any other "involvement" with her. As for the waiting rooms always playing Oprah at those hours, everywhere I go plays the news on their TVs. =)

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Rosemary, California — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:21:33 GMT

It is truly amazing how much media attention this has gotten. Why is everyone worried about how much an Oprah appearance is going to effect the election? Most of the Pundits say it will not do anything. No one is making any remarks about all of the high profile celebrity endorsements Hillary Clinton has gotten and those that appear with her.

The media is constantly telling us Oprah's appearance does not mean anything, then why is there this much buzz around it?

Are people really worried out there that it just may do something to really boost Obama's campaign?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Lewis, Cincinnati, Ohio — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:21:39 GMT

Van,
Apparantly, I just don't understand them, because I think you're pretty anti-obama---I guess that's just me though!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

joe b clayton, ga — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:25:26 GMT

I think that anyone who thinks Oprah as no effect on Obamas run for the White House is barking up the wrong tree. She has a commanding presents in TV,and will have all the free spots on TV over the week end. People are nuts if they say she will not sway peoples mind if her speech is a good one which i think it will be. Clinton being interviewed by a new caster wont have the same effect this week end for Obama is a home run for him. Oprah will put a book at number 1 on the best sellers list and she will do the same for him. No one has gotten as much money at one event as she got him at her party in calf. So nay sayers beware of a home run for Oprah.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Anthony — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:26:56 GMT

Most of you understate the power of Oprah and these are the people who are full of fear and wouldn,t vote for Barack anyway. But what these people don't seem to understand is that it's not her job to help people decide who to vote for but more importantly, get large amount of people to these events to hear Barack and it will be his reponsibility to close the deal not Oprah's. Many people are afraid because they know in these types of venues this plays to Baracks strenghts large crowds not BS,staged debates.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:27:09 GMT

Yes Lewis it is.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:34:12 GMT

Dante (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 1:15 PM)

What's most interesting is the A-Lack of attribution, B-Usage of an internet poll when you can find ALL of the recent polling (but not that one as the methodology of internet polls renders them virtually meaningless.)

Here, for the umpteenth time and 2nd or third time today is the link to realclearpolitics.com Republican vs. Democrat.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

You are sure to find the results there interesting. Please be sure to fill me and everyone else here in on your opinion.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Independent — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:48:13 GMT

Oprah will draw the crowds. But will they listen. Obama has to do his own work of selling his lines. I to, am only concerned with the issues. When will we hear about attainable goals. Concrete plan to end this War , actual Civil War which I have not heard in a long time from our Press. Our men are dying for what. Bushies folly of Lies. Don't think Clinton is interested in ending this fiasco. We are spending money to support this folly that we must borrow from China. We are in debt folks, our ecomony is in the pits. Listen I voted for Bush twice. Now I am ashamed to call myself a Republican. I am now Independent I vote both sides of the ticket.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dante — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:56:41 GMT

Van, there are several polls out there. I don't dispute the poll that you presented with Hillary up, so why dispute the Zogby poll with Hillary down. The main part of the article that I found particularly interesting was:

"When you have been in the public eye for 15 years and are well-known, when your husband was a popular president and remains perhaps the most popular Democrat in America, when you are the only female candidate in a race against seven men, but you are polling just 25 percent, you are not a strong candidate."

What is your take on that?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dante — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 18:56:53 GMT

Van, there are several polls out there. I don't dispute the poll that you presented with Hillary up, so why dispute the Zogby poll with Hillary down. The main part of the article that I found particularly interesting was:

"When you have been in the public eye for 15 years and are well-known, when your husband was a popular president and remains perhaps the most popular Democrat in America, when you are the only female candidate in a race against seven men, but you are polling just 25 percent, you are not a strong candidate."

What is your take on that?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

John Alexander,Edinboro,PA — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:12:27 GMT

OPRAH OPRAH OPRAH, ho humm, celebrities need attention, attention breeds more money, money makes them more respected, more respect equals more attention from the media, a self-perpetuating cycle of entertainment over issues, Boring.
I still am waiting to see who Tony the Tiger will go for, HEEEES GREAT!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

lyn,MD — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:15:06 GMT

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:16:34 GMT

Van, there are several polls out there. I don't dispute the poll that you presented with Hillary up, so why dispute the Zogby poll with Hillary down. The main part of the article that I found particularly interesting was..."
My take is that conclusions based on non credible information are not credible. I thought that my first post to you made that very clear.

Because your poll isn't a credible one. I'm not referring you to A poll, I'm referring you to ALL THE POLLS. You'll find that it isn't me discounting the zogby internet vote poll, it's RCP Polling.com and all of the outlets that compile the various polls. That there are several polls out there is an understatement.
To cherry-pick a poll that has no credibility to the agencies that compile polls, to highlight and call interesting, results that are at odds with every other credible poll, and then to openly wonder why, I, the "poll guy", would question YOUR posting, I will gladly leave to others to explain.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Simon, IA — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:20:42 GMT

Dickie Flatts Charlotte, NC:

Do you mean like all the people who acted like "sheep" when they voted for Bush because they would rather have a beer with him than with Gore??

It would be nice if people would vote on the issues.
Connie, Tn. (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 1:08 PM)

That's Chris Matthews from MSNBC, one of the worst journalist on TV for a long time. He loves Presidents who can have beer and do shit in office for 8 years.

Chris Matthews should look back 8 years and say "I was a dumbass 8 years ago for supporting Bush for a beer".

Will Matthews ever remorse that he played in part in destroying America?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Mitchell Feldman, Vestal, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:21:52 GMT

Here's the story. Anyone who hasn't been to see Obama speak doesn't understand the power that he has on stage. The man has rock star status because he has earned it. Like JFK and Reagan, he is able to speak to people's hearts and talk about what is good about America. But uniquely, he speaks without invoking fear and without demagoguery, without divisiveness. He makes the crowd feel enthusiastic about what they can be contributing to this great land of ours.

As a volunteer for his campaign (I want all cards on the table - but people on these sites already know how biased I am), I saw him speak in Claremont NH (I already wrote about it) and the effect on this small crowd (about 500 people) was electrifying. Several older women (had to be my age -55- and older were swooning. All made the JFK comparison. One said to me "I saw Hillary and she was good but Obama is remarkable".

The point is, Oprah isn't going to sway people for Obama (as some people here have already pointed out), it's just that people, not ordinarily politically involved, will turn out to see her. Then Barack will be able to reach them. Believe me, to hear him speak, is an event in itself. It really makes one think that we, the little guys, can truly take this country back and function more like a democracy in the framework of our republic (I know, very idealistic for a nation of 300 million). Oprah is a conduit who can bring people to hear Obama. He will close the deal. That is how it works. Dickie Flatts, the reason, that it didn't work as well with 'the boss' is that Kerry (I actually love Kerry) couldn't close the deal.

Finally, I just want to say again, that for me (sort of an old guy), Obama's candidacy is a unique opportunity that comes across every so often in our history (Lincoln, TR, FDR, JFK, Reagan - and obviously I was not a Reagan supporter). It's an opportunity where Americans can get together and, under the leadership of an individual with charisma and integrity reweave the fabric that makes us united as Americans. I work with some die-hard Republicans, in upstate NY, and where they are willing to do anything in their power to prevent a Hillary-Bill presidency (and truly, their reasons for disliking them so, are incomprehensible to me and so different than mine) but when we talk of Obama they see him as a reasonable alternative to this administration - because they say he evidences integrity and engenders hope (obviously they don't say it in those words). The point is, that they would listen to him.

