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First Read is an analysis of the day's political news, from the NBC News political unit. First Read is updated throughout the day, so check back often.

Chuck Todd, NBC Political Director

Mark Murray, NBC Deputy Political Director

Domenico Montanaro, NBC News Political Reporter



Obama agenda: Stumping for Corzine

Posted: Monday, November 02, 2009 9:14 AM by Mark Murray
Filed Under: , ,

President Obama campaigned for New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine (D) on Sunday, as the incumbent governor cast himself as “the president’s proxy,” seeking to mobilize the 21 percent of Democrats who, in a recent Quinnipiac poll, said they hadn’t planned to vote for Corzine’s re-election. “We will not lose this election if all of you are as committed as you were last year,” Obama told the crowd. “You will not only re-elect Jon Corzine for another four years but put the state on a path to success.”



Video
: President Obama stumped for New Jersey Democrat Jon Corzine, the only governor seeking re-election this fall.

The New York Times: “Mr. Obama’s appearances in Camden and Newark underscored the White House’s determination to stave off defeat for Mr. Corzine, the only Democratic incumbent up for re-election this year, who is facing an aggressive challenge from Christopher J. Christie, a Republican… Most polls show the race too close to call; Mr. Obama’s visit to New Jersey on Sunday was his third to stump for Mr. Corzine.”

Has the White House’s “arms-length strategy” on health care paid off? The New York Times has a piece suggesting that it has. “After months of plodding work by five Congressional committees and weeks of back-room bargaining by Democratic leaders, President Obama’s arms-length strategy on health care appears to be paying dividends, with the House and the Senate poised to take up legislation to insure nearly all Americans.”

Tomorrow, the liberal group Alliance for Justice will hold an event at American University's Washington College of Law to pressure Attorney General Eric Holder “to release the Office of Professional Responsibility’s report (OPR) on the conduct of the lawyers who authorized torture during the Bush administration,” per the group. More: “Daniel Levin, head of the Department of Justice's Office of Legal Counsel from 2004-2005, will speak publicly about this issue.”  

The White House hosted 2,000 Trick or Treaters at the White House on Saturday.

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November 02, 2009
NJ Gov Poll: More Evidence Of A Christie Surge

Quinnipiac's final poll in New Jersey (1,533 LVs, 10-27-11/1, +/- 2.5%) shows a significant late swing toward Republican Chris Christie, giving us a trend showing movement against the incumbent.

General Election Matchup
Christie 42 (+4 from last poll, 10/20-26)
Corzine 40 (-3)
Daggett 12 (-1)
Undecided 6 (+1)

Christie's support seems to be most committed at this point, with 90 percent of his supporters saying their mind is made up. Nearly four in 10 of Daggett's supporters could still change their mind; Corzine is the second-choice candidate of 39 percent, with Christie at 29 percent.

The Republican now has a 1.2 point lead in the RCP Average of New Jersey.
Independents are breaking against the incumbent, as they always do. See you Corzine. Enjoy the millions you "earned" ad Boldman Sachs.
Later Corzine.  Your reign has ended.  
OBAMA APPARENTLY WAS TRICK N' TREATING IN NJ!
Apparently people are thinking that it is better to find out the new devil (Christie, Daggett or a buch of other 3rd party guys) than the devil they know.  I find it interesting that Tom Moran of the Star Ledger noted that Corzine reduced the budget two years in a row as well as cutting the number of state workers.  I wonder if either Daggett or Christie would do that.  

I wonder how far behind Christie would be if there was no recession?  I don't think it would be close.  That is the major thing that is really hurting Corzine.  People somehow blame him for the recession; that has hurt their ability to pay taxes and other bills.  


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