As for me, I became a fan when I read his speech given at Hyde Park in October of 2002 and since then he has rarely (and he is not Jesus) failed to disappoint me with his thinking, proposals and behavior. The war is my main thing and from the beginning, he was against this war!
Good Luck Oprah! Bring them out! Barack will close the deal!
Obama '08

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Carrie, Eastern Iowa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:28:34 GMT

Most of you understate the power of Oprah and these are the people who are full of fear and wouldn,t vote for Barack anyway.
Anthony (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 1:26 PM)

Actually, Anthony, I am not at all full of fear. But way to make a sweeping generalization that has no basis in fact!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Carrie, Eastern Iowa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:32:55 GMT

Hm...so making 50+ year old women swoon is apparently a relevant qualification for president. Who knew?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:39:29 GMT

Mitchell Feldman, Vestal, NY

Good post, as usual. I don't think anyone denies Senator Obama's stage presence or the fact that he is an amazingly moving speaker. In that respect, he reminds me of President Kennedy. I am moved by his speeches and inspired by them. But the issue of experience in dealing with national and international policy is extremely important to me, and I have yet to be convinced that he has been in government long enough to have acquired the seasoning that a President needs. Some of that lack of experience can be mitigated by selecting skilled advisors, and perhaps his relative youth (vis a vis some of the other candidates) would bring with it fresh ideas, I just don't know. But, from my perspective, I think someone like Senator Biden, who has met many of the leaders of countries around the world, my have a better handle on foreign policy.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dickie Flatts, Charlotte, NC — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:47:50 GMT

Simon, you are talking apples and oranges.

You mention likability, I was speaking to endorsements.

I don't think endorsements matter much.

I used the example of Springsteen, despite sold out shows, failing to help Kerry with the white male vote.

I just don't think the type of person that votes in a primary (I would argue thoughtful people with their own opinions in politics) will be swayed. I think in a general an endorsement would help a smidge more because you do have a lot of people who put little thought into how the vote.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

csh, IL — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:50:28 GMT

Does anybody remember the movie “Beloved”? Didn’t think so. This was the motion picture that starred Oprah a few years back and she was all over every TV show (including her own) to promote it. It bombed – as have many other movies and CDs that have been promoted on Oprah’s show over the years.

Also – Oprah has been named the second most admired woman in the US in the last eight annual Gallup polls. Hillary Clinton has been named THE most admired woman in the US in those last eight annual Gallup polls.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:51:12 GMT

"...A least he is not throwing/slinging mud and lies as some other candidate (HRC) is doing."...
BIGOLDTEXAN (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 12:46 PM)

Huh? Better check again B.O.G.
Obama is the one who STARTED the attacks on Hillary, and he's the one who used Neo-Con rhetoric from the 1990's
Your unhappy because you thought that Hillary and her supporters were going to sit there and take it. You just don't like it that she, and her people hit back.
That's the reaction most bullies give when the kid they been shoving around, pushes back.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bee — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:52:52 GMT

I'll live you pundits with the analysis of Oprah’s effect. I am sure Obama strategists that are behind the scene know what they are doing.

I am glad that Mark Penn is not running Obama's campaign because the guy has no clue on what he is doing. You can tell the difference between Obama's campaign and his chief rival. He knew all along that the road to the white house starts from Iowa but Mark Penn thought otherwise. Mark Penn thought the road to the white house starts from the media and National polls number.

The person with the best strategist and organization will win this election. I am sure the Clinton’s campaign wish they had started earlier in IOWA. Currently, Obama has been organizing in Wisconsin, Indiana, Utah, Arizona, Idaho, Kansas, North Dekoda and Colorado but the rest of his rivals are banking on name recognition. I won’t be surprise if Obama win the race because of his organizing power. Watch out for shifting in polls from this state.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:59:04 GMT

"Here's the story. Anyone who hasn't been to see Obama speak doesn't understand the power that he has on stage. The man has rock star status because he has earned it. Like JFK and Reagan, he is able to speak to people's hearts and talk about what is good about America. But uniquely, he speaks without invoking fear and without demagoguery, without divisiveness. He makes the crowd feel enthusiastic about what they can be contributing to this great land of ours."

The only thing missing is Sam Cooke and the Soul Stirrers, "Touch the Hem of His Garment" playing softly in the background...(one of my favorites, BTW)
Blind devotion and hero worship are both detrimental to rational, objective thought and the democratic process.

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bee — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 19:59:31 GMT

At least women are not mad at Obama but are mad at Clinton.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/12/07/the_skinny/main3588217.shtml

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:03:41 GMT

One additional thouight Van you are starting to sound as petty and shrill as Hillary.

lyn,MD (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 2:15 PM)

Gee more BS criticism from someone who accuses anyone who supports Hillary of being a paid staffer or from Hillary is 44. What a surprise. BTW, that's a load of crap and indicates that you either don't read my posts , or like Lewis, you don't always get them. Not my problem and not really my concern.

Cheers,

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bee — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:06:01 GMT

Here is another news that will shape the race come Feb. 5

http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2007/dec/07/obama_wins_kansas_straw_poll/

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

alain — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:19:49 GMT

Hillary is up on the polls because of Bill ok? Obama will be too because of Oprah....

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Ruth Bethinger, New York, New York — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:29:44 GMT

Folks -

Nobody believes Oprah will win Obama votes. Not even Obama believes that.

He has said repeatedly that he simply thinks that Oprah can reach out to citizens who are cynical about Washington politics.

Obama knows that it is up to the voters to listen to him and decide for themselves whether he can bring the change they are looking for.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

James, Santa Monica — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:30:13 GMT

This is the worst in our political system when a candidate brings on the super rich to essentially buy votes and cover his inadequacies. Why isn’t he enough? Well, he has no accomplishments, no plan for America and no experience. Do you think each voter will get a car?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Danielle Clarke Phila Pa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:30:17 GMT

Oprah will bring them Barack will give them

BARACK OBAMA'S ANSWERS Top Priorities, Iraq war, SecurIty, Health care, Education, Gay Marriage, Abortion, Poor, Guns, Stem Cell Research, Energy, Affirmative Action, Budget Issues, Social Security

BARACK OBAMA'S ANSWERS as found on
choose your candidate washington post

CHOOSE YOUR CANDIDATE
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/candidatequiz/?

BARACK OBAMA SAYS:

TOP PRIORITIES:
My top priority as president will be ending this war
in Iraq, a war that should have never been authorized
and never been waged. In doing so, I will work to keep
our country safe from terrorists and to restore
American credibility around the world. Providing
universal health care to the 47 million Americans who
currently do not have it will be another top priority
of my administration, as will combating global warming
and putting our country on the path toward energy
independence. But all of the issues that I have
focused on in this campaign -- whether it's creating a
21st century education system and fighting poverty or
achieving comprehensive immigration reform and
strengthening our economy -- are vitally important and
must be prioritized by the next president. And all of
these issues share one thing in common: in order to
fully address them, we have to do more than change
political parties. We have to fundamentally change our
politics and transform the way business is done in
Washington.

IRAQ WAR: 1
IRAQ WAR: 2

SECURITY:

HEALTH CARE

EDUCATION:
CHANGES IN EDUCATION:

GAY MARRIAGE:
CIVIL UNIONS:

ABORTION:

POOR:

GUNS:
GUN CONTROL:

STEM CELL RESEARCH:

ENERGY: 1
ENERGY: 2

IMMIGRATION: 1
IMMIGRATION: 2

AFFIRMIATIVE ACTION:

BUDGET ISSUES: 1
BUDGET ISSUES: 2

ECONOMY: 1
ECONOMY 2:

SOCIAL SECURITY: 1
SOCIAL SECURITY: 2

CLICK READ MORE TO SEE ALL THE ANSWERS BARACK HAS LISTED AT THIS WASHINGTON POST POLL SITE. I THINK IT GIVES AN EASY READ TO HIS PERSPECTIVES.

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/danielleclarke/C5Ph

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

BIGOLDTEXAN — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:50:11 GMT

Huh? Better check again B.O.G.
Obama is the one who STARTED the attacks on Hillary, and he's the one who used Neo-Con rhetoric from the 1990's
Your unhappy because you thought that Hillary and her supporters were going to sit there and take it. You just don't like it that she, and her people hit back.
That's the reaction most bullies give when the kid they been shoving around, pushes back.

Well how soon we forget.
HRC was the first democrat to throw the mud when she stated that Obama was naive & inexperience.
HRC also stated that she would not attack another democrat during the campaign, so you see she lies well enough for you to forget how dishonest she really is.

Now she can`t help herself, lies on top of lies.
I guess if that the way you want your president to be with you, do what you do and vote ofr her.
I never will.

OBAMA 08'

B.O.T. OUT.........

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

MK, Los Angeles, California — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:52:23 GMT

Van

"I'm not referring you to A poll, I'm referring you to ALL THE POLLS."

That sounds an awful lot like Karl Rove's statement the facts and having THE facts. Van I understand you are a supporter of Senator Clinton and you want to put out the information that supports your candidate, please when others have contrary information (that means polls that DO show Senator Clinton losing in states or her leads in others slipping considerably) do not accuse them of not having THE FACTS. Obviously you choose to believe the polls that support your candidate and others choose to believe those that support theirs.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

unklelouis, collegevill, MN — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:54:02 GMT

Let me just respond to some of your comments: I don't think being president is only about foreign policy. Yes, foreign policy is important, but that is not the only issue facing the US. There are other issues like immigration, tax cuts, health care reforms, education e.t.c. Obama has shown that he is very competent in all those areas, and he has also shown that experience doesn't necessary means wisdom. Please, give Obama a chance to show that its possible to have wisdom without "experience".

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Garrett, Seattle, Wash — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 20:58:35 GMT

Dickie Flats.....your arguments are fine I suppose, but the point you're arguing for is the wrong one. No one has ever claimed in honesty that the point of the "Oprah Effect" is to have people swayed to vote for Barack. While millions of dollars in advertising are spent in South Carolina just for candidates to get heard on tv for 30 seconds by only thousands of people, Oprah is allowing Obama to be heard for a very extended period by just as many people. That's the "Oprah Effect".

The biggest danger in having Oprah help in this way is the spin that some media and talkers put on it...if the spinners manage to convince enough people that Oprah is trying to convince people to change their vote based on her support, there'll be a backlash. That is why we see Hillary supporters and others making statements like "You'd have to have a pretty dim view of the people who watch Oprah's show to believe they will simply be sheep and vote for someone not on issues, but because Oprah so it is a good thing to do." That kind of spin (lies) is no better than swiftboating.

And vanreuter, NY.....you have some facts wrong...for starters, Clinton does not currently have support of 3 times as many black women in SC as Obama. Also...I'm impressed at how many words you used to say so little.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Mitchell Feldman, Vestal, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:00:30 GMT

Dot: Only Biden and Dodd have the experience (as measured in years served). And yet both of them voted to support this president's incursion into Iraq. If experience doesn't translate into judgment than of what value?

I know that eighty% of Americans supported this rush to war but there were those who weren't swayed by the hysteria and Barack was one of them. If you look at all of Barack's foreign policy positions (even the ones for which he was criticised as being naive), he was right on the mark. Also, as you point out, advisers are important and Barack has an incredible list of foreign policy advisors (some 200) who have endorsed him and signed on.

In my humble opinion, no one has the real experience to be president. Every day is fraught with new challenges that make old experiences inapplicable. But Barack provides the creds with which to approach this job and has, at least, as much intellectual wherewithal as any of his predecessors (and when compared to the one presently occupying the White House, much more). He, Kucinich and Paul are the only one's running who consistantly have had the right position on this war and for me this is paramount. He maintains other policy positions and possesses qualities and skills that the other two don't have and therefore has earned my support. But once again, for me, it's all about the war.
Obama '08

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:05:42 GMT

".....Granted, the following analogy is not a perfect fit, but I will state it anyway. I feel like it's kind of like the Super Bowl. Lots of people watch just for the game (Oprah). But some people watch just for the commercials (Obama). And some watch for both. But the people who are watching just for the game still see the commercials and find a lot of them entertaining, and often remember them long after the game is over.
CitizenJ (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 12:45 PM)....."

And at the end of the day the game is what people allude to when they talk about a super bowl.
Oprah also angers a good many social conservatives who see her as a "bleeding heart liberal."
This Oprah thing could work against Obama.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Mitchell Feldman, Vestal, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:08:50 GMT

Van: You seem to miss the point of the analysis. But somehow, I think you really do get it, otherwise it might not move you to comment.
Obama '08

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Michael , Austin,Texas — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:09:56 GMT

Man everyone sure gets catty once you get through the sting of subtle insults to one another. I really enjoyed how some people ( van ) try to pass themselves off as democrats. I see how republicans would want hillary to represent the democrats. She's polarizing and it put bill back in the WH for more attacks on morality. they need someone to deflect from their own issues. Hillary would give them everything they ever asked for for christmas at once. If Obama/Edwards or Biden were the party choice , republicans would have to run on current issues and merits. Scary thought. I'm for Obama but would support Biden or Edwards. I am hesitant to support Hillary though. She comes across as a hypocrite to me or at least a little disingenuious with her positions and answers. Anyways all people deserve to voice their opinions and if Oprah brings out the masses to hear someone speak and inform , more power to her and the people. It seems to me that republicans fear the informed and love the ignorant.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Ed,Seattle WA — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:10:21 GMT

Van,

Get a job! Stop your whining about Obama!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Joan Colome, SD — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:14:07 GMT

Oprah said she was a friend of Hillary. If you are one of her friends watch your back for the knife.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:15:17 GMT

"...HRC was the first democrat to throw the mud when she stated that Obama was naive & inexperience.
HRC also stated that she would not attack another democrat during the campaign, so you see she lies well enough for you to forget how dishonest she really is.".....BIGOLDTEXAN (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 3:50 PM)

Ha Ha....How soon YOU forget, BIG.
Obama slung mud first when he said Hillary was too old to solve any problems as President.
By the way, pointing out that someone is naive and inexperienced isnt slinging mud. In Obama's case, it's the simple truth.
Hee Hee

GO HILLARY 2008! *** experience counts***

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:17:16 GMT

Mitchell

Thank you for the response. The vote on war with Iraq was a mistake for both Senators Biden, Clinton and Dodd. However, given the mood in this country following 9/11 and given the fact that Congress was given convincing evidence that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction that could be aimed at US interests, I can understand how that vote could have seemed, at that time, to be the right thing to do.

I also agree that Senator Obama has a very impressive group of advisors. I have not decided whom to support if Senator Biden does not remain a viable candidate into the IL primary--I will keep studying all the candidates' positions on the issues that are most important to me; the war, education, health care, etc. Like you, for me the most important issue is probably the war.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

B. Honest, Portland OR — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:17:18 GMT

Dot, quick question: By "Seasoning" do you mean that a Presidential Aspirant has to be beholden to the people already in power: The Corporations?? It is pretty well known that if you are in Washington for very long, you become an Washington Insider (Like Clinton or ANY Republican)...which means you are already bought and paid for...is this what you REALLY want...because that is the only thing that I see lacking in Obama...he is not letting himself be bought by the Corporations. If seasoned means bought then give me the fresh face ANY day!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Bradley Caldwell , Greensboro,NC — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:24:23 GMT

Most people have forgoten that Oprah is originally from the south.She'll mix that southern charm into the mid-western accent, and will sweep the south clean. Super-stars has that appeal on people,like Streisand,Cornick,and Glooney. I remember meeting then Governor Clinton in Charlotte , he had Harry Belafonte with him in 1992.A lasting impresion on me.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

ace p washington, d.c. — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:25:47 GMT

oprah = large audience and exposure

obama = opportunity to present plans, ideas and philosophy

sum of equation-exposure plus opportunity of presentation equals possible positive campaign benefit.

evaluation-good political strategy from the point of
possibly creating new supporters (plus voters for the overall party)

i think this would be a good strategy for any of the candidates. it is about exposure.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Nashville_fan — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:26:44 GMT

Wow - seems like eveyone is so grumpy today - maybe we should all call a truce or something! lol

It takes a certain amount af hutzpah to run for President and put yourself through the scrutiny that comes with it, so my hats off to ALL the candidates - both Republican and Democrat - for stepping up and offering themselves for service.

It is fun to debate the pros and cons and see who is up in the polls, but I get the sense that maybe some of us (myself included) need to lighten up a bit. I hope you all have a fabulous weekend - and I hope that this comment is posted before Sunday! :)

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:32:32 GMT

Van,

Get a job! Stop your whining about Obama!

Ed,Seattle WA (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 4:10 PM)

Very insightful and clever. So you feel that only those who support Obama should be posting here, or is it only MY posts that you feel should be censored?
As your opinion is very important to me and the world at large, we await your decision so that we can all do as you wish. LOL

Van

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

CitizenJ — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:39:03 GMT

And at the end of the day the game is what people allude to when they talk about a super bowl.
Oprah also angers a good many social conservatives who see her as a "bleeding heart liberal."
This Oprah thing could work against Obama.

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 4:05 PM)

If the game is all they allude to, then why are there web sites and contests based solely on the commercials during the Super Bowl, not once mentioning the game? In any event, I believe I disclaimed the analagy by saying it wasn't a perfect fit.

Also, EVERY move the candidates make has the possiblity of working against them, so why emphasize this one, which has more upside than down?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

ace p washington, d.c. — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:40:45 GMT

endorsements really don't matter. it has been found wether it is celebs, teacher, auto workers, etc. people don't always follow the unions leadership or celebs. some will follow the leadership or the celebs, but most will vote their conviction.

if however someone hears a message from a candidate that they have never been exposed to in person there is an increased chance of changing their mind. it also could make a person stay solidly behind who they were supporting at first. more so that anything it could increase voter participation across the entire political spectum. it does have benefit to the process.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:47:33 GMT

Mitchell,
I dont agree with you in regards to Obama's qualifications, or lack thereof.
The man has but two years worth of experience in The U.S. Senate. The rest of his time in government was as a state legislator. I don't think that's enough.
Regardless of how many "new challenges" are faced by a President, familiarity with the domestic political landscape and also with the international diplomatic scene does make a difference.
I don't know why, but somehow your downplaying the experience end of this reminds me of a kid who thinks he's learned all there is to learn, and gets angry when someone tries to teach him something new.
Secondly, I discount Obama's position on the war because he wasn't in congress when the very difficult issue of authorizing the use of force in Iraq (or not) was voted on in 2002. He doesn't come from a district that was attacked on 911, either.
Hillary's vote to use force may be objectional to you.
But, she has a responsibility to protect the people she serves, and she believed in good faith that she was doing it when she made that vote.
I respect that.
I should note here that her vote on the Kyl/Lieberman proposal has come under a lot of scrutiny lately.
But, Obama didn't even show up for that vote!
I don't respect that.
Furthermore, I don't quite understand what this greater intellectual quality is that you see in Obama.
He has stumbled, mumbled, and fumbled in the debates several times. (i.e. "nukeing" China, invading Pakistan, and criticizing Hillary for trying to expound on her statements regarding the illegal alien license thing, then not being able to give a straight yes or no answer to the same question himself.)
See, I know what the reaction to this is going to be before I even say it. But, in the interest of being TRUTHFUL I must.
Your post is yet another example of how Obama's supporters such as yourself, see him as they WANT to see him, and NOT for what he really is.
Obama is too inexperienced to be President, and I don't think he posesses the kind of "savy" that a President must have to protect the greater interests of the entire country.
I respect your choice to vote for whoever you want.
But, I question the logic by which you have reached this decision.

HILLARY FOR PRESIDENT 2008! ***experience counts***

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:48:43 GMT

B Honest, Portland, OR

By "seasoning," I do not mean that a candidate has to be beholden to the corporations. I prefer a who has shown (by experience) that he can carry out the requirements of his office in a way that satisfies the electorate who voted for him. Since he has been in the Senate since he was 29, I think Senator Biden's records shows that he can. But primarily, I think I mean a candidate who is familiar with and accustomed to communicating with leaders of foreign countries. I think those foreign leaders do listen to Senator Biden when he speaks and do give weight to what he has to say. That is my only area of concern with respect to Senator Obama--I don't think he has as much experience in foreign policy matters as does someone like Senator Biden.

With respect to your comment about being beholden to corporations and Washington insiders being bought and paid for by those corporations, I think that all of the candidates have probably received money from corporations and/or their executives. I'm not sure that the term "bought" is a good one, but I think if you apply that to anyone who has accepted corporate money, you would have to included everyone running for President.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

katy7540, Iowa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:51:25 GMT

Senator Obama has been in public office longer than the other front runners in Iowa. (11 yrs) He doesn’t expect anyone to vote for him because of Oprah's endorsement, however, the fact that all tickets for the Oprah events were taken before the end of the 2nd day in Iowa demonstrates that Oprah will help bring undecided voters to hear his message. That’s all. He has a huge list of endorsements that include i.e., congress members; military, and civil rights leaders. Many of them formerly serving in the Clinton administration. Obama himself always draws big crowds and earns signed supporters by his message of unity and hope for a change we can believe in. He is much more than a powerful speaker and has already proven his judgment and integrity by speaking out against the war from the beginning when the other front runners including Biden, and Dodd voted for it. Experience didn’t help them make the right decision and America will pay for years to come. Obama 08!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

BR — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:53:21 GMT

"In South Carolina, Oprah is even more popular. In the Columbia area, where Oprah and Obama will appear together on Sunday afternoon at an 80,000 seat arena"

Can anyone name a celebrity that has put 80,000 people anywhere for a political event? Wake up people, a change is coming....don't get caught napping.

I bet you anything that Barbara nor Celine would generate this type of fanfare, even if it was free...which this event is.

BR-New York City

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

ace p washington, d.c. — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:53:55 GMT

why is there so much fuss over just obama's celeb selection. hillary has even more celeb endorsements. when barbra striesand comes out on the trail(if she comes out)will their be so much negative said about what hillary's strategy is or the down side of it's effect? it is a campaign. this has been done for a very long time.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Astari Waters, Mercer Island, WA — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 21:54:26 GMT

I am somewhat disappointed in Oprah’s decision to back anyone. It troubles me why she would do this and I probably would not vote for Senator Obama for this reason. Moreover, she has never done this before, so why now? Do we now elect fame to the White House? I think not! This is for a “President” for goodness sakes! Obama will get more of my consideration when he stands on his own merit. This is very troublesome to me because it looks like he wants fame to buy his ticket to the White House and my opinion this is a pretty desperate immature act. I also find that he stutters a lot when there are decisions to be made quickly and he cannot give good answers. Then sometimes he answers quickly and his judgments are poor. What would he do in a crisis situation is my question. I actually like the guy but believe he needs more than Oprah this time. For now, Hillary will be the one I choose and on the basis that I “feel” she has the brass balls and the experience to get out there and get the job done. He needs another round in the Senate to build his own qualities so that he doesn’t have to look for fame to honor him.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:00:47 GMT

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Nashville_fan — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:03:34 GMT

Astari:

"Obama will get more of my consideration when he stands on his own merit."

Hillary needs to do the same.

P.S. lol about the "brass balls"

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

BR — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:10:17 GMT

Why are we putting so much emphasis on foreign policy? I mean, don't get me wrong, I know that it is vital to our national security and we do have to do business with other countries. But America, we have a problem...and until we deal with the issues confronting us. How on God green earth can we deal the worlds problems? I don't care how much experience any of the candidates have.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

vanreuter, NY NY — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:15:38 GMT

And vanreuter, NY.....you have some facts wrong...for starters, Clinton does not currently have support of 3 times as many black women in SC as Obama. Also...I'm impressed at how many words you used to say so little.

Garrett, Seattle, Wash (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 3:58 PM)

Congratulations on being the SECOND person to, not only make the same, lame criticism, but to also obviously not see the authorship, link to HuffPo, or my reply to the FIRST person who made that mistake.
Go back and read the thread again. You will see that I didn't WRITE the piece; So if you dispute the numbers cited in the article, the email address of the AUTHOR is also included in my post.

Van

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Big Moe — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:18:32 GMT

Oprah is about to put the screws to ole' Hillary the Hun like Boko Big Time. Her appearances on behalf of Obama will move him up at least 3-5% in the polls Iowa New Hampshire and South Carolina. All I can say to Oprah is "GO GIRL GO"

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Mario Bailey, West Palm Beach, FL — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:25:14 GMT

Oprah is not in the campaign to influences or persuade voters.... She is simply there to build excitment and give people from different walks of life to listen to Presidential hopeful, Barack Obama. It is like a one two punch combo. She will bring the audience and then he will turn them into voters with his speech filled with hope and conviction.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Howard Crofoot, Deltona, Fl. — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:25:16 GMT

I think its to bad that political candidates cannot run on their own merits and not need the likes of oprah winfrey or any other entertainer. I would rather like to know what they would like to do for this country.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

CitizenJ — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:29:13 GMT

CitizenJ,
So what you're saying is that you "hedged" your statement by giving a disclaimer as to it's validity before anyone even had a chance to respond to it.
Typical.
I am a Jets fan. The only thing I remember about Super Bowl III is that the Jets beat The Colts.
Likewise Oprah fans will walk away from these appearances remembering they saw "Oprah."

J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, NY (Sent Friday, December 07, 2007 5:00 PM)

What I'm saying is I put that disclaimer in because I know people like you are eager to jump on anything that you will be able to twist to your liking. Typical. So I wanted make sure that I said that it wasn't a PERFECT analagy so as to dissuade people like you from commenting on how wrong I am. I guess I didn't make it clear enough.

I'm glad the only thing you remember about Super Bowl III is who won. Good for you. And you are ONE person. Yet you already know that Oprah fans will walk away remembering only that they saw Oprah? That's pretty impressive. Quick - what am I having for dinner tonight? If the voting were taking place 40 years after the event, then yeah, people will be remembering mostly that they saw Oprah. Unfortunately for you, the voting will be taking place less than a month after the events. Now, if Obama supporters are as stupid as you believe they are, then maybe they will forget all about him. But don't hold your breath on that.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:32:52 GMT

BR

You are correct that we have problems here in the US that need attention. However, many of them may be the result of, or may be tied to, our actions with respect to foreign countries. The war in Iraq has been a tremendous drain on the US budget and has seemed to take the focus from domestic concerns that need attention. Trade policies and China's growth as an industrial power affect jobs in our country. Continued fighting in the Middle East affects price of oil in this country, which in turn, affects the price of almost everything else in our country.

Obviously, though, foreign policy experience is only one criterion for electing a President. Voters will have to look at all the assets of each of the candidates before they make their decision. That's what I plan to do.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Sandy, WI — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:39:07 GMT

As if all the experience in our current administration has helped!?!

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Becky Mortenson — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:43:02 GMT

In my opinion, Oprah has hurt Obama's chances. I don't listen to a word she says.

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Jeff — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:44:08 GMT

I'm sorry people, yes I support Obama, and no I don't care what Opriah has to say really. But if you think this isn't a good thing for Obama your joking yourselves. The Name of the game is exposure, otherwise why are they spending so much time on the campain trail,all the canidates could put out a couple page summery of what there stance on the issues are and that would be it.
All you Clinton supporters really think that if Hillary had a choice to give a speech to say 200 people or a speech to lets say 20,000 she would cancel the 20,000 people event, I think not!!
I honestily hope no one votes for Obama because Opriah says she likes him (I agree that is a lousy reason to vote for someone just like voting for Hillary because she is a woman or married to Bill).
But getting that kind of crowds is great for Obama, and I have no doubt that he can sell himself. He sold himself to me, and I never have seen him in person. And I am a 43 year old independent, that hates politics, has never voted for anyone I really liked, and definatily never contributed or supported a canidate.
But please don't take Opriahs, mine or anyone elses word for it, research all of them then decide Obama is best for America!!!! :-)

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Harmony — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:48:25 GMT

I never met anyone that didn't respect Oprah. People will listen to her. She is not just hawking a book on one show, she is putting time in on the road on Obama's behalf. That's a lot more than just a good word.

I hope Obama runs the White House like he runs his campaign. The man is good. He has skills. He has integrity. He has brains. He has common sense. He gets results. He really cares.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Carol — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:52:32 GMT

I don't watch Oprah and I'm not impressed with her. I don't support Obama and I'm not impressed with his alleged "rock star" image. As a lifelong Democrat if he does get the nomination, I will not vote for him. He lacks not just experience but did not accomplish anything of substance while a senator in Illinois. The only reason he is running for President is because he can give a good speech. While that might make someone feel good, it doesn't qualify for being President.
Also Obama comes off as arrogant. He has disdain for baby boomers (but remember we are the ones who vote - even if we are "elderly" and in the 58 to 62 year age group in response to Bee above)And
as an "elderly" 59 year old female, practicing attorney (in the state of Illinois where Obama was not known before 2004), I resent the fact that Obama is soliciting young people who are not registered voters in Iowa to come to the caucuses. Apparently their caucus rules are pretty vague and you can sign up for one party or the other the day of. The campaign has distributed fliers to high school and college students (you only have to show you will be 18 by October) So Mr. Clean is going to bus people in from Illinois in order to help him win in Iowa. Frankly, I hope Joe Biden or Chris Dodd or even John Edwards (not my favorite) crush Obama on January 3. Every Democratic candidate EXCEPT Obama has paid his/her dues in the party. Also Obama won his senate seat in Illinois because he had an ineffectual and last minute opponent in Alan Keyes because Jack Ryan, who would have won, got caught up in yet another republican sex scandel. Additionally, Mr. Obama never supported women's rights while a senator in Illinois and has his own shady past he will have to contend with - Karl Rove already has it ready to go. The republicans know they can beat him.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Sandy, Fond du Lac, WI — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:55:39 GMT

Obama is inspiring to listen to. Our nation needs a leader who can inspire us and bring honor back to America.

Am I wrong?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Dot, Illinois — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 22:57:54 GMT

Sandy, WI

Inadvertently, you make the point FOR EXPERIENCE beautifully. President Bush had very limited experience both in domestic and foreign policy before his election and I think that our country has paid a price for that inexperience. His administration has shown that, hasn't it?

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Harmony — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:05:19 GMT

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Sherry,Florida — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:08:12 GMT

Hillary has an "Oprah like" endorsment, his name is Bill.

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Rob, Phoenix, AZ — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:20:27 GMT

Here is the bottom line: Oprah may help with female voters but will hurt with male voters. So it will be a wash. Why this hasn't been talked about in the media is beyoned me. Males voters will be turned off by the Oprah factor. Trust me on this.

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B. Honest, Portland OR — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:24:09 GMT

I would just like to point out to J. Merle Stanley, Westchester, N.Y. that Hillary actually Moved to where she is NOW senator of, she USED to be from Arkansas...or at least that is where the Clintons were from before the WH.....Just a thought for chewing on....Did she do that After 9-11 or Before....If after then That is one cynical bit of politrickery what happened.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Sandy, Fond du Lac, WI — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:24:17 GMT

Dot,

I wasn't just speaking of Bush. I was also speaking of the people he has chosen to surround himself with. e.g. Cheney-Wasn't he supposed to be the one with all the, "experience"?

I believe the person we select as our president needs to speak well and represent our nation. Obama would be great with other nations. He has a special gift, and I for one trust him.

I havn't completely made up my mind yet. I also am very impressed with Ron Paul.

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Nelson Oh — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:26:14 GMT

let me start off by saying that I like Oprah and think she's a genuinely nice and caring person who has done a lot to help many people. What I find amusing is that I have heard some comments about how people don't need Oprah to tell them who to vote for. Really? Where are all the people who lap up most of the things Oprah says she likes on her show? The ones who make a book a best seller just because Oprah said she liked it and encourages others to get it. The ones who run out to buy an item of clothing because Oprah recommends it.
Now because she's endorsing Obama all of a sudden people don't need Oprah's recommendations, they can make up their own minds now? Really? Since when exactly?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

A Nonny, Seattle Wa — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:35:40 GMT

An endorsement from Tim "ToolTown" Taylor will be required to offset the Oprah Factor to level things with The Guys again.....Hmmmmm

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Irwin, Thousand Oaks, CA — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 23:44:30 GMT

Though I am in Barack's corner, I would hate to think an Oprah (or a Streisand) can carry undue influence with voters. That would be mindless allegiance to the star mystique.

Barack should prevail on his freshness, charisma, and authenticity alone. Hillary is like expired milk.

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Mary — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 00:36:09 GMT

Will there be any live video of these Obama/Oprah events on the internet?

This is more exciting than the debates.

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POLpursun — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 00:44:10 GMT

I think if Oprah merely says why the Obama candidacy is important to her, an individual human being with her background and life story, given the world extant, it would be a worthwhile undertaking. This should be an exercise in her vision for a better America and world and why Obama fits with it. What she can offer to others, hopefully, are points of departure for thought as each individual assesses whether or not Obama fits with his or her vision. This celebrity business is nonsense and shallow. I trust that she eschews the role of selling Obama. That is NOT her role and further, Obama needs to do his own laying out of who he is. Perhaps, albeit, he will have more ears to address than he might otherwise have had. Each individual should be his or her own decision maker on vote casting.

I opine that Oprah would be more likely to see her role as closer to the above than selling some product or trolling for votes. If she doesn't then her impact SHOULD BE nil.

Oh, by the way, Obama does not seem to be short on capacity to delineate himself. He seems to have demonstrated and to be demonstrating excellent judgement for one so short on experience. This is particularly significant when juxtaposed with the instances of the so-o-o-o experienced producing poor judgement in critical decision-making circumstances.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

John Doe, Washington D.C — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 00:48:48 GMT

What does Obama mean? How about Hussein? Why should we vote Hussein as president because Oprah said so. Oprah went to South Africa to empower wowmen and refuses to support the first possibly female president? Please, Obama should first go back to Kenya and run for president!

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John Doe — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:03:47 GMT

Please, remember that being an electrifying speaker does not translate to being a good president. With Hillary, at least we get two for the price of one! We will need both heads.

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Concerned Citizen for Oprah — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:08:22 GMT

Shouldn't she be in S. Africa making sure her schoolkids aren't getting beat up by her teachers or something?

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DC — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:12:20 GMT

We'll probably either elect another Bush (Obama, whose only weapon for his campaign is to ride on a totally bogus image) or a Southern Baptist minister. In either case, it looks like America will continue to punish itself.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Anne, York PA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:12:34 GMT

I, too, think Belafonte's endorsement of Edwards is much more impressive than Oprah's of Obama. Now, that is a SERIOUS endorsement by an intelligent, long-time progressive activist. Belafonte has blazed trails; Oprah would not be "Oprah" without him and others like him.

As to the head-to-head matchup polls against the Republicans, until the latest Zogby poll, where Obama generally does better than any Dem candidate, it has been Edwards who has consistently polled the best. That held true in poll after poll, month after month.

If Democrats are looking for "electability," Edwards is their man!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Jen — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:13:25 GMT

Dickie Flatts - I admit that every once in a while IF there's nothing else on and I'm channel surfing late at night, I MAY pause on Charlie Gibson for a few moments, but I think it's safe to bet that your average person doesn't watch Gibson, so very few will ever see Hillary's interview.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Jen — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:35:51 GMT

Although I'm an Obama fan, I also like Edwards, but some of the Edwardites on this blog sound like such geeks!

Fired Up and Going for Edwards in Iowa - did you REALLY just write that you're more impressed about Harry Belafonte's endorsemt of Edwards than Oprah's endorsement of Obama. Harry Belafonte? What are you, 70 or something?

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jmpw — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 01:50:58 GMT

The unfortunate reality is that many people don't vote at all and many who do- base their decision on other people's opinions, not on research and reading articles or watching the debates, etc... I think that Oprah will have a huge impact. People love her and regard her as a person of sound judgement. There are much worse sources of political opinions than Oprah.

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Keith318, Potomac, MD — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 02:07:39 GMT

To J. Merle stanley...Hell social conservatives aren't going to vote for Obama anyway!!! That's like saying that Oprah might make red-necked racists angry!

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Keith318, Potomac, MD — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 02:19:04 GMT

I don't believe that Carrie is full of fear!!! She does, however, seem to be overburdened with hatred.

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Wayne — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 03:10:44 GMT

When its all over, Obama may regret having moved his South Carolina moment with Oprah from the 18000 seat Colonial Center to the 80000 seat Williams-Brice Stadium. The reason, its haunted. For years now the USC Gamecocks have teased and promised great things on the grid iron only to have the "chicken-curse" rise up and slap them down, back to a reality of mediocrity and mendacity. He should be very afraid that many of the fans will be leaving at half time, its ingrained.

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Wayne — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 03:19:45 GMT

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Mike — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 03:20:30 GMT

Voters are not stupid thjis time around even if they appeared to be lsst time around when thet elected Bush. This election is important as we are faced with many daunting issues. Oprah and Obama can play the hype, but I can bet you, when it comes to voting time, voters will remember what are at stake and vote on the issues.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Kev, Louisville KY — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 12:03:40 GMT

What I find most peculiar is that Oprah has more executive experience than Obama; perhaps her legions of adoring fans can make enough noise to drag her into Presidential politics, too!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

shabazz,detroit,mi — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 13:03:48 GMT

greeting all posters... i see barack obama as a "change candidate", who seeks to "seize the moment", to tranform america "towards a more perfect union".....(to quote thomas jefferson after a speech he gave about the immorality of slavery & the fear he had of GOD's wrath for the sins of this country).....

obama seeks to unite people who feel "left out of the mainstream".... but also in the areas of "security", to use a "carrot & stick approach" to those who hate america(the republican party controlled C.I.A. & Military are a big cause of the world hatred of america)..... in the area of "economics", stabilize "the reeling dollar", use "NASA", to help transform the american economy into a 21st century hi tech powerhouse, by "weening america & the world off of oil/fossil fuels.... which is fueling "BLOOD WARS FOR OIL RESOURCES".... & killing the enviornement....

& finally try to give "ordinary people", not just americans but people "around the world", "hope"!!!!

GO BARACK GO!!!! bring "COMMON SENSE" & "PRACTICAL JUDGEMENT", back in style!!!!

NO DRAMA WITH OBAMA!!! in 2008!!!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Claremont IOWA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 14:09:27 GMT

ALERT IOWANS!!! Obama will be playing with Oprah and missing once again another important senate vote, like your energy bill. Obama has also been ducking votes on abortion and Iran!!! Seeking a trillion-dollar tax hike and raising the retirement age for Social Security!!!! If he will not support you, DO NOT VOTE FOR OBAMA! Notice once again how obama is trying to keep attention on oprah and not his record or the fact that he’s missing very important senate votes one after another!, like the Energy vote for Iowa, he will be playing with Oprah that day too! So Iowans don’t expect him to vote for you! Why would you vote for him??? Obama is sleazy and dishonest, he's banking that TV viewers can be fooled into the perception that a vote for him is a vote for Oprah! It’s DISGUSTING!! I hope he loses big in IOWA!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Woman Againt Obama Winphrey — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 14:12:19 GMT

Welcome to the Oprah Dog & Pony show! SAME ON YOU OPRAH! YOUR LOSING MANY VIEWERS NOW THAT THE TRUE OPRAH HAS COME OUT SINCE MORE POWER HAD BEEN DANGLED IN FRONT OF HER....

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

JJ Jax FL — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 15:20:22 GMT

Hillary-lovers, if Oprah had decided to endorse Hillary, would all of you see this as underhanded politics then? No...you'd probably say she's being smart by jumping on the 'Hillary Express'(Which Obama has derailed).

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Robert — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 16:23:18 GMT

It´s too bad campaign staffers fill up all the damned space here. Well, the Oprah effect is important, but the numbers presented in the article don´t make much sense. Saying that 7% of this group of people watch Oprah is like saying that only 5% of the voting block follow Al Gore´s career and lecture tour... whether or not a person watches Oprah is not a reliable indicator of whether or not they will be influenced by Oprah´s endorsement of Obama. I think it is a huge bonus for his campaign.

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Ken Collins/ Wagoner, Oklahoma — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 16:41:52 GMT

I don't really care for Oprah, but I admire the way she has made a great success out of her life.
I will vote for Sen Obama, because he seems to truly care and Hillary and Bill can take a flying LEAP !!!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Eyzwidopn, LA,CA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 17:20:46 GMT

Oprah is supporting Obama because he's the most inspirational candidate (which is usually the first thing she looks for before endorsing anything/anyone), and because she believes that he can effectuate real, positive change in Washington unlike any other candidate running. And for those of you who believe that Obama can't win because of the tired, ill-conceived arguments that he's not experienced enough or tough enough, do the math. Obama has more elected years in office than HRC and more practical years working in the community at a grassroots level on issues affecting everyday Americans. His stated aggressive policies towards terrorism along with his forward-thinking diplomacy approach were once ridiculed and then embraced by foreign policy experts, military officials and candidates alike (if you know how to "google" and read, do some research). Considering Obama's weathered HRC's petty, below-the-belt and comical attacks on him with flying colors, I think it's safe to say that he's more than capable of withstanding any right-wing Republican shots. Here's the bottomline that folks should be focusing on. Can HRC get elected with her high negatives? Yes, but it won't be with a 50+1 majority but more than likely something closer to a 46-43 edge at best. With that kind of deficient win, HRC will not be able to govern or lead effectively because of the animous and distrust she generates from those "red states" and the other side of the isle that will bog down the legislative process in even nastier partisanship. That's why Obama's maturity, intelligence, vision, and skills as a proven leader, coupled with his broader appeal over HRC and lack of combustible "political baggage," will allow him to do just as he says as President of the United States… bring both sides of the aisle and independents together to address and find solutions for the vital issues facing our country.

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Roberta — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 17:37:41 GMT

I love Opera but she should keep out of politices

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Cultural Tones Spokane, Washington — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 17:53:28 GMT

It's all about NUMBERS! The more people who actually see and hear Barack Obama will have an unfiltered view of who he is and I beleive, what you see is what you get....integrity, intelligence, an orator, able to inspire hope!

I think it is a smart move for the campaign to have invited supporters who have already given their support to Obama...volunteers need recognition and this is one way to do that. Besides, the Obamamaniacs will be even more fired-up and work even more relentlessly for the campaign.

Participants in the 'O' events will decide what to do when the Iowa caucus arrives...they will put Barack Obama on the democratic ticket. Go Obama!

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Jimmie Griffin — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 18:31:14 GMT

If Oprah delivers the crowd, Obama will deliver the message and seeing is believing!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Eyzwidopn, LA,CA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 18:32:53 GMT

Sounds like a lot of venting going on here without much clarity of thought, sensibility and realism. Oprah is supporting Obama because he's the most inspirational candidate (which is usually the first thing she looks for before endorsing anything/anyone), and because she believes that he can effectuate real, positive change in Washington unlike any other candidate running. Would those of you throwing the race card around embrace the silly notion that all of HRC’s white supporters are only backing her because she's white, or that women are only backing her because she's a woman? How about showing some intellectual evolution and stop the hate-mongering. And for those of you who believe that Obama can't win because of the tired, ill-conceived arguments that he's not experienced enough or tough enough, do the math. Obama has more elected years in office than HRC and more practical years working in the community at a grassroots level on issues affecting everyday Americans. His stated aggressive policies towards terrorism along with his forward-thinking diplomacy approach were once ridiculed and then embraced by foreign policy experts and military officials alike (if you know how to "google" and read, do some research). Considering Obama's weathered HRC's petty, below-the-belt and comical attacks on him with flying colors, I think it's safe to say that he's more than capable of withstanding any right-wing Republican shots. Here's the bottomline that folks should be focusing on. Can HRC get elected with her high negatives? Yes, but it won't be with a 50+1 majority but more than likely something closer to a 46-43 edge at best. With that kind of deficient win, HRC will not be able to govern or lead effectively because of the animus and distrust she generates from those "red states" and the other side of the isle that will bog down the legislative process in even nastier partisanship. That's why Obama's maturity, intelligence, vision, and skills as a proven leader, coupled with his broader appeal over HRC and lack of combustible "political baggage," will allow him to do just as he says as President of the United States… bring both sides of the aisle and independents together to address and find solutions for the vital issues facing our country.

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brucey boy, townville, pa — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 19:02:28 GMT

Van has too much time on his hands.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Robert, Charlotte, North Carolina — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 19:12:20 GMT

Let me start by saying how refreshing it is to see that Hillary has her mother and daughter on the campaign trail with her this weekend. I feel that is by far a stronger message than Obama/Oprah. I feel strongly that the distinction between Obama's campaign and Hillary's can be made by looking at the 2 this week-end. Obama has glitz and hollywood glamore. Hillary has tradition, family and substance. I hope people arnt so nieve as to vote for someone based on a celebrity endorsement, but I fear there are some out there who blindly follow Oprah's lead without thinking. That is sad. On the other hand I think those numbers are small. This campaign of the O's may just backfire. It has been reported that in order to get a ticket one is persuaded to enlist support for Obama and pledge to volunteer in his campaign. First, how manipulative is that-just give people the tickets. And second, that overinflates Obamas numbers, the real test is when these people have to vote. It is then that the O goes UHO! and bursts!

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BEV. WILCOX, LEES SUMMIT, MISSOURI — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 19:20:34 GMT

I don't feel that Oprah will influence me at all. I stopped watching her show a long time ago. And since she never backed any candidate before, I feel she would be for any "black" candidate.

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BEV. WILCOX, LEES SUMMIT, MISSOURI — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 19:22:26 GMT

I don't feel that Oprah will influence me at all. I stopped watching her show a long time ago. And since she never backed any candidate before, I feel she would be for any "black" candidate.

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Johnny McLaurin, Columbia, South Carolina — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 19:56:31 GMT

I think the bad part about these comments on here, are the fact that everyone who most likely commented are Hillary Supporters. Now, they are trying to downplay the hype of these four events. Already blowing past the fact that Barack Obama and Oprah have sold out a 18,000 seat arena in South Carolina, too move to a 80,000 seat college football stadium. The fact of the matter is, you cannot down play this. It's real numbers, and it is real facts, and the only thing I suggest you do, is set back and watch it unfold. You can't change the minds of Americans by being negative, but you can change their minds by giving them something to think about.
Obama does this, and Oprah is the boost!
Thank You

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

US Citizen For Real Change — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 20:11:26 GMT

The JEALOUS, CLOSET-RACIST Liberals, Rightwing Nutcases, et. al need to put an end to the bigotry that has reared it's ugly head around Oprah's foray into politics during this cycle.

The haters are just dismayed that Oprah has decided to through her support behind someone that SHE believes can make substantive and fundamental change to our government, which most people in America believe needs a real overhaul. The country needs to heal and the status quo just won't do. We've seen what that has produced...

It's PATHETIC that folks in this great land of opportunity, THE Unites States of America, still can't stand to see certain people get a fair and honest hearing without looking to first cast aspersions or resort to the "race card."

Many of these same folks spewing much of this vitriol would be the first ones to say "I'm not racist, I have black friends etc., etc. I'm just making a point." WHATEVER! For some reason the truth just has a way to make some folks get extremely defensive.

Let Oprah endorse the person she wants. Chuck Norris is supporting Huck, Curt Schilling is supporting McCain, Streisand's on board with Clinton, etc.

The problem here is that the ICON of daytime television happens to be a trusted, and admired woman of color that transcends race. Certain people just HATE the fact that she's chosen to support someone that just happens to be a very educated, selfless, inspiring person of color as well.

Some people in America wonder why race is still an issue...look no further than the blogoshpere where people can reveal their true colors without fear of reprisal. SAD and PATHETIC!

Wake up people and let's move to heal our country's divide and restore our position in the global community.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Eyzwidopn, LA,CA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 20:16:03 GMT

Obama helped to deliver the first significant campaign finance reform law in Illinois in 25 years. He brought law enforcement groups around to back legislation requiring that homicide interrogations be taped and helped bring about passage of the state’s first racial-profiling law. He was a chief sponsor of a law enhancing tax credits for the working poor, played a central role in negotiations over welfare reform and successfully pushed for increasing child care subsidies (NYT, 7/30/07). As a Chicago community organizer, Obama notched accomplishments ranging from job-training programs to a successful attempt to improve city services at the Altgeld Gardens housing project, chaired a voter-registration drive that helped carry Illinois for Democratic presidential candidate Bill Clinton in 1992 and led an effort to acquire state money for a dropout prevention program that still operates today (any Obama bio you can find online). So to those who want to criticize Obama by saying that he did nothing for the people of Illionos, maybe you should think about addressing whatever your personal issues are that allow you to make such blatant falsehoods. It's a shame that more people don't know how to share in a dialogue on the issues without trying to manipulate others with some form of fear-based "hyperbole." Wow!, how Bush/Cheney like is that.

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Rusty Shakleford, MS — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 20:35:08 GMT

Was it the Okra (Oprah)comment why my view didnt get posted? Because she is racist.

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nell donald — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 21:14:41 GMT

Those of you that keep stating that Obama doesn't have the experience to be president, appear to only say that bc you are looking for a reason to not vote for him. Please tell me what individual has had the experience to President until he/she is elected to the office and acquires the necessary experience then and only then. Therefore, what you look for is whether or not the individual has good judgment, character, honesty and the ability to make sound choices and to appoint seasoned adviser that would serve him well. Get over it and realize that Obama is the candidate that this country and the world would love him bc most of the world is compromised of people of color. America would instantly regain is stature as the world's leading nation with Obama as president!!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Annonymous san bernardino CA — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 22:03:10 GMT

She is having a large affect in the world today.
She can change our Lives for the better or for the worse! We don't Know? yet...

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Rudeboy — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 23:21:44 GMT

I know Oprah will have an impact on Obama's run for the white house. Hilary Clinton has been riding on her husband's coat tail and manage to convert that into support. With that said I know Oprah can do the same for Barrack. Afterall, most of Hilary supporter are there because she's a woman, so what's wrong with Obama getting support from Oprah's fans......?????

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Rich Wilson, Logan Utah — Sat, 08 Dec 2007 23:40:00 GMT

I don't think the "Oprah effect" is about changing people's mind. Its about getting people to the polling place. Oprah might not have enough sway to change someone's mind, but convincing someone to go and vote in a primary would take about as much sway as getting someone to buy a book. If Howard Dean shows us anything its that having support a mile wide and an inch deep doesn't do any good when its cold outside and its time to vote. If Oprah encourages her audience to go vote for Obama, maybe the ones that like Obama anyway will get off their couch and go to a polling place.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Ben, St George, Utah — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 00:09:43 GMT

Hillary has no family values, if she did she would have dumped her cheating husband the only reason that she stayed with him is because of her long term ambition of becoming president.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

justmyownthought — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 00:15:36 GMT

Good post Dot. I too am hopeful for the future of this great country. However, Obama is not seasoned enough for me just yet. This country faces tooooo many problems to elect a lightweight with little experience in many areas to have us make the same mistate as those who voted the George W Bush. He too lacked any real experience and look where he put us. Laughing stocks in the world. We need a tried and true who can stand up to anyone anywhere and is tough enough to stand the ungodly pressues of the job. On the Dems side, I think Edwards, Biden and Hillary fits the bill. Cannot think of one on the other side, although Roomey looks the part. Additionally, Obama's senate record is not that strong (state) and his frequently misses crucial votes on real issues now. That way he can say he was not for it. We all need to go to the national senate records and see them for ourselves. We need to win this election. No room for a feel good candidate.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Jane, Cary, NC — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 00:49:57 GMT

Wow! Watched Oprah and Obama on C-SPAN - very, very impressive! Oprah's intro was moving, convincing, and sincere. Obama was engaging and inspirational. I think he is really going to do this!! Something big is happening. I truly feel he is going to win Iowa by a huge margin - and then sweep into New Hampshire and win. I think Hillary will be a distant third in Iowa - Edwards will come in second. The Clinton machine can't stop a "movement" - and that is what is emerging now with Obama. I am a white, college-educated woman - and I am also an excited "mama for Obama!"

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Carol Fasano — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 01:24:36 GMT

All this OPRAH FACTOR crap is just that CRAP!!! If anybody would vote for Obama BECAUSE OPRAH LIKES HIM well, they shouldn't be allowed to vote!!!!

I would rather pick a person who is qualified, experienced and intelligent, ready to do the job on DAY 1, has experience on both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, knows the ins and outs of the workings of the presidency!!

That person is MY CANDIDATE: HILLARY CLINTON!!!!

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Jane, Cary, NC — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 01:26:07 GMT

I posted earlier but wanted to make one more point. Oprah was extremely convincing and persuasive on the issue of "experience." I would just like to ask what is all of this "experience" that Hillary has had? When she was First Lady, the one "official policy" assignment she was tasked with - reform of health care - was a total failure. Since her election to the Senate, she bungled the most important issue - the vote on the war in Iraq. Obama has plenty of government experience - both on the state and national level. He has just as much experience, if not more, than Abraham Lincoln had when he became president. ( Lincoln served just one term in the US House of Reps + time in the state legislature) Obama has a keen intellect, and the courage of his convictions. He opposed the Iraq war in 2002 when most people dared not speak out against it. To me, the wisdom and courage of his opposition to the Iraq war speaks volumes. He is a thoughtful, compassionate, inspirational leader who, I think, will become a phenomenal president.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

tony sacco — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 03:09:32 GMT

birds of the same feather flock together. I aleays knew Oprah used the white's for her own satisfaction. at least Sharpton is up front, he hates the whites, Oprah on the other hand is a PHONY

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Robert Schueler, Mt Vernon, Iowa — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 17:52:01 GMT

http://theOfactor.us What else is there to say?

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Monica, Burlingame, California — Mon, 10 Dec 2007 03:30:49 GMT

You cannot compare Oprah to Bruce Springstein. Who cares what Bruce Springstein believes in. Nobody even knows. But Oprah, people admire and respect this woman because she teaches Americans so many new things each day. I love watching Dr. Oz, a heart surgeon, talk about how important cardivascluar health and fitness are. I loved her show about decluttering and organizing my closet. Oprah is the authority on what is good. And if she says Barack is good, you know she ain't lying.

Oprah is definitely not ignorant to the issues that face America. If she says Obama is the answer, then Obama is the answer. This woman knows what she is talking about. She is so much more than her favorite things and favorite books. She inspires so many people to try to be just a little bit better.

Breaking down Oprah's numbers

Wendy — Mon, 10 Dec 2007 15:20:33 GMT

By using a black TV host to draw a largely black crowd and talking about black issues, Obama is using the race card to the hilt. Why isn't any news outlet saying this out loud - Obama uses the race card!

Whereas when Clinton talked about the all-boys club of politics, she was immediately accused of using the gender card by the media. Shame on the news media for taking sides and shaping the voters' perceptions. And shame on the news media for being afraid to appear racist by declaring that Obama is using the race card.

The very fact that the news media censors itself for not accusing Obama of using the race card says two things succinctly: America is racist and the American media is not a free media.